1.Global burden and trends of gout incidence and prevalence.
Shuai JIN ; Yuhan WANG ; Shuangtong YAN ; Xiaomin FU ; Xiaodong HU ; Zhaohui LYU ; Hongzhou LIU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(23):3153-3162
BACKGROUND:
Gout is a chronic disease primarily caused by elevated urate levels, severely affecting joint health. Its global distribution varies, and updated data for China are lacking. This study aimed to analyze the current burden and trends of gout globally and in China, examining the burden by gender, age, and risk factors while providing future predictions.
METHODS:
This descriptive epidemiological secondary analysis utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2021 study. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), prevalence rate (ASPR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates (ASDR) were used to assess the gout burden. Trends from 1990 to 2021 were analyzed across global regions, genders, and sociodemographic index (SDI) levels. The burden in China was further examined by gender, age, and associated risk factors. The Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict future trends. Gout burden in China and the United States was compared.
RESULTS:
In 2021, gout affected 57 million people globally, with 9.4 million new cases and 1.75 million DALYs. From 1990 to 2021, the ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR increased by 17.2%, 21.9%, and 21.3%, respectively. Males experienced a significantly higher burden, with greater ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR increasing with higher SDI levels. In China, male ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR were over 2.8 times those of females, and the burden increased with age. In 2021, 31.4% of gout-related DALYs in China were attributed to high body mass index and 7.6% to kidney dysfunction. Between 1990 and 2021, the high body mass index-related burden of gout rose annually for both genders, while the kidney dysfunction-related gout burden remained stable. By 2050, the burden of gout in China is expected to continue increasing, with a slower rise in females and a decline in males after an initial increase. However, the overall burden will remain substantial. In comparison, the gout burden will be higher in the United States than in China.
CONCLUSIONS
Gout is becoming a significant health burden globally and in China, particularly among Chinese males and older individuals. With the aging population and lifestyle changes exacerbating the issue, effective strategies and measures are essential to prevent or reduce gout-related health issues.
Humans
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Gout/epidemiology*
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Male
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Female
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Incidence
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Middle Aged
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Prevalence
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China/epidemiology*
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Adult
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Risk Factors
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Aged
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Global Burden of Disease
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Disability-Adjusted Life Years
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Young Adult
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Adolescent
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Quality-Adjusted Life Years
2.Shufeng Jiedu Granule against mild COVID-19: Protocol of the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multi-center heal-COVID phase III study.
Li YANG ; Thomas FRIEDEMANN ; Jun PAN ; Xiangyu LI ; Fuxiang WANG ; Yuanlong LIN ; Qiang ZHU ; Sven SCHRÖDER ; Qingsong LIU ; Hongzhou LU
Chinese Herbal Medicines 2025;17(3):601-608
OBJECTIVE:
Since Omicron will likely persist, this trial evaluates the safety and efficacy of Shufeng Jiedu Granule (SFJDG) for mild Omicron infection, aims at finding new therapies especially for home-treated patients.
METHODS:
This randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multi-center phase III trial involves 844 patients, divided into a treatment group (422) and control group (422). Participants will receive SFJDG or placebo for 7 d (1.2 g/bag, 2 bags, 3 times/d). Hospital evaluations will be done on days 1 and 8, with telephone assessments on days 3 and 5. Follow-up continues on days 10 and 14. Diary cards will track symptom scores and safety data. The primary outcome is the time to sustained clinical recovery from corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) symptoms. An interim analysis will occur after 70 % of patients complete follow-up, with Type I error correction (α1 = 0.015) at interim analysis based on O'Brien-Fleming-type cumulative error spending function.
RESULTS:
This phase III trial evaluates the efficacy and safety of SFJDG for mild COVID-19, focusing on real-world applicability for home-managed patients. The study's randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled design ensures methodological rigor, while its comprehensive outcome measures address both symptom recovery and treatment safety. By emphasizing symptom resolution and recovery time, the trial aligns with the clinical priorities for managing mild cases of COVID-19. The findings could offer valuable insights into SFJDG's role in improving patient outcomes and addressing gaps left by existing antiviral therapies, particularly in symptom management.
CONCLUSION
The global risk assessment remains high due to the ongoing virulence of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron sub-lineages. This Phase III study adopts a robust methodology to investigate SFJDG as a treatment for mild COVID-19 as well as it's effectiveness and safety. Furthermore, this study aim to provide sufficient scientific evidence for the market registration of SFJDG especially for home-treated patients. If successful, SFJDG could be a meaningful addition to therapeutic options for mild infections, supporting public health strategies in managing the ongoing impact of SARS-CoV-2.
3.Distribution characteristics of skeletal muscle mass and grip strength in the elderly aged 65 years and older in 18 longevity areas in China
Zhenwei ZHANG ; Yuming ZHAO ; Hongzhou CHEN ; Fangyu LI ; Li QI ; Jinhui ZHOU ; Chen CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Yuebin LYU ; Wenhui SHI ; Xiaoming SHI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(5):656-665
Objective:To investigate the distribution characteristics of skeletal muscle mass and strength in the older adults over 65 years old in 18 longevity areas in China.Methods:The subjects were selected from the Healthy Aging and Biomarkers Cohort Study conducted in 18 longevity areas of China. A total of 4 662 older adults over 65 years old from a cross- sectional survey in 2021 were included in the study. The information about their sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle, nutrient intake and other factors were collected through questionnaire surveys and physical examinations. Grip strength was measured by using professional electronic grip dynamometer. Total skeletal muscle mass (TSM) was measured using bioelectrical impedance analysis, and TSM was adjusted by height squared and BMI to obtain TSM Ht2 and TSM BMI. The proportion of individuals with low muscle mass and strength was determined according to the recommended method by the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS). Descriptive analysis was conducted on the population and regional distribution characteristics of people with different muscle mass and grip strength. A generalized additive model was used to analyze the age-related trends of muscle mass and grip strength. Results:The age of 4 662 study subjects was (82.69±10.54) years, men accounted for 46.85% (2 184 cases) and Han Chinese accounted for 96.27% (4 488 cases). The M( Q1, Q3) of TSM, TSM Ht2 and TSM BMI in men were 23.30 (20.50, 26.20) kg, 9.02 (8.13, 9.89) kg/m 2, and 1.01 (0.90, 1.13) kg·(kg/m 2) -1, respectively, which were all higher than those in women [TSM: 18.20 (15.70, 20.70) kg, TSM Ht2: 8.18 (7.42, 9.07) kg/m 2 and TSM BMI: 0.79 (0.69, 0.90) kg·(kg/m 2) -1], the differences were significant (all P<0.001). The grip strength of men [ M( Q1, Q3): 24.50 (17.80, 30.80) kg] was higher than that of women [ M( Q1, Q3): 15.60 (11.10, 19.90) kg], the difference was significant ( P<0.001). Southern elderly men had lower TSM and TSM Ht2 compared with northern elderly men (all P<0.001), while there was no significant regional difference in TSM BMI ( P>0.05). Southern elderly women had higher TSM Ht2 and TSM BMI compared with northern elderly women (all P<0.001), while there was no significant regional difference in TSM ( P>0.05). Furthermore, according to the method recommended by AWGS, the elderly with low muscle mass and grip strength were characterized by older age, illiteracy, being unmarried/divorced/widowed, poor chewing ability, impaired activity of daily living and living in southern region. Conclusion:There were population and regional differences in muscle mass and grip strength in the older adults over 65 years in 18 longevity areas of China, and these differences showed decreasing trends with age.
4.The expression changes of TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB signaling pathway in a mouse model of olfactory dysfunction
Qiong FAN ; Xiaoning ZHU ; Hongzhou GE ; Zhijun WANG
Chinese Archives of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery 2024;31(2):113-116
OBJECTIVE To explore the expression changes of TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB signaling pathways in olfactory disorders.METHODS There were 40 healthy BALB/c mice who were divided into an observation group and a control group,with 20 mice in each group.Detection of Toll-like receptors(TLR4),myeloid differentiation primary response gene 88(MyD88)and nuclear factor kappa B(NF-κB)in mice using quantitative reverse transcription PCR level;Detection of TLR4,MyD88 and NF-κB by Western blot(WB)test protein content;Immunohistochemical detection of the expression of mouse olfactory marker protein(OMP).RESULTS There was no significant difference in foraging time between the two groups of mice before modeling(P>0.05),after modeling,the foraging time of the observation group mice was significantly longer than that of the control group(P<0.05);The relative mRNA expression level of TLR4,MyD88 and NF-κB in the nasal epithelium of mice in the observation group was significantly higher than that of the control group(P<0.05);The protein expression of TLR4,MyD88 and NF-κB in the nasal epithelium of mice in the observation group was significantly higher than that of the control group(P<0.05);The level of OMP protein in the nasal epithelium of the observation group was significantly lower than that of the control group(P<0.05).CONCLUSION Expression reinforcement of TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB signaling pathway in a mouse model of olfactory dysfunction.
5.Association between the triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and cardiovascular diseases in people living with human immunodeficiency virus: Evidence from a retrospectively cohort study 2005-2022
Liqin SUN ; Yinsong LUO ; Xinyun JIA ; Hui WANG ; Fang ZHAO ; Lukun ZHANG ; Bin JU ; Haiyan WANG ; Duo SHAN ; Yun HE ; Hongzhou LU ; Jiaye LIU
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(22):2712-2719
Introduction::The triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio, a novel biomarker for metabolic syndrome (MetS), has been validated in the general population as being significantly correlated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. However, its capabilities to predict CVD in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV; PLWH) remain underexplored.Methods::We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 16,081 PLWH who initiated antiretroviral therapy (ART) at the Third People’s Hospital of Shenzhen (China) from 2005 to 2022. The baseline TG/HDL-C ratio was calculated as TG (mmol/L) divided by HDL-C (mmol/L). We employed a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model to assess the association between the TG/HDL-C ratio and CVD occurrence, using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests to compare survival distributions. The increase in prediction risk upon the addition of the biomarker to the conventional risk model was examined through the assessment of changes in net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Nonlinear relationships were investigated using a restricted cubic spline plot, complemented by a two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards model to analyze threshold effects.Results::At the median follow-up of 70 months, 213 PLWH developed CVD. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated a significant association between the increased risk of CVD and a higher TG/HDL-C ratio (log-rank P <0.001). The multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model indicated that the CVD hazard ratios (HR) (95% confidence intervals [95% CIs]) for Q2, Q3, and Q4 versus Q1 of the TG/HDL-C ratio were 2.07 (1.24, 3.45), 2.17 (1.32, 3.57), and 2.20 (1.35, 3.58), respectively ( P <0.05). The consideration of the TG/HDL-C ratio in the model, which included all significant factors for CVD incidence, improved the predictive risk, as indicated by the reclassification metrics (NRI 16.43%, 95% CI 3.35%-29.52%, P = 0.014). The restriction cubic spline plot demonstrated an upward trend between the TG/HDL-C ratio and the CVD occurrence ( P for nonlinear association = 0.027, P for overall significance = 0.009), with the threshold at 1.013. Significantly positive correlations between the TG/HDL-C ratio and CVD were observed below the TG/HDL-C ratio threshold with HR 5.88 (95% CI 1.58-21.88, P = 0.008), but not above the threshold with HR 1.01 (95% CI 0.88-1.15, P = 0.880). Conclusion::Our study confirms the effectiveness of the TG/HDL-C ratio as a predictor of CVD risk in PLWH, which demonstrates a significant nonlinear association. These findings indicate the potential of the TG/HDL-C ratio in facilitating early prevention and treatment strategies for CVD among PLWH.
6.A multicenter prospective study on early identification of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children
Dan XU ; Ailian ZHANG ; Jishan ZHENG ; Mingwei YE ; Fan LI ; Gencai QIAN ; Hongbo SHI ; Xiaohong JIN ; Lieping HUANG ; Jiangang MEI ; Guohua MEI ; Zhen XU ; Hong FU ; Jianjun LIN ; Hongzhou YE ; Yan ZHENG ; Lingling HUA ; Min YANG ; Jiangmin TONG ; Lingling CHEN ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Dehua YANG ; Yunlian ZHOU ; Huiwen LI ; Yinle LAN ; Yulan XU ; Jinyan FENG ; Xing CHEN ; Min GONG ; Zhimin CHEN ; Yingshuo WANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(4):317-322
Objective:To explore potential predictors of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP) in early stage. Methods:The prospective multicenter study was conducted in Zhejiang, China from May 1 st, 2019 to January 31 st, 2020. A total of 1 428 patients with fever >48 hours to <120 hours were studied. Their clinical data and oral pharyngeal swab samples were collected; Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA in pharyngeal swab specimens was detected. Patients with positive Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA results underwent a series of tests, including chest X-ray, complete blood count, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and procalcitonin. According to the occurrence of RMPP, the patients were divided into two groups, RMPP group and general Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (GMPP) group. Measurement data between the 2 groups were compared using Mann-Whitney U test. Logistic regression analyses were used to examine the associations between clinical data and RMPP. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyse the power of the markers for predicting RMPP. Results:A total of 1 428 patients finished the study, with 801 boys and 627 girls, aged 4.3 (2.7, 6.3) years. Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA was positive in 534 cases (37.4%), of whom 446 cases (83.5%) were diagnosed with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia, including 251 boys and 195 girls, aged 5.2 (3.3, 6.9) years. Macrolides-resistant variation was positive in 410 cases (91.9%). Fifty-five cases were with RMPP, 391 cases with GMPP. The peak body temperature before the first visit and LDH levels in RMPP patients were higher than that in GMPP patients (39.6 (39.1, 40.0) vs. 39.2 (38.9, 39.7) ℃, 333 (279, 392) vs. 311 (259, 359) U/L, both P<0.05). Logistic regression showed the prediction probability π=exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004×LDH (U/L))/(1+exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004 × LDH (U/L))), the cut-off value to predict RMPP was 0.12, with a consensus of probability forecast of 0.89, sensitivity of 0.89, and specificity of 0.67; and the area under ROC curve was 0.682 (95% CI 0.593-0.771, P<0.01). Conclusion:In MPP patients with fever over 48 to <120 hours, a prediction probability π of RMPP can be calculated based on the peak body temperature and LDH level before the first visit, which can facilitate early identification of RMPP.
7.A Mendelian randomization study on the relationship between insomnia and osteoporosis
Hongzhou LIU ; Xiaomin FU ; Xiaojing LI ; Yuhan WANG ; Xiaodong HU ; Huaijin XU ; Anning WANG ; Zhaohui LYU ; Song DONG ; Yu PEI
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2024;63(8):776-780
Objective:To explore the relationship between insomnia and osteoporosis.Methods:Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis were used in this study. The single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) related to insomnia from genome-wide association analysis research data were selected as the instrumental variables by using inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR-Egger regression, weighted median method, maximum likelihood, penalized weighted median estimator, and Mendelian randomization robust adjusted profile score (MR-RAPS) to determine the causal relationship between insomnia and osteoporosis. Odds ratio ( OR) and 95% confidence interval ( CI) values were used to evaluate the association between insomnia and osteoporosis. Cochran′s Q-test was used to detect heterogeneity of SNPs, MR-Egger regression was used to test for level pleiotropy, and the leave-one-out method was used to test sensitivity, MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier (MR-PRESSO) method and radial MR were used to detect erroneous outliers. Results:The screening criteria were set based on the three major assumptions of MR; finally, 31 SNPs were included in the MR analysis. The results of MR causal effect analysis using the IVW method showed that insomnia increased the risk of osteoporosis by about 0.7% ( OR=1.007, 95% CI 1.001-1.014, P=0.044); heterogeneity testing showed heterogeneity between SNPs ( Q=57.91, P<0.001); and the MR- Egger intercept test did not indicate horizontal pleiotropy in this study (intercept value=3.807×10 -5, P=0.888). Leave-one-out method showed that no single SNP had a significant impact on the overall results. No abnormal SNP was detected according to the MR-PRESSO results ( P=0.059), and radial MR did not detect any outliers. Conclusion:Mendelian randomization analysis showed that insomnia can increase the risk of osteoporosis.
8.Systemic and dynamic immune landscape of Omicron-infected subjects treated with Lianhua Qingwen capsules.
Shijun CHEN ; Fuxiang WANG ; Yuanlong LIN ; Yinyin XIE ; Ruihong ZHANG ; Juan CHEN ; Niu QIAO ; Tong YIN ; Yun TAN ; Hai FANG ; Hongzhou LU ; Zhu CHEN ; Shanhe YU ; Jiang ZHU ; Zhenhua JIA ; Saijuan CHEN
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2024;14(11):5074-5078
9.Clinical characteristics of patients with acquired immunodeficiency syndrome complicated with nontuberculous mycobacteria disease
Shuibao XU ; Junyang YANG ; Wei SONG ; Yang TANG ; Zhenyan WANG ; Jianjun SUN ; Tangkai QI ; Li LIU ; Jun CHEN ; Renfang ZHANG ; Yinzhong SHEN ; Hongzhou LU
Chinese Journal of Infectious Diseases 2023;41(3):190-194
Objective:To explore the clinical characteristics of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) complicated with nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) disease.Methods:The clinical data of 190 patients with AIDS complicated with NTM disease diagnosed by Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University from January 1, 2019 to December 31, 2021 were analyzed retrospectively. NTM diseases were divided into disseminated NTM disease group and non-disseminated NTM disease group. The independent sample t test, Mann Whitney U test and chi-square test were used for statistical analysis. Results:The 190 patients with AIDS complicated with NTM disease included 182 males and eight females. The age was (42±13) years old, and the first hospital stay was 15(6, 26) days. Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia was the most common co-infection in 12.1%(23/190) of patients, 87 cases (45.8%) were disseminated NTM disease. The clinical symptoms of patients were common in fever (55.8%(106/190)), cough (50.0%(95/190)), and expectoration (28.9%(55/190)). The proportions of fatigue (31.0%(27/87) vs 7.8%(8/103)), poor appetite (21.8%(19/87) vs 10.7%(11/103)) in the AIDS patients with disseminated NTM disease group were higher than those in the non-disseminated NTM disease group, and the differences were statistically significant ( χ2=16.99, P<0.001 and χ2=4.42, P=0.036, respectively). There was no significant difference in the proportions of deaths between AIDS patients with disseminated NTM disease and those without disseminated NTM disease (17.2%(15/87) vs 12.6%(13/103), χ2=0.80, P=0.371). The most common NTM species was Mycobacterium avium (67.1%(49/190)), followed by Mycobacterium kansasii (15.1%(11/190)). Hemoglobin ((90.3±23.9) g/L vs (110.1±24.2) g/L), albumin ((29.7±5.5) g/L vs (34.7±5.6) g/L), CD4 + T lymphocyte count (11(5, 30)/μL vs 52(16, 96)/μL) and CD8 + T lymphocyte count ((362±320)/μL vs (496±352)/μL) in the disseminated NTM disease group were lower than those in non-disseminated NTM disease group ( t=-5.63, P<0.001; t=-6.18, P<0.001; Z=-5.90, P<0.001; and t=-2.73, P=0.007, respectively), while procalcitonin (0.24(0.10, 0.77) μg/L vs 0.10 (0.04, 0.51) μg/L) was higher than that in the non-disseminated NTM disease group ( Z=-3.09, P=0.002), with statistical significance. The most common imaging features were lung patch and strip shadow (67.4%(128/190)). Conclusions:The most common type of AIDS patients complicated with NTM disease is disseminated NTM disease, and Mycobacterium avium is the most common NTM species. The clinical manifestations (fatigue, anorexia) and laboratory tests (hemoglobin, albumin, procalcitonin, CD4 + T lymphocyte count, CD8 + T lymphocyte count) of AIDS patients with disseminated NTM disease and non-disseminated NTM disease are different, while the prognosis is not significantly different.
10.Study on nomograph predicting the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus in Beijing community adults
Hongzhou LIU ; Anping WANG ; Yajing WANG ; Jin DU ; Weijun GU ; Zhaohui LYU ; Jingtao DOU ; Yiming MU
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2023;62(1):54-60
Objective:Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting the 4-year incidence of type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in a Chinese population was attempted.Methods:This prospective cohort study was conducted in Shijingshan District Pingguoyuan Community (Beijing, China) from December 2011 to April 2012 among adults aged≥40 years not suffering from T2DM. Finally, 8 058 adults free of T2DM were included with a median duration of follow-up of 4 years. Participants were divided into a modeling group and verification group using simple random sampling at a ratio of 7∶3. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional risk models were applied to identify the independent risk predictors in the modeling group. A nomogram was constructed to predict the 4-year incidence of T2DM based on the results of multivariate analysis. The Concordance Index and calibration plots were used to evaluate the differentiation and calibration of the nomogram in both groups.Results:A total of 5 641 individuals were in the modeling group and 2 417 people were in the validation group, of which 265 and 106 had T2DM, respectively, at 4-year follow-up. In the modeling group, age ( HR=1.349, 95% CI 1.011-1.800), body mass index ( HR=1.347, 95% CI 1.038-1.746), hyperlipidemia ( HR=1.504, 95% CI 1.133-1.996), fasting blood glucose ( HR=4.189, 95% CI 3.010-5.830), 2-h blood glucose level according to the oral glucose tolerance test ( HR=3.005, 95% CI 2.129-4.241), level of glycosylated hemoglobin ( HR=3.162, 95% CI 2.283-4.380), and level of γ-glutamyl transferase ( HR=1.920, 95% CI 1.385-2.661) were independent risk factors for T2DM. Validation of the nomogram revealed the Concordance Index of the modeling group and validation group to be 0.906 (95% CI 0.888-0.925) and 0.844 (95% CI 0.796-0.892), respectively. Calibration plots showed good calibration in both groups. Conclusion:These data suggest that our nomogram could be a simple and reliable tool for predicting the 4-year risk of developing T2DM in a high-risk Chinese population.

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