1.Nomogram and machine learning models for predicting in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients with deep vein thrombosis.
Hongwei DUAN ; Huaizheng LIU ; Chuanzheng SUN ; Jing QI
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(6):1013-1029
OBJECTIVES:
Global epidemiological data indicate that 20% to 30% of intensive care unit (ICU) sepsis patients progress to deep vein thrombosis (DVT) due to coagulopathy, with an associated mortality rate of 25% to 40%. Existing prognostic tools have limitations. This study aims to develop and validate nomogram and machine learning models to predict in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients with DVT and assess their clinical applicability.
METHODS:
This multicenter retrospective study drew on data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV; n=2 235), the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD; n=1 274), and the Patient Admission Dataset from the ICU of Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University (CSU-XYS-ICU; n=107). MIMIC-IV was split into a training set (n=1 584) and internal validation set (n=651), with the remaining datasets used for external validation. Predictors were selected via least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and a nomogram model was constructed. An extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm was used to build the machine learning model. Model performance was assessed by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, Brier score, decision curve analysis (DCA), and net reclassification improvement index (NRI).
RESULTS:
Five key predictors, age [odds ratio (OR)=1.02, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.03, P<0.001], minimum activated partial thromboplastin (APTT; OR=1.09, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.11, P<0.001), maximum APTT (OR=1.01, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.01, P<0.001), maximum lactate (OR=1.56, 95% CI 1.39 to 1.75, P<0.001), and maximum serum creatinine (OR=2.03, 95% CI 1.79 to 2.30, P<0.001), were included in the nomogram. The model showed robust performance in internal validation (C-index=0.845, 95% CI 0.811 to 0.879) and external validation (eICU-CRD: C-index=0.827, 95% CI 0.800 to 0.854; CSU-XYS-ICU: C-index=0.779, 95% CI 0.687 to 0.871). Calibration curves indicated good agreement between predicted and observed outcomes (Brier score<0.25), and DCA confirmed clinical benefit. The XGBoost model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.982 (95% CI 0.969 to 0.985) in the training set, but performance declined in external validation (eICU-CRD, AUC=0.825, 95% CI 0.817 to 0.861; CSU-XYS-ICU, AUC=0.766, 95% CI 0.700 to 0.873), though it remained above clinical thresholds. Net reclassification improvement was slightly lower for XGBoost compared with the nomogram (NRI=0.58).
CONCLUSIONS
Both the nomogram and XGBoost models effectively predict in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients with DVT. However, the nomogram offers superior generalizability and clinical usability. Its visual scoring system provides a quantitative tool for identifying high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
Humans
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
Machine Learning
;
Nomograms
;
Venous Thrombosis/complications*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Prognosis
;
Bayes Theorem
2.Cinnamic acid ameliorates doxorubicin-induced myocardial injury in mice by attenuating cardiomyocyte ferroptosis via inhibiting TLR4.
Qi YUN ; Ruoli DU ; Yuying HE ; Yixin ZHANG ; Jiahui WANG ; Hongwei YE ; Zhenghong LI ; Qin GAO
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(9):1946-1958
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the mechanism of cinnamic acid (CA) for improving doxorubicin-induced myocardial injury (DIC) in mice.
METHODS:
Network pharmacology analysis was used to obtain the key targets of CA and DIC. Male C57BL/6J mice were randomized into Sham, DOX, CA (25, 50 and 100 mg/kg)+DOX, and CA+Ferrostatin-1+DOX groups, and their myocardial function and pathology were examined by echocardiography and HE staining. Serum levels of CK-MB, LDH, MDA, IL-6, TNF‑α and myocardial ROS level were detected, and the expression levels of TLR4 and ferroptosis pathway proteins in myocardial tissue were detected by Western blotting. Cultured murine cardiomyocytes (HL-1 cells) with or without transfection with a small interfering RNA targeting TLR4 (si-TLR4) were treated with DOX or Erastin, and the cellular ROS content was measured by DCFH-DA staining; the expression level of GPX4 was detected using immunofluorescence staining.
RESULTS:
Network pharmacology analysis suggested that CA may improve DIC through TLR4 signaling. DOX treatment caused obvious myocardial injury in mice, which showed significantly increased serum levels of CK-MB, LDH, MDA, IL-6, TNF-α and myocardial ROS level with decreased myocardial levels of SLC7A11 and GPX4 proteins and increased levels of TLR4 and PTGS2 proteins. All these changes in the mouse models were significantly alleviated by treatment with CA, and the mice receiving CA or ferrostatin-1 treatment exhibited increased myocardial expressions of SLC7A11 and GPX4 proteins and lowered expressions of TLR4 and PTGS2 proteins. In cultured HL-1 cells, treatment with DOX and Erastin both obviously increased intracellular ROS level and decreased cellular GPX4 expression level, and these changes were strongly attenuated by TLR4 interference.
CONCLUSIONS
CA, as a potent herbal monomer, can effectively alleviate DIC in mice by inhibiting TLR4-mediated ferroptosis.
Animals
;
Ferroptosis/drug effects*
;
Toll-Like Receptor 4/metabolism*
;
Myocytes, Cardiac/metabolism*
;
Mice, Inbred C57BL
;
Mice
;
Male
;
Doxorubicin/adverse effects*
;
Cinnamates/pharmacology*
;
Signal Transduction
;
Reactive Oxygen Species/metabolism*
3.Research progress in clinical diagnosis and treatment of sepsis-associated encephalopathy.
Qi WANG ; Hongwei MA ; You WU ; Jing LI ; Xijing ZHANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(9):878-884
Sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE) is a common complication of sepsis, referring to a diffuse brain dysfunction caused by sepsis in the absence of direct central nervous system (CNS) infection. SAE occurs in up to 70% of patients with sepsis. Globally, the annual incidence of sepsis ranges from 30.0 to 48.9 million cases, resulting in approximately 11 million deaths per year, which accounts for 20% of all global mortalities. SAE is identified as an independent risk factor contributing to the increased mortality rate among these patients. Early diagnosis of SAE and related cerebral protection interventions hold significant clinical importance. Currently, the main indicators of brain function for sepsis patients include Glasgow coma score (GCS), confusion assessment method for the intensive care unit (CAM-ICU), electroencephalogram (EEG), brain CT or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and other related imaging changes, which have the problems of low sensitivity, poor specificity, and non-objective evaluation of the results of the diagnosis of SAE. This article focuses on the latest progress in the pathogenesis of SAE and systematically reviews potential biomarkers related to the onset of SAE from multiple aspects, including inflammatory markers, endothelial and neuronal injury markers, and metabolic markers. This will provide new insights for the clinical diagnosis and treatment of SAE.
Humans
;
Sepsis-Associated Encephalopathy/therapy*
;
Biomarkers
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
Magnetic Resonance Imaging
;
Electroencephalography
;
Brain Diseases/etiology*
4.Comprehensive analysis of the antibacterial activity of 5,8-dihydroxy-1,4-naphthoquinone derivatives against methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus.
Qingqing CHEN ; Yuhang DING ; Zhongyi LI ; Xingyu CHEN ; Aliya FAZAL ; Yahan ZHANG ; Yudi MA ; Changyi WANG ; Liu YANG ; Tongming YIN ; Guihua LU ; Hongyan LIN ; Zhongling WEN ; Jinliang QI ; Hongwei HAN ; Yonghua YANG
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(5):604-613
Given the increasing concern regarding antibacterial resistance, the antimicrobial properties of naphthoquinones have recently attracted significant attention. While 1,4-naphthoquinone and its derivatives have been extensively studied, the antibacterial properties of 5,8-dihydroxy-1,4-naphthoquinone derivatives remain relatively unexplored. This study presents a comprehensive in vitro and in vivo analysis of the antibacterial activity of 35 naturally sourced and chemically synthesized derivatives of 5,8-dihydroxy-1,4-naphthoquinone. Kirby-Bauer antibiotic testing identified three compounds with activity against methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), with one compound (PNP-02) demonstrating activity comparable to vancomycin in minimum inhibitory concentration, minimum bactericidal concentration (MBC), and time-kill assays. Microscopic and biochemical analyses revealed that PNP-02 adversely affects the cell wall and cell membrane of MRSA. Mechanistic investigations, including proteomic sequencing analyses, Western blotting, and RT-qPCR assays, indicated that PNP-02 compromises cell membrane integrity by inhibiting arginine biosynthesis and pyrimidine metabolism pathways, thereby increasing membrane permeability and inducing bacterial death. In an in vivo mouse model of skin wound healing, PNP-02 exhibited antibacterial efficacy similar to vancomycin. The compound demonstrated low toxicity to cultured human cells and in hemolysis assays and remained stable during serum incubation. These findings suggest that PNP-02 possesses promising bioactivity against MRSA and represents a potential novel antibacterial agent.
Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus/genetics*
;
Anti-Bacterial Agents/chemistry*
;
Naphthoquinones/administration & dosage*
;
Animals
;
Microbial Sensitivity Tests
;
Mice
;
Humans
;
Staphylococcal Infections/microbiology*
;
Molecular Structure
5.Resveratrol alleviates hyperglycemia-induced cardiomyocyte hypertrophy by maintaining mitochondrial homeostasis via enhancing SIRT1 expression
Hongwei YE ; Yuming ZHANG ; Qi YUN ; Ruoli DU ; Lu LI ; Yuping LI ; Qin GAO
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(1):45-51
Objective To investigate whether resveratrol alleviates hyperglycemia-induced cardiomyocyte hypertrophy by enhancing the expression of silent information regulation 2 homolog 1(SIRT1)to maintain mitochondrial homeostasis.Methods Rat cardiomyocytes H9c2 cells with or without lentivirus-mediated mRNA interference of SIRT1 were cultured in high glucose(HG)and treated with resveratrol for 72 h.The changes in superoxide dismutase(SOD)activity,malondialdehyde(MDA)content,reactive oxygen species(ROS)level,and relative surface of the cells were examined,and the mRNA expressions of atrial natriuretic factor(ANF)and brain natriuretic peptide(BNP)and protein expressions of SIRT1,mitochondrial fusion related proteins optic atrophy protein 1(OPA1)and mitofusin 2,mitochondrial division related proteins dynamin-related protein 1(DRP1)and fission protein 1(FIS1),and mitophagy-related proteins BNIP3L and LC3 were detected using RT-qPCR and Western blotting.Results HG exposure significantly decreased SOD activity,increased MDA content,ROS production,relative cell surface,and the mRNA expressions of ANF and BNP in the cardiomyocytes;the protein expressions of SIRT1,OPA1,mitofusin 2 and BNIP3L and LC3-Ⅱ/LC3-Ⅰ ratio were all decreased and the protein expressions of DRP1 and FIS1 increased in HG-exposed cells(P<0.01).All these changes in HG-exposed cardiomyocytes were significantly alleviated by treatment with resveratrol(P<0.05).The protective effects of resveratrol against HG exposure in the cardiomyocytes were obviously attenuated by transfection of the cells with si-SIRT1(P<0.05).Conclusion Resveratrol inhibits hyperglycemia-induced cardiomyocyte hypertrophy by reducing oxidative stress,the mechanisms of which involve enhancement of SIRT1 protein expression,regulation of mitochondrial fusion and division balance,and promoting BNIP3L-mediated mitophagy to maintain mitochondrial homeostasis in the cells.
6.Plumbagin protect against sepsis-induced myocardial injury in mice by inhibiting the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway to reduce cardiomyocyte pyroptosis
Ruoli DU ; Qi YUN ; Yiren WANG ; Xinyu DOU ; Hongwei YE ; Jiahui WANG ; Qin GAO
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(11):2209-2219
Objective To explore the mechanism of plumbagin for protecting against sepsis-induced myocardial injury in mice.Methods Network pharmacology analysis was used to obtain the key targets of plumbagin and diseases,which were subjected to GO and KEGG analysis,and the binding energy was verified using molecular docking.In a mouse model of cecal ligation and puncture(CLP),the protective effect of plumbagin treatment prior to CLP against sepsis-induced myocardial injury was evaluated by examination of myocardial function and pathology using echocardiography and HE staining.Serum levels of CK-MB,LDH,MDA,IL-1β and IL-18 and myocardial ROS level in the mice were detected,and Western blotting was used to determine the protein expression levels of STAT3,GSDMD,caspase-11,JAK2,P-STAT3,P-JAK2,GSDMD-N and HMGB1 in the myocardial tissues.Results Five core targets were screened from the 10 intersecting genes.Molecular docking showed strong binding affinity of plumbagin to STAT3,p-STAT3,and JAK2.Compared with the sham-operated mice,the mouse models of CLP-induced sepsis had significantly decreased CO,LVEF,LVFS and SV and increased serum levels of CK-MB,LDH,MDA and myocardial inflammatory factors and ROS.HE staining and Western blotting showed obvious myocardial injury in the septic mice with increased expressions of JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway and pyroptosis-related proteins(P<0.05).Pretreatment with plumbagin significantly improved cardiac functions of CLP mice,lowered serum levels of CK-MB,LDH,MDA,inflammatory factors and myocardial ROS,and decreased the expression levels of JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway and pyroptosis-related proteins.Conclusion Plumbagin pretreatment alleviates myocardial injury in septic mice possibly by inhibiting the STAT3 signaling pathway to reduce cardiomyocyte pyroptosis.
7.Study on risk factors of mycobacterium tuberculosis infection among health workers in medical institutions
Lin HE ; Wei QI ; Shimiao TANG ; Hongwei CAO ; Yiwen JIANG
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2024;42(2):96-101
Objective:To understand the infection status of mycobacterium tuberculosis among health workers in tuberculosis designated medical institutions and explore the risk factors of infection.Methods:From September 2021 to June 2022, a questionnaire survey was conducted among health workers in relevant departments of 4 tuberculosis designated medical institutions by cluster stratified sampling, including the implementation of hospital infection control measures in medical institutions and occupational exposure of medical staff to mycobacterium tuberculosis. Peripheral blood interferon gamma release assays (IGRAs) and lung imaging examination were performed to determine the mycobacterium tuberculosis infection. Factors with statistical significance in univariate analysis were included in multivariate logistic regression to analyze the risk factors of mycobacterium tuberculosis infection.Results:A total of 657 people completed the lung imaging examination and questionnaire, of which 654 people had peripheral blood IGRAs detection, and the latent infection rate of tuberculosis was 39.45% (258/654) . Univariate analysis showed that age, sex, marital status, economic income, occupational category, professional title, length of service, and other variables had statistical significances in tuberculosis latent infection ( P<0.05) . In terms of personal health status, there were statistically significant differences in the distribution of health workers in terms of their tuberculosis history, tuberculosis history of their immediate family members, previous tuberculin skin test (TST) ( P<0.05) . Multivariate analysis showed that there were four risk factors related to tuberculosis, including professional title ( X1) , years of tuberculosis related works ( X2) , tuberculosis history ( X3) and previous TST ( X4) . The regression equation of the probability of tuberculosis among health workers was y=-1.920+0.246 X1+0.046 X2+1.231 X3+0.478 X4. Conclusion:The latent infection rate of tuberculosis among health workers in tuberculosis designated medical institutions is high. It is necessary to strengthen the management of infection control, carry out regular screening, enhance the self-protection awareness of health workers, and reduce their exposure to mycobacterium tuberculosis and infection risk.
8.Resveratrol alleviates hyperglycemia-induced cardiomyocyte hypertrophy by maintaining mitochondrial homeostasis via enhancing SIRT1 expression
Hongwei YE ; Yuming ZHANG ; Qi YUN ; Ruoli DU ; Lu LI ; Yuping LI ; Qin GAO
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(1):45-51
Objective To investigate whether resveratrol alleviates hyperglycemia-induced cardiomyocyte hypertrophy by enhancing the expression of silent information regulation 2 homolog 1(SIRT1)to maintain mitochondrial homeostasis.Methods Rat cardiomyocytes H9c2 cells with or without lentivirus-mediated mRNA interference of SIRT1 were cultured in high glucose(HG)and treated with resveratrol for 72 h.The changes in superoxide dismutase(SOD)activity,malondialdehyde(MDA)content,reactive oxygen species(ROS)level,and relative surface of the cells were examined,and the mRNA expressions of atrial natriuretic factor(ANF)and brain natriuretic peptide(BNP)and protein expressions of SIRT1,mitochondrial fusion related proteins optic atrophy protein 1(OPA1)and mitofusin 2,mitochondrial division related proteins dynamin-related protein 1(DRP1)and fission protein 1(FIS1),and mitophagy-related proteins BNIP3L and LC3 were detected using RT-qPCR and Western blotting.Results HG exposure significantly decreased SOD activity,increased MDA content,ROS production,relative cell surface,and the mRNA expressions of ANF and BNP in the cardiomyocytes;the protein expressions of SIRT1,OPA1,mitofusin 2 and BNIP3L and LC3-Ⅱ/LC3-Ⅰ ratio were all decreased and the protein expressions of DRP1 and FIS1 increased in HG-exposed cells(P<0.01).All these changes in HG-exposed cardiomyocytes were significantly alleviated by treatment with resveratrol(P<0.05).The protective effects of resveratrol against HG exposure in the cardiomyocytes were obviously attenuated by transfection of the cells with si-SIRT1(P<0.05).Conclusion Resveratrol inhibits hyperglycemia-induced cardiomyocyte hypertrophy by reducing oxidative stress,the mechanisms of which involve enhancement of SIRT1 protein expression,regulation of mitochondrial fusion and division balance,and promoting BNIP3L-mediated mitophagy to maintain mitochondrial homeostasis in the cells.
9.Plumbagin protect against sepsis-induced myocardial injury in mice by inhibiting the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway to reduce cardiomyocyte pyroptosis
Ruoli DU ; Qi YUN ; Yiren WANG ; Xinyu DOU ; Hongwei YE ; Jiahui WANG ; Qin GAO
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(11):2209-2219
Objective To explore the mechanism of plumbagin for protecting against sepsis-induced myocardial injury in mice.Methods Network pharmacology analysis was used to obtain the key targets of plumbagin and diseases,which were subjected to GO and KEGG analysis,and the binding energy was verified using molecular docking.In a mouse model of cecal ligation and puncture(CLP),the protective effect of plumbagin treatment prior to CLP against sepsis-induced myocardial injury was evaluated by examination of myocardial function and pathology using echocardiography and HE staining.Serum levels of CK-MB,LDH,MDA,IL-1β and IL-18 and myocardial ROS level in the mice were detected,and Western blotting was used to determine the protein expression levels of STAT3,GSDMD,caspase-11,JAK2,P-STAT3,P-JAK2,GSDMD-N and HMGB1 in the myocardial tissues.Results Five core targets were screened from the 10 intersecting genes.Molecular docking showed strong binding affinity of plumbagin to STAT3,p-STAT3,and JAK2.Compared with the sham-operated mice,the mouse models of CLP-induced sepsis had significantly decreased CO,LVEF,LVFS and SV and increased serum levels of CK-MB,LDH,MDA and myocardial inflammatory factors and ROS.HE staining and Western blotting showed obvious myocardial injury in the septic mice with increased expressions of JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway and pyroptosis-related proteins(P<0.05).Pretreatment with plumbagin significantly improved cardiac functions of CLP mice,lowered serum levels of CK-MB,LDH,MDA,inflammatory factors and myocardial ROS,and decreased the expression levels of JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway and pyroptosis-related proteins.Conclusion Plumbagin pretreatment alleviates myocardial injury in septic mice possibly by inhibiting the STAT3 signaling pathway to reduce cardiomyocyte pyroptosis.
10.Study on risk factors of mycobacterium tuberculosis infection among health workers in medical institutions
Lin HE ; Wei QI ; Shimiao TANG ; Hongwei CAO ; Yiwen JIANG
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2024;42(2):96-101
Objective:To understand the infection status of mycobacterium tuberculosis among health workers in tuberculosis designated medical institutions and explore the risk factors of infection.Methods:From September 2021 to June 2022, a questionnaire survey was conducted among health workers in relevant departments of 4 tuberculosis designated medical institutions by cluster stratified sampling, including the implementation of hospital infection control measures in medical institutions and occupational exposure of medical staff to mycobacterium tuberculosis. Peripheral blood interferon gamma release assays (IGRAs) and lung imaging examination were performed to determine the mycobacterium tuberculosis infection. Factors with statistical significance in univariate analysis were included in multivariate logistic regression to analyze the risk factors of mycobacterium tuberculosis infection.Results:A total of 657 people completed the lung imaging examination and questionnaire, of which 654 people had peripheral blood IGRAs detection, and the latent infection rate of tuberculosis was 39.45% (258/654) . Univariate analysis showed that age, sex, marital status, economic income, occupational category, professional title, length of service, and other variables had statistical significances in tuberculosis latent infection ( P<0.05) . In terms of personal health status, there were statistically significant differences in the distribution of health workers in terms of their tuberculosis history, tuberculosis history of their immediate family members, previous tuberculin skin test (TST) ( P<0.05) . Multivariate analysis showed that there were four risk factors related to tuberculosis, including professional title ( X1) , years of tuberculosis related works ( X2) , tuberculosis history ( X3) and previous TST ( X4) . The regression equation of the probability of tuberculosis among health workers was y=-1.920+0.246 X1+0.046 X2+1.231 X3+0.478 X4. Conclusion:The latent infection rate of tuberculosis among health workers in tuberculosis designated medical institutions is high. It is necessary to strengthen the management of infection control, carry out regular screening, enhance the self-protection awareness of health workers, and reduce their exposure to mycobacterium tuberculosis and infection risk.

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