Objective:To explore the clinical efficacy and safety of a multimodal treatment regimen integrating radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and immunotherapy in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) -negative locally advanced or advanced gastric cancer.Methods:A total of 34 patients with unresectable, HER2-negative, locally advanced or metastatic gastric/gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) adenocarcinoma admitted to the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Guizhou Medical University from September 2021 to March 2024 were selected as study objects. Participants received one cycle of either XELOX regimen (capecitabine + oxaliplatin) or SOX regimen (S-1 + oxaliplatin) with immunotherapy (sintilimab or nivolumab) . The process was succeeded by radiotherapy targeted at the primary G/GEJ tumor and regional lymph nodes. In selected cases, sequential radiotherapy was also administered for distant metastases. The primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR) , and secondary endpoints were disease control rate (DCR) , clinical symptom response, changes in Karnofsky performance status (KPS) score, progression-free survival (PFS) , and adverse reactions. Clinical efficacy was assessed in accordance with Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1. Adverse reactions were assessed and graded according to the National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0 and the Chinese Society of Clinical Oncology guidelines for management of immune checkpoint inhibitor-related toxicity. With a median follow-up of 7 months (range: 2.3 to 30 months) , the final evaluation considered the best response documented throughout follow-up. Survival curves were constructed utilizing Kaplan-Meier analysis.Results:By the end of follow-up, an overall ORR of 58.8% (20/34) and DCR of 70.6% (24/34) were observed. The ORR of lesions by radiotherapy reached 73.8% (48/65) and the DCR reached 92.3% (60/65) . Univariate analysis showed that the ORR of female patients (84.6%, 11/13) was higher than that of male patients (42.9%, 9/21) , and the ORR of patients with distant lymph node metastasis alone (83.3%, 15/18) was higher than that of patients with distant lymph node metastasis combined with organ metastasis or organ metastasis alone (18.2%, 2/11) , with statistically significant differences ( P=0.030; P=0.010) . There were no statistically significant differences in ORR among patients with different age ( P=0.487) , KPS score ( P=0.198) , primary tumor location ( P=0.280) , histological differentiation ( P=0.668) , chemotherapy regimen ( P=0.728) , or immunotherapy regimen ( P>0.999) . Twenty-two of 23 (95.7%) patients with upper abdominal pain were relieved, 10 of 21 (47.6%) patients with appetite loss were relieved, 15 of 17 patients with upper abdominal distension were relieved, 13 of 14 patients with melena were relieved, 6 of 7 patients with eating obstruction were relieved, 3 of 4 patients with metastatic site pain were relieved, and 2 patients with hematemesis were relieved. KPS score enhanced in 82.4% (28/34) of patients, remained stable in 11.8% (4/34) , and declined in 5.8% (2/34) . The median PFS of the 34 patients was 7.9 months. The most common adverse reactions during radiotherapy combined with chemotherapy and immunotherapy were hematological adverse reactions, in which neutropenia accounted for the highest proportion (91.2%, 31/34) , followed by anemia (50.0%, 17/34) . Fatigue was the most common non-hematological adverse reaction (50.0%, 17/34) , followed by nausea and vomiting (26.5%, 9/34) . The adverse reactions of 6 patients receiving immune monotherapy maintenance were anemia, hypothyroidism, transaminase elevation, proteinuria, fatigue, and rash, all of which were grade 1-2. Conclusions:Radiotherapy combined with chemotherapy and immunotherapy shows good short-term clinical efficacy in patients with HER2-negative locally advanced or advanced gastric cancer, and the overall adverse reactions are tolerable. Female or patients with distant lymph node metastasis alone may be the preferred population for this study protocol.

Objective To observe the clinical efficacy of Huangqi Danggui Compound Decoction(mainly composed of Astragali Radix,Angelicae Sinensis Radix,etc.)combined with Shi's Acupuncture Therapy in the treatment of postpartum low back pain due of qi and blood depletion type.Methods A total of 138 patients diagnosed with postpartum low back pain from March 2021 to February 2024 in the outpatient and inpatient departments of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University of Chinese Medicine were selected as the study subjects.The patients were randomly divided into an observation group and a control group using a random number table,with 69 cases in each group.The control group was treated with Ibuprofen Sustained-Release Capsules combined with Shi's Acupuncture Therapy,while the observation group was additionally treated with Astragalus and Angelica Compound Decoction on the basis of the control group's treatment.Both groups were treated for 4 weeks.After treatment,the clinical efficacy of the two groups was evaluated.The changes in Oswestry Disability Index(ODI)and Visual Analogue Scale(VAS)scores before and after treatment,as well as the SF-36 Quality of Life Scale scores,were observed.The changes in follicle-stimulating hormone(FSH),luteinizing hormone(LH),and estradiol(E2)levels were compared before and after treatment,and the safety and incidence of adverse reactions in the two groups were evaluated.Results(1)The total effective rate in the observation group was 92.75%(64/69),while it was 79.71%(55/69)in the control group.The efficacy of the observation group was superior to that of the control group,with a statistically significant difference(P＜0.05).(2)After treatment,the ODI and VAS scores of both groups were significantly improved(P＜0.05),and the observation group showed significantly better improvement in ODI and VAS scores compared to the control group,with a statistically significant difference(P＜0.05).(3)After treatment,the SF-36 Quality of Life Scale scores of both groups improved significantly(P＜0.05),and the observation group showed significantly better improvement in SF-36 scores compared to the control group,with a statistically significant difference(P＜0.05).(4)After treatment,the FSH,LH,and E2 levels in the observation group were significantly improved(P＜0.05),and the observation group showed significantly better improvement in FSH,LH,and E2 levels compared to the control group,with a statistically significant difference(P＜0.05).In the control group,the FSH,LH,and E2 levels improved slightly,but there was no statistically significant difference compared to before treatment(P＞0.05).(5)There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the observation group and the control group(P＞0.05).Conclusion Huangqi Danggui Compound Decoction combined with Shi's Acupuncture Therapy in the treatment of postpartum low back pain due to qi and blood depletion can significantly alleviate pain symptoms,improve lumbar function,regulate sex hormone levels,and enhance the quality of life of patients,with significant efficacy and good safety.

Objective To discuss the factors influencing the occurrence of frailty in patients with acute myocardial infarction(AMI)after receiving interventional treatment,and to construct a prediction model,to draw a nomogram,and to make the validation of the model.Methods Using convenient sampling method,a total of 462 patients with AMI,who were admitted to the Department of Cardiovascular Medicine of three Grade Ⅲ-A hospitals in Shandong Province of China from July 2023 to January 2024,were selected as the study subjects.Among them,324 AMI patients encountered from July 2023 to November 2023 were selected as modeling group,and logistic regression was used to construct a risk prediction model and draw a nomogram to visualize the model.The remaining 138 AMI patients encountered from December 2023 to January 2024 were used as the validation group.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow testing were adopted to verify the predictive effect of the model.Results Of 324 patients in the modeling group,170(52.47％)developed frailty.Univariate analysis showed that significant differences in age,education level,body mass index(BMI),Charlson comorbidity index,grip strength,walking speed,brain natriuretic peptide precursor level,physical exercise,multiple medication,and kinesophobia existed between the two groups(all P＜0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age,BMI,Charlson comorbidity index,grip strength,walking speed,NT-ProBNP precursor level,physical exercise,multiple medication,and kinesophobia were the influencing factors of frailty in patients with AMI after receiving interventional treatment,with an OR value of 1.061,0.630,1.529,0.931,0.005,0.358,1.783,2.929,and 0.497 respectively.The above nine factors were used as independent variables to draw the nomogram,the area under ROC curve of the model was 0.851(95％CI:0.809-0.892),the optimal critical value was 0.562,the sensitivity was 84.1％,and the specificity was 72.1％.Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit testing showed that the model had anx2=12.957 and P=0.113.Conclusion The frailty condition of AMI patients after receiving interventional treatment is at a low to medium levels.The frailty risk prediction model constructed in this study has good prediction effect,which can provide guidance for clinical nurses to timely identify high-risk patients and to promptly adopt interventional measures.

Objective:To investigate the concern about pollen broadcasting in Chinese population from multiple dimensions and to understand the information about allergic rhinitis (AR) in China by analyzing related factors.Methods:From March 1 to September 30, 2022, a large-scale multi-center cross-sectional survey was conducted based on the Questionnaire Star platform in 21 Chinese hospitals. A total of 7 056 subjects from 7 regions in China: Northeast, North, East, Central, South, Southwest, and Northwest China were included. Basic characteristics (including social demographic characteristics and disease characteristics of AR patients), concern about pollen broadcasting, the willingness of pollen-induced AR (PiAR) patients to receive pollen broadcasting, and the treatment satisfaction rate of AR patients were collected. The chi-square test, multivariate linear regression model, and Logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the concern about pollen broadcasting in the Chinese population and related factors from multiple dimensions.Results:Among 7 056 subjects, 23.02% were concerned about pollen broadcasting. Among 3 176 self-reported AR and 1 019 PiAR patients, 25.60% and 39.16% were concerned about pollen broadcasting, respectively, which was higher than that of non-AR or non-PiAR subjects ( χ2 value was 21.74 and 175.11, respectively, both P<0.001). Among AR patients, the proportion of spring and autumn allergen-positive patients concerned about pollen broadcasting was higher than that in perennial allergen-positive patients ( χ2 value was 20.90 and 19.51, respectively, both P<0.001). The proportion of AR patients with asthma, sinusitis, allergic conjunctivitis, and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases was higher than those without complications ( χ2 value was 50.83, 21.97, 56.78, 7.62, respectively, all P<0.05). The proportion of AR patients in North China who could find pollen broadcasting locally was 31.01%, significantly higher than those in other regions (all P<0.05). Multivariate linear regression model analysis showed that among PiAR patients, those with higher per capita household income and higher AR disease cognition levels had been concerned about pollen broadcasting in the past, and those complicated with allergic conjunctivitis had stronger intention to receive pollen broadcasting (B value was 0.24, 0.13, 0.66, 0.47, respectively, all P<0.05). The higher the disease cognition level of PiAR patients, the stronger their willingness to actively participate in treatment ( R2=0.72, P<0.001). Only 18.89% of AR patients felt satisfied with the treatment effect. Logistic regression analysis showed that in AR patients, the treatment satisfaction rate was significantly higher among those concerned about pollen broadcasting compared to those who were not ( OR=1.83, P<0.001). Conclusions:Currently, the dissemination of pollen broadcasting in China is hindered by various factors such as disease cognition level. The treatment satisfaction among AR patients remains unsatisfactory.

Objective: To investigate the spatial clustering characteristics of varicella public health emergency events in Nanjing City from 2017 to 2022, so as to provide the evidence for the development of varicella prevention and control strategies. Methods: Data of varicella public health emergency events in Nanjing City from 2017 to 2022 were collected through Emergency Public Health Management Information System of Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The software ArcGIS 10.2 was employed for trend-surface analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis and hotspot analysis to understand the spatial clustering characteristics of varicella public health emergency events. Results: A total of 84 varicella public health emergency events were reported in Nanjing City from 2017 to 2022, with an average attack rate of 2.53% (2 558 cases). Ⅳ-level events were predominant, accounting for 90.48% (76 events). The trend-surface analysis showed lower incidence of varicella public health emergency events in the west of Nanjing City and higher in the east, and lower in the north and higher in the south. The global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there was a positive spatial correlation in varicella public health emergency events in 2017 and 2019, indicating spatial clustering (P<0.05). The hot spots were Jiangning District, Gaochun District, Yuhuatai District and Jianye District. Conclusion The incidence of varicella public health emergency events in Nanjing City from 2017 to 2022 has spatial aggregation, with a concentration in suburban areas such as Jiangning District and Gaochun District.

Objectives:To investigate the impact of resting heart rate on the risk of all-cause mortality in ultra-high risk atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease(ASCVD)patients. Methods:A total of 3 645 patients with ultra-high risk ASCVD(as defined in the 2023 Chinese Lipid Management Guidelines)were screened from the 2006 to 2020 Kailuan Study cohort,and after excluding 602 patients with missing resting heart rate,3 043 patients were included in the final analysis.Patients were divided into＜68 beats/min group(n=744),68-74 beats/min group(n=786),75-80 beats/min group(n=760),and≥81 beats/min group(n=753)according to the resting heart rate.Cox proportional regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratios(HRs)and 95%CI for all-cause mortality associated with the different resting heart rate groups and every 10 beats/min increase of resting heart rate.The dose-effect relationship of resting heart rate level and all-cause mortality was assessed by a restricted cubic spline regression model.The Kaplan-Meier method was applied to calculate the cumulative all-cause mortality in different groups,and the differences were compared using log-rank test. Results:The median follow-up time was 5.81(3.46,9.64)years,there were 772(25.37%)all-cause deaths during follow up.After adjusting major confounding factors,the results showed that compared with＜68 beats/min group,the risk of all-cause mortality in 75-80 beats/min group and≥81 beats/min group increased by 24%(HR=1.24,95%CI:1.01-1.52,P=0.047)and 47%(HR=1.47,95%CI:1.20-1.81,P＜0.001),respectively;the risk of all-cause mortality in 68-74 beats/min group was similar(HR=1.06,95%CI:0.86-1.31,P=0.625).In addition,an increase of 10 beats/min in resting heart rate was associated with a 13%increase in the risk of all-cause mortality(HR=1.13,95%CI:1.07-1.19,P＜0.001).In stratified analyses,it was found that for every 10 beats/min increase in resting heart rate,women faced a higher risk of all-cause mortality than men,and patients＜65 years old faced a higher risk of all-cause mortality than patients≥65 years old.The restricted cubic spline analysis also showed that resting heart rate was linearly associated with the risk of all-cause mortality(Poverall＜0.001,Pnon-linear=0.933),and the risk increased significantly with resting heart rate＞70 beats/min. Conclusions:Increased resting heart rate is linearly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in patients with ultra-high risk ASCVD.The appropriate intervention cut-off point of resting heart rate for ultra-high risk ASCVD patients may be＞75 beats/min.

Objective:To evaluate the clinical value of preoperative Naples prognostic scores (NPS) in patients with resectable Siewert type II-III esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (AEG).Methods:In this retrospective observational study we collected and analyzed relevant data of patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG treated in the Department of Gastric Cancer, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from January 2014 to December 2018. NPS were calculated using preoperative albumin concentration, total cholesterol concentration, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio and used to allocate patients into three groups: NTS-0 (0 points), NTS-1 (1-2 points) and NTS-2 (3-4 points). Kaplan–Meier was used to calculate disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in each NPS group and the log-rank test to compare these groups. Univariate and multivariate survival analyes were performed using the Cox regression model. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to compare the relationships between four commonly used tools for evaluating inflammatory responses and nutritional status:NPS, systemic inflammatory response scores, nutrient control status (CONUT), and prognostic nutrition index (PNI).Results:The study cohort comprised 221 patients with AEG of median age 63.0 (36.0–87.0) years. There were 190 men (86.0%) and 31 women (14.0%). As to pTNM stage, 47 patients (21.3%) had Stage I disease, 68 (30.8%) Stage II, and 106 (48.0%) Stage III. One hundred and forty-seven patients (66.5%) had Siewert Type II disease and 74 (33.5%) Siewert type III. There were 45 patients (20.4%) in the NPS-0, 142 (64.2%) in the NPS-1 and 34 (15.4%) in the NPS-2 groups. Higher NPS scores were significantly associated with older patients (χ2=5.056, P=0.027) and higher TNM stages ( H=5.204, P<0.001). The median follow-up was 39 (6-105) months; 16 patients (7.2%) were lost to follow-up. The median OS in the NPS-0, NPS-1, and NPS-2 groups were 78.4, 63.1, and 37.0 months, respectively; these differences are statistically significant ( P=0.021). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified the following as independently and significantly associated with OS in patients with Siewert Type II-III: TNM stage (Stage II: HR=2.182, 95%CI: 1.227-3.878, P=0.008; Stage III: HR=3.534, 95%CI: 1.380-6.654, P<0.001), tumor differentiation (G3: HR=1.995, 95%CI: 1.141-3.488, P=0.015), vascular invasion (HR=2.172, 95%CI: 1.403-3.363, P<0.001), adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.326, 95%CI: 0.200-0.531, P<0.001), NPS (NPS-1: HR=2.331, 95%CI: 1.371-3.964, P=0.002; NPS-2: HR=2.494, 95%CI: 1.165-5.341, P=0.019), SIS group (NPS-1: HR=2.170, 95%CI: 1.244-3.784, P=0.006; NPS-2: HR=2.291, 95%CI: 1.052–4.986, P=0.037), and CONUT (HR=1.597, 95% CI: 1.187-2.149, P=0.038). The median DFS in the NPS-0, NPS-1, and NPS-2 groups was 68.6, 52.5, and 28.3 months, respectively; these differences are statistically significant ( P=0.009). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified the following as independently and significantly associated with DFS in patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG: TNM stage (StageⅡ: HR=2.789, 95%CI:1.210-6.428, P=0.016; Stage III: HR=10.721, 95%CI:4.709-24.411, P<0.001), adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.640, 95% CI: 0.432-0.946, P=0.025), and NPS (NPS-1: HR=1.703, 95%CI: 1.043-2.782, P=0.033; NPS-2: HR=3.124, 95%CI:1.722-5.666, P<0.001). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves showed that NPS was more accurate in predicting OS and DFS in patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG than were systemic inflammatory response scores, CONUT, or PNI scores. Conclusion:NPS is associated with age and TNM stage, is an independent prognostic factor in patients who have undergone resection of Siewert type II-III AEG, and is better than SIS, CONUT, or PNI in predicting survival.

Objective:To evaluate the clinical value of preoperative Naples prognostic scores (NPS) in patients with resectable Siewert type II-III esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (AEG).Methods:In this retrospective observational study we collected and analyzed relevant data of patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG treated in the Department of Gastric Cancer, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from January 2014 to December 2018. NPS were calculated using preoperative albumin concentration, total cholesterol concentration, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio and used to allocate patients into three groups: NTS-0 (0 points), NTS-1 (1-2 points) and NTS-2 (3-4 points). Kaplan–Meier was used to calculate disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in each NPS group and the log-rank test to compare these groups. Univariate and multivariate survival analyes were performed using the Cox regression model. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to compare the relationships between four commonly used tools for evaluating inflammatory responses and nutritional status:NPS, systemic inflammatory response scores, nutrient control status (CONUT), and prognostic nutrition index (PNI).Results:The study cohort comprised 221 patients with AEG of median age 63.0 (36.0–87.0) years. There were 190 men (86.0%) and 31 women (14.0%). As to pTNM stage, 47 patients (21.3%) had Stage I disease, 68 (30.8%) Stage II, and 106 (48.0%) Stage III. One hundred and forty-seven patients (66.5%) had Siewert Type II disease and 74 (33.5%) Siewert type III. There were 45 patients (20.4%) in the NPS-0, 142 (64.2%) in the NPS-1 and 34 (15.4%) in the NPS-2 groups. Higher NPS scores were significantly associated with older patients (χ2=5.056, P=0.027) and higher TNM stages ( H=5.204, P<0.001). The median follow-up was 39 (6-105) months; 16 patients (7.2%) were lost to follow-up. The median OS in the NPS-0, NPS-1, and NPS-2 groups were 78.4, 63.1, and 37.0 months, respectively; these differences are statistically significant ( P=0.021). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified the following as independently and significantly associated with OS in patients with Siewert Type II-III: TNM stage (Stage II: HR=2.182, 95%CI: 1.227-3.878, P=0.008; Stage III: HR=3.534, 95%CI: 1.380-6.654, P<0.001), tumor differentiation (G3: HR=1.995, 95%CI: 1.141-3.488, P=0.015), vascular invasion (HR=2.172, 95%CI: 1.403-3.363, P<0.001), adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.326, 95%CI: 0.200-0.531, P<0.001), NPS (NPS-1: HR=2.331, 95%CI: 1.371-3.964, P=0.002; NPS-2: HR=2.494, 95%CI: 1.165-5.341, P=0.019), SIS group (NPS-1: HR=2.170, 95%CI: 1.244-3.784, P=0.006; NPS-2: HR=2.291, 95%CI: 1.052–4.986, P=0.037), and CONUT (HR=1.597, 95% CI: 1.187-2.149, P=0.038). The median DFS in the NPS-0, NPS-1, and NPS-2 groups was 68.6, 52.5, and 28.3 months, respectively; these differences are statistically significant ( P=0.009). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified the following as independently and significantly associated with DFS in patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG: TNM stage (StageⅡ: HR=2.789, 95%CI:1.210-6.428, P=0.016; Stage III: HR=10.721, 95%CI:4.709-24.411, P<0.001), adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.640, 95% CI: 0.432-0.946, P=0.025), and NPS (NPS-1: HR=1.703, 95%CI: 1.043-2.782, P=0.033; NPS-2: HR=3.124, 95%CI:1.722-5.666, P<0.001). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves showed that NPS was more accurate in predicting OS and DFS in patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG than were systemic inflammatory response scores, CONUT, or PNI scores. Conclusion:NPS is associated with age and TNM stage, is an independent prognostic factor in patients who have undergone resection of Siewert type II-III AEG, and is better than SIS, CONUT, or PNI in predicting survival.

Microplastics(MPs)have attracted growing attention worldwide as an increasingly prevalent environmental pollutant.In addition,chicken meat is currently the most widely consumed kind of poultry in the global market.Consumer demand for chicken is on the rise both at home and abroad.As a result,the safety of chicken raising has also received significant attention.The lungs play an essential role in the physiological activities of chickens,and they are also the most vulnerable organs.Lung injury is difficult to repair after the accumulation of contaminants,and the mortality rate is high,which brings huge economic losses to farmers.The research on the toxicity of MPs has mainly focused on the marine ecosystem,while the mechanisms of toxicity and lung damage in chickens have been poorly studied.Thus,this study explored the effects of exposure to polystyrene microplastics(PS-MPs)at various concentrations for 42 d on chicken lungs.PS-MPs could cause lung pathologies and ultrastructural abnormalities,such as endoplasmic reticulum(ER)swelling,inflammatory cell infiltration,chromatin agglutination,and plasma membrane rupture.Simultaneously,PS-MPs increased the expression of genes related to the heat shock protein family(Hsp60,Hsp70,and Hsp90),ER stress signaling(activating transcription factor 6(ATF6),ATF4,protein kinase RNA-like ER kinase(PERK),and eukaryotic translation initiation factor 2 subunit α(eIF2α)),pyroptosis-related genes(NOD-,LRR-and pyrin domain-containing protein 3(NLRP3),apoptosis-associated speck-like protein containing a caspase recruitment domain(ASC),interleukin-1β(IL-1β),cysteinyl aspartate-specific proteinase 1(Caspase1),and gasdermin-D(GSDMD)),and the inflammatory signaling pathway(nuclear factor-κB(NF-κB),inducible nitric oxide synthase(iNOS),and cyclooxygenase-2(COX-2)).The above results showed that PS-MP exposure could result in lung stress,ER stress,pyroptosis,and inflammation in broilers.Our findings provide new scientific clues for further research on the mechanisms of physical health and toxicology regarding MPs.

Objective:To compare the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of hospitalized children with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in Kunming among the pre-and post-COVID-19 era, and to establish a prediction model for severe RSV infection in children during the post-COVID-19 period.Methods:This was a retrospective study. Clinical and laboratory data were collected from 959 children hospitalized with RSV infection in the Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine at Kunming Children′s Hospital during January to December 2019 and January to December 2023. Patients admitted in 2019 were defined as the pre-COVID-19 group, while those admitted in 2023 were classified as the post-COVID-19 group. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics were compared between the two groups. Subsequently, comparison of the clinical severity among the two groups was performed based on propensity score matching (PSM). Furthermore, the subjects in the post-COVID-19 group were divided into severe and non-severe groups based on clinical severity. Chi-square test and Mann-Whitney U test were used for pairwise comparison between groups, and multivariate Logistic regression was applied for the identification of independent risk factors and construction of the prediction model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve were employed to evaluate the predictive performance of this model. Results:Among the 959 children hospitalized with RSV infection, there were 555 males and 404 females, with an onset age of 15.4 (7.3, 28.5) months. Of which, there were 331 cases in the pre-COVID-19 group and 628 cases in the post-COVID-19 group. The peak period of RSV hospitalization in the post-COVID-19 group were from May to October 2023, and the monthly number of inpatients for each of these months were as follows: 72 cases (11.5%), 98 cases (15.6%), 128 cases (20.4%), 101 cases (16.1%), 65 cases (10.4%), and 61 cases (9.7%), respectively. After PSM for general data, 267 cases were matched in each group. The proportion of wheezing in the post-COVID-19 group was lower than that in the pre-COVID-19 group (109 cases (40.8%) vs. 161 cases (60.3%), χ2=20.26, P<0.001), while the incidences of fever, tachypnea, seizures, severe case, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein and interleukin-6 levels were all higher than those in the pre-COVID-19 group (146 cases (54.7%) vs. 119 cases (44.6%), 117 cases (43.8%) vs. 89 cases (33.3%), 37 cases (13.9%) vs. 14 cases (5.2%), 69 cases (25.8%) vs. 45 cases (16.9%), 3.6 (1.9, 6.4) vs. 2.3 (1.8, 4.6), 9.9 (7.1, 15.2) vs. 7.8 (4.5, 13.9) mg/L, 20.5 (15.7, 30.4) vs. 17.2 (11.0, 26.9) ng/L, χ2=5.46, 6.36, 11.47, 6.42, Z=4.13, 3.06, 2.96, all P<0.05). There were 252 cases and 107 cases with co-infection in the post-and pre-COVID-19 groups, respectively. The proportion of triple and quadruple infection in the post-COVID-19 group was higher than that in the pre-COVID-19 group (59 cases (23.4%) vs. 13 cases (12.1%), 30 cases (11.9%) vs. 5 cases (4.7%), χ2=5.94, 4.46, both P<0.05). Among the 252 cases with co-infection in post-COVID-19 group, the most prevalent pathogens involving in co-infections, in order, were Mycoplasma pneumoniae 56 cases (22.2%), Influenza A virus 53 cases (21.0%), Rhinovirus 48 cases (19.0%), Parainfluenza virus 35 cases (13.9%), and Adenovirus 28 cases (11.1%).The result of multivariate Logistic regression showed that age ( OR=0.70, 95% CI 0.62-0.78, P<0.001), underlying diseases ( OR=10.03, 95% CI 4.10-24.55, P<0.001), premature birth ( OR=6.78, 95% CI 3.53-13.04, P<0.001), NLR ( OR=1.85, 95% CI 1.09-3.15, P=0.023), and co-infection ( OR=1.28, 95% CI 1.18-1.38, P<0.001) were independently associated with the development of severe RSV infection in the post-COVID-19 group. The ROC curve of the prediction model integrating the above five factors indicated an area under the curve of 0.85 (95% CI 0.80-0.89, P<0.001), with an optimal cutoff of 0.21, a sensitivity of 0.83 and a specificity of 0.80. The calibration curve showed that the predicted probability in this model did not differ significantly from the actual probability ( P=0.319). Conclusions:In the post-COVID-19 era in Kunming, the peak in pediatric hospitalizations for RSV infection was from May to October, with declined incidence of wheezing and increased incidence of fever, tachypnea, seizures, severe cases, and rates of triple and quadruple co-infections. Age, underlying diseases, premature birth, NLR, and co-infection were identified as independent risk factors for severe RSV infection in the post-COVID-19 period. In this study, a risk prediction model for severe pediatric RSV infection was established, which had a good predictive performance.