1.Epidemiological analysis and incidence trend prediction of mumps in Nantong City in 2016 - 2023
Enhui ZHAO ; Ye WEI ; Hongmei JIN ; Wuhong ZHANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):84-88
Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and incidence trend of mumps in Nantong City from 2016 to 2023, and to provide a basis for scientific prevention and control. Methods Descriptive statistical analysis was conducted on monthly mumps incidence data in Nantong City from 2016 to 2023, and a SARIMA model was constructed to predict the incidence trend. Results A total of 3 928 mumps cases were reported in Nantong City from 2016 to 2023, with an average annual incidence rate of 6.36/100 000. Cases predominantly occurred during April–July and September–December, showing seasonal peaks. The male-to-female ratio was 1.43:1. The cases were concentrated in individuals aged ≤15 years (85.57%), primarily students, children in childcare settings, and scattered children (88.31%). The optimal model constructed by the SPSS Expert Modeler was SARIMA(1,0,0)(0,1,1)12, predicting an epidemic peak of mumps in Nantong City from September to November in the second half of 2024. Conclusion From 2016 to 2023, mumps incidence in Nantong City has shown an overall downward trend with a seasonal bimodal distribution. Males had higher incidence rates than females, and cases were predominantly students, kindergartens and scattered children, highlighting the need to strengthen mumps prevention in schools and childcare institutions. The SARIMA model is suitable for short to medium term prediction of mumps in Nantong City. A minor peak is predicted to occur in the second half of 2024 (September–November). It is necessary to strengthen the epidemic surveillance of mumps and vaccination of age-eligible children.
2.Analysis of the clinical efficacy and safety of dupilumab in the treatment of patients with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis complicated with asthma
Hongmei ZOU ; Yumeng ZHAO ; Hehua HUANG ; Chong XU ; Xinzhuo WANG ; Wenchao GUAN ; Ruonan CHAI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(6):825-833
Objective:To investigate clinical efficacy and safety of dupilumab in the treatment of moderate to severe atopic dermatitis (AD) complicated with asthma.Methods:A self-controlled study before and after treatment was conducted to retrospectively analyze 45 patients with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis combined with asthma who received dupilumab in the respiratory allergy clinic of North Theater Command General Hospital from January 2021 to May 2024, which age ≥12 years, including 27 males, 18 females. The treatment period was 4 to 12 months. All patients were treated with dupilumab combined with inhaled glucocorticoids and long-acting beta2-receptor agonists, as well as symptomatic drugs for atopic dermatitis. Analyze the clinical data of the patients before and after treatment, including lung function, asthma and AD-related assessment scales. Generalized estimation equation was used to analyze the simple effect of time on the repeated measurement data following non-normal distribution, and Wilcoxon signed rank test was used to compare the differences of each observation index before and after treatment.Results:Among 45 patients with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis complicated with asthma, after treatment with dupilumab, the FEV 1 increased from 2.39 (1.87, 2.83) L at baseline to 2.50 (1.84, 2.97) L 3 months after treatment ( Z=2.417, P=0.016), 2.60 (1.95, 3.14) L 6 months after treatment ( Z=2.896, P=0.004); the FEV 1pred% increased from 74.10% (67.70%, 78.75%) at baseline to 77.09% (68.40%, 80.24%) at 3 months after treatment ( Z=2.574, P=0.010), and 77.20% (71.10%, 80.72%) at 6 months after treatment ( Z=2.861, P=0.004). Meanwhile, there were statistically significant differences in the ACT and Mini-AQLQ scales at 3, 6, and 12 months after treatment compared with those before treatment (ACT score Z=3.170, 4.216, 5.723; Mini-AQLQ score Z=3.231, 4.133, 5.826; all P<0.05). The EASI scale decreased from baseline 25.90 (18.95, 33.45) to 6.20 (1.15, 8.35) at 4 months after treatment ( Z=5.842, P<0.05) and 4.90 (2.75, 8.35) at 6 months after treatment ( Z=5.841, P<0.05), 4.00 (3.15, 5.05) at 12 months after treatment ( Z=5.841, P<0.05); The scores of each scale of IGA, NRS and DLQI decreased significantly compared with the baseline after 4 months, 6 months and 12 months of treatment, and this trend became more obvious with the extension of treatment time. The differences were statistically significant (IGA score Z=6.247, 6.070, 5.946; NRS score Z=5.960, 5.893, 5.879; DLQI score Z=5.880, 5.850, 5.848; all P<0.05). During treatment, 1 patient had local adverse reactions at the injection site and 1 patient had conjunctivitis. Conclusion:Dupilumab may have a positive effect on improving the clinical efficacy of patients with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis complicated with asthma. During the 12-month observation period, this biological agent generally demonstrated good safety characteristics.
3.Analysis of proportion and trend prediction of disability-adjusted life years attributed to aging population in common diges-tive system malignant tumors in China
Ji LI ; Yang CHEN ; Maorong ZHANG ; Zhao YANG ; Xian TANG ; Hongmei WEN
Practical Oncology Journal 2025;39(5):372-380
Objective The aim of this study was to analyze the proportion of disability adjusted life years(DALYs)attributed to aging population in common digestive system malignancies in China,and predict the proportion and the trends of DALYs attributed to aging proportion from 2022 to 2046.Methods Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021,the DALY data of esophageal cancer,stomach cancer,colorectal cancer,pancreatic cancer,liver cancer,gallbladder and biliary tract cancer of Chinese people aged≥25 years from 1990 to 2021 were selected.The age-period-birth models were used to predict the DALY of malignant tumors from 2022 to 2046.The changes of DALY from 1990 to 2046 were decomposed into population growth,population aging,and age-specific DALY rate changes,and analyze the proportion of DALY changes attributable to population aging and its change trend.Results From 1990 to 2021,the DALY change rates of esophageal cancer,stomach cancer,colorectal cancer,pancreatic cancer,liver cancer,gall-bladder and biliary tract cancer in Chinese people aged≥25 years were 18.20%,-0.34%,98.10%,164.16%,58.21%and 90.62%,respectively.Compared with 2021,the proportion of DALY changes attributed to population aging for six types of malignant tumors in 1990 was from-38.32%to-19.72%.The top three cancer types with the highest attribution ratios were stomach cancer(-38.32%),esophageal cancer(-38.07%),gallbladder and biliary tract cancer(-29.78%).The expected change rates of DALY for the six types of malignant tumors from 2021 to 2046 were 20.72%,11.50%,58.19%,57.38%,21.36%and 48.39%,respective-ly.By compared with 2021,the proportion of DALY changes of six malignant tumors attributed to population aging in 2046 was from 18.82%to 47.83%,and the top three cancers attributed to the proportion were gallbladder and biliary tract cancer(47.83%),color-ectal cancer(43.07%)and pancreatic cancer(38.76%).From 2022 to 2046,the proportion of DALY changes attributed to aging pop-ulation for the six types of malignant tumors would continue to rise(P<0.001).The proportions of colorectal cancer and pancreatic cancer attributed to population aging and the proportion of age-specific DALY rate were both positive and rising(P<0.001),which would eventually promote the further increase of DALY.Conclusion Population aging has become the main driving factor for the growth of DALY in digestive system malignant tumors in China.The impact on DALY of colorectal cancer and pancreatic cancer will be prominent in the future.Targeted prevention and control strategies should be developed to actively respond to population aging.
4.Analysis of influencing factors of severe influenza B virus pneumonia complicated with invasive pulmonary aspergillosis
Zhigang ZHAO ; Hui LIU ; Hongmei LIU
Tianjin Medical Journal 2025;53(7):736-740
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and risk factors of severe influenza B viral pneumonia complicated with invasive pulmonary aspergillosis.Methods Forty-six patients with severe influenza B virus pneumonia were collected and divided into the invasive pulmonary aspergillosis(IPA)group(17 cases)and the control group(29 cases)based on whether they were complicated with IPA.The clinical manifestations,laboratory indicators,chest CT imaging findings,bronchoscopic manifestations,broncho alveolar lavage fluid(BALF)culture and metagenomic next-generation sequencing results were compared between the two group.Treatment conditions and final treatment outcomes were also compared between the two groups.Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were conducted to explore risk factors of severe influenza B virus pneumonia complicated with IPA.Results After treatment,a total of 6 patients died(35.30%),all of whom were in the invasive pulmonary aspergillosis group.In both groups,the symptoms of dyspnea,cough,expectoration and chest pain were more severe,and systemic symptoms such as fatigue,fever and muscle pain were also quite obvious.There were no significant differences in clinical symptoms,combined bacterial infection and hormone use between the two groups.Compared with the control group,white blood cell count,neutrophil count,blood GM test and BALF GM test were higher in the combined group.The proportion of patients with nodules and patchy shadows on imaging and the proportion of patients showing pseudomembrane manifestations under bronchoscopy were higher(P<0.05).Univariate Logistic regression analysis showed that white blood cell count,GM in BALF,nodules and patchy shadows in lung imaging and pseudomembrane manifestations under bronchoscopy were influencing factors for severe influenza B virus pneumonia combined with invasive pulmonary aspergillosis(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that GM≥1 in BALF and pseudomembrane manifestations under bronchoscopy were risk factors for severe influenza B virus pneumonia combined with invasive pulmonary aspergillosis(P<0.05).Conclusion When GM test level of BALF in patients with severe influenza B virus pneumonia is≥1 and pseudomembrane manifestations are seen under bronchoscopy,the possibility of combined invasive pulmonary aspergillus infection should be highly vigilant.
5.Design and Application of Five Elements Music Software Based on Emotion Classification in Malignant Tumor Population
Nan ZHAO ; Shanshan GU ; Jingtao ZHAO ; Hongmei XIE ; Wenjun WANG ; Mirui HE ; Guiju REN ; Shuying CHEN ; Guangmin LI ; Juan LIAO
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;27(7):1990-1999
Objective To design a Five-Elements Music Software based on Traditional Chinese Medicine's(TCM)theory of five elements music therapy and music emotion classification.The software is intended to provide appropriate music selections tailored to the negative emotional states of cancer patients and evaluate its effectiveness in psychological rehabilitation.Methods ①Music screening and classification:Qualitative analysis was used by six experts in TCM,psychology,nursing,and musicology to screen five elements music and classify corresponding emotional categories.②Software design and development:Based on screening and classification of music materials,design and develop a"Five Elements Music Software Based on Emotion Classification".③Software application evaluation:Recruit 50 cancer patients from the"Beijing Anti Cancer Paradise"as participants to have a trial listening experience with music software,and fill out a satisfaction questionnaire to evaluate its application effect.Results This study established a music database containing 150 pieces of five-elements musical tunes and completed the classification of emotional categories.Among the included subjects,80%of the recruited objects were satisfied with the experience of the five elements music software,of which the application experience of female patients was significantly better than that of male patients,and breast cancer patients were better than other cancer patients,with a statistically significant difference(P<0.05).The five elements music Software in clinic showed comparing with other two groups after four weeks,there was a significant difference for HAMD when comparing five elements music software group and the other two groups(P<0.05).Conclusion The five-element music software designed based on emotion classification effectively meets the psychological rehabilitation needs of cancer patients.It provides appropriate music selections and convenient listening method to regulate cancer-related negative emotions,extending psychological rehabilitation from the hospital to the home.
6.Application of the Bayesian mixture model based on a principal stra-tum strategy in clinical trials
Yiwen WU ; Yue SUN ; Zixuan LU ; Jiahe PAN ; Er YU ; Hongmei WO ; Shaowen TANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Juncheng DAI ; Honggang YI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2025;30(7):942-949
AIM:To evaluate the application effec-tiveness of a Bayesian mixture model based on the principal stratum strategy for estimating the com-plier average causal effect(CACE)in clinical trials with non-compliance.METHODS:Using a non-infe-riority randomized controlled trial investigating a novel drug for primary type 2 diabetes mellitus(non-inferiority margin:-0.4)as a case study,the primary analysis applied a Bayesian mixture model under the monotonicity assumption to estimate CACE of between-group differences in glycated he-moglobin(HbA1c)changes within the compliant stratum,followed by non-inferiority testing.Sensi-tivity analyses included a Bayesian mixture model relaxing the monotonicity assumption and compar-ing results with per-protocol set(PPS)analysis.RE-SULTS:In the primary analysis,the posterior mean of CACE for HbA1c change in the compliant stratum was 0.081%,with a one-sided 97.5%credible inter-val lower bound of-0.124,exceeding the non-infe-riority margin(-0.4%),supporting the non-inferiori-ty efficacy of the novel drug in the compliant stra-tum(P(H1|Data)=1).Consistent findings were ob-served in PPS analyses(estimated effect:0.136%;one-sided 97.5%credible interval lower bound:-0.069%),further validating methodological robust-ness.CONCLUSION:In clinical trials with noncom-pliance as an intercurrent event,the Bayesian mix-ture model under the principal stratum strategy ef-fectively adjusts for compliance-related bias and yields conservative,robust estimates of causal ef-fects,supporting its value in efficacy evaluation un-der complex compliance scenarios.
7.Analysis of proportion and trend prediction of disability-adjusted life years attributed to aging population in common diges-tive system malignant tumors in China
Ji LI ; Yang CHEN ; Maorong ZHANG ; Zhao YANG ; Xian TANG ; Hongmei WEN
Practical Oncology Journal 2025;39(5):372-380
Objective The aim of this study was to analyze the proportion of disability adjusted life years(DALYs)attributed to aging population in common digestive system malignancies in China,and predict the proportion and the trends of DALYs attributed to aging proportion from 2022 to 2046.Methods Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021,the DALY data of esophageal cancer,stomach cancer,colorectal cancer,pancreatic cancer,liver cancer,gallbladder and biliary tract cancer of Chinese people aged≥25 years from 1990 to 2021 were selected.The age-period-birth models were used to predict the DALY of malignant tumors from 2022 to 2046.The changes of DALY from 1990 to 2046 were decomposed into population growth,population aging,and age-specific DALY rate changes,and analyze the proportion of DALY changes attributable to population aging and its change trend.Results From 1990 to 2021,the DALY change rates of esophageal cancer,stomach cancer,colorectal cancer,pancreatic cancer,liver cancer,gall-bladder and biliary tract cancer in Chinese people aged≥25 years were 18.20%,-0.34%,98.10%,164.16%,58.21%and 90.62%,respectively.Compared with 2021,the proportion of DALY changes attributed to population aging for six types of malignant tumors in 1990 was from-38.32%to-19.72%.The top three cancer types with the highest attribution ratios were stomach cancer(-38.32%),esophageal cancer(-38.07%),gallbladder and biliary tract cancer(-29.78%).The expected change rates of DALY for the six types of malignant tumors from 2021 to 2046 were 20.72%,11.50%,58.19%,57.38%,21.36%and 48.39%,respective-ly.By compared with 2021,the proportion of DALY changes of six malignant tumors attributed to population aging in 2046 was from 18.82%to 47.83%,and the top three cancers attributed to the proportion were gallbladder and biliary tract cancer(47.83%),color-ectal cancer(43.07%)and pancreatic cancer(38.76%).From 2022 to 2046,the proportion of DALY changes attributed to aging pop-ulation for the six types of malignant tumors would continue to rise(P<0.001).The proportions of colorectal cancer and pancreatic cancer attributed to population aging and the proportion of age-specific DALY rate were both positive and rising(P<0.001),which would eventually promote the further increase of DALY.Conclusion Population aging has become the main driving factor for the growth of DALY in digestive system malignant tumors in China.The impact on DALY of colorectal cancer and pancreatic cancer will be prominent in the future.Targeted prevention and control strategies should be developed to actively respond to population aging.
8.Research progress on the association between prenatal nutritional factors and autism spectrum disorder
Wenli ZHAO ; Changlu PAN ; Dongdan LI ; Jie YAN ; Hongmei HUANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(9):1559-1565
Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental condition originating in early life, presenting significant challenges for affected families and society. ASD is characterized by atypical brain development occurring throughout gestation. Maternal diet during pregnancy plays a crucial role in ASD pathogenesis. Specifically, prenatal multivitamin supplementation and adequate vitamin D intake may reduce ASD risk; similar protective effects have been associated with polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) and iron consumption. Although research findings are inconsistent, prenatal nutritional interventions represent a promising strategy for mitigating the future risk of mental health and other disorders in offspring. Therefore, this article reviews key nutrients implicated in ASD risk during pregnancy, to provide a theoretical foundation for developing precise perinatal nutritional intervention plans.
9.Analysis of the clinical efficacy and safety of dupilumab in the treatment of patients with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis complicated with asthma
Hongmei ZOU ; Yumeng ZHAO ; Hehua HUANG ; Chong XU ; Xinzhuo WANG ; Wenchao GUAN ; Ruonan CHAI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(6):825-833
Objective:To investigate clinical efficacy and safety of dupilumab in the treatment of moderate to severe atopic dermatitis (AD) complicated with asthma.Methods:A self-controlled study before and after treatment was conducted to retrospectively analyze 45 patients with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis combined with asthma who received dupilumab in the respiratory allergy clinic of North Theater Command General Hospital from January 2021 to May 2024, which age ≥12 years, including 27 males, 18 females. The treatment period was 4 to 12 months. All patients were treated with dupilumab combined with inhaled glucocorticoids and long-acting beta2-receptor agonists, as well as symptomatic drugs for atopic dermatitis. Analyze the clinical data of the patients before and after treatment, including lung function, asthma and AD-related assessment scales. Generalized estimation equation was used to analyze the simple effect of time on the repeated measurement data following non-normal distribution, and Wilcoxon signed rank test was used to compare the differences of each observation index before and after treatment.Results:Among 45 patients with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis complicated with asthma, after treatment with dupilumab, the FEV 1 increased from 2.39 (1.87, 2.83) L at baseline to 2.50 (1.84, 2.97) L 3 months after treatment ( Z=2.417, P=0.016), 2.60 (1.95, 3.14) L 6 months after treatment ( Z=2.896, P=0.004); the FEV 1pred% increased from 74.10% (67.70%, 78.75%) at baseline to 77.09% (68.40%, 80.24%) at 3 months after treatment ( Z=2.574, P=0.010), and 77.20% (71.10%, 80.72%) at 6 months after treatment ( Z=2.861, P=0.004). Meanwhile, there were statistically significant differences in the ACT and Mini-AQLQ scales at 3, 6, and 12 months after treatment compared with those before treatment (ACT score Z=3.170, 4.216, 5.723; Mini-AQLQ score Z=3.231, 4.133, 5.826; all P<0.05). The EASI scale decreased from baseline 25.90 (18.95, 33.45) to 6.20 (1.15, 8.35) at 4 months after treatment ( Z=5.842, P<0.05) and 4.90 (2.75, 8.35) at 6 months after treatment ( Z=5.841, P<0.05), 4.00 (3.15, 5.05) at 12 months after treatment ( Z=5.841, P<0.05); The scores of each scale of IGA, NRS and DLQI decreased significantly compared with the baseline after 4 months, 6 months and 12 months of treatment, and this trend became more obvious with the extension of treatment time. The differences were statistically significant (IGA score Z=6.247, 6.070, 5.946; NRS score Z=5.960, 5.893, 5.879; DLQI score Z=5.880, 5.850, 5.848; all P<0.05). During treatment, 1 patient had local adverse reactions at the injection site and 1 patient had conjunctivitis. Conclusion:Dupilumab may have a positive effect on improving the clinical efficacy of patients with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis complicated with asthma. During the 12-month observation period, this biological agent generally demonstrated good safety characteristics.
10.Value of Peripheral Blood DLGAP5 and RASSF1A Gene Methylation in the Differential Diagnosis of Benign and Malignant Lung Nodules
Hongmei ZHOU ; Xiaobin ZHAO ; Yaguang WU ; Jing XIAO
Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine 2025;40(2):53-58
Objective To investigate the value of methylation levels of Discs large-associated protein5(DLGAP5)and Ras association domain family 1A(RASSF1A)in peripheral blood in the differential diagnosis of benign and malignant lung nodules.Methods 110 patients with pulmonary nodules admitted to the Seventh People's Hospital of Hebei Province from December 2022 to June 2024 were selected as study subjects.Based on the diagnosis confirmed by pathological examination,52 patients with malignant lung nodules were included in the malignant group and 58 patients with benign lung nodules were included in the benign group.The methylation levels of DLGAP5 and RASSF1A genes in peripheral blood were determined by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction(qRT-PCR).The diagnostic value of methylation of DLGAP5 and RASSF1A genes in peripheral blood on the benign and malignant nature of lung nodules and their relationship with clinicopathological characteristics of patients with malignant lung nodules were analyzed.Spearman's method was used to analyze the correlation between DLGAP5 and RASSF1A gene methylation levels and clinicopathological features.Results Compared with the benign group,the methylation levels of DLGAP5 and RASSF1A genes were higher in the peripheral blood of patients in the malignant group,and the differences were statistically significant(χ2=27.010,24.350,all P<0.001).The sensitivities of DLGAP5 methylation and RASSF1A methylation alone in the detection of malignant lung nodules were 61.54%,67.31%,and the specificity were 86.21%,79.31%,and the accuracies were 74.55%,73.63%,respectively.The sensitivity(84.62%)and accuracy(83.64%)of the combined two-gene methylation test for malignant lung nodules were better than that of single gene methylation(Z=2.816,2.497,all P<0.05).The concordance Kappa values of DLGAP5 methylation and RASSF1A methylation alone and in combination with the pathological results were 0.583,0.569 and 0.712,respectively.The nodules size,histological differentiation degree,lymph nodes and spiculation sign of patients with malignant pulmonary nodules were correlated with DLGAP5 and RASSF1A methylation levels,and the differences were statistically significant(χ2DLGAP5=4.644~14.981,χ2RASSF1A=4.293~12.629,all P<0.05).Correlation analysis showed that the methylation levels of DLGAP5 and RASSF1A genes were positively correlated with nodule size,histologic differentiation,lymph node metastasis and spiculation sign(rDLGAP5=0.512~0.683,rRASSF1A=0.527~0.691,all P<0.05).Conclusion The methylation levels of DLGAP5 and RASSF1A gene in peripheral blood were closely related to histological differentiation,lymph node metastasis and clinical staging.The combined detection of the two has high diagnostic value fro the benign and malignant nature of pulmonary nodules.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail