1.Mechanism of 1,25(OH)2D3 improving liver inflammation in a rat model of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis induced by choline-deficient L-amino acid-defined diet
Haiyang ZHU ; Jingshu CUI ; Liu YANG ; Mengting ZHOU ; Jian TONG ; Hongmei HAN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(2):254-262
ObjectiveTo investigate the effect of 1,25(OH)2D3 on the level of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor-γ (PPAR-γ) in the liver, the phenotype of hepatic macrophages, and liver inflammation in a rat model of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), as well as the mechanism of 1,25(OH)2D3 improving liver inflammation. MethodsAfter 1 week of adaptive feeding, 24 specific pathogen-free Wistar rats were randomly divided into normal group [choline-supplemented L-amino acid-defined (CSAA) diet], normal+1,25(OH)2D3 group [CSAA diet+1,25(OH)2D3], model group [choline-deficient L-amino acid-defined diet (CDAA) diet], and model+1,25(OH)2D3 group [CDAA diet+1,25(OH)2D3], with 6 rats in each group. The dose of 1,25(OH)2D3 was 5 μg/kg for intraperitoneal injection twice a week for 12 weeks. The serum levels of aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) were measured, liver histopathology was observed, and SAF score was assessed. M1 hepatic macrophages and M2 hepatic macrophages were measured to analyze in the change in the phenotype of hepatic macrophages, and ELISA was used to measure the levels of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), interleukin-4 (IL-4), and interleukin-10 (IL-10) in liver tissue, and qPCR was used to measure the mRNA level of PPAR-γ. The two-factor analysis of variance was use for comparison between groups, and the least significant difference t-test was used for further comparison; the Pearson method was used for correlation analysis. ResultsCompared with the normal group, the model rats with CDAA diet-induced NASH had significant increases in the serum levels of AST and ALT (P=0.019 and P<0.001), the SAF score of liver histopathology (P<0.001), the level of M1 hepatic macrophages (P<0.001), and the ratio of M1 and M2 hepatic macrophages (P<0.001), as well as a significant increase in the level of TNF-α (P<0.001) and a significant reduction in the level of IL-4 in liver tissue (P=0.025). The 1,25(OH)2D3 group had significant reductions in the serum levels of ALT (P<0.001), the SAF score of liver histopathology (P<0.001), the level of M1 hepatic macrophages (P<0.001), and the ratio of M1 and M2 hepatic macrophages (P=0.001), the level of IL-1β (P<0.001) and a significant increase in the level of M2 hepatic macrophages (P=0.017), the level of IL-10 (P=0.039), the level of IL-4 (P<0.001), the level of PPAR-γ (P=0.016). There were significant interactions between CDAA diet-induced NASH model and 1,25(OH)2D3 in serum the levels of AST and ALT (P=0.007 and P=0.008), the SAF scores of liver histopathology (P<0.001), the level of M1 hepatic macrophages (P<0.001), the level of M2 hepatic macrophages (P=0.008), the ratio of M1 and M2 of hepatic macrophages (P=0.005), the level of TNF-α (P<0.001), the level of IL-10 (P=0.038), the level of IL-4 (P<0.001) and the level of PPAR-γ (P=0.009). The correlation analysis showed that PPAR-γ was negatively correlated with the ratio of M1 and M2 hepatic macrophages (r=-0.415, P=0.044) and was positively correlated with M2 hepatic macrophages (r=0.435, P=0.033), IL-10 (r=0.433, P=0.035), and IL-4 (r=0.532, P=0.007). ConclusionThis study shows that 1,25(OH)2D3 improves liver inflammation in NASH by activating PPAR-γ to regulate the phenotypic transformation of hepatic macrophages.
2.Efficacy of tranexamic acid in reducing perioperative blood loss in craniomaxillofacial plastic and cosmetic surgery: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis
Hongmei MA ; Chenxi LI ; Yao LIU ; Jingfei HAN ; Jiaojun ZHAO ; Mingchao DING ; Jialin SUN
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(12):1770-1778
Objective: To comprehensively evaluate the clinical efficacy of a single dose of tranexamic acid (TXA) in reducing perioperative blood loss in patients undergoing craniomaxillofacial plastic and cosmetic surgery through meta-regression analysis. Methods: Embase, PubMed, Wanfang Data, VIP database, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR) and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) were electronically retrieved to collect clinical studies evaluating efficacy of perioperative TXA administration in patients undergoing craniomaxillofacial plastic and cosmetic surgery, from inception to August 2024. Quality assessment of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) was performed using Cochrane Collaboration's Risk of Bias Tool. Based on the results of methodological heterogeneity, corresponding meta-analyses were conducted using either random-effects or fixed-effects models in R programming software. Results: Thirty-one articles were included, involving 2 072 patients who underwent craniomaxillofacial plastic and cosmetic surgeries. Among these patients, 1 051 were in the TXA treatment group, and 1 021 were in the control group. The paired meta-analysis showed that compared with the control group, the use of TXA significantly reduced bleeding volume in perioperative patients [standardized mean difference (SMD)=-1.13; 95%CI (-1.47, -0.80), P<0.001]. Subgroup analysis revealed that TXA significantly reduced intraoperative bleeding volume in patients across different surgeries, with the order of efficacy as follows: orthognathic surgery [SMD=-1.44; 95%CI (-2.07, -0.80), P<0.001], cleft palate repair [SMD=-1.32; 95%CI (-2.14, -0.50), P<0.001], rhinoplasty [SMD=-0.97; 95%CI (-1.63, -0.30), P<0.001], and craniosynostosis [SMD=-0.96; 95%CI (-1.40, -0.53), P=0.040]. The result of the meta regression showed there was no significant difference in the hemostatic effect of TXA on patients with increasing doses (5, 10, 15, 20, 25 mg/kg) (P=0.650). Sensitivity analysis verified that the pooled values were stable and reliable. The Egger's test indicated a certain degree of publication bias (Z=-3.40, P<0.001). Conclusion: Existing evidence suggests that TXA effectively reduces perioperative blood loss in patients undergoing craniofacial plastic surgery, regardless of its dosage administered.
3.Equivalence of SYN008 versus omalizumab in patients with refractory chronic spontaneous urticaria: A multicenter, randomized, double-blind, parallel-group, active-controlled phase III study.
Jingyi LI ; Yunsheng LIANG ; Wenli FENG ; Liehua DENG ; Hong FANG ; Chao JI ; Youkun LIN ; Furen ZHANG ; Rushan XIA ; Chunlei ZHANG ; Shuping GUO ; Mao LIN ; Yanling LI ; Shoumin ZHANG ; Xiaojing KANG ; Liuqing CHEN ; Zhiqiang SONG ; Xu YAO ; Chengxin LI ; Xiuping HAN ; Guoxiang GUO ; Qing GUO ; Xinsuo DUAN ; Jie LI ; Juan SU ; Shanshan LI ; Qing SUN ; Juan TAO ; Yangfeng DING ; Danqi DENG ; Fuqiu LI ; Haiyun SUO ; Shunquan WU ; Jingbo QIU ; Hongmei LUO ; Linfeng LI ; Ruoyu LI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(16):2040-2042
4.Evaluation of the comprehensive intervention effect on lunch for primary and secondary school students in Minhang District of Shanghai
HU Yuhuan, ZANG Jiajie, XU Huilin, GUO Qi, HAN Yan, TANG Hongmei, YING Fangjia, LIANG Hao
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(2):191-195
Objective:
To evaluate the comprehensive intervention effect of lunch for primary and secondary school students in Minhang District, so as to provide a theoretical and practical basis for lunch intervention in school.
Methods:
From October to December 2023, a convenience sampling method was used to select 1 937 students from one primary and secondary school in Minhang District.A comprehensive intervention measure focusing on "reducing oil and salt" for lunch recipe optimization and nutrition education was carried out, and a questionnaire survey was conducted to evaluate the intervention effect three months later. Chi square test and Wilcoxon rank test were used to compare the data before and after the intervention.
Results:
After intervention, the use of cooking oil and salt, the supply of protein and fat in primary and secondary school lunches were reduced, and had no obvious impact on energy and other major nutrients. After intervention, compared to before intervention, the proportion of primary school students who felt that lunch was greasy decreased (8.9%, 6.2%, χ 2=4.35), and the proportion of primary and secondary school students who felt that lunch were delicious decreased significantly (33.2%, 23.2%; 63.9%, 53.5%, χ 2=26.39, 17.52) ( P < 0.05 ). Secondary school students also felt reduced variety of food ingredients (46.9%, 38.3%, χ 2=16.05, P <0.05). In addition, after intervention, the total surplus rate of primary school students meals decreased (7.4%, 4.4%, χ 2=5.73), mainly reflected in the decrease of the surplus rate of staple foods (7.1%, 2.4%, χ 2=17.39), while the surplus rate of vegetable dishes increased ( 16.0 %, 21.2%, χ 2=6.01) ( P <0.05). Although there was no significant change in the total surplus rate of meals for secondary school students, the surplus rate of staple foods decreased (12.9%, 5.4%, χ 2=33.52), while the surplus rates of meat and vegetable dishes increased (11.2%, 26.9%; 17.5%, 33.2%, χ 2=74.26, 61.88) ( P <0.05). After intervention, there was no statistically significant difference in the overweight and obesity rates of primary school students ( χ 2=0.11,0.43) and secondary school students ( χ 2=0.01,0.00) compared to before intervention( P >0.05). After intervention, the lung capacity of primary school students [1 564 (1 269,1 890) mL] and sitting forward flexion [11.3 (7.6, 15.2) cm] increased compared to before intervention [1 522 (1 259, 1 819 ) mL, 10.5 (6.3, 13.5) cm] ( Z =2.20, 4.68, P <0.01), but there was no statistically significant difference in lung capacity and sitting forward flexion of secondary school students before and after intervention ( Z =-0.46, -0.08, P >0.05).
Conclusion
The comprehensive intervention of school lunch has promoted a significant decrease in the use of oil and salt in lunch and improved the quality of recipes, and has a positive impact on the situation of leftover lunch and the health of students to a certain extent.
5.miR-15b-5p affects PIK3CA/AKT1 pathway through USP9X to alleviate airway inflammation in asthma.
Yuyang ZHOU ; Zhiguang WANG ; Yihua PIAO ; Xue HAN ; Yilan SONG ; Guanghai YAN ; Hongmei PIAO
Chinese Journal of Cellular and Molecular Immunology 2025;41(3):193-203
Objective To investigate whether miR-15b-5p can alleviate airway inflammation in asthma by negatively regulating ubiquitin specific peptidase 9X (USP9X) to down-regulate the expression of phosphatidylinositol 4, 5-diphosphate 3-kinase catalytic subunit α/AKT serine/threonine kinase 1 (PIK3CA/AKT1) pathway. Methods USP9X was predicted to be a direct target of miR-15b-5p by using an online database (miRWalk), and the luciferase reporter gene assay was performed to verify it. Co-immunoprecipitation (CO-IP) was used to verify the direct binding between USP9X and PIK3CA and the role of USP9X and its small molecule inhibitor WP1130 in the deubiquitination of PIK3CA. C57 mice were randomly divided into Control group, OVA group, OVA combined with NC group and miR-15b-5p agomir group, with 10 mice in each group. BEAS-2B cells were induced with interleukin 13 (IL-13) and treated with miR-15b-5p mimic. HE, Masson, PAS, immunohistochemistry, immunofluorescence staining, flow cytometry, Western blot and quantitative real-time PCR(qRT-PCR) were performed. Results It was found that the administration of miR-15b-5p agomir and mimic could reduce peribronchial inflammatory cells and improve airway inflammation, and miR-15b-5p could target negative regulation of USP9X. USP9X could directly bind to PIK3CA and regulate PIK3CA level in a proteasome-dependent manner, and USP9X could deubiquitinate K29-linked PIK3CA protein. Down-regulation of USP9X could increase PIK3CA ubiquitination level. WP1130, a small molecule inhibitor of USP9X, has the same effect as knockdown of USP9X, both of which could increase the ubiquitination level of PIK3CA and reduce the protein level of PIK3CA. Conclusion The miR-15b-5p/USP9X/PIK3CA/AKT1 signaling pathway may provide potential therapeutic targets for asthma.
Animals
;
MicroRNAs/metabolism*
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Asthma/pathology*
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Class I Phosphatidylinositol 3-Kinases/genetics*
;
Ubiquitin Thiolesterase/metabolism*
;
Proto-Oncogene Proteins c-akt/genetics*
;
Mice
;
Signal Transduction
;
Mice, Inbred C57BL
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Humans
;
Inflammation/genetics*
;
Cell Line
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Female
;
Male
6.Risk factors for slow-flow or no-reflow during percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction:a meta-analysis
Yunfei ZHANG ; Wenjuan YAN ; Hongmei WEN ; Weichen CHEN ; Hongjuan ZHOU ; Qiong HAN ; Jiaoyang XU ; Yingfeng LI
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2025;34(3):243-252
Objective Using meta-analysis to identify the risk factors for slow-flow or no-reflow during percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI)in patients with ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction(AMI).Methods A computerized retrieval of academic papers concerning the risk factors for slow-flow or no-reflow during PCI in patients with ST-segment elevation AMI from the databases of CNKI,Wanfang Database,VIP,SinoMed,PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,and Cochrane Library was conducted.The retrieval time period was from the establishment of the database to January 2024.In order to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the study,two independent reviewers screened the literature according to the preset inclusion and exclusion criteria,extracted key data,and strictly evaluated the quality of the literature.RevMan5.4 software was used to make meta-analysis.Results A total of 23 articles with a total of 9 780 cases were included in this analysis.The results of meta-analysis showed that reperfusion time ≥6 h(OR=1.52),preoperative TIMI blood flow≤level-Ⅰ(OR=1.12),heavy thrombus burden(OR=1.60),advanced age(OR=1.56),diabetes(OR=1.83),preoperative Killip grade≥Ⅲ(OR=2.52),long target vessel disease(OR=1.95),and collateral flow≤level-Ⅰ(OR=1.61)were the risk factors for slow-flow or no-reflow during PCI in patients with ST-segment elevation AMI.Preoperative systolic blood pressure<90 mmHg(OR=1.17)and high white blood cell(WBC)count(OR=1.27)were not the risk factors for slow-flow or no-reflow during PCI in patients with ST-segment elevation AMI.Conclusion Reperfusion time ≥ 6 h,preoperative TIMI blood flow≤level-Ⅰ,heavy thrombus burden,advanced age,diabetes,preoperative Killip grade≥level-Ⅲ,long target vessel lesion,and collateral blood flow≤level-Ⅰ are the independent risk factors for slow-flow or no-reflow during PCI in patients with ST-segment elevation AMI.
7.Clinical effectiveness assessment of a single dose of tranexamic acid for perioperative blood loss control in patients treated with craniomaxillofacial plastic and cosmetic surgery: a meta-regression analysis of registered randomized controlled trials
Chenxi LI ; Hongmei MA ; Yao LIU ; Jingfei HAN ; Mingchao DING ; Jialin SUN
Chinese Journal of Plastic Surgery 2025;41(1):52-68
Objective:To comprehensively evaluate the clinical effectiveness with respect to a single dose of tranexamic acid (TXA) given preoperatively for blood loss control in perioperative patients accepted craniomaxillofacial plastic and cosmetic surgery.Methods:Embase, PubMed, WanFang Data, VIP, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR) and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) were electronically retrieved to collect randomized controlled trials (RCTs) related to appraise the efficacy in perioperative craniomaxillofacial plastic and cosmetic surgery patients used TXA from inception to August 2024. Based on the result of methodological heterogeneity, corresponding paired meta-analyses were carried out with a random-effects or fixed-effects model applying R 4.0.4 software. Subgroup analysis was performed based on type of surgery, patient age, regional distribution of patients, and sample size included in the studies. A meta-regression analysis was performed on studies that reported the effect of different doses of TXA on reducing perioperative bleeding. Sensitivity analysis was performed to verify the stability of the meta result. Egger’s test was used to analyze potential publication bias.Results:A total of 31 RCTs were included, involving 2 072 patients, with 1 051 in the TXA group and 1 021 in the placebo group. The paired meta-analysis random-effects model ( I2=90%) showed that compared with the control group, the use of TXA significantly reduced the amount of bleeding in perioperative patients[standardized mean difference ( SMD)=-1.13, 95% CI -1.47 to -0.80, P < 0.01]. Subgroup analysis revealed that TXA had a significant effect on reducing intraoperative bleeding in patients with different surgeries, ages, regions, and sample sizes. The most effective subgroups were cases in orthognathic surgery ( SMD=-1.44, 95% CI -2.07 to -0.80, P< 0.01), less than 30 year-old( SMD=-1.32, 95% CI -1.68 to -0.96, P< 0.01], Asian patients( SMD=-1.29, 95% CI -1.72 to -0.86, P< 0.01), less than 30 individuals ( SMD=-1.16, 95% CI -1.50 to -0.82, P< 0.01). The result of the meta regression showed there was no significant difference in the hemostatic effect of TXA on patients with increasing doses (5, 10, 15, 20, 25 mg/kg) ( P>0.05). Sensitivity analysis verified that the pooled values were stable and reliable. The Egger’s test indicated a certain degree of publication bias ( P < 0.01). Conclusion:Taken as a whole, existing evidence suggests that TXA can effectively reduce perioperative bleeding in patients undergoing craniofacial plastic surgery, regardless of its dosage administered. However, further clinical researches are still needed to provide more baselined data, transfusion-related indicators, and information on adverse events such as vascular embolism, in order to comprehensively evaluate and analyze the efficacy and safety of a single dose of TXA for perioperative blood loss control in patients treated with craniomaxillofacial plastic and cosmetic surgery.
8.Construction and validation of a nomogram model for the prediction of the prognosis of pulmonary large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma
Yi HAN ; Fei QI ; Hongmei ZHANG ; Hongbo WU ; Yong ZHANG ; Tongmei ZHANG
Cancer Research and Clinic 2025;37(8):569-576
Objective:To explore the prognostic influencing factors of patients with pulmonary large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma (LCNEC), to develop a nomogram-based predictive model for the overall survival (OS) of LCNEC patients and to make validation.Methods:The clinical data of 2 947 patients with LCNEC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (the modeling group) and 147 patients with LCNEC in Beijing Chest Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University from 2010 to 2023 (the validation group). The data of patients in the both groups were compared. Cox proportional hazards model was used to screen out the factors influencing the OS of patients with LCNEC. A nomogram model was constructed to predict the OS based on the multivariate analysis result. Internal validation of the predictive model's performance was conducted through 500 repeated samplings based on the Bootstrap method. The predictive performance of the nomogram model was evaluated by using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The consistency index (CI) was used to analyze the discrimination of the nomogram model in predicting the survival of LCNEC patients; calibration curves were used to analyze the consistency between the survival predicted by the nomogram model and the actual survival outcomes; and the decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the net benefit of the model for actual clinical decision-making.Results:The differences in the proportions of patients with different age, gender, race, tumor staging, N stage, M stage, hepatic metastasis or not, pulmonary metastasis or not, chemotherapy and radiotherapy or not between the modeling group and the validation group were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). The median OS time of LCNEC patients in the modeling group was 14.0 months, with the 1-year OS rate of 53.3% and the 5-year OS rate of 21.2%; the median OS time of LCNEC patients in the validation group was 17.5 months, with the 1-year OS rate of 58.7%; there was no statistically significant difference in OS between the 2 groups ( P = 0.280). In the modeling group, the median OS time of female and male LCNEC patients was 18.0 and 12.0 months, respectively, and the difference in OS between the 2 groups was statistically significant ( P < 0.05); for patients with stage Ⅰ-Ⅱ, Ⅲ, and Ⅳ LCNEC, the median OS time was 48.0, 16.0, and 6.0 months, respectively, and the difference in OS among the 3 groups was statistically significant ( P < 0.05); the median OS time of patients receiving surgery and not receiving surgery was 28.0 and 8.0 months, respectively, and the difference in OS between the 2 groups was statistically significant ( P < 0.05). The differences in OS among female and male, patients in stages Ⅰ-Ⅱ, Ⅲ and Ⅳ, patients who underwent surgery or not were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis in the modeling group showed that patients aged >60 years old (>60 years old vs. ≤60 years old: HR = 1.234, 95% CI: 1.114-1.367, P < 0.01), M 1 stage (M 1 stage vs. M 0 stage, HR = 2.646,95% CI: 2.385-2.935, P < 0.001), T 2-4 stage (T 2-4 stage vs. T 1 stage: HR = 1.199, 95% CI: 1.147-1.252, P < 0.001), N 1-3 stage (N 1-3 stage vs. N 0 stage: HR = 1.281, 95% CI: 1.225-1.340, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors of the OS in patients with LCNEC; female (female vs. male: HR = 0.877, 95% CI: 0.805-0.956, P = 0.003), surgery (yes vs. no: HR = 0.612, 95% CI: 0.554-0.676, P < 0.001), chemotherapy (yes vs. no: HR = 0.520, 95% CI: 0.470-0.575, P < 0.001) were independent protective factors of the OS in patients with LCNEC. A nomogram model for predicting 1, 3, and 5-year OS rates of LCNEC patients was constructed based on age, gender, T stage, N stage, M stage, surgery and chemotherapy. The result of ROC curve analysis indicated that the AUC of the nomogram model for predicting 1, 3, and 5-year OS rates in the modeling group was 0.822, 0.821 and 0.821, respectively, while the AUC of 1-year OS rate predicted by the validation group was 0.660. The CI of the modeling group and the validation group was 0.756 and 0.660, respectively. The calibration curve showed that 1, 3, and 5-year OS rates predicted by the modeling group were highly consistent with the actual OS rates. The DCA showed that the nomogram model for predicting OS in the modeling group and the validation group both had good clinical net benefits. Conclusions:The constructed nomogram model for predicting the prognosis of LCNEC patients is proved to be reliable and has good clinical values.
9.Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for low fall alertness in elderly inpatients
Xinxin LI ; Xiaoju TENG ; Xinkai ZHOU ; Hongmei MA ; Yating HAN ; Yingxia LI ; Jiamei ZHU ; Kun LUO
Journal of Shenyang Medical College 2025;27(1):12-19
Objective:To analyze the influencing factors of low fall alertness in elderly inpatients,construct a risk prediction model and validate it,providing a reference for clinical medical staff to identify elderly inpatients with low fall alertness in the early stage.Methods:A total of 605 elderly inpatients treated in Yijishan Hospital affiliated to Wannan Medical College from Oct 2023 to Mar 2024 were enrolled and randomly divided into the training group(n=423)and validation group(n=182)at a ratio of 7∶3.The patients were evaluated using a general information questionnaire,the Social Frailty Screening Tool(HALFT),the Tilburg Frailty Indicator(TFI),and the Self-Awareness of Falls in Elderly scale(SAFE).Multivariate logistic analysis was used to determine the influencing factors of low fall alertness in elderly inpatients.RStudio was used to construct a risk prediction model of low fall alertness.The discrimination,calibration,and clinical net benefit of the model were verified using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,calibration plots,and decision curve analysis(DCA).Results:Multivariate logistic analysis showed that the history of falls,monthly income,previous physical activity time,social frailty score and TFI score were independent risk factors for low fall alertness in elderly inpatients.The Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 test showed that χ2=8.863,P=0.354,indicating good calibration of the prediction model.The area under the ROC curve of the training group and the validation group were 0.860(95%CI:0.815-0.904)and 0.937(95%CI:0.888-0.986),respectively,and the maximum Youden indices of the model was 0.576 and 0.788,respectively,indicating good discrimination of the model.The DCA decision curve showed that the model had good clinical effectiveness.Conclusion:The constructed model has a good prediction effect and can help clinical medical staff quickly and effectively screen out elderly inpatients at risk of low fall alertness.
10.Cognitive trajectories modeling of rare reversion in mild cognitive impairment
Yao QIN ; Yanji HUO ; Jing ZHOU ; Yan ZHOU ; Hongjuan HAN ; Jing CUI ; Hongmei YU
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2025;34(8):877-886
Objective To construct a dynamic framework for bidirectional transitions of mild cognitive impairment(MCI),quantifying both rare reversion and high-risk progression trajectories in cognitive dynamics.Methods Patients diagnosed with MCI at baseline from 2005 to 2022 and completed at least two follow-up visits were selected from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative(ADNI),and a retrospective cohort was constructed.Demographic information,APOEε4 genotype,and neuropsychological scales data were collected.Longitudinal cognitive assessments were functionally reconstructed using multivariate functional principal component analysis(MFPCA),with functional principal components(FPCs)extracted based on cumulative variance contribution rate(PVE>90%).Functional multi-state Markov models were developed to estimate inter-state transition intensities,year to year transition probabilities,and covariate effects.Results Among 1,019 MCI patients(4,657 follow-up visits),93(9.1%)reverted to normal cognition,while 359(35.2%)progressed to Alzheimer's disease(AD).Longitudinal trajectory analysis revealed significant heterogeneity:progressive MCI>stable MCI>reverted MCI in the first functional principal component(MFPC1)scores.The transition intensity for MCI reversion(0.020)was approximately one-fourth of the AD progression risk(0.086),but the post-reversion cognitive re-impairment intensity was 0.138.Reduced MFPC1(HR=0.993,95%Cl:0.991,0.995)and elevated MFPC2(HR=1.004,95%Cl:1.001,1.007)were closely associated with MCI reversion.Conclusion MCI exhibits marked heterogeneity in longitudinal cognitive trajectories.Although reversion is rare,reversed patients remain at high risk of cognitive re-impairment.


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