1.Awareness of knowledge about hepatitis C prevention and control among outpatients in Ningbo City
TAN Shiwen ; SHI Hongbo ; JIANG Haibo ; CHU Kun ; YE Zehao ; YANG Jianhui ; ZHOU Xin
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(2):192-196
Objective:
To investigate the awareness of knowledge about hepatitis C prevention and control among outpatients in Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, and its influencing factors, so as to provide the evidence for strengthening health education on hepatitis C prevention and control.
Methods:
Based on sentinel surveillance of hepatitis C, the outpatients aged 15 to 65 years at seven hospitals in Yinzhou District, Cixi City and Xiangshan County of Ningbo City were selected using the convenient sampling method from April to June during 2020 and 2022. Demographic information, knowledge and behaviors related to hepatitis C prevention and control were collected through questionnaire surveys. The influencing factors for knowledge about hepatitis C prevention and control were analyzed using a multivariable logistic regression model.
Results:
A total of 2 792 participants were surveyed, including 1 157 males (41.44%) and 1 635 females (58.56%). The awareness rate of knowledge about hepatitis C prevention and control was 56.23%, and was lower in knowledge about hepatitis C vaccine and treatment. The awareness rates of knowledge about hepatitis C prevention and control among outpatients from 2020 to 2022 were 47.11%, 53.22% and 70.65%, respectively, showing an upward trend (P<0.05). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that participants aged 25 to <50 years (OR=1.358, 95%CI: 1.073-1.719), with an educational level of high school or junior college (OR=1.431, 95%CI: 1.134-1.806) or above junior college (OR=3.728, 95%CI: 2.958-4.699), with household monthly income per capita of 3 000 to <5 000 yuan (OR=1.828, 95%CI: 1.344-2.486) or ≥5 000 yuan (OR=1.858, 95%CI: 1.366-2.526), without a history of invasive treatments such as pedicure in public places (OR=1.287, 95%CI: 1.024-1.618), without a history of contact with family members' blood-contaminated items (OR=2.050, 95%CI: 1.552-2.707), and always using condoms during sexual contacts (OR=1.740, 95%CI: 1.273-2.378) had higher awareness of knowledge about hepatitis C prevention and control.
Conclusions
The awareness of knowledge about hepatitis C vaccine and treatment among outpatients in Ningbo City needs to be improved. Age, educational level, household monthly income per capita, history of invasive treatments such as pedicure in public places, history of contact with family members' blood-contaminated items and frequency of condom use during sexual contacts are associated with outpatients' awareness of knowledge about hepatitis C prevention and control.
2.Value of multi-sequence MRI radiomics combined with KRAS mutation nomogram model in predicting the sensitivity of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with rectal cancer
Hongbo HU ; Ying ZHANG ; Sheng ZHAO ; Hao JIANG ; Xue LIN ; Huijie JIANG
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2024;58(10):1069-1074
Objective:To construct a multi-sequence MRI radiomics combined with KRAS mutation nomogram model to predict the efficacy of pathological complete response (pCR) in patients with rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.Methods:This study was a case-control study. A total of 126 patients with rectal cancer who were treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from June 2020 to December 2023 were retrospectively collected. The pathological response of the postoperative specimens was graded, with 64 cases of pCR and 62 cases of non-pCR. KRAS gene detection was performed on the pathological tissues before neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Among the patients, 34 cases had KRAS mutants and 92 cases had KRAS wild-types. The 126 patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 8∶2 by the random number method, with 101 and 25 cases, respectively. The difference in KRAS mutation status between the pCR group and the non-pCR group was compared by the χ2 test. The radiomic features were extracted from the baseline T 2WI, diffusion-weighted imaging, and apparent diffusion coefficient images of the patients. The optimal radiomic features were screened out to establish the radiomics model. The radiomics-KRAS joint model was constructed by logistic regression, and a nomogram was drawn. The application efficiency of the model was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve. Results:There was a statistically significant difference in KRAS mutation between the pCR group and the non-pCR group in the training set ( χ2=4.69, P=0.032). Ten radiomics features were screened out in MRI images to establish the radiomics model. In the training set and validation set, the areas under the curve (AUC) of KRAS mutation, radiomics model and radiomics-KRAS nomogram model for evaluating pCR after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy were 0.665 (95% CI 0.592-0.757), 0.746 (95% CI 0.651-0.895) and 0.818 (95% CI 0.742-0.934), respectively, and the AUCs of the validation set were 0.613 (95% CI 0.582-0.755), 0.738 (95% CI 0.627-0.839) and 0.833 (95% CI 0.768-0.961), respectively. The results of DeLong test showed that the AUC of radiomics-KRAS nomogram model was higher than that of KRAS mutation and radiomics model, and the difference was statistically significant ( Z=0.58, 0.63, P=0.024, 0.022 in the training set; Z=0.54, 0.61, P=0.018, 0.035 in the validation set). The calibration curve showed that the predicted probability of the radiomics-KRAS nomogram model was consistent with the actual probability. Conclusions:The multi-sequence MRI radiomics combined with the KRAS mutation nomogram model has the best efficacy in predicting pCR in patients with rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, and has good practical application value.
3.In vitro study of immunocompatibility of humanized genetically modified pig erythrocytes with human serum
Leijia CHEN ; Mengyi CUI ; Xiangyu SONG ; Kai WANG ; Zhibo JIA ; Liupu YANG ; Yanghui DONG ; Haochen ZUO ; Jiaxiang DU ; Dengke PAN ; Wenjing XU ; Hongbo REN ; Yaqun ZHAO ; Jiang PENG
Organ Transplantation 2024;15(3):415-421
Objective To investigate the differences and the immunocompatibility of wild-type (WT), four-gene modified (TKO/hCD55) and six-gene modified (TKO/hCD55/hCD46/hTBM) pig erythrocytes with human serum. Methods The blood samples were collected from 20 volunteers with different blood groups. WT, TKO/hCD55, TKO/hCD55/hCD46/hTBM pig erythrocytes, ABO-compatible (ABO-C) and ABO-incompatible (ABO-I) human erythrocytes were exposed to human serum of different blood groups, respectively. The blood agglutination and antigen-antibody binding levels (IgG, IgM) and complement-dependent cytotoxicity were detected. The immunocompatibility of two types of genetically modified pig erythrocytes with human serum was evaluated. Results No significant blood agglutination was observed in the ABO-C group. The blood agglutination levels in the WT and ABO-I groups were higher than those in the TKO/hCD55 and TKO/hCD55/hCD46/hTBM groups (all P<0.001). The level of erythrocyte lysis in the WT group was higher than those in the ABO-C, TKO/hCD55 and TKO/hCD55/hCD46/hTBM groups. The level of erythrocyte lysis in the ABO-I group was higher than those in the TKO/hCD55 and TKO/hCD55/hCD46/hTBM groups (both P<0.01). The pig erythrocyte binding level with IgM and IgG in the TKO/hCD55 group was lower than those in the WT and ABO-I groups. The pig erythrocyte binding level with IgG and IgM in the TKO/hCD55/hCD46/hTBM group was lower than that in the WT group and pig erythrocyte binding level with IgG was lower than that in the ABO-I group (all P<0.05). Conclusions The immunocompatibility of genetically modified pig erythrocytes is better than that of wild-type pigs and close to that of ABO-C pigs. Humanized pig erythrocytes may be considered as a blood source when blood sources are extremely scarce.
4.MiRNA-122 contributes to the effect of exercise on non-alcoholic fatty liver
Xiangying GUO ; Zifu PENG ; Yimin HE ; Hongbo FANG ; Ning JIANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2024;28(2):272-279
BACKGROUND:In recent years,with the improvement of living standards,non-alcoholic fatty liver disease has a gradually increasing trend.miRNA-122 is one of the most abundant microRNAs in the liver,which plays an important role in maintaining the environmental stability and differentiation of the liver.Exercise training is a non-drug treatment for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease,which may improve liver lipid metabolism by regulating the expression of miRNA-122. OBJECTIVE:To review the effects of miRNA-122 on the pathological factors related to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease as well as the effects of exercise on the expression of miRNA-122 and the occurrence and development of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. METHODS:The first author searched the databases of CNKI,WanFang,VIP,PubMed,Geenmedical,EBSCO,Medline,Web of Science,and Elsevier using"non-alcoholic fatty liver disease,microRNA,microRNA-122,lipid metabolism,inflammatory response,insulin resistance,exercise,physical exercise,exercise training"as the English and Chinese search terms for all relevant literature published before June 5,2022.All included documents were screened,summarized,and analyzed.Finally,68 documents were included for review. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Compared with the healthy control group,the expression of circulating miRNA-122 is increased in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.The level of miRNA-122 may show different expression levels at different stages of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.miRNA-122 can regulate the expression of downstream-related proteins,influence lipid metabolism,inflammatory response,insulin resistance and other pathogenic factors in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease by targeting base complementary pairing sites on mRNA or directly acting as physiological ligands of some RNA receptors.Different exercise modes can improve non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.Therefore,patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease need to complete at least 120 minutes of moderate-intensity exercise every week to have a positive effect.For patients who can tolerate various exercises,priority should be given to the combination of aerobic and resistance exercises 4-5 times a week.The exercise intensity should be 50%-70%of the maximum heart rate and the exercise should last for>3 months.For patients with poor tolerance,resistance exercise may be more feasible than aerobic exercise.In addition,patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease can also choose proper exercise modes according to their own disease conditions(such as liver enzymes and lipid levels).Exercise can be used as a feasible strategy to prevent non-alcoholic fatty liver disease,reduce liver steatosis,and alleviate liver inflammatory response and insulin resistance.Exercise training can regulate the expression of miRNA-122,but in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease,the effect of exercise on miRNA-122 and its related signal pathways remains to be studied.
5.Epidemiological investigation of an incident of suspected intentional transmission of AIDS
CHU Kun ; SHI Xiaojun ; JIANG Haibo ; PEI Xueli ; TAN Shiwen ; SHI Hongbo ; YE Zehao ; YANG Jianhui ; ZHANG Dandan
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(3):232-234
Abstract
On 18 May 2021, the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) of X District in P City, Z Province received a co-investigation of a suspected case of intentional HIV transmission from the public security branch, and conducted epidemiological investigations on Zhao and Wang (both males). Wang was confirmed HIV-positive in 2019. Zhao had unprotected sexual encounters several times with Wang in March 2021 without being informed of Wang's HIV infection. Zhao developed fever, sore throat and other symptoms of acute infection phase on 28 March, and were confirmed HIV positive by the CDC of P City on 11 May. Zhao did not have sex with anyone else before or after having sex with Wang. In addition, Zhao had no history of surgery, blood transfusions, drug use or any other history of HIV exposure. Laboratory tests conducted by the CDC of Z Province showed that the HIV nucleic acid sequences between the samples of Zhao and Wang had a high degree of homology. Combined with the epidemiological investigation, laboratory testing and the evidence from the public security branch, it was concluded that Wang intentionally transmitted HIV to Zhao through unprotected anal sex without disclosing his HIV infection status.
6.Analysis of risk factors for trauma-induced coagulopathy in elderly major trauma patients
Kang YANGBO ; Yang QI ; Ding HONGBO ; Hu YUFENG ; Shen JIASHENG ; Ruan FENG ; Chen BOJIN ; Feng YIPING ; Jin YUCHEN ; Xu SHANXIANG ; Jiang LIBING ; Wang GUIRONG ; Xu YONG'AN
World Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;15(6):475-480
BACKGROUND:Trauma-induced coagulopathy(TIC)due to serious injuries significantly leads to increased mortality and morbidity among elderly patients.However,the risk factors of TIC are not well elucidated.This study aimed to explore the risk factors of TIC in elderly patients who have major trauma. METHODS:In this retrospective study,the risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients at a single trauma center were investigated between January 2015 and September 2020.The demographic information including gender,age,trauma parts,injury severity,use of blood products,use of vasopressors,need of emergency surgery,duration of mechanical ventilation,length of stay in the intensive care unit(ICU)and hospital,and clinical outcomes were extracted from electric medical records.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to differentiate risk factors,and the performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curves. RESULTS:Among the 371 elderly trauma patients,248(66.8%)were male,with the age of 72.5±6.8 years,median injury severity score(ISS)of 24(IQR:17-29),and Glasgow coma score(GCS)of 14(IQR:7-15).Of these patients,129(34.8%)were diagnosed with TIC,whereas 242(65.2%)were diagnosed with non-TIC.The severity scores such as ISS(25[20-34]vs.21[16-29],P<0.001)and shock index(SI),(0.90±0.66 vs.0.58±0.18,P<0.001)was significantly higher in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Serum calcium levels(1.97±0.19 mmol/L vs.2.15±0.16 mmol/L,P<0.001),fibrinogen levels(1.7±0.8 g/L vs.2.8±0.9 g/L,P<0.001),and base excess(BE,-4.9±4.6 mmol/L vs.-1.2±3.1 mmol/L,P<0.001)were significantly lower in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ISS>16(OR:3.404,95%CI:1.471-7.880;P=0.004),SI>1(OR:5.641,95%CI:1.700-18.719;P=0.005),low BE(OR:0.868,95%CI:0.760-0.991;P=0.037),hypocalcemia(OR:0.060,95%CI:0.009-0.392;P=0.003),and hypofibrinogenemia(OR:0.266,95%CI:0.168-0.419;P<0.001)were independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.The AUC of the prediction model included all these risk factors was 0.887(95%CI:0.851-0.923)with a sensitivity and specificity of 83.6%and 82.6%,respectively. CONCLUSION:Higher ISS(more than 16),higher SI(more than 1),acidosis,hypocalcemia,and hypofibrinogenemia emerged as independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.
7.Analysis of risk factors for trauma-induced coagulopathy in elderly major trauma patients
Kang YANGBO ; Yang QI ; Ding HONGBO ; Hu YUFENG ; Shen JIASHENG ; Ruan FENG ; Chen BOJIN ; Feng YIPING ; Jin YUCHEN ; Xu SHANXIANG ; Jiang LIBING ; Wang GUIRONG ; Xu YONG'AN
World Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;15(6):475-480
BACKGROUND:Trauma-induced coagulopathy(TIC)due to serious injuries significantly leads to increased mortality and morbidity among elderly patients.However,the risk factors of TIC are not well elucidated.This study aimed to explore the risk factors of TIC in elderly patients who have major trauma. METHODS:In this retrospective study,the risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients at a single trauma center were investigated between January 2015 and September 2020.The demographic information including gender,age,trauma parts,injury severity,use of blood products,use of vasopressors,need of emergency surgery,duration of mechanical ventilation,length of stay in the intensive care unit(ICU)and hospital,and clinical outcomes were extracted from electric medical records.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to differentiate risk factors,and the performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curves. RESULTS:Among the 371 elderly trauma patients,248(66.8%)were male,with the age of 72.5±6.8 years,median injury severity score(ISS)of 24(IQR:17-29),and Glasgow coma score(GCS)of 14(IQR:7-15).Of these patients,129(34.8%)were diagnosed with TIC,whereas 242(65.2%)were diagnosed with non-TIC.The severity scores such as ISS(25[20-34]vs.21[16-29],P<0.001)and shock index(SI),(0.90±0.66 vs.0.58±0.18,P<0.001)was significantly higher in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Serum calcium levels(1.97±0.19 mmol/L vs.2.15±0.16 mmol/L,P<0.001),fibrinogen levels(1.7±0.8 g/L vs.2.8±0.9 g/L,P<0.001),and base excess(BE,-4.9±4.6 mmol/L vs.-1.2±3.1 mmol/L,P<0.001)were significantly lower in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ISS>16(OR:3.404,95%CI:1.471-7.880;P=0.004),SI>1(OR:5.641,95%CI:1.700-18.719;P=0.005),low BE(OR:0.868,95%CI:0.760-0.991;P=0.037),hypocalcemia(OR:0.060,95%CI:0.009-0.392;P=0.003),and hypofibrinogenemia(OR:0.266,95%CI:0.168-0.419;P<0.001)were independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.The AUC of the prediction model included all these risk factors was 0.887(95%CI:0.851-0.923)with a sensitivity and specificity of 83.6%and 82.6%,respectively. CONCLUSION:Higher ISS(more than 16),higher SI(more than 1),acidosis,hypocalcemia,and hypofibrinogenemia emerged as independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.
8.Analysis of risk factors for trauma-induced coagulopathy in elderly major trauma patients
Kang YANGBO ; Yang QI ; Ding HONGBO ; Hu YUFENG ; Shen JIASHENG ; Ruan FENG ; Chen BOJIN ; Feng YIPING ; Jin YUCHEN ; Xu SHANXIANG ; Jiang LIBING ; Wang GUIRONG ; Xu YONG'AN
World Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;15(6):475-480
BACKGROUND:Trauma-induced coagulopathy(TIC)due to serious injuries significantly leads to increased mortality and morbidity among elderly patients.However,the risk factors of TIC are not well elucidated.This study aimed to explore the risk factors of TIC in elderly patients who have major trauma. METHODS:In this retrospective study,the risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients at a single trauma center were investigated between January 2015 and September 2020.The demographic information including gender,age,trauma parts,injury severity,use of blood products,use of vasopressors,need of emergency surgery,duration of mechanical ventilation,length of stay in the intensive care unit(ICU)and hospital,and clinical outcomes were extracted from electric medical records.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to differentiate risk factors,and the performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curves. RESULTS:Among the 371 elderly trauma patients,248(66.8%)were male,with the age of 72.5±6.8 years,median injury severity score(ISS)of 24(IQR:17-29),and Glasgow coma score(GCS)of 14(IQR:7-15).Of these patients,129(34.8%)were diagnosed with TIC,whereas 242(65.2%)were diagnosed with non-TIC.The severity scores such as ISS(25[20-34]vs.21[16-29],P<0.001)and shock index(SI),(0.90±0.66 vs.0.58±0.18,P<0.001)was significantly higher in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Serum calcium levels(1.97±0.19 mmol/L vs.2.15±0.16 mmol/L,P<0.001),fibrinogen levels(1.7±0.8 g/L vs.2.8±0.9 g/L,P<0.001),and base excess(BE,-4.9±4.6 mmol/L vs.-1.2±3.1 mmol/L,P<0.001)were significantly lower in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ISS>16(OR:3.404,95%CI:1.471-7.880;P=0.004),SI>1(OR:5.641,95%CI:1.700-18.719;P=0.005),low BE(OR:0.868,95%CI:0.760-0.991;P=0.037),hypocalcemia(OR:0.060,95%CI:0.009-0.392;P=0.003),and hypofibrinogenemia(OR:0.266,95%CI:0.168-0.419;P<0.001)were independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.The AUC of the prediction model included all these risk factors was 0.887(95%CI:0.851-0.923)with a sensitivity and specificity of 83.6%and 82.6%,respectively. CONCLUSION:Higher ISS(more than 16),higher SI(more than 1),acidosis,hypocalcemia,and hypofibrinogenemia emerged as independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.
9.Analysis of risk factors for trauma-induced coagulopathy in elderly major trauma patients
Kang YANGBO ; Yang QI ; Ding HONGBO ; Hu YUFENG ; Shen JIASHENG ; Ruan FENG ; Chen BOJIN ; Feng YIPING ; Jin YUCHEN ; Xu SHANXIANG ; Jiang LIBING ; Wang GUIRONG ; Xu YONG'AN
World Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;15(6):475-480
BACKGROUND:Trauma-induced coagulopathy(TIC)due to serious injuries significantly leads to increased mortality and morbidity among elderly patients.However,the risk factors of TIC are not well elucidated.This study aimed to explore the risk factors of TIC in elderly patients who have major trauma. METHODS:In this retrospective study,the risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients at a single trauma center were investigated between January 2015 and September 2020.The demographic information including gender,age,trauma parts,injury severity,use of blood products,use of vasopressors,need of emergency surgery,duration of mechanical ventilation,length of stay in the intensive care unit(ICU)and hospital,and clinical outcomes were extracted from electric medical records.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to differentiate risk factors,and the performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curves. RESULTS:Among the 371 elderly trauma patients,248(66.8%)were male,with the age of 72.5±6.8 years,median injury severity score(ISS)of 24(IQR:17-29),and Glasgow coma score(GCS)of 14(IQR:7-15).Of these patients,129(34.8%)were diagnosed with TIC,whereas 242(65.2%)were diagnosed with non-TIC.The severity scores such as ISS(25[20-34]vs.21[16-29],P<0.001)and shock index(SI),(0.90±0.66 vs.0.58±0.18,P<0.001)was significantly higher in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Serum calcium levels(1.97±0.19 mmol/L vs.2.15±0.16 mmol/L,P<0.001),fibrinogen levels(1.7±0.8 g/L vs.2.8±0.9 g/L,P<0.001),and base excess(BE,-4.9±4.6 mmol/L vs.-1.2±3.1 mmol/L,P<0.001)were significantly lower in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ISS>16(OR:3.404,95%CI:1.471-7.880;P=0.004),SI>1(OR:5.641,95%CI:1.700-18.719;P=0.005),low BE(OR:0.868,95%CI:0.760-0.991;P=0.037),hypocalcemia(OR:0.060,95%CI:0.009-0.392;P=0.003),and hypofibrinogenemia(OR:0.266,95%CI:0.168-0.419;P<0.001)were independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.The AUC of the prediction model included all these risk factors was 0.887(95%CI:0.851-0.923)with a sensitivity and specificity of 83.6%and 82.6%,respectively. CONCLUSION:Higher ISS(more than 16),higher SI(more than 1),acidosis,hypocalcemia,and hypofibrinogenemia emerged as independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.
10.Analysis of risk factors for trauma-induced coagulopathy in elderly major trauma patients
Kang YANGBO ; Yang QI ; Ding HONGBO ; Hu YUFENG ; Shen JIASHENG ; Ruan FENG ; Chen BOJIN ; Feng YIPING ; Jin YUCHEN ; Xu SHANXIANG ; Jiang LIBING ; Wang GUIRONG ; Xu YONG'AN
World Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;15(6):475-480
BACKGROUND:Trauma-induced coagulopathy(TIC)due to serious injuries significantly leads to increased mortality and morbidity among elderly patients.However,the risk factors of TIC are not well elucidated.This study aimed to explore the risk factors of TIC in elderly patients who have major trauma. METHODS:In this retrospective study,the risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients at a single trauma center were investigated between January 2015 and September 2020.The demographic information including gender,age,trauma parts,injury severity,use of blood products,use of vasopressors,need of emergency surgery,duration of mechanical ventilation,length of stay in the intensive care unit(ICU)and hospital,and clinical outcomes were extracted from electric medical records.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to differentiate risk factors,and the performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curves. RESULTS:Among the 371 elderly trauma patients,248(66.8%)were male,with the age of 72.5±6.8 years,median injury severity score(ISS)of 24(IQR:17-29),and Glasgow coma score(GCS)of 14(IQR:7-15).Of these patients,129(34.8%)were diagnosed with TIC,whereas 242(65.2%)were diagnosed with non-TIC.The severity scores such as ISS(25[20-34]vs.21[16-29],P<0.001)and shock index(SI),(0.90±0.66 vs.0.58±0.18,P<0.001)was significantly higher in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Serum calcium levels(1.97±0.19 mmol/L vs.2.15±0.16 mmol/L,P<0.001),fibrinogen levels(1.7±0.8 g/L vs.2.8±0.9 g/L,P<0.001),and base excess(BE,-4.9±4.6 mmol/L vs.-1.2±3.1 mmol/L,P<0.001)were significantly lower in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ISS>16(OR:3.404,95%CI:1.471-7.880;P=0.004),SI>1(OR:5.641,95%CI:1.700-18.719;P=0.005),low BE(OR:0.868,95%CI:0.760-0.991;P=0.037),hypocalcemia(OR:0.060,95%CI:0.009-0.392;P=0.003),and hypofibrinogenemia(OR:0.266,95%CI:0.168-0.419;P<0.001)were independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.The AUC of the prediction model included all these risk factors was 0.887(95%CI:0.851-0.923)with a sensitivity and specificity of 83.6%and 82.6%,respectively. CONCLUSION:Higher ISS(more than 16),higher SI(more than 1),acidosis,hypocalcemia,and hypofibrinogenemia emerged as independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.


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