Long-term exposure to particulate matter has been increasingly implicated in the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, its impact on IgA nephropathy (IgAN), a leading cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), remains unclear. A total of 1768 IgAN patients, confirmed by renal biopsy were included in this cohort study. Long-term exposure to PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ was assessed using high-resolution satellite-based data from the China High Air Pollutants (CHAP) dataset. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the associations between PM_2.5 or PM₁₀ and ESRD risk, adjusting for demographic, clinical, and biochemical covariates. Over a median follow-up of 3.63 years, 209 participants progressed to ESRD. Higher exposure to both PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ was significantly associated with an increased risk, with hazard ratios of 1.62 and 1.36 per 10 µg/m³ increase, respectively. A nonlinear dose-response relationship was observed, with risk increasing markedly beyond threshold levels. Trajectory modeling of prebaseline exposure identified a subgroup with persistently high and fluctuating particulate matter exposure that showed the highest risk. This study provides strong evidence that prolonged exposure to ambient particulate matter contributes to renal disease progression in individuals with IgAN.
Humans ; Glomerulonephritis, IGA/pathology* ; Particulate Matter/adverse effects* ; Male ; Female ; Kidney Failure, Chronic/epidemiology* ; Adult ; China/epidemiology* ; Disease Progression ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects* ; Middle Aged ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Risk Factors ; Air Pollutants/adverse effects* ; Cohort Studies

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of albumin (Alb) administration on the prognosis of patients with acute kidney injury (AKI). METHODS: Clinical data of AKI patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) were retrospectively analyzed from the American Medical Information Mart of Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV), including demographic data, acute physiology score (APS), comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory indicators, treatment status, ICU length of stay, and outcome indicators. The main outcome measure is ICU mortality. AKI patients were divided into Alb infusion group and Alb non infusion group based on whether they received Alb treatment. Multiple imputation was used to process missing data and eliminate variables that missing more than 30%. To ensure the stability of the results, propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability weighting (IPW) were used to correct the results. Using Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Cox proportional hazards regression model to evaluate the effect of Alb infusion on ICU survival rate in AKI patients. Perform subgroup analysis based on patient age, gender, and comorbidities to evaluate the prognostic effects of Alb on different patient subgroups. RESULTS: A total of 6 390 AKI patients were included, including 1 721 in the Alb infusion group and 4 669 in the Alb non infusion group. After adjusting for key covariates in the Cox regression model, compared with the Alb non infusion group, patients in the Alb infusion group were significantly younger in age, with APS III score, proportion of vasoactive drugs and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) use, sepsis proportion, heart rate, respiratory frequency, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), creatinine (Cr), lactic acid (Lac), and arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO₂) levels significantly higher. The proportion of hypertension, myocardial infarction, and congestive heart failure, as well as blood pressure, urine output, platelet count (PLT), and Alb levels were significantly lower. The results of univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis on the raw data showed that the risk of death in the Alb infusion group was significantly lower than that in the Alb non infusion group [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.69, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.60-0.80, all P < 0.05]. The results after propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability weighting (IPW) processing are consistent with the original data trend (both P < 0.05). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the cumulative survival rate during ICU stay in the Alb infusion group was significantly higher than that in the Alb non infusion group (24.48% vs. 12.17%, Log-Rank test: χ² = 74.26, P < 0.05). Subgroup analysis shows that Alb infusion has a more significant survival benefit for AKI patients who use vasoactive drugs, have concurrent sepsis, and do not have liver disease. CONCLUSION Albumin infusion can decrease the ICU mortality of AKI patients.
Humans ; Retrospective Studies ; Acute Kidney Injury/mortality* ; Prognosis ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Intensive Care Units ; Albumins/therapeutic use* ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Adult ; Databases, Factual

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of early antimicrobial therapy on the prognosis of patients with suspected sepsis in emergency and outpatient settings. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted. Patients with suspected sepsis admitted to the emergency department of Taizhou Hospital, Zhejiang Province, from May 1, 2022, to July 31, 2023, were enrolled. Participants were divided into an early group (0-1 hour) and a delayed group (> 1 hour) according to duration from admission to antimicrobial administration. General information, initial vital signs, laboratory parameters within 24 hours after admission, disease severity scores, vasoactive drug usage, and clinical outcomes of the patient were collected. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to analyze 28-day survival. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to identify independent risk factors for prognosis of the patients with suspected sepsis in emergency and outpatient settings. Sensitivity analyses were conducted through subgroup analyses. RESULTS: A total of 143 patients with suspected sepsis were enrolled in the analysis, with 66 patients in the early group and 77 in the delayed group. No statistically significant differences were observed in baseline characteristics (age, gender, vital signs, laboratory parameters, disease severity scores) or clinical outcomes [vasoactive drug usage rate, mechanical ventilation duration, length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, total hospitalization duration] between the two groups. The 28-day mortality, multidrug resistance rate and sepsis confirmation rate did not differ significantly between the early group and delay group [28-day mortality: 18.2% (12/66) vs. 20.8% (16/77), multidrug resistance rate: 3.0% (2/66) vs. 2.6% (2/77), sepsis confirmation rate: 87.9% (58/66) vs. 88.3% (68/77), all P > 0.05]. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed no difference in 28-day cumulative survival between the two groups (Log-Rank test: χ² = 2.528, P = 0.112). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression identified vasoactive drug usage [hazard ration (HR) = 2.465, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.019-5.961, P = 0.045] and endotracheal intubation (HR = 5.516, 95%CI was 2.195-13.858, P < 0.001) as independent risk factors for 28-day death of the patients with suspected sepsis in emergency and outpatient settings. Further exploration of the impact of early antimicrobial therapy on 28-day death in different subgroups of the patients with suspected sepsis in emergency and outpatient settings was conducted through subgroup analysis. The results showed that in the patients with different ages (< 60 years old: HR = 1.214, 95%CI was 0.535-2.751, P = 0.643; ≥ 60 years old: HR = 2.085, 95%CI was 0.233-18.668, P = 0.511), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores (< 6: HR = 1.411, 95%CI was 0.482-4.128, P = 0.530; ≥ 6: HR = 0.869, 95%CI was 0.292-2.587, P = 0.801), shock indexes (< 1: HR = 1.095, 95%CI was 0.390-3.077, P = 0.863; ≥ 1: HR = 1.364, 95%CI was 0.458-4.059, P = 0.577) and whether diagnosed with sepsis or not (yes: HR = 0.943, 95%CI was 0.059-15.091, P = 0.967; no: HR = 1.207, 95%CI was 0.554-2.628, P = 0.636) subgroups, early usage of antibiotics had not shown any advantage in improving prognosis compared with delayed usage. CONCLUSION Early antimicrobial therapy does not improve the prognosis of patients with suspected sepsis in emergency and outpatient settings.
Humans ; Sepsis/drug therapy* ; Prospective Studies ; Prognosis ; Emergency Service, Hospital ; Outpatients ; Female ; Male ; Anti-Infective Agents/therapeutic use* ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Treatment Outcome

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between mean perfusion pressure (MPP) and the risk of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) and its prognosis, and to determine the optimal cut-off value of MPP for predicting SA-AKI. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinical data of adult patients with sepsis were collected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV 2.2 (MIMIC-IV 2.2) database. The patients were divided into two groups based on the occurrence of SA-AKI. Baseline characteristics, vital signs, comorbidities, laboratory indicators within 24 hours of intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and clinical outcome indicators were collected. Mean MPP was calculated using the average values of mean arterial pressure (MAP) and central venous pressure (CVP), MPP = MAP-CVP. Cox regression models were constructed, relevant confounding factors were adjusted, and multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the associations between MPP and the risk of SA-AKI as well as ICU death. The predictive value of MPP for SA-AKI was evaluated using receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) analysis, and the optimal cut-off value was determined. RESULTS: A total of 6 009 patients were ultimately enrolled in the analysis. Among them, SA-AKI occurred in 4 755 patients (79.13%), while 1 254 patients (20.87%) did not develop SA-AKI. Compared with the non-SA-AKI group, the MPP in the SA-AKI group was significantly lowered [mmHg (1 mmHg≈0.133 kPa): 62.00 (57.00, 68.00) vs. 65.00 (60.00, 70.00), P < 0.01], and the ICU mortality was significantly increased [11.82% (562/4 755) vs. 1.59% (20/1 254), P < 0.01]. Three Cox regression models were constructed: model 1 was unadjusted; model 2 was adjusted for gender, age, height, weight and race; model 3 was adjusted for gender, age, height, weight, race, heart rate, respiratory rate, body temperature, hemoglobin, platelet count, white blood cell count, anion gap, HCO₃^-, blood urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, Cl^-, Na⁺, K⁺, fibrinogen, international normalized ratio, blood lactic acid, pH value, arterial partial pressure of oxygen, arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide, sequential organ failure assessment score, Charlson comorbidity index score, use of vasopressors, mechanical ventilation, and urine output. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that when MPP was treated as a continuous variable, there was a negative correlation between MPP and the risk of SA-AKI in model 1 and model 2 [model 1: odds ratio (OR) = 0.967, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.961-0.974, P < 0.001; model 2: OR = 0.981, 95%CI was 0.974-0.988, P < 0.001], and also a negative correlation between MPP and the risk of ICU death (model 1: OR = 0.955, 95%CI was 0.945-0.965, P < 0.001; model 2: OR = 0.956, 95%CI was 0.946-0.966, P < 0.001). However, in model 3, there was no significant correlation between MPP and either SA-AKI risk or ICU death risk. when MPP was used as a multi-categorical variable, in model 1 and model 2, referring to MPP ≤ 58 mmHg, when 59 mmHg ≤ MPP ≤ 68 mmHg, as MPP increased, the risk of SA-AKI progressively decreased (OR value was 0.411-0.638, all P < 0.001), and the risk of ICU death also gradually decreased (OR value was 0.334-0.477, all P < 0.001). ROC curve showed that MPP had a certain predictive value for SA-AKI occurrence [area under the ROC curve (AUC) = 0.598, 95%CI was 0.404-0.746], and the optimal cut-off value was 60.5 mmHg. CONCLUSION MPP was significantly associated with the risk of SA-AKI, with an optimal cut-off value of 60.5 mmHg, and also demonstrated a significant correlation with the risk of ICU death.
Humans ; Acute Kidney Injury/physiopathology* ; Retrospective Studies ; Sepsis/physiopathology* ; Middle Aged ; Prognosis ; Male ; Female ; Aged ; Risk Factors ; Intensive Care Units ; Adult ; Logistic Models ; Proportional Hazards Models

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the incidence of sepsis in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and the compliance with sepsis diagnosis and treatment guidelines in intensive care unit (ICU) at different levels of hospitals, and to identify the risk factors associated with poor prognosis in patients with sepsis in this region. METHODS: A prospective cross-sectional survey was conducted in ICU of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Critical Care Medicine Alliance. The survey period was from 10:00 on January 31, 2024, to 09:59 on February 1, 2024. The patients diagnosed with sepsis admitted to the ICU during the study period were included in the analysis. Data on patient demographics, physiology, microbiology, and treatment protocols were collected, with follow-up until the 28th day after ICU admission or death. Baseline characteristics and treatment information of septic patients across different hospital levels were compared, as well as clinical data of septic patients with different 28-day outcomes. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify risk factors for 28-day death in septic patients. RESULTS: A total of 77 units of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Critical Care Medicine Alliance from 14 prefectures/cities in Xinjiang participated in the survey. On the survey day, 727 patients were admitted to ICU, of whom 179 (24.6%) were diagnosed with sepsis, and 64 (35.8%) died within 28 days, 115 (64.2%) survived. Among the participating institutions, 33 were tertiary hospitals (42.9%), managing 97 septic cases (54.2%), and 44 were secondary hospitals (57.1%), managing 82 septic cases (45.8%). The lactic acid monitoring rate and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) rate for septic patients in tertiary hospitals were significantly higher than those in secondary hospitals [lactic acid monitoring rate: 92.8% (90/97) vs. 82.9% (68/82), CRRT rate: 17.5% (17/97) vs. 3.7% (3/82), both P < 0.05]. No statistically significant differences were observed between tertiary and secondary hospitals in length of ICU stay or 28-day mortality [length of ICU stay (days): 11.0 (16.0) vs. 10.0 (22.0), 28-day mortality: 35.1% (34/97) vs. 36.6% (30/82), both P > 0.05]. Compared with survivors, non-survivors had higher acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score and lower Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score. Significant differences were noted in vital signs [heart rate, blood pressure, body temperature, pulse oxygen saturation (SpO₂)], laboratory markers [red blood cell count (RBC), white blood cell count (WBC), lymphocyte ratio (LYM%), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), total protein (TP), albumin (Alb), pH value, base excess (BE)], and monitoring, diagnosis and treatment information (invasive blood pressure monitoring, mechanical ventilation, CRRT, usage of norepinephrine). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model indicated that body temperature [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.416, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.022-1.961, P = 0.037] and WBC (HR = 1.040, 95%CI was 1.010-1.071, P = 0.009) were independent risk factors for 28-day death in patients with sepsis. CONCLUSIONS Sepsis in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region is characterized by a high mortality. In this region, tertiary hospitals demonstrate better compliance with bundled treatment strategies such as lactic acid monitoring and the usage of CRRT compared to secondary hospitals, yet they do not show significant advantages in clinical outcomes. Body temperature and WBC are independent risk factors for 28-day death in patients with sepsis in this region. However, clinicians should still consider the actual situation of patients, along with more optimal early warning indicators and comprehensive system assessments, to identify and prevent risk factors for adverse outcomes in patients.
Humans ; Sepsis/diagnosis* ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Prospective Studies ; Risk Factors ; Intensive Care Units ; Prognosis ; China/epidemiology* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Incidence

OBJECTIVE: To explore the correlation between albumin (Alb) combined with diuretic treatment and the mortality risk of septic patients with pre-existing congestive heart failure based on the United States Critical Care Medical Information Database-IV (MIMIC-IV), and to conduct the external validation. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinical data of septic patients with pre-existing congestive heart failure admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) from 2008 to 2019 in the MIMIC-IV 2.0 were extracted, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory indicators on the first day of ICU admission, severity of illness, treatment measures, etc. For external validation, clinical data were collected from septic patients with pre-existing congestive heart failure admitted to the ICU of the Second People's Hospital of Shenzhen from October 2022 to December 2023. The patients were divided into Alb alone group and Alb combined with diuretic group. The ICU mortality was defined as the primary outcome event, and the 30-day and 60-day mortality were defined as the secondary outcomes. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was conducted to investigate the relationship between Alb combined with diuretic treatment and the mortality risk of ICU and 30 days in septic patients with pre-existing congestive heart failure, and subgroup analysis was performed. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was plotted to compared the 60-day cumulative survival rate between the Alb alone group and Alb combined with diuretic group. RESULTS: (1) Analysis results of data from MIMIC-IV: a total 1 754 patients were enrolled, of which 378 in the Alb alone group, and 1 376 in the Alb combined with diuretic group. Compared with the Alb alone group, the patients in the Alb combined with diuretic group had significantly lower ICU, 30-day, and 60-day mortality [ICU mortality: 19.11% (263/1 376) vs. 30.42% (115/378), 30-day mortality: 18.90% (260/1 376) vs. 32.54% (123/378), 60-day mortality: 24.49% (337/1 376) vs. 39.15% (148/378), all P < 0.05]. Based on the multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression adjusted models considering demographic characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory indicators, severity of illness, and treatment measures, it was shown that the use of Alb combined with diuretic was significantly associated with a reduced risk death of ICU and 30 days [ICU mortality risk: hazard ratio (HR) = 0.597, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.460-0.774, P < 0.001; 30-day mortality risk: HR = 0.557, 95%CI was 0.433-0.716, P < 0.001]. Subgroup analysis revealed that after adjusting for variables, regardless of gender, age, and whether or not patients had comorbidities such as hypertension, diabetes, severe liver disease, acute renal insufficiency, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, the ICU mortality risk was significantly reduced in patients treated with Alb combined with diuretic (all HR < 1, P < 0.05), with no interaction observed (all P > 0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed the 60-day cumulative survival rate of patients in the Alb combined with diuretic group was significantly higher than that in the Alb alone group (Log-rank test: χ ² = 49.62, P < 0.05). (2) External validation: a total of 385 patients were enrolled, of which 144 in the Alb alone group, and 241 in the Alb combined with diuretic group. Compared with the Alb alone group, the patients of the Alb combined with diuretic group had significantly lower ICU, 30-day, and 60-day mortality [ICU mortality: 19.92% (48/241) vs. 31.25% (45/144), 30-day mortality: 19.09% (46/241) vs. 28.47% (41/144), 60-day mortality: 24.07% (58/241) vs. 34.03% (49/144), all P < 0.05]. The results of multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, subgroup analysis, and Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis were consistent with the data analysis of the MIMIC-IV database. CONCLUSIONS Combination therapy of Alb and diuretic was associated with reduced mortality risk in septic patients with pre-existing congestive heart failure.
Humans ; Heart Failure/mortality* ; Retrospective Studies ; Sepsis/drug therapy* ; Intensive Care Units ; Diuretics/therapeutic use* ; Male ; Female ; Aged ; Middle Aged ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Hospital Mortality

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between long-term glycemic control and cerebral infarction risk in patients with diabetes through a large-scale cohort study. METHODS: This prospective, community-based cohort study included 12,054 patients with diabetes. From 2006 to 2012, 38,272 fasting blood glucose (FBG) measurements were obtained from these participants. FBG trajectory patterns were generated using latent mixture modelling. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to assess the subsequent risk of cerebral infarction associated with different FBG trajectory patterns. RESULTS: At baseline, the mean age of the participants was 55.2 years. Four distinct FBG trajectories were identified based on FBG concentrations and their changes over the 6-year follow-up period. After a median follow-up of 6.9 years, 786 cerebral infarction events were recorded. Different trajectory patterns were associated with significantly varied outcome risks (Log-Rank P < 0.001). Compared with the low-stability group, Hazard Ratio ( HR) adjusted for potential confounders were 1.37 for the moderate-increasing group, 1.23 for the elevated-decreasing group, and 2.08 for the elevated-stable group. CONCLUSION Sustained high FBG levels were found to play a critical role in the development of ischemic stroke among patients with diabetes. Controlling FBG levels may reduce the risk of cerebral infarction.
Humans ; Cerebral Infarction/blood* ; Middle Aged ; Male ; Female ; Blood Glucose/analysis* ; Fasting/blood* ; Aged ; Prospective Studies ; Risk Factors ; Diabetes Mellitus/blood* ; Adult ; Proportional Hazards Models

OBJECTIVE: Although dietary preferences influence chronic diseases, few studies have linked dietary preferences to mortality risk, particularly in large cohorts. To investigate the relationship between dietary preferences and mortality risk (all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular disease [CVD]) in a large adult cohort. METHODS: A cohort of 1,160,312 adults (mean age 62.48 ± 9.55) from the Shenzhen Healthcare Big Data Cohort (SHBDC) was analyzed. Hazard ratios ( HRs) for mortality were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: The study identified 12,308 all-cause deaths, of which 3,865 (31.4%) were cancer-related and 3,576 (29.1%) were attributed to CVD. Compared with a mixed diet of meat and vegetables, a mainly meat-based diet (hazard ratio [ HR] = 1.13; 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.02, 1.27) associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality, while mainly vegetarian ( HR = 0.87; 95% CI: 0.78, 0.97) was linked to a reduced risk. Furthermore, there was a stronger correlation between mortality risk and dietary preference in the > 65 age range. CONCLUSION A meat-based diet was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, whereas a mainly vegetarian diet was linked to a reduced risk.
Humans ; China/epidemiology* ; Middle Aged ; Male ; Female ; Prospective Studies ; Aged ; Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality* ; Diet/statistics & numerical data* ; Neoplasms/mortality* ; Adult ; Cause of Death ; Food Preferences ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Mortality ; Cohort Studies

Objective To investigate the impact of the triglyceride-glucose(TyG)index on the risk of inflammatory bowel disease(IBD).Methods Based on the data from UK Biobank,participants were allocated into three groups,TyG1(≤4.564),TyG2(4.564-4.808),and TyG3(≥4.808),according to tertiles of the TyG index.Kaplan-Meier curves were established to analyze the cumulative incidence of IBD.Further,Cox proportional hazard regression was employed to analyze the hazard ratio(HR)and its 95% confidential interval(95%CI)of each group.The same analysis was conducted for different subtypes(ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease)of IBD.Sensitive analysis based on the competing risk model was performed after excluding participants who were diagnosed within one year.Results A total of 116 423 participants were included in this study,with the median follow-up time of 12.56 years.The incidence densities of IBD in the TyG1,TyG2,and TyG3 groups were 4.47,5.94,and 6.50 per 10 000 person-year,respectively.The cumulative incidence of IBD increased with the rise in TyG,and Log-rank test results showed differences in cumulative incidence between groups(P<0.001).After adjusting the confounding factors,the HR(95%CI)of IBD in the TyG2 and TyG3 groups was 1.50(1.21-1.85)and 1.71(1.36-2.16),respectively.The results of the subgroup analysis after adjusting the confounding factors revealed that the HR(95%CI)of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease in the TyG3 group was 1.48(1.16-1.74)and 2.27(1.51-3.42),respectively.The sensitive analysis yielded similar results after excluding participants who were diagnosed within one year.Conclusion A high TyG index indicates an increased risk of IBD and its subtypes.
Humans ; Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/blood* ; Triglycerides/blood* ; Incidence ; Blood Glucose/analysis* ; Male ; Female ; Risk Factors ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Crohn Disease/epidemiology*

Objective To investigate the association between gastroesophageal reflux disease(GERD)and the risk of incident chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)and explore potential effect modifiers influencing this association.Methods Clinical data from 476 175 participants in the UK Biobank(2006-2010)were collected.A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the relationship between GERD and the risk of incident COPD.Subgroup analyses were conducted to examine potential modifiers of the primary findings.Results A total of 11 587(2.43%)new COPD cases were diagnosed.The Cox proportional hazards model revealed that GERD was associated with an increased risk of incident COPD(HR=1.59,95%CI=1.46-1.74,P<0.001).GERD was linked to a higher risk of incident COPD in individuals aged<60 years(P<0.001)and non-smokers(P=0.011).No association was observed between GERD and the risk of incident COPD in current smokers with a daily cigarette consumption<10 cigarettes(P=0.261).Conclusion GERD may increase the risk of incident COPD.
Humans ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology* ; Gastroesophageal Reflux/epidemiology* ; Middle Aged ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Incidence ; Male ; Risk Factors ; Female ; Aged