1.Construction and validation of machine learning predictive models for the risk of metabolic associated fatty liver disease
Linjie QIU ; Haiyan REN ; Yan REN ; Meijie LI ; Chacha ZOU ; Zijing WU ; Jin ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(4):848-855
ObjectiveTo investigate the value of predictive models established based on machine learning methods in predicting the risk of metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), and to analyze its key risk factors. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the 50 variables of 2 168 healthy individuals who underwent physical examination in Department of Health Assessment, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, from January 2021 to December 2024, including body composition, past history, and laboratory tests, and according to whether they were diagnosed with MAFLD or not, they were divided into MAFLD group with 265 individuals and non-MAFLD group with 1 903 individuals. The Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. Randomly split the research data into a training set and a validation set in a 70% to 30% ratio. Predictive factors were screened from the training set data using univariate analysis, LASSO regression, and multivariate Logistic regression analysis. Predictive models were then constructed using seven machine learning methods: Logistic regression, decision tree, random forest (RF), eXtreme gradient boosting, light gradient boosting machine, support vector machine, and artificial neural network. Model performance was evaluated by plotting receiver operating characteristic curve for the validation set and calculating the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and Youden index for each model. Furthermore, the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method was used to analyze the contribution of variables in the optimal model. ResultsThe prevalence rate of MAFLD among the 2 168 subjects was 12.22% (265/2 168). Smoking, diastolic blood pressure, phase angle, visceral fat area, muscle fat ratio, waist-to-hip ratio, aspartate aminotransferase, non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio, triglyceride-glucose index, and gallstones were independent risk factors for MAFLD (all P<0.05). The seven predictive models of support vector machine, eXtreme gradient boosting, decision tree, light gradient boosting machine, artificial neural network, RF, and Logistic regression had an AUC of 0.738, 0.754, 0.757, 0.786, 0.795, 0.796, and 0.815, respectively, in the validation set, among which the RF model had the best discriminatory ability (AUC=0.796, 95% confidence interval: 0.754 — 0.839), with a sensitivity of 81.01%, a specificity of 63.16%, and a Youden index of 44.17%. The SHAP analysis showed that visceral fat area, waist-to-hip ratio, and diastolic blood pressure were the top three predictive factors in terms of importance. ConclusionThe RF model, constructed based on body composition and clinical indicators, has a good performance in predicting the risk of MAFLD, and its interpretability can help to identify high-risk individuals in the early stage in clinical practice.
2.Association between chronic disease comorbidity patterns and activities of daily living among permanent elderly residents in Xuhui District of Shanghai
Qian XU ; Xiaohong ZHANG ; Xiaolin QIAN ; Jing ZHU ; Yun CHEN ; Fei YAN ; Chaowei FU ; Haiyan GU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(7):527-535
ObjectiveTo investigate the patterns of chronic disease comorbidity among permanent elderly residents in Xuhui District of Shanghai, and to analyze the impact of different comorbidity patterns on the elderly’s ability to perform activities of daily living. MethodsBased on data from the 2015 and 2021 Surveys on Health Status and Health Service Utilization among Permanent Residents in Xuhui District of Shanghai, the study included permanent residents who fully participated in both surveys, were aged 60 years or older at the 2015 survey, self-reported having a chronic disease, and reported no significant changes in their chronic disease status between the two surveys. A prospective cohort study design was adopted, using the 2015 data as the baseline and the 2021 survey data as follow-up data. Physical examinations and questionnaire surveys were conducted by the Shanghai Xuhui District Center for Disease Control and Prevention in the subdistricts and towns within the jurisdiction from April to July in both 2015 and 2021. Latent class analysis (LCA) was used to classify comorbidity patterns across 11 types of chronic diseases. The smaller the values of the Akaike information criterion (AIC), the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), and the sample-corrected Bayesian information criterion (aBIC), the better the model fits. The Barthel index (BI) and the Lawton and Brody Instrumental Activities of Daily Living Scale (LB-IADL) were used to assess the participants’ activities of daily living (ADL) and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL). Multiple linear regression and multivariate logistic regression models were used to analyze the association between different comorbidity patterns and ADL and IADL. ResultsA total of 1 608 study participants were enrolled. Among them, 671 (41.73%) self-reported having no chronic diseases. The prevalence of 11 types of chronic diseases was as follows: hypertension in 743 participants (46.21%), heart disease in 148 participants (9.20%), cerebrovascular disease in 37 participants (2.30%), diabetes or abnormal blood glucose in 310 participants (19.28%), other endocrine system diseases (non-diabetic) in 39 participants (2.43%), malignant tumors in 37 participants (2.30%), chronic lung disease in 16 participants (1.00%), gout in 8 participants (0.50%), musculoskeletal disorders in 34 participants (2.11%), gastric or digestive system diseases in 27 participants (1.68%), and dyslipidemia in 15 participants (0.93%). LCA was used to classify comorbidity patterns of chronic diseases among older adults into 1 to 9 latent category combinations. Model 5 (i.e., 5 latent categories) had the lowest BIC (7 112.69) and aBIC (6 909.38), with a relatively low AIC (6 768.20), indicating the best model fit; thus, five latent categories represented the optimal combination in this study. The five latent categories (and their respective proportions of study participants) were the healthy control group (41.73%), the hypertension group (31.28%), the diabetes-hypertension group (19.28%), the severe illness group (5.29%), and the other metabolic diseases group (2.43%). According to multiple linear regression analyses, compared with the healthy control group, the diabetes-hypertension group had significantly lower BI-20 scores (b=-0.952, 95%CI: -1.317‒ -0.587, P<0.001) and lower IADL scores (b=-0.744, 95%CI: -0.999‒ -0.489, P<0.001); the severe illness group (b=-0.644, 95%CI: -1.072‒ -0.217, P=0.003) and the hypertension group (b=-0.344, 95%CI: -0.562‒ -0.125, P=0.002) had lower IADL scores. According to multivariate logistic regression analyses, compared with the healthy control group, older adults in the diabetes-hypertension group had a higher risk of disability (OR=2.835, 95%CI: 1.392‒5.774), impaired ADL function (OR=2.470, 95%CI: 1.637‒3.726), and impaired IADL function (OR=1.739, 95%CI: 1.264‒2.392); older adults in the severe illness group had a higher risk of impaired ADL function (OR=2.206, 95%CI: 1.171‒4.155). ConclusionAmong the elderly participating in the Survey on Health Status and Health Service Utilization of Permanent Residents in Xuhui District of Shanghai, diabetes-hypertension is one of the key chronic disease comorbidity combinations and has adverse effects on both ADL and IADL. Community health management should prioritize the elderly with diabetes-hypertension comorbidity, and strengthen early screening and comprehensive interventions to slow the decline in ADL and IADL.
3.Discussion on the Application of Warm-Yang Method in Polycystic Ovary Syndrome Infertility
Pengxuan YAN ; Haiyan ZHANG ; Yukun ZHAO ; Yabei GAO ; Kun LI ; Jingchun ZHANG ; Yuping ZHAO ; Zixiao WEI
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;66(3):312-316
It is believed that there is a pathogenesis of yang deficiency in polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) infertility, and it is concluded that warm-yang method has a better effect in improving endometrial abnormality, enhancing the quality of follicles, correcting endocrine disorders, and resolving or alleviating clinical symptoms in PCOS infertility. Based on Yanghe Decoction (阳和汤), a representative traditional Chinese medicine decoction for warming yang, Yanghe Xiaonang Decoction (阳和消囊汤) was formulated, combining with warm medicinals according to symptoms, and aerobic exercise was also advocated to help generate and develop yang qi, in order to provide ideas for clinical treatments.
4.Qihuang needle therapy for autism spectrum disorder with sleep disorder: a multi-center randomized controlled trial.
Bingxu JIN ; Qizhen LIU ; Jiahao TANG ; Yong ZHAO ; Jing XIN ; Yuan ZHOU ; Haiyan CAI ; Zhanxin HUO ; Xiaohong CHEN ; Yan BAI
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2025;45(3):322-326
OBJECTIVE:
To observe the clinical efficacy of Qihuang needle therapy for autism spectrum disorder (ASD) children with sleep disorder.
METHODS:
A total of 60 ASD children with sleep disorder were randomly divided into an observation group and a control group, 30 cases in each group. Both groups were treated with structured education intervention, 60 min each time, once a day, 6 times a week. Qihuang needle therapy was applied at Yintang (GV24+), Baihui (GV20) and bilateral Jueyinshu (BL14), Xinshu (BL15) in the observation group, multi-direction needling was delivered and without needle retaining. The treatment was given 2 times a week, each treatment was delivered at interval of 2 days at least. Behavioral intervention was adopted in the control group. Treatment for consecutive 12 weeks was required in both groups. Before and after treatment, the scores of children's sleep habits questionnaire (CSHQ), the autism behavior checklist (ABC), the childhood autism rating scale (CARS), and the childhood autism behavior scale (CABS) were observed in the two groups.
RESULTS:
After treatment, the scores of CSHQ, ABC, CARS and CABS were decreased compared with those before treatment (P<0.01), and the above scores in the observation group were lower than those in the control group (P<0.05).
CONCLUSION
Qihuang needle therapy can effectively treat ASD with sleep disorder, improve the core symptoms of ASD and the sleep quality.
Humans
;
Autism Spectrum Disorder/physiopathology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Child
;
Sleep Wake Disorders/physiopathology*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Acupuncture Therapy
;
Acupuncture Points
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Sleep
;
Needles
5.Etiological characteristics and molecular evolution of the first mpox case in Huai’an City of Jiangsu Province
Pengfei YANG ; Fang HE ; Qingli YAN ; Heyuan GENG ; Tong GAO ; Qiang GAO ; Chenglong XIONG ; Haiyan PENG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(1):85-92
Objective To analyze the virus subtypes, molecular evolutional and molecular transmission network features of the first confirmed mpox case in Huai’an City, Jiangsu Province, so as to provide insights into understanding of the transmission and evolution dynamics of mpox virus and formulation of the mpox control strategy in the city. Methods Genomic DNA was extracted from swabs of the first confirmed mpox case’s skin lesions in Huai’an City, and the amplicon sequencing library was constructed using the hypersensitive mpox virus whole-genome capture kit. High-throughput sequencing was performed using the GridION X5 nanopore sequencer on the Nanopore sequencing platform, and single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) analysis of mpox virus genome sequences was performed following sequence assembly. In addition, phylogenetic analysis, genetic genealogy and molecular traceability analysis were performed. Results The virus whole genome sequence of the first confirmed mpox case was successfully obtained by high-throughput sequencing, with a full length of 197 182 bp, and was named hMpxV/China/JS-HA01/2023, which belonged to the clade IIb (West African clade) lineage B.1.3. Compared with the mpox virus reference sequence MPXV-M5312_HM12_Rivers-001 (GenBank accession number: NC_063383), the genome sequence of the Huai’an virus isolate carried 86 SNPs, including 40 SNPs in the coding region as non-synonymous mutations and 73 SNPs as nucleotide mutations caused by APOBEC3 (APOBEC3). Of the 97 mpox virus gene sequences, 79 sequences were included in the molecular network (81.44%), and the threshold of the genetic distance accessed to the network was 0.35/105. There were two large molecular transmission clusters and one scattered cluster in the molecular transmission network of the mpox virus, andthehMpxV/China/JS-HA01/2023 sequence was located in the large cluster. The 97 gene sequences formed 92 haplotypes, including three shared haplotypes Hap_4, Hap_6 and Hap_38, and an exclusive haplotype Hap_1 of hMpxV/China/JS-HA01/2023 generated from mutation of the exclusive haplotype Hap_43, while the exclusive haplotype Hap_43 was generated from mutation of the shared haplotype Hap_38. Conclusions The whole genome sequence of the mpox virus isolated from the first confirmed mpox case in Huai’an City has been successfully obtained, and the molecular evolutionary and molecular transmission network characteristics of the virus have been preliminarily understood.
6.Xiaozhen Fang alleviates erlotinib-induced skin toxicity in mice by in-hibiting pyroptosis via NLRP3/caspase-1/GSDMD signaling pathway
Xintian WANG ; Cheng CHENG ; Ling LUO ; Yan CHEN ; Yuping LIU ; Haiyan XING
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2025;41(7):1392-1399
AIM:This study aims to investigate the therapeutic effects of Xiaozhen Fang(XZF)on epidermal growth factor receptor(EGFR)inhibitor,erlotinib-induced skin toxicity in mice,with a focus on the underlying functional mechanisms.METHODS:A mouse model of skin toxicity was established and divided into three groups(n=5 per group):blank,erlotinib(150 mg/kg),and erlotinib(150 mg/kg)combined with XZF(45 g/kg)groups.Skin toxicity se-verity and body weight were evaluated.Western blot was performed to detect protein levels of gasdermin D(GSDMD),caspase-1,and interleukin-1β(IL-1β)in skin tissue.Immunofluorescence was employed to analyze gasdermin E,IL-1β,caspase-1,and nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain-like receptor protein 3(NLRP3)expression in skin tissue.In vitro,HacaT cells were cultured and treated with erlotinib followed by different concentrations of XZF-containing se-rum.Cell viability was assessed by MTT assay.Cell ultrastructure was observed by transmission electron microscopy,and p53-binding protein 1(53BP1)expression was analyzed by immunofluorescence staining.RESULTS:The XZF signifi-cantly alleviated erlotinib-induced skin toxicity in mouse model,as evidenced by reduced rash incidence,alleviated limb swelling,and increased body weight(P<0.05).Expression of Gasdermins,IL-1β,caspase-1,and NLRP3 was distinctly down-regulated in dorsal skin tissue(P<0.05 or P<0.01).In vitro,XZF-containing serum markedly suppressed pyropto-sis in HacaT cells(P<0.01),preserved cell membrane integrity,and significantly reduced 53BP1 fluorescence intensity(P<0.01).CONCLUSION:The XZF mitigates EGFR inhibitor,erlotinib-induced skin toxicity in mice,potentially by regulating pyroptosis through the NLRP3/caspase-1/GSDMD signaling pathway.This mechanism exerts a cytoprotective ef-fect and alleviates erlotinib-induced skin toxicity.
7.Meta-analysis of the association between childhood trauma and non-suicidal self-injury behavior in patients with depression
Wenyue GONG ; Haowen ZOU ; Zhilu CHEN ; Rui YAN ; Haiyan LIU ; Zhijian YAO
Chinese Journal of Psychiatry 2025;58(1):37-46
Objective:To investigate the effect of childhood trauma on non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI) behavior in patients with depression.Method:Embase, PubMed, Cochrane Library, PsycINFO, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Data and China Biology Medicine dis were searched from inception to March 2024 for cross-sectional, case-control and cohort studies on childhood trauma and NSSI in patients with depression. Two researchers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed quality. The effect indicators were the odds ratio ( OR) of childhood trauma and school bullying to NSSI in the depressed population and the mean difference ( MD) of the childhood trauma subscale scores between the depressed population with and without NSSI. Meta-analysis was performed using Review Manager 5.3 and Stata17 software. Results:A total of 29 articles with 5 095 depressed patients were included. Childhood trauma was significantly associated with NSSI in patients with depression ( OR=2.91, 95% CI=2.01-4.21). Various forms of childhood trauma were related to NSSI behaviors in depressive patients: physical abuse ( MD=0.77, 95% CI=0.47-1.06), emotional abuse ( MD=2.99, 95% CI=2.10-3.88), physical neglect ( MD=1.17, 95% CI=0.47-1.87), emotional neglect ( MD=2.59, 95% CI=1.82-3.36), and sexual abuse ( MD=0.35, 95% CI=0.19-0.51). Additionally, school bullying among extra-family factors was identified as a risk factor for NSSI ( OR=2.16, 95% CI=1.46-3.18). Conclusion:Childhood trauma is a risk factor for NSSI behaviors in patients with depression. Different types of childhood trauma within the family, including various forms of abuse and neglect, and school bullying outside the family are related to NSSI behaviors in this population.
8.Effect and Mechanism of Warming Moxibustion at Shenque Point in the Treatment of Primary Dysmenorrhea in College Students
Yanru ZHANG ; Xiaowen YAN ; Jiaxin CHEN ; Haiyan MA ; Haiyan WANG ; Yingfeng MA ; Xiangdong ZHU ; Baoyou LI ; Jianhong GUO
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;27(2):337-345
Objective This study aims to observe the impact of warm moxibustion on menstrual pain in college students with primary dysmenorrhea and explore its potential mechanism.Methods College students with primary dysmenorrhea were recruited and treated with warm moxibustion at Shenque acupoint for three consecutive menstrual cycles.Healthy subjects were also recruited for comparison.Pain scale,uterine artery hemodynamics,and related inflammatory factors were assessed before and after treatment.Results ①The results of scale study showed that the severity and duration of dysmenorrhea were gradually alleviated with the prolongation of treatment time through the analysis of variance of repeated measurements of the total scores of McGill pain inquiry scale and CMSS dysmenorrhea symptom scale before and after 3 treatments.The results of variance analysis and pairwise comparison of repeated measurements of PRI,VAS and PPI of McGill pain inquiry scale before and after 3 times treatment in warm moxibustion group also showed that each index decreased gradually with the prolongation of treatment time.The comparison of the scores of each item of CMSS scale showed that the severity and duration of low back before treatment were significantly different from those in the healthy group(P<0.001),but the difference was weakened after the third treatment.The severity of vomiting,the duration of vomiting,the severity of diarrhea and the duration of diarrhea were significantly different from those in the healthy group before treatment(P<0.001),but they were still higher than those in the healthy group after the third treatment.but the difference was not statistically significant.②Prior to treatment,PD college students exhibited significantly higher S/D and PI values on both sides compared to healthy subjects,with a statistically significant difference observed for PI on the left side(P<0.001).Following treatment,all aforementioned indexes decreased significantly,particularly PI on the left side which showed a significant difference from pre-treatment levels(P<0.001).③Before treatment,the levels of serum IL-1β,TNF-α,and CRP in PD college students were significantly higher compared to those in the healthy group.The difference in IL-1β level was statistically significant(P<0.001).After treatment,there was a noticeable decrease in the levels of IL-1β,TNF-α,and CRP.Specifically,IL-1β showed a significant reduction(P<0.01),and this time the comparison with the healthy group did not reveal any significant difference in IL-1β levels.Conclusion The application of warm moxibustion at the Shenque acupoint demonstrates a significant improvement in both the dysmenorrhea pain rating index and severity among college students with primary dysmenorrhea,while also alleviating the severity and duration of associated symptoms.These positive effects may be attributed to warm moxibustion's ability to enhance uterine microcirculation in individuals with primary dysmenorrhea,and ameliorating inflammatory conditions.
9.Interpretation of the service standards for medical nursing assistants of older adults in home and community
Ting LIU ; Haiyan SHI ; Huaguo ZHANG ; Yue CHEN ; Hongying PI ; Huiru HOU ; Shaomei SHANG ; Yan JIANG ; Zheng CHEN ; Ka LI ; Xin YANG ; Qilei TU ; Ze YANG ; Chao SUN
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(11):1500-1506
The Occupational Classification Dictionary of the People's Republic of China (2015 Edition) has added a new occupation type, Medical Nursing Assistants, aiming to meet the strong demand for medical care in the context of the aging population in China.In order to standardize the services of medical nursing assistants for the elderly in home and community settings and contribute to healthy aging, the National Health Commission issued the " Service Standards for Medical Nursing Assistants of Older Adults in Home and Community" ( WS/ T 803—2022) on September 28, 2022.The standards regulate the service processes, service items and requirements, as well as service evaluation and improvement for elderly medical nursing assistants.The interpretation of the standard's formulation background, the compilation process, and the standard's content are as follows.
10.Clinical and molecular characteristics of monogenic diabetes mellitus in children-single center study
Qiong CHEN ; Fang LIU ; Yan CUI ; Yuan LI ; Haiyan WEI
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(2):129-134
Objective:To investigate the clinical and molecular characteristics of monogenic diabetes in children at a single-center in Henan Province.Methods:Clinical data from children diagnosed with monogenic diabetes at the Department of Endocrinology and Genetic Metabolism, Henan Children’s Hospital, between January 2016 and August 2023 were analyzed, alongside molecular genetic testing.Results:Of 84 children suspected of monogenic diabetes, 44 were genetically diagnosed with a 52.4% positive rate. Diagnosis included neonatal diabetes mellitus(NDM, 14 cases), maturity-onset diabetes of the young(MODY, 22 cases), and other diabetes-related genetic syndromes(8 cases). NDM patients had a younger age at onset, higher blood glucose levels at admission, and a greater incidence of being small for gestational age and diabetic ketoacidosis compared to MODY patients( P<0.001). Three novel heterozygous mutations were identified in IGF1R and GCK genes, namely IGF1R c. 2650G>T, GCK c. 572G>C, GCK c. 766G>T. Conclusions:The high molecular diagnostic rate based on clinical phenotype, birth history, and family history enhances the diagnosis, management, genetic counseling, and prognosis of monogenic diabetes in children.

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