1.Construction of nomogram predictive model for the risk of dry eye in elderly people aged over 60 years
Qiudan HUANG ; Zhiping LIU ; Xi YIN ; Haiping CHEN
International Eye Science 2025;25(11):1887-1892
AIM:To investigate the influencing factors of dry eye in elderly people aged over 60 years, and to construct a risk nomogram prediction model, so as to provide a reference for the identification of high-risk individuals and the development of preventive strategies.METHODS:A convenience sampling method was used to select 301 people aged over 60 years who attended the ophthalmology outpatient clinic or were hospitalized at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University between July 2023 and December 2023. They were divided into a dry eye group(n=173)and a non-dry eye group(n=128)based on the presence or absence of dry eye. Data from the two groups were compared and a risk prediction model was constructed.RESULTS:Gender, hypertension, meibomian gland dysfunction, frequent use of eye drops, frequent use of electronic products, and frequent exposure to dry environments were significant influencing factors for the occurrence of dry eye in people aged over 60 years(all P<0.05). The nomogram prediction model demonstrated excellent discrimination(AUC=0.86, 95% CI: 0.81-0.90). The calibration curve showed good fit with the ideal curve, indicating high predictive accuracy. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test yielded a P-value of 0.424. The sensitivity was 73% and the specificity was 86%.CONCLUSION:The nomogram predictive model for the risk of dry eye in elderly people aged over 60 years constructed in this study showed good discrimination and calibration. It can serve as an intuitive and effective clinical risk assessment tool, providing a basis for the early identification of high-risk populations and the development of individualized intervention strategies.
2.Metabolic insights into gut microbiota in the pharmacology of natural medicines.
Zixin CHEN ; Junchi ZHOU ; Xiao ZHENG ; Hao XIE ; Haiping HAO
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(2):158-168
Natural medicines (NMs) demonstrate distinct advantages in the clinical management of chronic diseases. Recent years have seen growing recognition of the gut microbiota's role in the efficacy and synergy of NMs, providing new impetus for elucidating the material basis and mechanisms of NMs and their path toward modernization. A fundamental question that has emerged is how NM-microbiota interactions integrate into the multi-target holistic mechanisms of NMs, the answer to which may also illuminate new avenues for drug discovery. Metabolic regulation via small-molecule metabolites has been increasingly implicated in host-microbe interaction. This review presents an integral metabolic perspective on NMs-microbiota interaction in host health and disease. It highlights the emerging understanding of gut microbiota-related metabolic signals implicated in NM components' local and systemic actions. Additionally, it discusses key issues and prospects related to drug development and the translational study of NMs.
Gastrointestinal Microbiome/drug effects*
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Humans
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Biological Products/metabolism*
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Animals
3.Study on surface microcirculation sensitization of acupuncture points related to cold coagulation and stasis syndrome in primary dysmenorrhea
Xuxin LI ; Xuesong WANG ; Miao LIN ; Mingjian ZHANG ; Yuanbo GAO ; Xifen ZHANG ; Hao CHEN ; Haiping LI ; Xiaojun ZHENG ; Xisheng FAN ; Jun LIU ; Juncha ZHANG ; Yanfen SHE
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;48(2):253-269
Objective:
To assess the dynamic changes of microcirculation at acupoints in patients with primary dysmenorrhea and cold congelation and blood stasis syndrome using laser speckle blood flow imaging.
Methods:
Patients with primary dysmenorrhea and cold coagulation and blood stasis syndrome (primary dysmenorrhea group, n=53) and healthy female college students(control group, n=57) who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria from October 2020 to July 2022 were enrolled at Hebei University of Chinese Medicine. On the premenstrual and first day of menstruation, a laser speckle blood flow imaging system was used to measure the microcirculation blood flow perfusion on the surface of acupoints related to the conception, thoroughfare, and governor vessels, and stomach, spleen, and bladder meridians in the abdomen and lumbosacral regions. The dynamic changes in microcirculation were calculated based on the difference in average blood flow perfusion at each acupoint before and after menstruation. Receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis was used to analyze the diagnostic efficacy of dynamic changes in microcirculation on the surface of each acupoint. The microcirculation sensitization rate of acupoints was calculated.
Results:
Compared with the control group, the dynamic changes in microcirculation at the following acupoints in the primary dysmenorrhea group were increased (P<0.05): conception vessel (Yinjiao[CV7], Qihai[CV6], Shimen[CV5], Guanyuan[CV4]); left thoroughfare vessel (left Huangshu[KI16], left Zhongzhu[KI15], left Siman[KI14], left Qixue[KI13], left Dahe[KI12], left Henggu[KI11]); left stomach meridian (left Tianshu[ST25], left Wailing[ST26], left Qichong[ST30]); left spleen meridian (left Daheng[SP15], left Fujie[SP14]); right thoroughfare vessel (right Huangshu[KI16], right Zhongzhu[KI15], right Siman[KI14], right Qixue[KI13], right Dahe[KI12], right Henggu[KI11]); right stomach meridian (right Wailing[ST26], right Daju[ST27], right Shuidao[ST28], right Guilai[ST29], right Qichong[ST30]); and right spleen meridian (right Fujie[SP14]). The area under the ROC curve of conception vessel (Yinjiao[CV7], Qihai[CV6], Shimen[CV5], Guanyuan[CV4]), thoroughfare vessel (right Siman[KI14], left Huangshu[KI16], right Qixue[KI13], right Zhongzhu[KI15], right Dahe[KI12], left Zhongzhu[KI15], left Siman[KI14], right Huangshu[KI16], left Qixue[KI13], right Henggu[KI11], left Henggu[KI11], left Dahe[KI12]); stomach meridian (left Tianshu[ST25], right Guilai[ST29], left Wailing[ST26], right Shuidao[ST28], right Daju[ST27], right Wailing[ST26], right Qichong[ST30], left Qichong[ST30]), and spleen meridian (left Daheng[SP15], left Fujie[SP14], right Fujie[SP14]) was 0.610-0.682 (P<0.05). Compared with the control group, the sensitization rate of some acupoints in the primary dysmenorrhea group increased (P<0.05).
Conclusion
With the onset of menstruation, the blood flow perfusion of some acupoints in the abdomen (thoroughfare, and conception vessels, and stomach and spleen meridians) of patients with primary dysmenorrhea and cold blood coagulation and blood stasis syndrome increased, and the status of acupoints changed from a resting state to an active state. These acupoints are sensitive in patients with primary dysmenorrhea and cold blood coagulation and blood stasis syndrome and have a certain diagnostic efficacy, providing a basis for further analyzing the efficacy and mechanism of acupuncture and moxibustion to treat primary dysmenorrhea with cold blood coagulation and blood stasis syndrome.
4.Consensus on informed consent for orthodontic treatment
Yang CAO ; Bing FANG ; Zuolin JIN ; Hong HE ; Yuxing BAI ; Lin WANG ; Haiping LU ; Zhihe ZHAO ; Tianmin XU ; Weiran LI ; Min HU ; Jinlin SONG ; Jun WANG ; Fang JIN ; Ding BAI ; Xianglong HAN ; Yuehua LIU ; Bin YAN ; Jie GUO ; Jiejun SHI ; Yongming LI ; Zhihua LI ; Xiuping WU ; Jiangtian HU ; Linyu XU ; Lin LIU ; Yi LIU ; Yanqin LU ; Wensheng MA ; Shuixue MO ; Liling REN ; Shuxia CUI ; Yongjie FAN ; Jianguang XU ; Lulu XU ; Zhijun ZHENG ; Peijun WANG ; Rui ZOU ; Chufeng LIU ; Lunguo XIA ; Li HU ; Weicai WANG ; Liping WU ; Xiaoxing KOU ; Jiali TAN ; Yuanbo LIU ; Bowen MENG ; Yuantao HAO ; Lili CHEN
Chinese Journal of Stomatology 2025;60(12):1327-1336
This consensus was developed by the Orthodontic Society of the Chinese Stomatological Association to provide a systematic, scientific, and practical guideline for informed consent in orthodontic care. Orthodontic treatment is typically lengthy, highly individualized, and involves multiple factors such as growth and development, occlusal function, and facial esthetics. Rapid technological advances and diverse risk profiles make the traditional reliance on orthodontist experience or institutional templates insufficient to ensure patients′ full understanding and autonomous decision-making. To address this, the expert panel conducted extensive reviews of domestic and international guidelines, analyzed representative dispute cases, and performed multicenter patient-clinician surveys. Using a multi-round Delphi method, the group established a standardized informed consent framework covering the initial consultation, treatment, and retention phases. The consensus emphasizes that informed consent is not only a fundamental legal and ethical requirement but also a key step in building trust, improving patient compliance, and enhancing treatment satisfaction. Orthodontists should clearly and comprehensively explain treatment plans, potential risks, uncertainties, and associated costs, while respecting the autonomy of patients or guardians, and maintain continuous communication and dynamic evaluation throughout the treatment process. The release of this consensus provides unified and authoritative guidance for clinical orthodontics, helping to standardize informed consent, enhance its transparency, safeguard patient rights, reduce medical risks, and promote high-quality, sustainable development of orthodontic practice.
5.Analysis on epidemiological characteristics and changing trends of fatal injury in residents in Qingdao, 2014 - 2023
Wensheng GUI ; Jie CHEN ; Yaoyao XU ; Zicheng JIN ; Haiping DUAN ; Hua ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(9):1617-1622
Objective:To understand the epidemiological characteristics and changing trends of injury-related deaths in local residents in Qingdao from 2014 to 2023, and provide evidence for development of injury prevention and control measures.Methods:The incidence data on fatal injury in residents of Qingdao from 2014 to 2023 were used to describe the epidemiological characteristics of fatal injury by using fatal injury rate, standardized fatal injury rate, proportion, and death order. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used to describe the annual change in fatal injury rates, and the trend of fatal injury was analyzed.Results:From 2014 to 2023, a total of 23 533 residents died of injury in Qingdao, with a crude fatal injury rate of 28.74/100 000 and a standardized fatal injury rate of 27.64/100 000. The total fatal injury rate showed a downward trend (AAPC: -5.06%, P<0.05). The top three causes of fatal injury in the residents were road traffic accident (40.85%), suicide (15.80%), and accidental falls (12.92%). In terms of gender specific fatal injury cause, the top one in both men and women was road traffic accident injury. In terms of age specific fatal injury cause, the top one was road traffic accident in the all age groups, except age group 5-14 years with top cause of drowning. From 2014 to 2023, the fatal injury rates of road traffic accident, suicide, and accidental poisoning in the top five fatal injury causes showed a downward trend year by year (AAPC:-7.42%, -6.54%, -13.95%, P<0.05). Conclusions:The fatal injury rate showed a downward trend in the residents in Qingdao from 2014 to 2023. It is necessary to strengthen the prevention and control of road traffic accident injury, suicide, falls in the elderly, and drowning in adolescents.
6.Analysis of the influencing factors for pruritus and construction of a nomogram prediction model in peritoneal dialysis patients
Rui YANG ; Shu ZHOU ; Jianxiong LIN ; Chunyan YI ; Xiao YANG ; Wei CHEN ; Haiping MAO
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2025;41(4):258-265
Objective:To explore the influencing factors for skin pruritus and to construct a nomogram prediction model in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients.Methods:It was a retrospective cross-sectional investigation study. The PD patients who were regularly followed up between July, 2023 and April, 2024 in PD center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University were enrolled in this study. The pruritus status was evaluated by the 14-Item UP-Dial Scale. The general demographic data and clinical data were collected. The patients were divided into pruritus group and non-pruritus group according to the presence or absence of skin itching. The differences of clinical data and laboratory results were compared between the two groups. Logistic regression was used to analyze the associated factors for pruritus in PD patients. The nomogram model was constructed by R software. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test were used to evaluate the performance of the model, and its clinical effectiveness was evaluated using the calibration curve.Results:A total of 315 PD patients were enrolled in this study, with age of (48.0±12.9) years, including 134 females (42.5%). Among them, 161 patients (51.1%) experienced skin pruritus. Of whom, 111 patients (68.9%) had mild pruritus, 34 patients (21.1%) had moderate pruritus, 16 patients (9.9%) had severe pruritus. The age ( t=-2.266, P=0.024), proportion of diabetes mellitus ( χ2=3.910, P=0.048), Charson comorbidity index ( Z=-2.458, P=0.014), blood eosinophil percentage ( Z=-2.385, P=0.017), C-reactive protein ( Z=-2.590, P=0.010), serum phosphorus ( Z=-3.233, P=0.001) and β2 microglobulin ( Z=-2.756, P=0.006) level in the pruritus group were higher than those in the non-pruritus group, and the measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) level ( Z=-3.708, P<0.001) of patients in the pruritus group was lower than that in the non-pruritus group. There were 262 patients in the training set and 53 patients in the validation set. The multivariate logistic regression analysis in the training set revealed that advanced age ( OR=1.032, 95% CI 1.010-1.054, P=0.004), lower mGFR ( OR=0.758, 95% CI 0.648-0.886, P<0.001), higher serum phosphorus ( OR=2.761, 95% CI 1.282-6.024, P=0.010), and elevated blood eosinophil percentage ( OR=1.098, 95% CI 1.012-1.191, P=0.025) were independent factors associated with pruritus in PD patients. The nomogram model constructed based on these indicators demonstrated good discrimination and calibration. In the training set, the area under the ROC curve ( AUC) was 0.757 (95% CI 0.699-0.816), with Hosmer-Lemeshow test χ2=4.979, P=0.760. In the validation set, the AUC was 0.779 (95% CI 0.651-0.907), and Hosmer-Lemeshow test χ2=12.938, P=0.114. Conclusions:The prevalence of skin pruritus is 51.1% in PD patient. Advanced age, lower mGFR, higher serum phosphorus and higher blood eosinophil percentage are the independent influencing factors for pruritus in PD patients. The nomogram model constructed based on these indicators shows excellent predictive performance for skin pruritus in PD patients.
7.Relationship between social function and family support in young and middle-aged patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis
Shan LYU ; Chunyan YI ; Shuchao LU ; Xiao YANG ; Haiping MAO ; Wei CHEN ; Jianxiong LIN
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2025;41(11):811-816
Objective:To analyze the relationship between social function and family support in young and middle-aged patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD).Methods:In this cross-sectional study, the patients undergoing maintenance PD therapy for more than 3 months at the Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, from May to October 2023 were recruited retrospectively. The social dysfunction screening scale and family support self-rating scale were used to evaluate the social dysfunction and family support of PD patients, respectively. The social demographic and clinical data of the patients were collected. Logistic regression analysis model was used to identify associated factors of social dysfunction in PD patients.Results:A total of 359 PD patients were recruited with age of (42.6±9.5) years old. Among them, 197 patients (54.9%) were males, and 33 patients (9.2%) were complicated with diabetes. The dialysis age was 28.8 (13.5, 56.3) months. The score of social function was 2 (1, 4), and the score of family support was (10.5±2.2). There were 199 patients (55.4%) having social dysfunction. There were 224 patients (62.4%) employed after PD. Compared with the normal social function group, the social dysfunction group had significantly lower score in family support ( Z=-2.613, P=0.009), serum potassium ( t=-2.725, P=0.007), urea clearance index ( Z=-2.346, P=0.019) and proportions of married status ( χ2=6.847, P=0.009), pre-dialysis employment ( χ2=3.996, P=0.046) and post-dialysis employment ( χ2=8.331, P=0.004), and higher serum creatinine ( Z=2.175, P=0.030), and proportions of annual household income < 100 000 yuan ( χ2=6.270, P=0.012) and diabetes mellitus ( χ2=4.400, P=0.036). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that family support ( OR=0.828, 95% CI 0.733-0.935, P=0.002), diabetes mellitus ( OR=3.551, 95% CI 1.456-8.658, P=0.005) and serum potassium ( OR=0.559, 95% CI 0.374-0.835, P=0.005) were independent correlated factors of social dysfunction in young and middle-aged PD patients. Conclusions:The prevalence of social dysfunction is 55.4%, and the employment rate is 62.4% in young and middle-aged PD patients. Poor family support, diabetes mellitus and decreased serum potassium level are independently associated with social dysfunction in young and middle-aged PD patients.
8.Management strategies and insights in a complex, prolonged case of encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis
Xianghui CHEN ; Dongfeng GU ; Jianbo LI ; Yuanying LIU ; Shurong LI ; Fengxian HUANG ; Wei CHEN ; Haiping MAO
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2025;41(8):615-619
This article reviews the diagnosis, therapeutic approaches, and subsequent care for a patient with a complex, long-standing history of encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis (EPS). A 40-year-old male, who had been on peritoneal dialysis (PD) for 11 years, encountered refractory peritonitis, leading to the removal of PD catheter and the subsequent diagnosis of EPS. The patient was transitioned to hemodialysis (HD) and prescribed tamoxifen to mitigate peritoneal fibrosis. After 4 months on HD, the patient underwent a kidney transplant, but acute rejection episode caused the transplanted kidney to fail 3 months postoperatively, necessitating a return to HD. Over the past 7 years, the patient has been repeatedly hospitalized due to recurrent bowel obstructions and infected abdominal fluid accumulation. A multidisciplinary approach, including anti-infective therapy, gastrointestinal intervention, nutritional support, and psychological care, has been instrumental in managing symptoms, and sustaining life. This case underscores the importance of recognizing EPS in long-term PD patients with peritonitis. While discontinuing PD, switching to HD, or receiving kidney transplantation do not halt the progression of EPS, optimized comprehensive management can extend the patient's survival.
9.Application of nomogram in the research on association between ocular be-havior and myopia in preschool children
Xiaolian XIE ; Liping LI ; Bing WANG ; Juan MA ; Qi CHEN ; Haiping ZHAO ; Juan CAO
Recent Advances in Ophthalmology 2025;45(7):539-545,553
Objective To analyze the association between eye-related behaviors and myopia among preschool chil-dren in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,and to develop a predictive nomogram model.Methods Using stratified cluster random sampling,36 062 preschool children from 400 randomly selected kindergartens in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region were enrolled between October and December 2023.Primary caregivers of participants completed structured question-naires.Data were randomly split into a training set(n=25 243,70%)and a validation set(n=10 819,30%)in a ratio of 7∶3.The training set was used for model construction,and the validation set for external validation.Calibration plots and the Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L)goodness-of-fit test assessed agreement between predicted and observed risks.Decision curve analysis(DCA)and clinical impact curve analysis(CICA)evaluated clinical utility.Results The myopia preva-lence among preschool children in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region was 3.8%.A nomogram model based on binary Logistic regression showed area under the curve(AUC)values of 0.88(95%CI:0.87-0.89)for the training set and 0.89(95%CI:0.87-0.90)for the validation set,indicating strong discriminative ability.Calibration curves and H-L tests revealed good model fit(training set:x2=4.92,P=0.766;validation set:x2=5.52,P=0.961),with all P>0.05.DCA and CICA confirmed clinical utility.The nomogram identified parental myopia,academic pressure,frequency of eye fatigue,daily screen time,and regular vision checks as the top five predictors of myopia.Conclusion The nomogram demonstrates promising potential for predicting myopia risk in preschool children in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,serving as a robust tool for clinical and educational myopia risk assessment.
10.Development and verification of prediction model for influencing factors of myopia among primary and middle school students based on machine learning
Xiaocheng GU ; Xinli CHEN ; Jian CHEN ; Cong MENG ; Haiping DUAN
International Eye Science 2025;25(2):328-336
AIM: To screen and analyze the influencing factors of myopia among primary and secondary school students and establish a predictive model to provide ideas for the prevention and control measures of myopia among children and adolescents.METHODS:A total of 1 759 primary and secondary school students from 2 primary schools, 2 junior high schools, 2 senior high schools and 1 vocational high school in the urban area of Qingdao were sampled by means of stratified cluster sampling in September 2023. Vision screening and a questionnaire survey on influencing factors were carried out based on machine learning algorithms. The screening and determination were mainly conducted in accordance with the Standard Logarithmic Visual Acuity Chart(GB/T11533-2011)and the Specifications for Screening Myopia in Children and Adolescents. The influencing factors of myopia were analyzed and a prediction model was developed based on the machine learning algorithms LASSO in combination with XGBoost, and visualization was achieved through an interactive Nomogram. Statistical analysis was performed using R statistical software version 4.3.3.RESULTS:The screening prevalence of myopia among primary and secondary school students in the urban area of Qingdao was 70.61%(1 242 cases). The optimal predictive variables for screening were grade, gender, whether parents were myopic, daily indoor sedentary time, appropriate distance between eyes and books during reading and writing, daily sleep time, distance between eyes and TV screen when watching TV/playing video games exceeding 3 meters, the playground during breaks, total duration of tutorial classes, how often eyes are rested during near work, daily computer usage time, and average daily homework time after school, totaling 12 influencing factors. The AUCs of the training set and test set were 0.770(95%CI:0.751-0.789)and 0.732(95%CI:0.714-0.750), respectively.CONCLUSION: A machine learning-based prediction model was developed and validated to predict the risk of myopia onset in primary and secondary school students, accompanied by effective visualization techniques.


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