1.Clinical Efficacy of Qi-regulating and Phlegm-removing Method(Liu Junzitang Combined with Linggang Wuwei Jiangxintang) in Treating AECOPD with Increased EOS
Renjie HUANG ; Wangqin YU ; Wuyinuo TANG ; Hong SONG ; Lyuyuan HE ; Wenbo LIN ; Guanyi WU ; Hang HUANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(3):149-156
ObjectiveTo assess the efficacy and safety of the Qi-regulating and phlegm-removing method(Liu Junzitang Combined with Linggang Wuwei Jiangxintang) for treating acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) with increased eosinophils (EOS). MethodsSixty-eight AECOPD patients with increased EOS who were hospitalized in the Department of Pulmonary Diseases of Jinhua Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital from April 2023 to April 2024 were recruited and randomly assigned to an experimental group (EG) or a control group (CG). Both groups received conventional Western medicine, with the EG additionally receiving Liujunzitang and Linggan Wuwei Jiangxintang. The therapeutic efficacy indicators were measured after the treatment. The main therapeutic efficacy indicators included partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) and partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2). The secondary efficacy indicators included the TCM symptom scores, the COPD Assessment Test (CAT) score, the Modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) Dyspnea Scale score, and the length of hospital stay. The indicators were measured at baseline and on days 3 and 7 of intervention. The safety was evaluated based on the adverse events. ResultsBaseline characteristics were not statistically different between the two groups. Compared with CG, EG showed no significant difference in PaO2 (P=0.773), PaCO2 (P=0.632) and or CAT score (P=0.336) at on day 3 but better PaO2 (P=0.004), PaCO2 (P=0.008), and CAT score (P=0.013) were significantly better at on day 7. Compared with CGAfter treatment, EG had lower TCM syndrome scores of than CG EG on day 3 (P=0.005) and day 7 were significantly decreased (P0.001). There was no significant difference in mMRC score between the two groups on day 3 (P=0.514) and day 7 (P=0.176) as wasor the length of hospital stay (P=0.915). The generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) showed that compared with CG, EG had significant improvements over time in PaO2, PaCO2, TCM syndrome symptom scores, CAT score, and mMRC score. ConclusionRegulating qi Qi and removing phlegm combined with conventional Western medicine can significantly alleviateimprove the clinical symptoms and improve the lung function of AECOPD patients with increased EOS increased AECOPDwhich has and demonstrates good safety.
2.Clinical Efficacy of Qi-regulating and Phlegm-removing Method(Liu Junzitang Combined with Linggang Wuwei Jiangxintang) in Treating AECOPD with Increased EOS
Renjie HUANG ; Wangqin YU ; Wuyinuo TANG ; Hong SONG ; Lyuyuan HE ; Wenbo LIN ; Guanyi WU ; Hang HUANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(3):149-156
ObjectiveTo assess the efficacy and safety of the Qi-regulating and phlegm-removing method(Liu Junzitang Combined with Linggang Wuwei Jiangxintang) for treating acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) with increased eosinophils (EOS). MethodsSixty-eight AECOPD patients with increased EOS who were hospitalized in the Department of Pulmonary Diseases of Jinhua Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital from April 2023 to April 2024 were recruited and randomly assigned to an experimental group (EG) or a control group (CG). Both groups received conventional Western medicine, with the EG additionally receiving Liujunzitang and Linggan Wuwei Jiangxintang. The therapeutic efficacy indicators were measured after the treatment. The main therapeutic efficacy indicators included partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) and partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2). The secondary efficacy indicators included the TCM symptom scores, the COPD Assessment Test (CAT) score, the Modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) Dyspnea Scale score, and the length of hospital stay. The indicators were measured at baseline and on days 3 and 7 of intervention. The safety was evaluated based on the adverse events. ResultsBaseline characteristics were not statistically different between the two groups. Compared with CG, EG showed no significant difference in PaO2 (P=0.773), PaCO2 (P=0.632) and or CAT score (P=0.336) at on day 3 but better PaO2 (P=0.004), PaCO2 (P=0.008), and CAT score (P=0.013) were significantly better at on day 7. Compared with CGAfter treatment, EG had lower TCM syndrome scores of than CG EG on day 3 (P=0.005) and day 7 were significantly decreased (P0.001). There was no significant difference in mMRC score between the two groups on day 3 (P=0.514) and day 7 (P=0.176) as wasor the length of hospital stay (P=0.915). The generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) showed that compared with CG, EG had significant improvements over time in PaO2, PaCO2, TCM syndrome symptom scores, CAT score, and mMRC score. ConclusionRegulating qi Qi and removing phlegm combined with conventional Western medicine can significantly alleviateimprove the clinical symptoms and improve the lung function of AECOPD patients with increased EOS increased AECOPDwhich has and demonstrates good safety.
3.MCC950 Targeted Inhibition of TXNIP-NLRP3 Axis-mediated Podocyte Pyroptosis in Diabetic Nephropathy
Hong ZHENG ; Zhong-Cheng MO ; Hang LIU ; Xi-Zhang PAN ; Bing WEI
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(2):418-430
Diabetic Nephropathy (DN) is the leading cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) globally, representing a major global health burden with limited disease-modifying therapies. Podocyte injury serves as the core pathological hallmark of DN, and conventional treatments targeting metabolic disorders or hemodynamic abnormalities fail to reverse the progressive decline of renal function. Accumulating evidence over the past decade has established that high glucose-induced podocyte pyroptosis—a pro-inflammatory form of programmed cell death—is a key driving force in DN progression. Its core molecular mechanism hinges on the activation of the TXNIP-NLRP3 inflammasome axis. Under sustained hyperglycemic conditions, excessive reactive oxygen species (ROS) are generated via pathways including the polyol pathway, advanced glycation end products (AGEs) accumulation, and mitochondrial dysfunction. Concurrently, methylglyoxal (a glucose metabolite) mediates post-translational modification of thioredoxin-interacting protein (TXNIP). These events collectively trigger the dissociation of TXNIP from thioredoxin (TRX), a redox-regulating protein. The free TXNIP then translocates to the mitochondria, where it binds to The NACHT, LRR, and PYD domain-containing protein 3 (NLRP3) and promotes inflammasome assembly. This assembly activates cysteine-aspartic acid protease 1 (caspase-1), which cleaves Gasdermin D (GSDMD) to generate its N-terminal fragment (GSDMD-NT). GSDMD-NT oligomerizes to form membrane pores, leading to podocyte swelling, rupture, and the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines interleukin-1β (IL-1β) and interleukin-18 (IL-18). These cytokines amplify local inflammatory responses, induce mesangial cell proliferation, and accelerate extracellular matrix deposition, ultimately exacerbating glomerulosclerosis. MCC950, a highly selective NLRP3 inhibitor, exerts its therapeutic effects through a multi-layered mechanism: it binds to the NACHT domain (NAIP, CIITA, HET-E and TP1 domain) of NLRP3 with nanomolar affinity, forming hydrogen bonds with key residues (Lys-42 and Asp-166) within the ATP-hydrolysis pocket to block ATP hydrolysis, thereby locking NLRP3 in an inactive conformational state. Additionally, MCC950 interferes with the protein-protein interaction between TXNIP and NLRP3 and regulates mitochondrial homeostasis to reduce ROS production. Preclinical studies have demonstrated that MCC950 dose-dependently reduces proteinuria, restores the expression of podocyte-specific markers (nephrin and Wilms tumor 1 protein, WT1), and alleviates podocyte foot process fusion and glomerulosclerosis in both streptozotocin (STZ)-induced type 1 diabetic models (characterized by absolute insulin deficiency) and db/db type 2 diabetic models (driven by insulin resistance). However, discrepancies in therapeutic outcomes exist across different models—some studies report exacerbated renal inflammation and fibrosis in STZ-induced models—which may stem from differences in disease pathogenesis, intervention timing (early vs. mid-stage disease), and dosing duration. Despite its promising preclinical efficacy, MCC950 faces significant translational challenges, including low oral bioavailability, insufficient podocyte targeting, potential hepatotoxicity, and drug-drug interactions with statins (commonly prescribed to diabetic patients for cardiovascular risk management). Furthermore, off-target effects such as the inhibition of carbonic anhydrase 2 have been identified, raising concerns about its safety profile. Nevertheless, its unique mechanism of action—directly blocking podocyte pyroptosis by targeting the TXNIP-NLRP3 axis—endows it with substantial translational value. In the future, strategies to overcome these barriers are expected to advance its clinical application: targeted delivery via nanocarriers (e.g., PLGA-PEG nanoparticles or nephrin antibody-conjugated systems) to enhance renal accumulation and podocyte specificity; precise patient stratification based on biomarkers such as serum IL-18 and renal TXNIP/NLRP3 expression to identify “inflammatory-phenotype” DN patients most likely to benefit; and combination therapy with sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors—whose metabolic benefits synergize with MCC950’s anti-inflammatory effects. These approaches hold great potential to break through clinical translation bottlenecks, offering a novel, precise anti-inflammatory treatment option for DN and addressing an unmet clinical need for therapies targeting the inflammatory underpinnings of the disease.
4.MCC950 Targeted Inhibition of TXNIP-NLRP3 Axis-mediated Podocyte Pyroptosis in Diabetic Nephropathy
Hong ZHENG ; Zhong-Cheng MO ; Hang LIU ; Xi-Zhang PAN ; Bing WEI
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(2):418-430
Diabetic Nephropathy (DN) is the leading cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) globally, representing a major global health burden with limited disease-modifying therapies. Podocyte injury serves as the core pathological hallmark of DN, and conventional treatments targeting metabolic disorders or hemodynamic abnormalities fail to reverse the progressive decline of renal function. Accumulating evidence over the past decade has established that high glucose-induced podocyte pyroptosis—a pro-inflammatory form of programmed cell death—is a key driving force in DN progression. Its core molecular mechanism hinges on the activation of the TXNIP-NLRP3 inflammasome axis. Under sustained hyperglycemic conditions, excessive reactive oxygen species (ROS) are generated via pathways including the polyol pathway, advanced glycation end products (AGEs) accumulation, and mitochondrial dysfunction. Concurrently, methylglyoxal (a glucose metabolite) mediates post-translational modification of thioredoxin-interacting protein (TXNIP). These events collectively trigger the dissociation of TXNIP from thioredoxin (TRX), a redox-regulating protein. The free TXNIP then translocates to the mitochondria, where it binds to The NACHT, LRR, and PYD domain-containing protein 3 (NLRP3) and promotes inflammasome assembly. This assembly activates cysteine-aspartic acid protease 1 (caspase-1), which cleaves Gasdermin D (GSDMD) to generate its N-terminal fragment (GSDMD-NT). GSDMD-NT oligomerizes to form membrane pores, leading to podocyte swelling, rupture, and the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines interleukin-1β (IL-1β) and interleukin-18 (IL-18). These cytokines amplify local inflammatory responses, induce mesangial cell proliferation, and accelerate extracellular matrix deposition, ultimately exacerbating glomerulosclerosis. MCC950, a highly selective NLRP3 inhibitor, exerts its therapeutic effects through a multi-layered mechanism: it binds to the NACHT domain (NAIP, CIITA, HET-E and TP1 domain) of NLRP3 with nanomolar affinity, forming hydrogen bonds with key residues (Lys-42 and Asp-166) within the ATP-hydrolysis pocket to block ATP hydrolysis, thereby locking NLRP3 in an inactive conformational state. Additionally, MCC950 interferes with the protein-protein interaction between TXNIP and NLRP3 and regulates mitochondrial homeostasis to reduce ROS production. Preclinical studies have demonstrated that MCC950 dose-dependently reduces proteinuria, restores the expression of podocyte-specific markers (nephrin and Wilms tumor 1 protein, WT1), and alleviates podocyte foot process fusion and glomerulosclerosis in both streptozotocin (STZ)-induced type 1 diabetic models (characterized by absolute insulin deficiency) and db/db type 2 diabetic models (driven by insulin resistance). However, discrepancies in therapeutic outcomes exist across different models—some studies report exacerbated renal inflammation and fibrosis in STZ-induced models—which may stem from differences in disease pathogenesis, intervention timing (early vs. mid-stage disease), and dosing duration. Despite its promising preclinical efficacy, MCC950 faces significant translational challenges, including low oral bioavailability, insufficient podocyte targeting, potential hepatotoxicity, and drug-drug interactions with statins (commonly prescribed to diabetic patients for cardiovascular risk management). Furthermore, off-target effects such as the inhibition of carbonic anhydrase 2 have been identified, raising concerns about its safety profile. Nevertheless, its unique mechanism of action—directly blocking podocyte pyroptosis by targeting the TXNIP-NLRP3 axis—endows it with substantial translational value. In the future, strategies to overcome these barriers are expected to advance its clinical application: targeted delivery via nanocarriers (e.g., PLGA-PEG nanoparticles or nephrin antibody-conjugated systems) to enhance renal accumulation and podocyte specificity; precise patient stratification based on biomarkers such as serum IL-18 and renal TXNIP/NLRP3 expression to identify “inflammatory-phenotype” DN patients most likely to benefit; and combination therapy with sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors—whose metabolic benefits synergize with MCC950’s anti-inflammatory effects. These approaches hold great potential to break through clinical translation bottlenecks, offering a novel, precise anti-inflammatory treatment option for DN and addressing an unmet clinical need for therapies targeting the inflammatory underpinnings of the disease.
5.Analysis of the trend of lung cancer incidence in Fenghua District of Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, 2009‒2023
Fanhan SHEN ; Yuanfan YAO ; Feixing DU ; Hang HONG ; Sanjun FU ; Wei FENG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):244-248
ObjectiveTo analyze the trend of lung cancer incidence in Fenghua District, Ningbo City of Zhejiang Province from 2009 to 2023, and to estimate the age-period- cohort effects of incidence rate, so as to provide scientific basis for the formulation of lung cancer prevention and control measures in Fenghua District. MethodsJoinpoint software was utilized to analyze the trends and calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of lung cancer incidence based on the tumor incidence surveillance data from Fenghua District, 2009‒2023. The age-period-cohort (APC) model for lung cancer incidence was analyzed using STATA 17.0 software, and net drift and local drift of lung cancer incidence rates were analyzed using online analytical tools. ResultsThe incidence of lung cancer in Fenghua District showed an overall upward trend from 2009 to 2023, with the standardized incidence rate increasing from 45.05/100 000 in 2009 to 108.20/100 000 in 2023(AAPC=7.05%, P<0.05). The increase in the standardized incidence rate for females (AAPC=12.72%, P<0.05) was higher than that for males (AAPC=2.97%, P<0.05). The overall net drift in lung cancer incidence for residents of Fenghua District was 11.71%, with the net drift for females (16.54%) being higher than that for males (6.64%). The local drift in lung cancer incidence among different age groups ranged from -3.37% to 35.18%. The results of APC model showed that the risk of lung cancer incidence increased and then decreased with age, with the highest age effect coefficient observed in the 65‒69 years age group at 1.08. The period effect showed a gradually increasing trend in lung cancer incidence risk with the progression of time, and the period effect coefficient in 2019‒2023 (0.46) was higher than that in 2009‒2013 (-0.39), increasing by 217.95%. The cohort effect coefficient showed a trend of first decreasing and then increasing with the expansion of the birth cohort, in which the lowest cohort effect coefficient was -1.07 observed in the birth cohort of 1964‒1968 and the highest cohort effect coefficient was 1.77 in the birth cohort of 1924‒1928. ConclusionThe incidence of lung cancer in Fenghua District shows an upward trend from 2009 to 2023, with a higher increase in incidence rates among females than that in males. The risk of lung cancer incidence exists a trend of increasing and then decreasing with age growth. With the progression of time, the risk of lung cancer incidence shows a gradually increasing trend. However, with the expansion the birth cohort, the risk of lung cancer incidence demonstrates a trend of first decreasing and then increasing.
6.Analysis of incidence of stroke in Beilun District, Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, 2012‒2023
Kunpeng GU ; Qi HU ; Qiaofang LI ; Zhiliang FAN ; Hang HONG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(7):586-590
ObjectiveTo analyze the incidence and trend of stroke in Beilun District, so as to provide evidence for identifying influencing factors and reducing stroke incidence. MethodsStroke cases from 2012 to 2023 were extracted from the Ningbo Chronic Disease Collaborative Management System. Population information of Beilun District during the same period was also collected. The annual incidence and trends of stroke were analyzed. ResultsFrom 2012 to 2023, the age-standardized incidence rate of stroke in Beilun District, Ningbo City was 317.68/100 000, showing an increasing trend with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 2.267% (P=0.034). Among all subdistricts in Beilun District, two showed a downward trend in incidence, while the rest showed an upward trend. The crude incidence rate of stroke was significantly higher in males than that in females (P<0.001). The age-standardized incidence rate in males was 406.08/100 000, showing an increasing trend (AAPC=3.956%, P<0.001). The incidence of stroke also showed an increasing trend in the following age groups: 30‒<45 years (AAPC=6.340%, P=0.004), 45‒<60 years (AAPC=4.997%, P<0.001), and 60‒<75 years (AAPC=3.282%, P=0.042). Across all years, males had higher crude incidence rates in both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke than females (P<0.05). The age-standardized incidence rate of ischemic stroke showed a rising trend in both males and the general population (male AAPC=4.905%, P<0.001; overall population AAPC=3.065%, P=0.001). ConclusionThe age-standardized incidence of stroke in Beilun District is on the rise, with higher crude incidence rate in males than that in females. The onset age of stroke is gradually declining. The age-standardized incidence rate of male ischemic stroke shows a clear upward trend.
7.Non-pharmacological interventions in chronic prostatitis/chronic pelvic pain syndrome:A network meta-analysis
Xiao-hui WEI ; Meng-yao MA ; Hang SU ; Tong HU ; Yu-xin ZHAO ; Xing-chao LIU ; Hong-yan BI
National Journal of Andrology 2025;31(3):234-245
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy of shockwave therapy,acupuncture,hyperthermia,biofeedback therapy,elec-trical nerve stimulation,magnetotherapy and ultrasound therapy in the treatment of chronic prostatitis/chronic pelvic pain syndrome(CP/CPPS),and to provide evidence-based support for clinical decision-making.Methods:Two researchers independently searched PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,Cochrane Library,CNKI,Wanfang,VIP and Chinese Biomedical Literature databases for randomized controlled trials(RCTs)on the effects of different interventions on CP/CPPS from the establishment of the databases to August 2024.We evaluated the quality of the included literature and extracted the relevant data according to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions,followed by network meta-analysis using Revman 5.3,R 4.33 and Stata17 software.Results:A total of 25 RCTs involving 1 794 cases were included.The results of network meta-analysis showed that electrical nerve stimulation,shockwave therapy,biofeedback therapy,magnetotherapy,ultrasound therapy and acupuncture were significantly superior to conventional medication and placebo in the total NIH-CPSI scores(P<0.05),and so were electrical nerve stimulation and shock-wave therapy to acupuncture and hyperthermia(P<0.05),magnetic therapy to hyperthermia,and ultrasound therapy to placebo(P<0.05).Shockwave therapy,biofeedback therapy,electrical nerve stimulation,magnetotherapy and ultrasound therapy achieved re-markably better clinical efficacy than conventional medication and placebo in the treatment of CP/CPPS,and so did shockwave therapy than electrical nerve stimulation,hyperthermia,ultrasonic therapy,magnetotherapy and acupuncture.Conclusion:For the treat-ment of CP/CPPS,electrical nerve stimulation is advantageous over the other interventions in improving total NIH-CPSI scores,and shockwave therapy is advantageous in relieving pain symptoms and clinical efficacy.This conclusion,however,needs to be further veri-fied by more high-quality clinical studies.
8.Development and validation of a patient-specific quality assurance tool based on fast Monte Carlo and treatment log file in proton therapy
Hong-ying FENG ; Tian-yu PENG ; Jie SHAN ; Yong-hong ZHANG ; Bin-hang ZHANG ; Xian-bao YUAN ; Wei LIU
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2025;52(4):550-559
Objective To develop and validate a fast Monte Carlo(MC)-based patient-specific quality assurance(PSQA)tool using the treatment log files that is suitable to be used in the online adaptive radiotherapy for pencil beam scanning proton therapy(PBSPT-ART).Methods The proposed tool first used the delivery log file of a PBSPT plan to reversely reconstruct the PBSPT(rPBSPT)plan,and then used an in-house developed graphic processing unit(GPU)-accelerated virtual particle MC(VPMC)dose engine to calculate the dose distribution of the rPBSPT plan.The rPBSPT dose calculated by VPMC was then compared to the rPBSPT dose calculated by another independent MC dose engine(MCsquare),using 3D gamma analysis to verify the accuracy of VPMC calculation.As a demonstration of the feasibility of developed log file-based PSQA,the VPMC calculated dose of the rPBSPT plan was compared to the pre-delivery second check dose of the corresponding PBSPT plan calculated by MCsquare,using 3D gamma analysis.3D gamma analysis employes a criterion of 2 mm/2%/10%.Twenty patients with different disease sites were representatively selected to validate the efficiency and accuracy of the tool.Results The average calculation time of a rPBSPT plan by VPMC was(5.88±4.00)s in the accuracy verification.Compared to MCsquare,the passing rate of the 3D gamma analysis was 99.47%±0.72%.In the proposed PSQA tool demonstration,the passing rate of comparing the VPMC calculated rPBSPT dose to MCsquare calculated second check dose of the corresponding PBSPT plan was 98.91%±0.92%.Conclusion The accuracy and efficiency of the tool can meet the requirements of PSQA in the online PBSPT-ART workflow.
9.Lateral view fulcrum bending radiographs predict postoperative hypokyphosis after selective thoracic fusion in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis
Victoria Yuk Ting HUI ; Jason Pui Yin CHEUNG ; Prudence Wing Hang CHEUNG
Asian Spine Journal 2025;19(1):102-111
Methods:
Patients with Lenke 1 AIS undergoing posterior spinal fusion were included. Standing and fulcrum bending radiographs on the coronal and sagittal planes were analyzed at preoperative, immediate, and 2-year postoperative periods. The primary outcome was postoperative hypokyphosis (T5–12 thoracic kyphosis [TK] <20°). Risk factors for postoperative hypokyphosis were identified by multivariate logistic regression, and the optimal cutoff for significant risk factors was determined by receiver operating characteristic analysis.
Results:
In total, 156 patients were included in the analysis, of which 68 (43.6%) were hypokyphotic at 2-year follow-up. Low T5–12 TK on lateral view fulcrum bending films (immediate postoperative odds ratio [OR], 0.870; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.826–0.917; 2-year postoperative OR, 0.916; 95% CI, 0.876–0.959; p<0.001) and high convex side implant density (2-year postoperative OR, 1.749; 95% CI, 1.056–2.897; p=0.03) were significant risk factors for postoperative hypokyphosis. Other baseline demographic and surgical factors did not affect postoperative kyphosis correction. The T5–12 TK cutoff on fulcrum bending for 2-year postoperative hypokyphosis was 12.45° (area under the curve, 0.773; 95% CI, 0.661–0.820).
Conclusions
Fulcrum bending radiography is useful in assessing coronal and sagittal flexibility for preoperative planning. In patients with T5–12 kyphosis <12.5° on lateral view fulcrum bending radiographs, Ponte osteotomies or releases, or a decrease in convex side implant density should be considered to improve kyphosis restoration and reduce the risk of 2-year postoperative hypokyphosis.
10.Establishment and validation of a predictive model for increased drainage volume after open transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion
Yin HU ; Hai-long YU ; Hong-wen GU ; Kang-en HAN ; Shi-lei TANG ; Yuan-hang ZHAO ; Zhi-hao ZHANG ; Jun-chao LI ; Le XING ; Hong-wei WANG
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2025;34(11):981-986
Objective To analyze the risk factors for increased drainage volume after open transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion(TLIF),and to establish a predictive model and then validate it.Methods The clinical data of 680 patients who underwent open TLIF at the General Hospital of Northern Theater Command from January 2016 to December 2019 were collected and the patients were randomly divided into the training group(n=476)and the validation group(n=204).Taking the predictive factors screened out by LASSO regression analysis as independent variables,a multivariate Logistic regression predictive model was constructed.The model was internally validated through the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test,and calibration curve,and its clinical utility was assessed via decision curve analysis(DCA).Results LASSO regression analysis screened out four predictive variables:age,number of surgical segments,operative duration,and intraoperative blood loss.The multivariate Logistic regression predictive model demonstrated that age≥60 years,number of surgical segments≥4,operative duration≥2 hours,and intraoperative blood loss≥200 mL were independent influencing factors for the increased postoperative drainage volume in patients undergoing TLIF(P<0.05).ROC curve analysis revealed an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.816(95%CI:0.798 to 0.867)in the training group and 0.783(95%CI:0.685 to 0.823)in the validation group,indicating that the predictive model had good discriminatory ability.Additionally,the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test and calibration curve indicated that the predictive model had a good degree of fit,and the predicted probability was basically consistent with the actual probability,demonstrating a good calibration.The DCA results confirmed that this predictive model could be applied in clinical practice.Conclusion The risk factors for increased drainage volume after open TLIF include age,number of surgical segments,operative duration,and intraoperative blood loss.The predictive model established based on these factors demonstrates good performance,and it can be applied in clinical guidance for the selection of drainage tube removal time after TLIF.

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