1.A prediction model for high-risk cardiovascular disease among residents aged 35 to 75 years
ZHOU Guoying ; XING Lili ; SU Ying ; LIU Hongjie ; LIU He ; WANG Di ; XUE Jinfeng ; DAI Wei ; WANG Jing ; YANG Xinghua
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(1):12-16
Objective:
To establish a prediction model for high-risk cardiovascular disease (CVD) among residents aged 35 to 75 years, so as to provide the basis for improving CVD prevention and control measures.
Methods:
Permanent residents aged 35 to 75 years were selected from Dongcheng District, Beijing Municipality using the stratified random sampling method from 2018 to 2023. Demographic information, lifestyle, waist circumference and blood biochemical indicators were collected through questionnaire surveys, physical examinations and laboratory tests. Influencing factors for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years were identified using a multivariable logistic regression model, and a prediction model for high-risk CVD was established. The predictive effect was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Results:
A total of 6 968 individuals were surveyed, including 2 821 males (40.49%) and 4 147 females (59.51%), and had a mean age of (59.92±9.33) years. There were 1 155 high-risk CVD population, with a detection rate of 16.58%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that gender, age, smoking, central obesity, systolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, triglyceride and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were influencing factors for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years (all P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve of the established prediction model was 0.849 (95%CI: 0.834-0.863), with a sensitivity of 0.693 and a specificity of 0.863, indicating good discrimination.
Conclusion
The model constructed by eight factors including demographic characteristics, lifestyle and blood biochemical indicators has good predictive value for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years.
2.Astragalin Regulates Autophagy and Apoptosis of Astrocytes in L4-5 Spinal Dorsal Horn of Mouse Inflammatory Pain Model
Weishan ZHANG ; Jiahong LIN ; Can WANG ; Runheng ZHANG ; Junhua YANG ; Jing LIU ; Guoying LI ; Yuxin MA
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Medical Sciences) 2025;46(2):186-196
ObjectiveTo explore the effects of astragalin (AST) on autophagy and apoptosis of astrocytes in the L4-5 dorsal horn of the spinal cord in mice with inflammatory pain induced by complete Freund's adjuvant (CFA). MethodsTwenty-four male C57BL/6 mice, aged six months, were randomly assigned to four groups: control group, saline group, CFA model group, and CFA+AST group, six mice in each group. The inflammatory pain model was established by injection of 10 µL CFA into the right lateral malleolus fossa. The saline group were injected with an equal amount of normal saline at the same site. The inflammatory pain mice in CFA+AST group were further treated with AST (60 mg/kg) intraperitoneally once a day for 21 consecutive days. Multiplex immunofluorescence staining was used to detect the coexpression of autophagy-related factors including ATG 12 and Beclin-1, apoptosis-related factors including Cleaved-Caspase3 and Caspase9, and the astrocyte marker such as GFAP in the L4-5 spinal dorsal horn of the mice in each group. Western blot was used to examine the protein expression levels of autophagy-related proteins(ATG12, Beclin-1) and apoptosis-related proteins(Caspase 3, Caspase 9) in the L4-5 spinal dorsal horn of mice. ResultsImmunofluorescent staining showed that in the L4-5 dorsal horn of the spinal cord, the fluorescence intensity of ATG12 (P<0.000 1) and Beclin-1 (P<0.000 1) was significantly increased, while that of Cleaved-Caspase 3 (P<0.001) and Caspase 9 (P<0.000 1) was decreased in the CFA+AST group when compared to the CFA model group. Furthermore, AST could inhibit the activation of astrocytes. Western blot further confirmed that AST significantly upregulated the expression of ATG12 (P<0.000 1) and Beclin-1 (P<0.000 1) in the L4-5 spinal cord of CFA mice, and downregulated the expression of Caspase 3 (P<0.01) and Caspase 9 (P<0.001). ConclusionsAST promotes autophagy of astrocytes and inhibits their apoptosis in the L4-5 spinal dorsal horn of CFA mice.
3.Temporal trend in mortality due to congenital heart disease in China from 2008 to 2021.
Youping TIAN ; Xiaojing HU ; Qing GU ; Miao YANG ; Pin JIA ; Xiaojing MA ; Xiaoling GE ; Quming ZHAO ; Fang LIU ; Ming YE ; Weili YAN ; Guoying HUANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(6):693-701
BACKGROUND:
Congenital heart disease (CHD) is a leading cause of birth defect-related mortality. However, more recent CHD mortality data for China are lacking. Additionally, limited studies have evaluated sex, rural-urban, and region-specific disparities of CHD mortality in China.
METHODS:
We designed a population-based study using data from the Dataset of National Mortality Surveillance in China between 2008 and 2021. We calculated age-adjusted CHD mortality using the sixth census data of China in 2010 as the standard population. We assessed the temporal trends in CHD mortality by age, sex, area, and region from 2008 to 2021 using the joinpoint regression model.
RESULTS:
From 2008 to 2021, 33,534 deaths were attributed to CHD. The period witnessed a two-fold decrease in the age-adjusted CHD mortality from 1.61 to 0.76 per 100,000 persons (average annual percent change [AAPC] = -5.90%). Females tended to have lower age-adjusted CHD mortality than males, but with a similar decline rate from 2008 to 2021 (females: AAPC = -6.15%; males: AAPC = -5.84%). Similar AAPC values were observed among people living in urban (AAPC = -6.64%) and rural (AAPC = -6.12%) areas. Eastern regions experienced a more pronounced decrease in the age-adjusted CHD mortality (AAPC = -7.86%) than central (AAPC = -5.83%) and western regions (AAPC = -3.71%) between 2008 and 2021. Approximately half of the deaths (46.19%) due to CHD occurred during infancy. The CHD mortality rates in 2021 were lower than those in 2008 for people aged 0-39 years, with the largest decrease observed among children aged 1-4 years (AAPC = -8.26%), followed by infants (AAPC = -7.01%).
CONCLUSIONS
CHD mortality in China has dramatically decreased from 2008 to 2021. The slower decrease in CHD mortality in the central and western regions than in the eastern regions suggested that public health policymakers should pay more attention to health resources and health education for central and western regions.
Humans
;
Heart Defects, Congenital/mortality*
;
Male
;
Female
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Infant
;
Child, Preschool
;
Adult
;
Child
;
Adolescent
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Middle Aged
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Young Adult
;
Aged
;
Rural Population
4.Detection of Free T4 in Cerebrospinal Fluid Predicts Autism-like Behaviors in Offspring Rats Induced by Hypothyroidism during Pregnancy
Lifang LI ; Jiaqi ZHANG ; Junhua YANG ; Yuxin MA ; Guoying LI
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Medical Sciences) 2025;46(6):1029-1040
ObjectiveTo investigate the potential value of thyroid hormones in cerebrospinal fluid in predicting autism-like behaviors induced by hypothyroidism in pregnant rats. MethodsTwelve pregnant Wistar rats were randomly divided into a control group and a hypothyroidism group (hypothyroidism model group). Offspring from both groups had serum and cerebrospinal fluid levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), total triiodothyronine (TT3), total thyroxine (TT4), free triiodothyronine (FT3), and free thyroxine (FT4) levels in serum and cerebrospinal fluid. Ultrasonic vocalization tests were conducted on postnatal day 2 (P2), day 7 (P7), and day 14 (P14), while behavioral tests using the three-box social interaction test were performed on day 21(P21). ResultsCompared with the control group, free T4 (FT4) levels in the cerebrospinal fluid of the hypothyroidism group were significantly reduced during the developmental period (P0-P21; P2: P<0.05; P7: P<0.05; P14: P<0.01; P21: P<0.01), with no statistical difference between the two groups only at P0 (P>0.05). In the ultrasonic vocalization (USV) tests, the number and duration of USVs in offsprings from the hypothyroidism group were significantly reduced compared with those of the control group on P2, P7 and P14: for USV counts (P2: P<0.05; P7: P<0.001; P14: P<0.01); for USV duration (P2: P<0.05; P7: P<0.001; P14: P<0.001). In the three-box social tests, offsprings of the hypothyroidism group showed significantly reduced sniffing time with unfamiliar rats at P21 compared to the control group (all P<0.001). The FT4 levels in cerebrospinal fluid had a significantly positive correlation with USV counts (P7: r=0.883, P<0.05; P14: r=0.902, P<0.05) and sniffing time with unfamiliar rats (r=0.814, P<0.01). ConclusionMeasuring free T4 in cerebrospinal fluid can predict autism-like behaviors in offsprings of rats induced by hypothyroidism during pregnancy.
5.Construction and validation of a nutritional risk prediction model for patients with radiation oral mucositis
Lijun ZHU ; Lixia ZHU ; Guoying XU ; Jingsong YANG
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(7):1611-1617,1622
Objective To investigate the influencing factors of nutritional risk in patients with radia-tion-induced oral mucositis and establish a predictive model.Methods A total of 126 patients with nasopha-ryngeal carcinoma and radiation-induced oral mucositis who visited the General Hospital of Shaoxing Second Hospital Affiliated Healthcare Group,Dongpu Street Community Health Service Center in Yuecheng District,Shaoxing City,and the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine from January 2020 to January 2023 were selected as the model group and divided into the nutritional risk group and the nutrition-ally normal group according to the presence or absence of nutritional risk.Meanwhile,54 patients with radia-tion-induced oral mucositis due to nasopharyngeal carcinoma from February 2023 to March 2024 were selected as the validation group.Logistic regression was used to establish a risk prediction model,and a nomogram was developed and validated.Results Multivariate analysis showed that digestive discomfort symptoms,dietary structure score,and anxiety were factors influencing nutritional risk in patients with radiation-induced oral mucositis.In the model group,the area under the ROC curve was 0.992(95%CI:0.977 to 1.000),the maxi-mum Youden index was 0.961,corresponding specificity was 0.961,sensitivity was 1.000,χ2=4.668,P=0.792.In the validation group,the area under the ROC curve was 0.948(95%CI:0.897 to 0.999),the maxi-mum Youden index was 0.742,corresponding specificity was 0.742,sensitivity was 1.000,χ2=4.438,P=0.816.The model demonstrated good predictive ability.Conclusion A predictive model for nutritional risk factors in patients with radiation-induced oral mucositis is successfully constructed and can provide clinical reference.
6.Pathogenesis of acute lung injury of the newborns
Ruotong YANG ; Guoying ZHAO ; Hao WANG
Basic & Clinical Medicine 2025;45(1):135-139
Due to factors such as narrow airways and incomplete development of alveoli,newborns are prone to acute lung injury(ALI),which may progress to severe condition known as acute respiratory distress syndrome(ARDS).The mechanisms underlying the occurrence and progression of ALI in newborns involve various as-pects,including oxidative stress,iron death,inflammatory response and reduction of pulmonary surfactant.Further research into these mechanisms is expected to provide strategy to guide clinical management in novo pathway.
7.Epidemiological trends and disease burden of lower gastrointestinal bleeding in children within 10 years
Guoying TANG ; Qing LIU ; Mingyue ZHU ; Yongping ZHAO ; Pingying JIANG ; Linyun YANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2024;35(1):100-103
Objective To retrospectively analyze the epidemiological trend of children with lower gastrointestinal bleeding in recent 10 years,and investigate the change of their disease burden,so as to provide a theoretical basis for the accurate prevention and control of children's lower gastrointestinal bleeding. Methods A total of 671 children with "lower gastrointestinal bleeding" who were diagnosed in our hospital from 2012 to 2021 were collected as research subjects. To analyze the microscopic examination rate and common etiology of lower gastrointestinal bleeding in children in the past 10 years,as well as the epidemiological characteristics of different age groups, different regions and different basic diseases; Calculate and compare the rate of disability life lost (YLD), early death life lost (YLL) and disability adjusted life year (DALY) of children with lower gastrointestinal bleeding within 10 years, and calculate the annual change percentage (AAPC) to analyze the change trend of disease burden. Results The microscopic examination rate of children with lower gastrointestinal bleeding showed a trend of increasing in the past 10 years (P<0.001). Among them, the most common causes are Crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis and chronic colitis. The proportion of children with lower gastrointestinal bleeding was higher in boys, >18 years old, hypertension and gastroenteritis. The DALY rate, YLL rate and YLD rate caused by lower gastrointestinal bleeding in the past 10 years showed an upward trend (P<0.05). Conclusion The microscopic examination rate of lower gastrointestinal bleeding in children was graduallyincreasing,and the prevalence rate of basic diseases such as boys,hypertension and gastroenteritis was increasing;in addition,the disease burden caused by children's lower gastrointestinal bleeding was also increasing year by year and should be protected.
8.Allele frequency polymorphism of Duffy, Kidd, Diego blood group system: a study in Dongxiang ethnic group in Gansu Province
Jun CUI ; Weiping ZHANG ; Xia HUI ; Xiaoping ZHANG ; Guoying LI ; Haiyan YANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2024;37(1):68-72
【Objective】 To investigate the allele frequencies polymorphic distribution of Duffy, Kidd and Diego blood group systems in Dongxiang ethnic group in Gansu Province. 【Methods】 Blood samples of 100 unrelated blood donors were randomly selected from Dongxiang ethnic group in Gansu from January to December 2017. Allelic typing of Duffy, Kidd and Diego blood groups was performed by fluorescence PCR. 【Results】 The allele frequencies of Duffy, Kidd, and Diego blood group systems of Dongxiang ethnic group were 0.835 for Fy*01, 0.165 for Fy*02, 0.570 for Jk*01, 0.430 for Jk*02, 0.020 for DI*01, 0.980 for DI*02, respectively. No Fy(a-b-), Jk(a-b-), Di(a+b-) rare phenotypes were found. The antigen incompatibility rates of Fya/Fyb, Jka/Jkb, Dia/Dib of Duffy, Kidd, and Diego blood group systems were 23.76%, 37.01% and 3.84%, respectively. 【Conclusion】 The allele frequencies distribution of Duffy, Kidd and Diego blood group systems in Dongxiang ethnic group in Gansu were polymorphic and has unique ethnic distribution characteristics.
9.Epidemic characteristics of respiratory tract infection diseases in children in Kaizhou District, Chongqing in 2019 - 2022
Linyun YANG ; Guoying TANG ; Xiaoping ZHENG ; Yan TAN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2024;35(3):137-140
Objective To analyze the incidence characteristics and pathogen epidemic characteristics of respiratory tract children in Chongqing Kaizhou area. Methods A total of 5 328 children admitted to our hospital from January 2019 to December 2022 were selected as the research subjects. Indirect immunofluorescence method was used to detect 8 common respiratory pathogens in the serum of the children; Using SPSS 22.0 software, analyze the incidence characteristics and pathogen prevalence of 8 pathogens in respiratory tract children. Results (1) The highest detection rate was MP (χ2=12.141, P<0.05); (2) The detection rate of PM and PIV in the infant group was lower than that in the infant group and large group, The difference was statistically significant (χ2=7.923, P<0.05); (3) Eight pathogens IgM had the highest detection rate in the spring, Opposite in winter (χ2=1.872, P<0.05); (4) A total of 3 817 IgM antibody positive cases were detected in 5328 sick infants, The positive rate was 71.64%, There was a statistical difference between the sexes (χ2=3.928, P<0.05). Conclusion The detection rate of respiratory pathogens varies in age and sex, which is highest in spring, so pay attention to the respiratory tract infection in spring, focusing on the prevention and treatment of mycoplasma pneumoniae.
10.Practical research on the training of intensive care medicine talents in Xizang based on cloud teaching rounds
Wei DU ; Guoying LIN ; Xiying GUI ; Li CHENG ; Xin CAI ; Jianlei FU ; Xiwei LI ; Pubu ZHUOMA ; Yang CI ; Danzeng QUZHEN ; Lü JI ; Ciren SANGZHU ; Wa DA ; Juan GUO ; Cheng QIU
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2024;23(8):1065-1068
In view of the problem of slow development of intensive care medicine in Xizang, the research team made full use of the national partner assistance to Xizang, gathered resources across all cities in Xizang, and formed a national academic platform for critical care medicine in plateau areas. Adhering to the academic orientation with hemodynamics as the main topic, critical care ultrasound as the bedside dynamic monitoring and evaluation method, and blood flow-oxygen flow resuscitation as the core connotation, we have achieved the goals of improving the critical care talent echelon throughout Xizang, driving the overall progress of intensive care medicine in Xizang, making a figure in China, and focusing on training of top-notch talents.


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