1.Pharmacoeconomic evaluation of culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant in the second-line treatment of HR+/HER2− locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer
Ran LIU ; Shengnan GAO ; Congxin LI ; Yuxi ZHANG ; Ranran ZHANG ; Yue WANG ; Ziyi LIU ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(8):1033-1038
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant as second-line treatment for patients with hormone receptor-positive(HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2–) locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer, within the context of the Chinese healthcare system. METHODS A partitioned survival model was established based on the CULMATE-1 study, with a simulation time horizon set at 15 years and a cycle length of 28 days. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant versus fulvestrant monotherapy as second-line treatment for HR+/HER2– breast cancer was calculated. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to assess the robustness of the model. Meanwhile, scenario analysis of culmerciclib price reduction was conducted; the required price reduction and price to reach the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold in this study were calculated. RESULTS The results of the base-case analysis indicated that, compared with the fulvestrant monotherapy regimen, culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant yielded an additional 0.823 quality-adjusted life year (QALY), with a corresponding ICER of 371 696.26 yuan/QALY, which exceeded the WTP threshold (199 330 yuan/QALY). The results of the univariate sensitivity analysis indicated that the cost of culmerciclib, the discount rate, the utility values for progression disease and progression free survival status were significant factors influencing the ICER; both the univariate sensitivity analysis and the probabilistic sensitivity analysis validated the robustness of the model results. Scenario analysis indicated that when the price of culmerciclib was reduced by 30%, 55% and 85% respectively, the corresponding ICER values fell below 3, 2, and 1 times China’s per capita GDP in 2025, with the probability of cost-effectiveness being 3.00%, 94.90%, 100%. When the cost of culmerciclib (60 mg) was reduced by 52.6% to 50.96 yuan, the ICER value met the WTP threshold established in this study. CONCLUSIONS When the WTP threshold is set at twice China’s per capita GDP in 2025, second-line treatment with culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant for HR+/HER2– locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer does not exhibit cost-effectiveness advantage over fulvestrant monotherapy. Therefore, a reasonable price reduction is required to alleviate the financial burden on patients.
2.Pre-operative risk assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence in liver transplant recipients by non-invasive detection of pre-existing genetic lesions
Suqin YANG ; Sunbin LING ; Jianhua LI ; Yan WANG ; Jiapei WANG ; Qiwei HUANG ; Fanming LIU ; Yiqi ZHUANG ; Yingyu ZHENG ; Rui WANG ; Zhe YANG ; Xiaoping ZHENG ; Kai WANG ; Zhikun LIU ; Jun CHEN ; Jianguo WANG ; Haiyang XIE ; Lin ZHOU ; Leiming CHEN ; Guoqiang CAO ; Dandan CHEN ; Junfang JI ; Bin ZHAO ; Chao JIANG ; Di LU ; Xuyong WEI ; Hangjin JIANG ; Qiaonan SHAN ; Hengbo SHI ; Yong-Zhen XU ; Shusen ZHENG ; Zhengxin WANG ; Shengda LIN ; Xiao XU
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2026;32(2):884-903
Background/Aims:
Liver transplantation (LT) following total hepatectomy is a life-saving treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The HCC recurrence after LT hinders the effectiveness of the procedure. The objective of this study is to develop a pre-operative risk stratification model based on a liquid biopsy.
Methods:
We conducted a comprehensive multi-omics study of 260 HCC patients from three centers, including clinical data, low-coverage whole-genome sequencing of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) from plasma, as well as whole-exome, single-nucleus RNA, and spatial transcriptomics from matched tumor and non-tumor tissues.
Results:
We identified cfDNA-derived copy number alteration (CNA) signatures associated with post-transplant recurrence. By integrating cfDNA-derived CNA profiles with single-cell transcriptomic data, we traced recurrence-associated cfDNA to a distinct subpopulation of malignant cells within the primary tumor. These cells were embedded in a pro-metastatic microenvironment of specialized endothelial subtypes and cancer-associated fibroblasts. Notably, most recurrence-associated lesions were detectable in cfDNA prior to liver transplantation (LT). Building on these insights, we developed the ZJU Criteria based on CNA fragments and tumor markers, a pre-LT risk prediction tool that integrates conventional clinical factors with cfDNA-derived CNA signatures, and validated it using internal and independent external cohorts.
Conclusion
Our findings suggest that post-transplant recurrence commonly originates from advanced subclones that emerge late during tumor evolution. The ZJU Criteria provides an accurate, non-invasive strategy that significantly improves pre-LT risk stratification and clinical decision-making for patients with HCC.
3.Cost-effectiveness analysis of onradivir and oseltamivir for the treatment of influenza A in adults
Yongzan ZHANG ; Shengnan GAO ; Xianying WANG ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(12):1579-1583
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of onradivir versus oseltamivir in the treatment of influenza A in adults from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. METHODS Based on data from a phase Ⅲ clinical trial (NCT04683406), a decision tree model was constructed to simulate the efficacy and cost of using onradivir versus oseltamivir in treating adult patients with influenza A, with a cycle length of 5 days and a simulation period of 29 days. The two drug prices correspond to the median listing prices published by Yaozhi Network and the national negotiated prices. Patient characteristics and influenza utility values were derived from the phase Ⅲ clinical trial of onradivir, and medical costs and complication utility values were sourced from published literature. Quality-adjusted life year(QALY) was used as an effect indicator, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio(ICER) of onradivir versus oseltamivir was calculated, using China’s per capita disposable income in 2025 (43 377 yuan) as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the results. One-way and probabilistic analyses were performed to verify the robustness of the results. RESULTS Compared with the oseltamivir regimen, the onradivir regimen yielded an incremental 0.000 67 QALY with direct medical cost savings of 12.41 yuan, thus being a dominant strategy. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that the utility values on day 15 of oseltamivir treatment, the incidence of influenza pneumonia in the oseltamivir group and the costs of the two drugs significantly affected the results. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that at the pre-specified WTP threshold, onradivir had a 70.6% probability of being cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS At a WTP threshold set at the 2025 per capita disposable income of China, compared with oseltamivir, onradivir can improve the health outcomes of adult patients with influenza A and reduce costs, demonstrating greater cost-effectiveness.
4.Cost-utility analysis of datopotamab deruxtecan as first-line treatment for advanced triple-negative breast cancer in patients ineligible for immunotherapy
Sisi LIU ; Ran LIU ; Shengnan GAO ; Ziyi LIU ; Yue WANG ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(20):2711-2717
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of datopotamab deruxtecan versus traditional chemotherapy as first-line treatment for advanced triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in patients ineligible for immunotherapy, from the perspective of the health system in China.METHODS A partitioned survival model was constructed based on the results of the TROPION-Breast02 study. The time horizon was set at 10 years with a cycle length of 21 d, a discount rate of 4.5%, and a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 2 times the per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of China in 2025. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of datopotamab deruxtecan versus chemotherapy was calculated. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to assess the robustness of the model. Scenario analyses of price reductions of datopotamab deruxtecan were also conducted to estimate the required price reduction magnitude and prices for the ICER to fall below the WTP thresholds of 2, 1 and 0.5 times the per capita GDP of China.RESULTS Compared with chemotherapy, datopotamab deruxtecan could yield an additional 0.37 quality-adjusted life year (QALY), with an ICER of 825 725.04 yuan/QALY, which was higher than the WTP threshold (199 330 yuan/QALY). One-way sensitivity analysis indicated that the ICER was highly sensitive to the cost of datopotamab deruxtecan and sacituzumab govitecan (for subsequent treatment), and the utility value of the progression-free survival state; the results of both one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses supported the good robustness of the model. The scenario analyses showed that when the price of datopotamab deruxtecan was reduced by 36.30%, 42.08% and 44.96%, respectively (corresponding to prices of 4 246.18, 3 861.15 and 3 668.66 yuan per 100 mg), the ICER fell below the WTP thresholds of 2, 1 and 0.5 times the per capita GDP of China, respectively.CONCLUSIONS At a WTP threshold of 2 times the per capita GDP of China in 2025, datopotamab deruxtecan as first-line treatment for advanced TNBC in patients ineligible for immunotherapy is not cost-effective compared with chemotherapy.
5.A comparison of short-term efficacy and safety of small-caliber polyvinyl alcohol microsphere-based versus conventional TACE for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma
Shaowei LI ; Jianguo LI ; Junchen WANG ; Shuxia WANG ; Guoqiang MA ; Yumin LI ; Li GUO ; Wei HU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(20):2732-2738
OBJECTIVE To compare the short-term efficacy and safety of small-caliber polyvinyl alcohol (PVA) microsphere-based transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) versus conventional iodized oil emulsion-based TACE in the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).METHODS Clinical data of 146 patients with unresectable HCC who underwent TACE at Gansu Provincial Second People’s Hospital (Affiliated Hospital of Northwest Minzu University) from June 1, 2024, to June 30, 2025, were retrospectively collected. According to the treatment strategy, the patients were divided into the control group (conventional iodized oil emulsion-based TACE, n =79) and the observation group (small-caliber PVA microsphere-based TACE, n =67). One-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) was performed, and the matched cohort (62 patients in each group) was used for the primary analysis. The objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) at 1 and 3 months post-treatment, serum levels of tumor markers (alpha-fetoprotein, alpha-fetoprotein lectin-binding fraction L3, and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-Ⅱ) before treatment and at 1 and 3 months post-treatment, the occurrence of adverse events, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were compared between the two groups. Sensitivity and interaction analyses were also performed.RESULTS After PSM, the ORRs in the observation group at 1 and 3 months post-treatment were both 59.7%, and the DCRs were 91.9% and 93.5%, respectively, significantly higher than those in the control group (ORRs: 41.9% and 38.7%; DCRs: 77.4% and 75.8%; P <0.05). At 1 and 3 months post-treatment, the serum levels of tumor markers decreased significantly from baseline in both groups, with significantly lower levels in the observation group than in the control group ( P <0.05). No statistically significant differences were observed in the overall incidence of adverse events or the incidence of grade≥3 adverse events between the two groups ( P >0.05). The median PFS was 10.6 months in the control group and 14.3 months in the observation group, with no statistically significant difference [hazard ratio (HR) of 0.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.44-1.09, P =0.111]. During follow-up, 8 and 9 patients died in the control and observation groups, respectively, and the median OS was not reached in either group. The 12-month OS rates were 88.8% and 87.3%, respectively, with no statistically significant difference (HR of 0.88, 95%CI of 0.35-2.24, P =0.790). After adjustment for potential confounding factors in the original cohort, the ORR at 3 months post-treatment remained significantly higher in the observation group than in the control group (adjusted odds ratio of 2.67, 95%CI of 1.28-5.56, P =0.009). Additionally, the interaction between treatment modality and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging had no statistically significant impact on the ORR at 3 months post-treatment ( P =0.391).CONCLUSIONS For patients with unresectable HCC, compared with conventional iodized oil emulsion-based TACE, small-caliber PVA microsphere-based TACE demonstrates superior efficacy in terms of early radiological response and improvement in tumor markers, and the two regimens are comparable in terms of safety.
6.Performance evaluation of an acridinium ester-based chemiluminescence assay for heparin-binding protein and its application in the diagnosis of sepsis
Yuying WANG ; Sujuan YU ; Qi CHEN ; Bicui ZHAN ; Kang CHEN ; Guoqiang CHEN ; Longbin HONG ; Jianguo WU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(9):1546-1551
This study aims to comprehensively evaluate the analytical performance and clinical application value of an acridinium ester-based chemiluminescence assay for detecting heparin-binding protein (HBP), providing more accurate laboratory evidence for the early diagnosis of infections and sepsis. The analytical performance of the HBP detection kit based on acridinium ester chemiluminescence was verified in Hangzhou Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine in January 2024 to June 2024, including limit of blank (LoB), accuracy, precision, linear range, anti-interference ability, and clinical diagnostic concordance. The potential of this assay in early diagnosis and treatment monitoring of sepsis was assessed. HBP levels were measured in 97 patients with sepsis and 160 healthy controls, and intergroup differences were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test. The results showed that the LoB of the HBP detection kit based on acridinium ester chemiluminescence was 0.10 RLU, and low-concentration sample testing showed good discrimination. In the accuracy evaluation, the regression equation between the test reagent and the comparator was y=1.015 2 x-2.850 8 (R2=0.995 1). For precision, the CV in intra-assay was ≤3.51%, and the CV in inter-assay was ≤4.18%. Within the linear range of 0.42-493.46 ng/ml, the regression equation was y=0.996 9 x+3.066 0 (R2=0.999 1). In interference experiments, the relative deviation was <3%. Clinically, the median HBP concentration in the sepsis group (median: 121.1 ng/ml) was significantly higher than in the control group (median: 6.3 ng/ml, P<0.000 1), with a diagnostic sensitivity of 98.97% and specificity of 96.25%. Age stratification had no effect on HBP levels ( U=448 ,P=0.780 0). In conclusion,the acridinium ester-based chemiluminescence assay requires only about 10 minutes to complete the detection and deliver results, demonstrating acceptable sensitivity, precision, and anti-interference capability. Its wide linear range and rapid detection meet emergency testing needs. Clinical validation confirms HBP′s extremely high sensitivity and specificity for sepsis diagnosis, supporting its role as a key marker for early diagnosis, treatment monitoring, and prognosis assessment.
7.Performance evaluation of an acridinium ester-based chemiluminescence assay for heparin-binding protein and its application in the diagnosis of sepsis
Yuying WANG ; Sujuan YU ; Qi CHEN ; Bicui ZHAN ; Kang CHEN ; Guoqiang CHEN ; Longbin HONG ; Jianguo WU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(9):1546-1551
This study aims to comprehensively evaluate the analytical performance and clinical application value of an acridinium ester-based chemiluminescence assay for detecting heparin-binding protein (HBP), providing more accurate laboratory evidence for the early diagnosis of infections and sepsis. The analytical performance of the HBP detection kit based on acridinium ester chemiluminescence was verified in Hangzhou Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine in January 2024 to June 2024, including limit of blank (LoB), accuracy, precision, linear range, anti-interference ability, and clinical diagnostic concordance. The potential of this assay in early diagnosis and treatment monitoring of sepsis was assessed. HBP levels were measured in 97 patients with sepsis and 160 healthy controls, and intergroup differences were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test. The results showed that the LoB of the HBP detection kit based on acridinium ester chemiluminescence was 0.10 RLU, and low-concentration sample testing showed good discrimination. In the accuracy evaluation, the regression equation between the test reagent and the comparator was y=1.015 2 x-2.850 8 (R2=0.995 1). For precision, the CV in intra-assay was ≤3.51%, and the CV in inter-assay was ≤4.18%. Within the linear range of 0.42-493.46 ng/ml, the regression equation was y=0.996 9 x+3.066 0 (R2=0.999 1). In interference experiments, the relative deviation was <3%. Clinically, the median HBP concentration in the sepsis group (median: 121.1 ng/ml) was significantly higher than in the control group (median: 6.3 ng/ml, P<0.000 1), with a diagnostic sensitivity of 98.97% and specificity of 96.25%. Age stratification had no effect on HBP levels ( U=448 ,P=0.780 0). In conclusion,the acridinium ester-based chemiluminescence assay requires only about 10 minutes to complete the detection and deliver results, demonstrating acceptable sensitivity, precision, and anti-interference capability. Its wide linear range and rapid detection meet emergency testing needs. Clinical validation confirms HBP′s extremely high sensitivity and specificity for sepsis diagnosis, supporting its role as a key marker for early diagnosis, treatment monitoring, and prognosis assessment.
8.The rescue of and pathogenicity of recombinant Muscovy duck parvovirus
Zhixian WANG ; Xiaoyan GONG ; Wanmei LI ; Jueyi LING ; Zhiwei JIANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Jian YIN ; Yufeng LI ; Guoqiang ZHU ; Jianye WANG
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(10):2142-2147
In order to delve into the molecular mechanism underlying the increased pathogenicity of the recombinant Muscovy duck parvovirus(rMDPV)towards Muscovy ducklings,two sub-genom-ic fragments of the rMDPV strain ZW were cloned into the plasmid pBluescript Ⅱ(SK)to gener-ate the recombinant plasmid pZW.A single nucleotide mutation was engineered in the VP3 gene of pZW to discriminate from the parental strain ZW.pZW plasmid-lipid complex was transfected into the chorioallantoic membrane of 11-day-old embryonated Muscovy duck embryos,resulting in res-cue of infectious virus,rZW,carrying the genetic marker.The rescued virus was passaged in 12-day-old embryonated Muscovy duck embryos and exhibited the similar medium embryo lethal dose(ELD50)value and growth curve compared to the parental strain ZW.Both rZW and strain ZW led to 100%mortality in the infection tests performed with 3-day-old Muscovy duckling.Postmortem necropsy revealed a characteristic intestine embolism formed in the rZW-infected ducklings.Taken together,the generation of the infectious clone pZW lays a solid foundation for deciphering the pathogenesis of rMDPV.
9.Study on the correlation between the etiological and Silva classification of cervical adenocarcinoma and clinical prognosis
Lin XIA ; Qiaoyun GE ; Guoqiang PING ; Cong WANG ; Yi XU
Chinese Journal of Clinical and Experimental Pathology 2025;41(3):352-358
Purpose Based on the WHO(5th edition)classification of cervical adenocarcinoma and Silva infiltra-tion pattern classification,this study explores the value of etiological classification and Silva classification in the clinical treatment and prognosis prediction of cervical adenocarcinoma.Methods The clinical and pathological features of 112 cases of cervical invasive adenocarcinoma were reviewed.Through HE morphological classification,immunohistochemi-cal detection,and Silva classification of infiltration pattern,the related factors and prognosis of patients were statistical-ly analyzed.Results The median age of 112 patients was 46.5 years(30-80 years),with a maximum tumor diame-ter of 0.35-9.0 cm and an average diameter of 3.2 cm.Most patients showed vaginal bleeding after sexual inter-course.89 cases were HPV-associated adenocarcinoma(HPVAs),18 cases were non HPV-associated adenocarcinoma(NHPVAs).There were 5 cases of other types of adenocarcinomas of the uterine cervix,including 4 cases of endome-trial adenocarcinoma and 1 case of serous adenocarcinoma.There were 5 cases(4.5%)of Silva A pattern,30 cases(26.8%)of Silva B pattern,and 77 cases(68.7%)of Silva C pattern.112 cases were followed up for a median time of 34 months(15-78 months),with 16 deaths and 20 metastases.The progression-free survival(PFS)(P<0.001)and overall survival(OS)(P=0.001)in the NHPVA group were significantly lower than those in the HPVA group.All cases with Silva A and Silva B pattern had a favorable prognosis and survived without tumor.Of the cases with Silva C pattern,16 died after recurrence.The PFS and OS of patients with Silva C type were lower than those of Silva A type and B type(P<0.05).Conclusion The fifth edition of WHO classification of cervical adenocarcinoma revealed the correlation between etiology and morphology.Silva classification is of great significance for accurately predicting progno-sis and guiding treatment.
10.Study on the Deglycosylation Metabolism of Dioscin and Its Impact on the Proliferation of Human Colon Cancer Cells
Guoqiang ZHANG ; Zhenyao LU ; Huan WANG ; Bing HU ; Hong CAI
Journal of Nanjing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;41(4):494-500
OBJECTIVE To investigate the deglycosylation metabolism of dioscin in vivo and the changes of its anti-tumor activi-ty of its deglycosylated metabolites.METHODS An LC-MS/MS analysis method for simultaneous determination of dioscin and its deglycosylation metabolites was established to study the cumulative excretion amount of dioscin and its deglycosylated metabolites in rat feces after oral administration.To mimic its deglycosylation metabolism,HPLC method was applied to investigate the time-dependent changes in the prototype components and metabolites of dioscin after incubation in artificial gastric juice.Solid-phase extraction tech-nology was employed to isolate the product of dioscin following hydrolysis by artificial gastric juice.The cytotoxic effects of this product on human colon cancer cells HCT-116 were assessed using the CCK-8 assay across different hydrolysis time periods.Concurrently,the enzymatic activities of caspase-3 and caspase-9,along with the expression levels of cytochrome C,were measured to elucidate the impact of dioscin post-hydrolysis on the cytotoxicity against HCT-116 cells.RESULTS Dioscin and its series of deglycosylated me-tabolites were detected in rat feces,revealing no significant differences in the cumulative excretion amounts of Polyphyllin Ⅴ and Pro-genin Ⅱ.Dioscin was shown to generate a range of deglycosylated metabolites in artificial gastric juice.Furthermore,dioscin and its deglycosylated metabolites inhibited the proliferation of HCT-116 cells,induced morphological changes,and increased the enzymatic activities of caspase-3 and caspase-9,as well as cytochrome C expression.However,it was observed that the antitumor activity of the deglycosylated metabolites diminished with prolonged hydrolysis time.CONCLUSION The deglycosylation metabolism of dioscin sig-nificantly attenuates its inhibitory effect on the proliferation of HCT-116 cells.Suppressing the acid-mediated or gut microbiota-medi-ated deglycosylation metabolism may be a promising strategy to preserve its antitumor activity.

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