1.Application of machine learning in predicting restenosis dysfunction after percutaneous transluminal angioplasty of internal arteriovenous fistula
Zemin WANG ; Guojian SHAO ; Yaqian CHENG ; Shuting JIN
China Modern Doctor 2025;63(24):25-28,79
Objective To explore the risk factors analysis and prediction model establishment of restenosis dysfunction at 1 year after percutaneous transluminal angioplasty(PTA)of internal arteriovenous fistula based on machine learning.Methods A total of 322 patients who underwent PTA of internal arteriovenous fistula in Wenzhou Central Hospital from June 1,2018 to December 31,2023 were enrolled.The operation-related data were collected.Variables were used to construct prediction models using five machine learning algorithms:Random forest(RF),extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost),support vector machine(SVM),gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT)and Logistic regression(LR).The predictive efficacy was evaluated by area under receiver operating characteristic curve.Results There were 97 cases of restenosis dysfunction and 225 cases of non-dysfunction.The incidence of internal fistula restenosis dysfuction was 30.1%1 year after PTA.The age,diabetes,smoking,calcium-phosphorus product,dilatation pressure ≥20mmHg,and balloon diameter ≥6mnm in dysfunction group were higher than those in non-dysfunction group.The difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The area under the curve of RF,XGBoost,SVM,GBDT and LR models based on machine learning was 0.908(95%CI:0.836-0.980),0.809(95%CI:0.696-0.922),0.745(95%CI:0.624-0.867),0.711(95%CI:0.576-0.847)and 0.651(95%CI:0.508-0.795),respectively.The sensitivity was 79.1%,70.8%,83.3%,62.5%and 72.3%,respectively.The specificity was 89.0%,81.2%,57.8%,78.9%and 71.0%,respectively.Conclusion Age,diabetes mellitus,smoking,calcium-phosphorus product,expansion pressure ≥20mnmHg,balloon diameter ≥ 6mm are independent risk factors for restenosis failure after PTA in patients with internal arteriovenous fistula,which can be used as an index to predict restenosis failure 1 year after PTA in internal arteriovenous fistula.The random forest prediction model based on machine learning algorithm has good prediction performance and can better predict restenosis failure 1 year after PTA in internal arteriovenous fistula.
2.Application of machine learning in predicting restenosis dysfunction after percutaneous transluminal angioplasty of internal arteriovenous fistula
Zemin WANG ; Guojian SHAO ; Yaqian CHENG ; Shuting JIN
China Modern Doctor 2025;63(24):25-28,79
Objective To explore the risk factors analysis and prediction model establishment of restenosis dysfunction at 1 year after percutaneous transluminal angioplasty(PTA)of internal arteriovenous fistula based on machine learning.Methods A total of 322 patients who underwent PTA of internal arteriovenous fistula in Wenzhou Central Hospital from June 1,2018 to December 31,2023 were enrolled.The operation-related data were collected.Variables were used to construct prediction models using five machine learning algorithms:Random forest(RF),extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost),support vector machine(SVM),gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT)and Logistic regression(LR).The predictive efficacy was evaluated by area under receiver operating characteristic curve.Results There were 97 cases of restenosis dysfunction and 225 cases of non-dysfunction.The incidence of internal fistula restenosis dysfuction was 30.1%1 year after PTA.The age,diabetes,smoking,calcium-phosphorus product,dilatation pressure ≥20mmHg,and balloon diameter ≥6mnm in dysfunction group were higher than those in non-dysfunction group.The difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The area under the curve of RF,XGBoost,SVM,GBDT and LR models based on machine learning was 0.908(95%CI:0.836-0.980),0.809(95%CI:0.696-0.922),0.745(95%CI:0.624-0.867),0.711(95%CI:0.576-0.847)and 0.651(95%CI:0.508-0.795),respectively.The sensitivity was 79.1%,70.8%,83.3%,62.5%and 72.3%,respectively.The specificity was 89.0%,81.2%,57.8%,78.9%and 71.0%,respectively.Conclusion Age,diabetes mellitus,smoking,calcium-phosphorus product,expansion pressure ≥20mnmHg,balloon diameter ≥ 6mm are independent risk factors for restenosis failure after PTA in patients with internal arteriovenous fistula,which can be used as an index to predict restenosis failure 1 year after PTA in internal arteriovenous fistula.The random forest prediction model based on machine learning algorithm has good prediction performance and can better predict restenosis failure 1 year after PTA in internal arteriovenous fistula.
3.CT radiomics and clinical indicators combined model in early prediction the severity of acute pancreatitis
Dandan XU ; Aoqi XIAO ; Weisen YANG ; Yan GU ; Dan JIN ; Guojian YIN ; Hongkun YIN ; Guohua FAN ; Junkang SHEN ; Liang XU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;33(10):1383-1389
Objective:To explore the value of the Nomogram model established by CT radiomics combined with clinical indicators for prediction of the severity of early acute pancreatitis (AP).Methods:From January 2016 to March 2023, the AP patients in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University were retrospectively collected. According to the revised Atlanta classification and definition of acute pancreatitis in 2012, all patients were divided into the severe group and the non-severe group. All patients were first diagnosed, and abdominal CT plain scan and enhanced scan were completed within 1 week. Patients were randomly (random number) divided into training and validation groups at a ratio of 7:3. The pancreatic parenchyma was delineated as the region of interest on each phase CT images, and the radiomics features were extracted by python software. LASSO regression and 10-fold cross-validation were used to reduce the dimension and select the optimal features to establish the radiomics signature. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to select the independent predictors of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), and a clinical model was established. A Nomogram model was established by combining CT radiomics signature and clinical independent predictors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of each model.Results:Total of 205 AP patients were included (59 cases in severe group, 146 cases in non-severe group). 3, 5, 5 and 5 optimal radiomics features were selected from the plain CT scan, arterial phase, venous phase and delayed phase images of all patients, and the radiomics models were established. Among them, the arterial phase radiomics model had relatively better performance in predicting SAP, with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.937 in the training group and 0.913 in the validation group. Multivariate Logistic regression showed that C-reactive protein (CRP) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) were independent predictors of SAP, and they were used to establish a clinical model. The AUC in the training and validation groups were 0.879 and 0.889, respectively. The Nomogram model based on arterial phase CT radiomics signature, CRP and LDH was established, and the AUC was 0.956 and 0.947 in the training group and validation group, respectively. DCA showed that the net benefit of Nomogram model was higher than that of clinical model or radiomics model alone.Conclusions:The Nomogram model established by CT radiomics combined with clinical indicators has high application value for early prediction of the severity of AP, which is conducive to the formulation of clinical treatment plans and prognosis evaluation.
4.Long-term clinical follow-up outcome of patients after vertebral artery stenting
Feng ZHOU ; Li MA ; Guoping FU ; Guojian LU ; Chunmei LAI ; Fen DONG ; Guoxing JIN ; Yang ZHOU ; Rongrong LIU
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2018;20(5):517-521
Objective To study the clinical events and risk factors of in stent restenosis (ISR) during the >1 year follow-up period after vertebral artery stenting.Methods Forty-six patients with 48 stents implanted from the Shaoxing No.2 Hospital between January 2010 and October 2016were divided into ISR group (n=8) and ISR-free group (n=38) or clinical events group (n=8)and clinical events-free group (n=38).The influencing factors for their long-term clinical outcome were analyzed after vertebral artery stenting.Results The mean stenosis length was (7.7 ± 4.6mm,the stenosis severity was 80.7%±14.2%,and the residual stenosis was 3.0%±8.4% before stenting.The mean angiographic follow-up time was 31.6±20.8 months,during which ISR occurred in 8 patients (17.4%).The mean clinical follow-up time was 53.8±27.0 months,during which clinical events occurred in 8 patients (17.4%).Survival analysis showed that ISR usually occurred in the first 20 months and no clinical events occurred in 23 patiemts (50.0%) after vertebral artery stenting.The stenosis was significantly longer in ISR group than in ISR-free group (6.00±2.00 mm vs 2.76±4.14 mm,P=0.003).The diameter of stents was significantly shorter in clinical events group than in clinical events-free group (3.53±0.93 mm vs 4.18±0.67 mm,P=0.024).Conclusion The long-term clinical follow-up outcome is associated with the length and diameter of stents in patients after vertebral artery stenting.
5.The effect of alternating current stimulation on the esophageal motility of rabbits
Chunshan ZHAO ; Wei ZHAO ; Lili ZHANG ; Hong JIN ; Guojian ZHOU ; Bangmao WANG
Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy 2015;32(12):837-840
Objective To observe the effect of electrical stimulation on the movement of rabbits esophagus, and to promote effective esophageal peristalsis and determine the best electrical pacing parameters. Methods After anesthesia, 24 healthy rabbits underwent open surgery and the lower esophagus was exposed. The esophagus was stimulated with the multi-channel signal generator, and the changes of esophagus pressure and the length of esophageal contraction with high resolution manometry were recorded. (1) The effects on contraction pressure of esophagus body and lower esophageal sphincter (LES) after single site electrical stimulation under different parameters were observed. The stimulation modes utilized were electric current 3 mA, 5 mA and 8 mA, frequency 5 Hz, 10 Hz and 20 Hz, pulsewidth 0. 25 ms, 25 ms and 50 ms, waveform of single phase and double phase. (2) The esophagus was sequentially stimulated. The stimulation mode utilized was electric current 5 mA, frequency 20 Hz, pulsewidth 25 ms, stimulation duration 3 s, single phase square wave. Results At electrical stimulation on the esophagus body and LES, contraction delay was 13. 00±1. 54 ms and 12. 00±0. 73 ms respectively. The contraction pressure of esophageal body was significantly positively related tothe electric current (R=0. 968, P<0. 01), the pulse width(R=0. 971, P<0. 01), and the frequency (R =0. 947, P <0. 01). The length of contraction in 10 Hz group was shorter than that of the 20 Hz group(1. 33±0. 06 cm VS 1. 80±0. 00 cm, P<0. 05). The contraction pressure of LES was also significantly positively related to the electric current(R=0. 965, P<0. 01),the pulse width (R=0. 973, P<0. 01), and the frequency (R=0. 842, P<0. 01). The pressure of lower esophageal sphincter of single phase square wave was greater than that of the double phase square group (P<0. 05). Under the same parameters, the contraction pressure of LES group was lower than that of the esophageal body group (27. 33±1. 15 mmHg VS 104. 00±6. 00 mmHg, P<0. 05). Esophageal sequential contraction was induced by multi-points sequential electrical stimulation. Conclusion Single point electric stimulation can cause esophageal contraction immediately without obvious delay. Within a certain range, the esophageal contraction pressure is positively correlated with electric current, frequency and pulse width. The contraction pressure of single square phase wave is greater than that of the double square phase wave. The contraction pressure of esophageal body is greater than that of LES after electric stimulation. Multi-points sequential electrical stimulation can promote sequential movement of esophagus.
6.The Effect of Norcantharidin on Human Rectal Cancer Colo 320 Cells
Meng LI ; Tianyang WANG ; Cheng SHI ; Guojian ZHANG ; Lin LIN ; Jin ZHAO ; Pengtao REN ; Qinghui YAN
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2013;(9):20-24
Objective To investigate the effect of norcantharidin on growth inhibition and induction of apoptosis of human rectal cancer Colo 320 cells. Methods Norcantharidin (NCTD) in different concentrations were added to rectal cancer Colo 320 cells. Morphological characteristics of apoptosis were observed using the light microscope and transmission electron microscope. The expressions of Bag-1 and Bcl-2 proteins were tested by Western blotting. The growth inhibition of Colo 320 cells on the cell cycle was observed by flow cytometry. Results The apoptosis morphological changes of Colo 320 cells were observed by the light microscope and transmission electron microscopy. Flow cytometry analysis showed that the cell count of G2/M phase in experimental group was higher than that in control group ( <0.05) but the cell counts of G0/G1 and S phases have decreased in experimental group after treatment with NCTD at the concentrations of 5μg/mL, 10μg/mL and 20 μg/mL, and presented dosage dependence relations. The expressions of Bag-1 and Bcl-2 proteins have decreased. Conclusion Norcantharidin has inhibitory effect on rectal cancer Colo 320 cells, and the effect may be related to the cell cycle arrest and apoptosis.
7.Percutaneous multiple K-wire fixation combined with skeletal traction through supracondyle of femur in treatment of intertrochanteric fracture in the elderly
Guojian XU ; Yu QIAN ; Baijun JIN ; Dong WENG ; Jun ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2011;30(5):396-398
Objective To evaluate a minimally invasive procedure for intertrochanteric fracture treatment in elderly patients. Methods Total 46 elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture were treated with a minimally invasive procedure from September 2008 to February 2010. The fractures were fixed with multiple K-wires combined with skeletal traction through supracondyle of femur. All procedures were undertaken under local anesthesia. Results All the patients were followed up for 8.8-months in average, and 42 patients recovered with independent walking, and the good rates was 91.3%, without severe complications in this group. Conclusions Minimally invasive procedure including fixation with multiple K-wires combined with traction through femoral supracondyle, is a safe and effective treatment for intertrochanteric fracture in elderly patients, avoiding high risks of intra-and post-operative complications.
8.Effects of continuous passive motion on early healing of rabbit rotator cuff bone-tendon junction:MRI verification at varied time points
Guojian FU ; Anmin JIN ; Sen LI ; Pengcheng WANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2010;14(7):1187-1190
BACKGROUND: Supraspinatus tendon injury is common in rotator cuff injury, the repair difficulty of which is reconstructing the bone-tendon interface. Currently, there are no effective therapeutics and suitable experimental animal models.OBJECTIVE: To establish rabbit rotator cuff injury prosthetic experimental animal model and to observe the effect of continuous passive motion (CPM) on early healing of rabbit rotator cuff bone-tendon interface by MRI, which can provide guidance for preparing an optimal rehabilitation strategy after rotator cuff injury.METHODS: Sixteen male New Zealand rabbits, aged 8 months, were received a rotator cuff acute injury and reconstructing insertion of supraspinatus tendon on greater tuberosity of humerus. The rabbits were randomly divided into cage activity group (n=4) and CPM group (n=12). At 2 days after operation, rabbits were treated by rabbit shoulder joint continuous passive motion apparatus of 75°~75° flexion-extension with various CPM speeds[2 (°)/s, 4 (°)/s, and 10 (°)/s)]. General state and MRI changes of rabbit rotator cuff bone-tendon interface was observed prior to and at weeks 1,2, and 4 after operation.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Gross observation showed that the incisions healed very well at 2 weeks after operation. There was no infection, haematoma or disruption after removing the suture. Compared to the cage activity group, the tendon-bone interface of CPM group heeled better at weeks 1, 2 and 4, especially at the speed of 4°/s with 75°-75° flexion-extension. Results demonstrated that this animal model can be satisfied to experimental study. From the following day after operation, various CPM speeds can accelerate the healing of tendon-bone interface, and the optimal speed of CPM was 4 (°)/s.
9.Biomechanical response to stress stimulation with different intensities during early repair period of acute rotator cuff injury
Pengcheng WANG ; Anmin JIN ; Guojian FU ; Sen LI ; Fei ZHANG ; Yong XU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2010;14(11):1971-1974
BACKGROUND:Continuing stress stimulation has been confirmed to promote repair of rotator cuff injury.This experiment attempts to fu rther quantify the intensity of stress stimulation in order to reach a better therapeutic effect in the entire process of rotator cuff injury repair.OBJECTIVE:To explore the biomechanical performance of stress stimulation with different intensities on repair of acute rotator cuffinjuryMETHODS:Sixteen male New Zealand rabbits were randomly divided into high intensity,low intensity and control groups,with 12 animals in each group.Rabbits were received a rotator cuff acute injury and reconstructing insertion of supraspinatus tendon on greater tuberosity of humerus.At 1 week after operation,rabbits were treated by continuous passive motion(CPM)apparatus,which was-60°to 60° flexion-extension for the high intensity group,and-15° to 15° for the low intensity group.At 2 weeks after operation,the CPM was performed every other day,with 10 minutes per time;which was changed to daily training from week 3 with the same frequently,and 15 minutes per time at week 4.Rabbits in the control group were housed freely.Each 4 animals were sacrificed at weeks 2,3 and 4 after operation,and the largest tensile strength and severity at osteotendinous junction were compared.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:The maximum tensile intensity and stiffness of the supraspinatus tendon in the low intensity group were greater than that of the control and high intensity group(P<0.05),which was smallest in the high intensity group.All the breakage point existed at the intra-articular portion.The result demonstrated that low intensity stimulation exhibits superior repair effect in acute rotator cuff injury,while high intensity stimulation is harmful to the early repair of acute rotator cuff injury.
10.High-speed apolipoprotein E genotyping by hybridization probes and melting curves
Jinxiu FAN ; Huimin ZHU ; Liming ZHANG ; Qi CHEN ; Guojian JIN ; Aihua WANG ; Hong ZHU
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2008;31(2):152-158
Objective To establish a high speed and effective real-time PCR assay to analyze apolipoprotein E(apoE)genotyping in Chinese population using hybridization probes and melting curves. Methods Lightcycler was used to analyzed two codons'polymorphism after condition was optimized. The persons elder than 60 years including 133 patients with abdominal fat and 108 healthy elder were selected. The detection probes were labeled with L-Cred 640 and LC-Red 705 at 5'end covers codons 112 and 158 with the corresponding anchor probes labeled with fluorescein at 3'ends.A 265-bp fragment of the apoE gene was amplified from human genomic DNA to produce FRET.Depending on the various types of base-pair mismatch in the heteroduplex,wild type and mutant type were differentiated.Results The peaks represented the sequence-specific melting points(Tm) and each genetype showed perfect peak.E2/3 and E3/4 in abdominal fat group were much more common allele than health persons(x2=4.210.P<0.004,x2=6·328,P<0.012).The frequencies of abdominal fat group was E2/3(27.8%),E3/4(24.8%),E3/3(42.1%),E2/4(2.3%),E4/4(2.2%)and E2/2(0.8%).The frequencies of healthy controls were E2/3(16.7%),E3/4(12%),E3/3(68.5%),E2/4(1.9%),E4/4(O%)and E2/2(0.9%).It showed high agreement as compared with DNA sequencing analysis The expression of apoE in abdominal fat group (101.5±73.6)was up-regulated than the healthy group(50.6±27.1,P<0.01).Conclusions Apolipoprotein E genotyping method by melting curve is faster and simpler than other technique. It can prevent the cross-contaminated and is suitable to be applied in clinical diagnosis.There was significant difference between the two groups.There was positive relationship between the elder's abdominal fat and apoE gene polymorphism. The genotyping of E3/4.E2/3 or E4/4 had the important role in the elder's abdominal fat on genetic susceptibility.

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