1.Multidimensional Analysis of Mechanisms of Nuciferine Against Cerebral Ischemia Based on Transcriptomic Data
Yingying QIN ; Peng LI ; Sha CHEN ; Yan LIU ; Jintang CHENG ; Qingxia XU ; Guohua WANG ; Jing ZHOU ; An LIU ; Chang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(9):184-191
ObjectiveStudies have shown that nuciferine has anti-cerebral ischemia effect, but the specific mechanism of action has not been elaborated. Based on the transcriptome results, the pharmacological mechanism of nuciferine against cerebral ischemia was analyzed from multiple dimensions including tissue, cell, pathological process, biological process and signaling pathway. MethodsThirty SD rats were randomly divided into the sham group, model group and nuciferine group(40 mg·kg-1) according to weight. Except for the sham group, the model of middle cerebral artery occlusion(MCAO) was established by thread embolization method after 30 min of administration in the other two groups. Twenty-four hours after surgery, transcriptome sequencing was used to detect the gene expression profiles in the cortex penumbra of rat cerebral tissue, and gene ontology(GO) and kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes(KEGG) pathway enrichment analysis were performed for differentially expressed genes. The mechanismof nuciferine against cerebral ischemia was analyzed from 5 dimensions of tissue, cell, pathological process, biological process and signaling pathway by the transcriptome-based multi-scale network pharmacology platform(TMNP). ResultsTranscriptome sequencing and gene quantitative analysis showed that 667 genes were significantly reversed by nuciferine. Further enrichment analysis of KEGG and GO suggested that the pathways of nuciferine involved regulating stress response, ion transport, cell proliferation and differentiation, and synaptic function. TMNP research found that at the tissue level, nuciferine could significantly improve the cerebral tissue injury caused by ischemia. At the cellular and pathological levels, nuciferine could play an anti-cerebral ischemia role by improving the state of various nerve cells, mobilizing immune cells, regulating inflammation. And at the level of biological processes and signaling pathways, nuciferine mainly acted on the processes such as vascular remodeling, inflammation-related signaling pathways, and synaptic signaling. ConclusionCombined with the results of transcriptome sequencing, gene quantitative analysis and TMNP, the mechanism of nuciferine against cerebral ischemia may be related to processes such as intervening in stress response and inflammation, affecting vascular remodeling and regulating synaptic function. These results can provide a basis and reference for further study of the pharmacological mechanism of nuciferine against cerebral ischemia.
2.Research on the multi-dimensional value assessment framework for new antidiabetic drugs to support evidence-informed medical insurance decision-making
Feifei YAN ; Jingyu CHEN ; Jiaran CHEN ; Chen PAN ; Guohua WANG ; Jinsong GENG
China Pharmacy 2025;36(13):1563-1567
OBJECTIVE To establish a multi-dimensional value assessment framework for new antidiabetic drugs based on multi-criteria decision analysis theory, thus providing a theoretical framework and methodology for evidence-informed medical insurance decision-making. METHODS Firstly, multi-dimensional evidence was searched and obtained to provide reliable data for the establishment of the framework. Secondly, in terms of the obtained evidence, the value assessment framework was preliminarily constructed. Its structure, main core criteria, and contextual criteria were determined through focus group discussion. Finally, the criteria and sub-criteria of the framework and their weights were further determined, reasons for inclusion of sub-criteria and the reasonableness of rating scores were evaluated, and methods of assessment were optimized through expert consultation. RESULTS The multi-dimensional value assessment framework for new antidiabetic drugs was composed of core criteria and contextualized criteria, which could be used for quantitative and qualitative value assessment of new drugs, respectively. The core criteria consisted of five dimensions, with affordability (6.31) having the highest weighting score, followed by comparative effectiveness (6.20), comparative safety (6.01), cost-effectiveness (5.89), and quality of evidence (5.46). After the normalization of weight within sub-criteria, the budget impact on medical insurance had the highest standardized weight, followed by the control of glycated hemoglobin and patient affordability. The contextual criteria included two dimensions, i. e., innovation and equity. CONCLUSIONS The assessment framework integrates evidence, stakeholders’ values, and decision contexts to enable a multi- dimensional and evidence-based assessment of the value of new antidiabetic drugs.
3.Protective Effect of Bushen Zhuyun Prescription on Abortion Rats with Kidney Deficiency-Corpus Luteum Inhibition Syndrome via ERα/PI3K/Akt Signaling Pathwa
Changyue SONG ; Siyu LI ; Fengyu HUANG ; Mingzhu QI ; Daiyue DING ; Shuangfei DENG ; Heqiao LI ; Jinghong XIE ; Guohua WANG ; Chen ZANG ; Hong XU ; Xiaohui SU ; Xiangying KONG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(24):107-116
ObjectiveTo investigate the protective effects and mechanisms of Bushen Zhuyun prescription (BSZY) on abortion rats with kidney deficiency-corpus luteum inhibition syndrome. MethodsAn abortion rat model with kidney deficiency-corpus luteum inhibition syndrome was constructed. Pregnant mice aged 8-10 weeks were randomly divided into a control group (Control), a model group (Model), low-dose BSZY (BSZY-L), medium-dose BSZY (BSZY-M), and high-dose BSZY (BSZY-H) groups (2.57, 5.14, 10.28 g·kg-¹), and a Zishen Yutai Pill (ZSYT) group (1.575 g·kg-¹). Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to evaluate histopathological changes in ovarian and decidual tissue of rats in each group. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was employed to measure levels of estrogen (E₂), progesterone (P), luteinizing hormone (LH), prolactin (PRL), and follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) in serum. The candidate targets of BSZY were obtained from the Traditional Chinese Medicine System Pharmacology Platform (TCMSP) and Integrative Pharmacology-based Research Platform of Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCMIP) v2.0 databases, while disease targets for recurrent spontaneous abortion (RSA) were retrieved from GeneCards, DrugBank, Online Mendelian Inheritance in Man (OMIM), and Therapeutic Target Database (TTD). The intersection targets were identified by the Venny 2.1.0 platform. Pathway enrichment analysis was conducted based on the Metascape database to predict the potential mechanisms of BSZY. Additionally. Western blot was used to verify the effects of BSZY on the expression of estrogen receptor (ERα), phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K), and protein kinase B (Akt) and explore its protective mechanism on RSA rats. ResultsCompared with the control group, the model group exhibited significantly decreased uterine, ovarian, and embryonic wet weights (P<0.05, P<0.01), with an abortion rate of 57.18%. The ovarian tissue showed varying degrees of reduction in primordial follicles, primary follicles, mature follicles, and corpora lutea, along with a large number of atretic follicles. The endometrium was thinner, and decidual tissue exhibited cellular edema and disorganized arrangement. In contrast, compared with the model group, the BSZY groups at all doses and the ZSYT group demonstrated increased uterine, ovarian, and embryonic wet weights, along with a reduced abortion rate. The number of primordial follicles, primary follicles, mature follicles, and corpora lutea increased, while atretic follicles decreased. The endometrium thickened, and decidual tissue displayed normal cellular structure with tight arrangement. Additionally, the model group showed significantly decreased levels of E₂, P, PRL, and FSH in serum (P<0.05, P<0.01), along with a decreasing trend in LH level. In contrast, the BSZY groups at all doses exhibited significantly elevated levels of E₂, P, LH, PRL, and FSH in serum (P<0.05, P<0.01). Network pharmacology predictions suggested that BSZY may exert protective effects against abortion in rats by activating the ERα/PI3K/Akt signaling pathway. Western blot results confirmed that BSZY significantly upregulated the expression of ERα, PI3K, and p-Akt proteins (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionBSZY has a protective effect on the abortion rats with kidney deficiency-corpus luteum inhibition syndrome, possibly by activating the ERα/PI3K/Akt signaling pathway to reduce ovarian apoptosis and regulate endocrine function, thereby lowering the abortion rate.
4.Trends and sex disparities in the burden of urolithiasis in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2021.
Junjiong ZHENG ; Qihang ZHANG ; Jie ZHANG ; Yuhui YAO ; Li CHEN ; Yunfei LIU ; Yi SONG ; Tianxin LIN ; Guohua HE
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(16):1973-1983
BACKGROUND:
Urolithiasis is a widespread disease with a high prevalence worldwide. This study aims to evaluate the disease burden of urolithiasis and its trends from 1990 to 2021 globally, based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 database.
METHODS:
The numbers and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and mortality of urolithiasis were extracted from GBD 2021 to represent the disease burden. Joinpoint regression analyses were conducted to assess the temporal trends in the burden of urolithiasis. The male-to-female ASR ratio indices were used to evaluate sex disparities. Additionally, we explored the relationship between the ASR ratio and the sociodemographic index (SDI).
RESULTS:
The total numbers of incidence, DALY, and mortality of urolithiasis were 105,983,780 cases (95% uncertainty interval [UI] = 88,349,356-128,645,155 cases), 693,444 cases (95% UI = 567,765-850,490 cases), and 17,672 cases (95% UI = 13,932-21,241 cases), respectively, in 2021. There is an increasing trend in the number of these measures globally, whereas the ASRs have decreased over the past 30 years. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) were significantly higher in males than in females in 2021. The sex disparities in the age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) and ASMR of urolithiasis were negatively correlated with the SDI. In 2021, the ASIR of urolithiasis was 964.70 (95% UI = 801.26-1175.09) per 100,000 people in China, which is much lower than the global average (1242.84 [95% UI = 1034.94-1506.99] per 100,000 people). Compared with the global average, a more pronounced decline in ASIR was observed in China from 1793.16 (1446.0-2235.14) in 1990 to 964.70 (801.26-1175.09) per 100,000 people in 2021.
CONCLUSIONS
Urolithiasis poses a significant healthcare burden worldwide. More robust global and national strategies are warranted to address the prevention and treatment, especially in low SDI countries and regions.
Humans
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Urolithiasis/mortality*
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Male
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Female
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Incidence
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Global Burden of Disease
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Disability-Adjusted Life Years
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Adult
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Middle Aged
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Risk Factors
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Sex Factors
5.Expert consensus on the treatment of oral diseases in pregnant women and infants.
Jun ZHANG ; Chenchen ZHOU ; Liwei ZHENG ; Jun WANG ; Bin XIA ; Wei ZHAO ; Xi WEI ; Zhengwei HUANG ; Xu CHEN ; Shaohua GE ; Fuhua YAN ; Jian ZHOU ; Kun XUAN ; Li-An WU ; Zhengguo CAO ; Guohua YUAN ; Jin ZHAO ; Zhu CHEN ; Lei ZHANG ; Yong YOU ; Jing ZOU ; Weihua GUO
International Journal of Oral Science 2025;17(1):62-62
With the growing emphasis on maternal and child oral health, the significance of managing oral health across preconception, pregnancy, and infancy stages has become increasingly apparent. Oral health challenges extend beyond affecting maternal well-being, exerting profound influences on fetal and neonatal oral development as well as immune system maturation. This expert consensus paper, developed using a modified Delphi method, reviews current research and provides recommendations on maternal and child oral health management. It underscores the critical role of comprehensive oral assessments prior to conception, diligent oral health management throughout pregnancy, and meticulous oral hygiene practices during infancy. Effective strategies should be seamlessly integrated across the life course, encompassing preconception oral assessments, systematic dental care during pregnancy, and routine infant oral hygiene. Collaborative efforts among pediatric dentists, maternal and child health workers, and obstetricians are crucial to improving outcomes and fostering clinical research, contributing to evidence-based health management strategies.
Humans
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Pregnancy
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Female
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Infant
;
Consensus
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Mouth Diseases/therapy*
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Pregnancy Complications/therapy*
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Oral Health
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Infant, Newborn
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Delphi Technique
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Oral Hygiene
6.Advances in the application of anticoagulants in obese patients
Guohui SHOU ; Shengye LIU ; Guohua CHEN ; Boxia LI
China Pharmacy 2025;36(24):3137-3142
Obesity is a well-established risk factor for thrombotic events such as venous thromboembolism, and the alterations in pharmacokinetics induced by obesity pose challenges for anticoagulation management. This article systematically reviews the advances of the use of various anticoagulants in obese patients, and finds that the dosage of low-molecular-weight heparin needs to be adjusted according to preventive or therapeutic goals in severely obese patients, the preventive dose may be increased to 40 mg, q12 h or 0.5 mg/(kg·d), while the therapeutic dose is recommended to be reduced to 0.8 mg/(kg·d), q12 h. Direct oral anticoagulant drugs are safe and effective for general obese patients; in severely obese patients, standard doses of rivaroxaban or apixaban may be used, warranting cautious application and consideration for therapeutic drug monitoring. In special clinical scenarios such as obesity combined with trauma, pregnancy, advanced age, or bariatric surgery, anticoagulation strategies should be individualized, with close attention to monitoring. Future research should focus on optimizing anticoagulant regimens for special populations and addressing anticoagulation management in obese patients with other embolic diseases.
7.Effect of Total Flavonoids from Vine Tea on Intestinal Flora of Mice Mode of Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease
Chuting WANG ; Yi SUN ; Zhiwei CHEN ; Guihong WANG ; Guohua ZHENG ; Junjie HU
Herald of Medicine 2024;43(6):867-873
Objective To investigate the effects of total flavonoids from Vine tea on the intestinal flora of high-fat diet(HFD)induced non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD)mice.Methods Twenty-eight mice were randomly divided into four groups:blank control group,model control group(HFD group),low-dose TF group(TF-L group),and high-dose TF group(TF-H group),with 7 mice in each group.Mice in the HFD group,TF-L group,and TF-H group were fed with high-fat diet(HFD)for 12 weeks,while those in the blank control group were fed a normal diet.After 12 weeks of high-fat diet feeding,mice in the TF-L group and TF-H group were orally administered TF solution at doses of 125 and 250 mg·kg-1·d-1 by gavage administration for 6 weeks of intervention.Pathological changes in the liver and intestine of mice were observed using hematoxylin-eosin(H&E)staining,and the expression levels of tight junction proteins between the epithelial cells of the colonic mucosa was analyzed by immunohistochemistry.ELISA kit was used to detect the level of serum inflammatory factors in mice.Changes of intestinal flora in mice were analyzed by 16S rRNA sequencing technology.Results Total flavonoids from Vine tea could effectively improve the pathological changes of liver and intestinal tract in mice,reduce the levels of serum inflammatory factors IL-6 and TNF-α,and promote the expression of tight junction proteins Occludin,ZO-1 and Claudin 1 in the colon.There were significant differences in the intestinal flora of the three groups of mice.Total flavonoids from Vine tea significantly decreased the ratio of Firmicutes to Bacteroidota(P<0.05),increased the abundance of Faecalibaculum,Ligilactobacillus and Lactobacillus,which resulted in the improvement of intestinal flora disorders.Conclusion Total flavonoids from Vine tea have certain ameliorative effects on high-fat diet-induced NAFLD,and the mechanism may be related to the promotion of intestinal barrier repair and the improvement of intestinal flora disorders.
8.Effect of Drug Therapy Combined with Multi-dimensional Psychological Intervention on Insomnia Medical Staff in Shift Based on the"Sunshine Hospital"Mode
Junhua MEI ; Jinzhen JIANG ; Junli WANG ; Jing WANG ; Xue GONG ; Lei CHEN ; Yixuan SUN ; Guohua CHEN ; Ying ZHANG
Herald of Medicine 2024;43(7):1089-1095
Objective To explore the effects of drug therapy combined with multi-dimensional psychological intervention on the insomnia of shift medical staff in"sunshine hospital"mode,and to provide a reference for improving the physical and mental health of shift medical staff.Methods A total of 140 cases of medical staff with insomnia in shifts in Wuhan were included and divided into study group and control group by random number table method,70 cases in each group.The control group was given drug treatment,and the study group was treated combined with multi-dimensional psychological intervention.based on"sunshine hospital"model.The scale and questionnaire of PSQI,ISI,ESS and FAS were used to evaluate sleep status and HAMD,HAMA,PHQ-9 and SAS were used to evaluate psychological status,at baseline,visit 1(baseline+intervention for 1 month)and visit 2(baseline+intervention for 3 months),respectively.Results(1)Sleep status:There were differences in 7 dimensions of PSQI score,ISI,ESS,and FAS score between the study group and the control group at different periods(P<0.05);Among them,the PSQI scores of the two groups showed significant difference between the two groups at interview 2(P<0.05);There were significant differences in sleep quality,sleep efficiency scores,ESS and FAS between the two groups at visit 1 and visit 2(P<0.05).(2)Psychological status:HAMD,HAMA,PHQ-9 and SAS scores of the study group and the control group were different in different periods(P<0.05).At interview 2,there were significant differences in HAMA and SAS scores between the two groups(P<0.05).Conclusion Based on the"sunshine hospital"model of drug therapy combined with multi-dimensional psychological intervention,it can significantly improve sleepiness,fatigue symptoms,sleep quality,sleep efficiency,and anxiety and depression of first-line shift medical staff in the short term,and significantly alleviate overall insomnia and anxiety in the long term.
9.Multicenter retrospect analysis of early clinical features and analysis of risk factors on prognosis of elderly patients with severe burns
Qimin MA ; Wenbin TANG ; Xiaojian LI ; Fei CHANG ; Xi YIN ; Zhaohong CHEN ; Guohua WU ; Chengde XIA ; Xiaoliang LI ; Deyun WANG ; Zhigang CHU ; Yi ZHANG ; Lei WANG ; Choulang WU ; Yalin TONG ; Pei CUI ; Guanghua GUO ; Zhihao ZHU ; Shengyu HUANG ; Liu CHANG ; Rui LIU ; Yongji LIU ; Yusong WANG ; Xiaobin LIU ; Tuo SHEN ; Feng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Burns 2024;40(3):249-257
Objective:To investigate the early clinical characteristics of elderly patients with severe burns and the risk factors on prognosis.Methods:This study was a retrospective case series study. Clinical data of 124 elderly patients with severe burns who met the inclusion criteria and were admitted to the 12 hospitals from January 2015 to December 2020 were collected, including 4 patients from the Fourth People's Hospital of Dalian, 5 patients from Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, 22 patients from Guangzhou Red Cross Hospital of Jinan University, 5 patients from Heilongjiang Provincial Hospital, 27 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University, 9 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 10 patients from Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University, 9 patients from Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University & Wuhan Third Hospital, 12 patients from the 924 th Hospital of PLA, 6 patients from Zhangjiagang First People's Hospital, 4 patients from Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province, and 11 patients from Zhengzhou First People's Hospital. The patients' overall clinical characteristics, such as gender, age, body mass index, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, inhalation injury, causative factors, whether combined with underlying medical diseases, and admission time after injury were recorded. According to the survival outcome within 28 days after injury, the patients were divided into survival group (89 cases) and death group (35 cases). The following data of patients were compared between the two groups, including the basic data and injuries (the same as the overall clinical characteristics ahead); the coagulation indexes within the first 24 hours of injury such as prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), thrombin time, D-dimer, fibrinogen degradation product (FDP), international normalized ratio (INR), and fibrinogen; the blood routine indexes within the first 24 hours of injury such as white blood cell count, platelet count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte count, red blood cell count, hemoglobin, and hematocrit; the organ function indexes within the first 24 hours of injury such as direct bilirubin, total bilirubin, urea, serum creatinine, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, total protein, albumin, globulin, blood glucose, triglyceride, total cholesterol, alkaline phosphatase, creatine kinase, electrolyte indexes (potassium, sodium, chlorine, calcium, magnesium, and phosphorus in blood), uric acid, myoglobin, and brain natriuretic peptide; the infection and blood gas indexes within the first 24 hours of injury such as procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, pH value, oxygenation index, base excess, and lactate; treatment such as whether conducted with mechanical ventilation, whether conducted with continuous renal replacement therapy, whether conducted with anticoagulation therapy, whether applied with vasoactive drugs, and fluid resuscitation. The analysis was conducted to screen the independent risk factors for the mortality within 28 days after injury in elderly patients with severe burns. Results:Among 124 patients, there were 82 males and 42 females, aged 60-97 years, with body mass index of 23.44 (21.09, 25.95) kg/m 2, total burn area of 54.00% (42.00%, 75.00%) total body surface area (TBSA), and full-thickness burn area of 25.00% (10.00%, 40.00%) TBSA. The patients were mainly combined with moderate to severe inhalation injury and caused by flame burns. There were 43 cases with underlying medical diseases. The majority of patients were admitted to the hospital within 8 hours after injury. There were statistically significant differences between patients in the 2 groups in terms of age, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, and inhalation injury, and PT, APTT, D-dimer, FDP, INR, white blood cell count, platelet count, urea, serum creatinine, blood glucose, blood sodium, uric acid, myoglobin, and urine volume within the first 24 hours of injury (with Z values of 2.37, 5.49, 5.26, 5.97, 2.18, 1.95, 2.68, 2.68, 2.51, 2.82, 2.14, 3.40, 5.31, 3.41, 2.35, 3.81, 2.16, and -3.82, respectively, P<0.05); there were statistically significant differences between two groups of patients in whether conducted with mechanical ventilation and whether applied with vasoactive drugs (with χ2 values of 9.44 and 28.50, respectively, P<0.05). Age, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, serum creatinine within the first 24 hours of injury, and APTT within the first 24 hours of injury were the independent risk factors for the mortality within 28 days after injury in elderly patients with severe burns (with odds ratios of 1.17, 1.10, 1.10, 1.09, and 1.27, 95% confidence intervals of 1.03-1.40, 1.04-1.21, 1.05-1.19, 1.05-1.17, and 1.07-1.69, respectively, P<0.05). Conclusions:The elderly patients with severe burns had the injuries mainly from flame burns, often accompanied by moderate to severe inhalation injury and enhanced inflammatory response, elevated blood glucose levels, activated fibrinolysis, and impaired organ function in the early stage, which are associated with their prognosis. Age, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, and serum creatinine and APTT within the first 24 hours of injury are the independent risk factors for death within 28 days after injury in this population.
10.A multicenter prospective study on early identification of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children
Dan XU ; Ailian ZHANG ; Jishan ZHENG ; Mingwei YE ; Fan LI ; Gencai QIAN ; Hongbo SHI ; Xiaohong JIN ; Lieping HUANG ; Jiangang MEI ; Guohua MEI ; Zhen XU ; Hong FU ; Jianjun LIN ; Hongzhou YE ; Yan ZHENG ; Lingling HUA ; Min YANG ; Jiangmin TONG ; Lingling CHEN ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Dehua YANG ; Yunlian ZHOU ; Huiwen LI ; Yinle LAN ; Yulan XU ; Jinyan FENG ; Xing CHEN ; Min GONG ; Zhimin CHEN ; Yingshuo WANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(4):317-322
Objective:To explore potential predictors of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP) in early stage. Methods:The prospective multicenter study was conducted in Zhejiang, China from May 1 st, 2019 to January 31 st, 2020. A total of 1 428 patients with fever >48 hours to <120 hours were studied. Their clinical data and oral pharyngeal swab samples were collected; Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA in pharyngeal swab specimens was detected. Patients with positive Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA results underwent a series of tests, including chest X-ray, complete blood count, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and procalcitonin. According to the occurrence of RMPP, the patients were divided into two groups, RMPP group and general Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (GMPP) group. Measurement data between the 2 groups were compared using Mann-Whitney U test. Logistic regression analyses were used to examine the associations between clinical data and RMPP. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyse the power of the markers for predicting RMPP. Results:A total of 1 428 patients finished the study, with 801 boys and 627 girls, aged 4.3 (2.7, 6.3) years. Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA was positive in 534 cases (37.4%), of whom 446 cases (83.5%) were diagnosed with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia, including 251 boys and 195 girls, aged 5.2 (3.3, 6.9) years. Macrolides-resistant variation was positive in 410 cases (91.9%). Fifty-five cases were with RMPP, 391 cases with GMPP. The peak body temperature before the first visit and LDH levels in RMPP patients were higher than that in GMPP patients (39.6 (39.1, 40.0) vs. 39.2 (38.9, 39.7) ℃, 333 (279, 392) vs. 311 (259, 359) U/L, both P<0.05). Logistic regression showed the prediction probability π=exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004×LDH (U/L))/(1+exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004 × LDH (U/L))), the cut-off value to predict RMPP was 0.12, with a consensus of probability forecast of 0.89, sensitivity of 0.89, and specificity of 0.67; and the area under ROC curve was 0.682 (95% CI 0.593-0.771, P<0.01). Conclusion:In MPP patients with fever over 48 to <120 hours, a prediction probability π of RMPP can be calculated based on the peak body temperature and LDH level before the first visit, which can facilitate early identification of RMPP.

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