1.Trends in burden of pelvic fractures from 1990 to 2023 and long short-term memory-based insights into future projections.
Wenbin FAN ; Yueheng YIN ; Chuwei TIAN ; Jun ZHOU ; Tian XIE ; Liu SHI ; Guodong LIU ; Yunfeng RUI
Chinese Journal of Reparative and Reconstructive Surgery 2025;39(11):1371-1380
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the disease burden of pelvic fractures at the global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2023 using data from the 2023 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), and to predict the disease burden through 2050.
METHODS:
Leveraging data from the GBD 2023, this study investigated the disease burden of pelvic fractures across 204 countries and regions. Assessment indicators included incidence rate, prevalence rate, and years lived with disability (YLDs). The Joinpoint regression model was employed to analyze trends in pelvic fracture burden from 1990 to 2023, while the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used to quantify this temporal trend. The relationship between the socio-demographic index and pelvic fracture burden was evaluated. Furthermore, the long short-term memory (LSTM) model was applied to predict trends in pelvic fracture burden through 2050.
RESULTS:
In 2023, the estimated number of new pelvic fracture cases globally was 7 479 884 [95% uncertainty interval ( UI): 5 293 401-10 611 876], representing a 42.74% increase from 1990. In the same year, the number of prevalent pelvic fracture cases and YLDs were 23 007 508 (95% UI: 21 021 518-25 327 165) and 3 909 228 person-years (95% UI: 2 725 498-5 194 385), respectively. Additionally, age-standardized rates exhibited an opposing downward trend. Significant disparities in the disease burden of pelvic fractures were identified across different age groups, genders, and social contexts. According to predictions from the LSTM model, the global age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of pelvic fractures will be approximately 88.44 per 100 000 persons by 2050, while the total number of incident cases will rise to 8 547 095.
CONCLUSION
Although the overall incidence rate, prevalence rate, and YLDs of pelvic fractures have exhibited an upward trend over the past three decades, the ASIR, age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized years of life lost rate (ASYR) have shown a downward trend. It is predicted that over the upcoming 26-year period, the age-standardized rate of disease burden due to pelvic fractures will further decrease, while the number of incident cases and prevalent cases will continue to exhibit an upward trend. Formulating more targeted disease prevention strategies is critical to addressing disparities across genders, regions, and other dimensions, and to mitigating the burden of pelvic fractures.
Humans
;
Fractures, Bone/epidemiology*
;
Pelvic Bones/injuries*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Incidence
;
Prevalence
;
Aged
;
Global Burden of Disease/trends*
;
Global Health
;
Adolescent
;
Cost of Illness
;
Young Adult
;
Forecasting
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Memory, Short-Term
2.Influencing factors of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in aircrews based on classification tree model
Lei ZHOU ; Ping SONG ; Maodan FAN ; Yinping SI ; Xiaoxia JIANG ; Junyong HUANG ; Xinyu LIU ; Xiaoya GAO ; Guodong SUN
Journal of Navy Medicine 2025;46(9):874-879
Objective To establish a classification tree model for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD)among aircrews,screen for influencing factors of NAFLD,so as to provide scientific basis for prevention and intervention decisions for NAFLD.Methods Aircrews who underwent recuperation at a sanatorium from January 2019 to December 2023 were selected as the research objects.Their annual physical examination data were collected and the NAFLD detection rate was calculated.Age,body mass index(BMI),blood pressure,waist circumference,blood routine,biochemistry indexes,and thyroid function were incorporated,and a NAFLD risk model was constructed using classification regression tree method.The predictive performance of the NAFLD classification tree model was evaluated through model misclassification matrix,risk statistics,and receiver operating characteristic curve.Results A total of 4088 aircrews were included in the study,and NAFLD was detected in 380 persons(380/4088,9.30%).The NAFLD model consisted of three layers,and five explanatory variables affecting the onset of NAFLD were extracted,including BMI,triglycerides(TG),high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),alanine aminotransferase(ALT),and total bilirubin(TBIL).BMI was located at the top of the classification tree and was the most important risk factor for NAFLD in aircrews.The area under the curve(AUC)of the model was 0.853.The predictive accuracy of NAFLD was 90.9%,indicating that the model has good accuracy and fitting effect.Conclusion In this study,the detection rate of NAFLD in aircrews was 9.30%.BMI,TG,HDL-C,ALT,and TBIL are risk factors for the onset of NAFLD.NAFLD is mainly related to weight gain and lipid metabolism disorders caused by unhealthy lifestyles.
3.Single-arm, Multi-center, Prospective Clinical Study of Recombinant Human Endostatin Combined with Afatinib and Teggio in Second-line Treatment of Advanced Lung Squamous Cell Carcinoma
Yang CHEN ; Guodong FAN ; Annan JIAO ; Zegeng LI ; Jiabing TONG ; Biao FANG ; Suling YAO ; Mingqi WANG ; Mei ZHANG ; Ping LI
Chinese Journal of Modern Applied Pharmacy 2024;41(10):1388-1393
OBJECTIVE
To evaluate the effictiveness and safety of recombinant human endostatin combined with afatinib and teggio in the treatment of advanced lung squamous cell carcinoma.
METHODS
A total of 25 patients with driver-negative advanced lung squamous cell carcinoma were included in this single-arm prospective study, and the enrolled patients were treated with recombinant human endostatin combined with afatinib and teggio as scheduled. Progression-free survival(PFS), overall survival(OS), disease control rate(DCR), objective response rate(ORR), and adverse reactions(AR) were observed and analyzed.
RESULTS
The 25 enrolled patients received at least 2 cycles of second-line treatment, and were followed up as of March 31, 2023. Among them, 4 patients had partial remission, 17 patients had stable disease, and 4 patients experienced progressive disease. The ORR confirmed by the researchers was 16%(95%CI, 4.5%−36.1%), DCR was 84%(95%CI, 63.9%−95.5%), and median PFS was 5.3 months(95%CI, 3.5−6.9 months). The median OS had not yet been achieved. The entire group of patients had good treatment tolerance, and the most common level Ⅲ or Ⅳ adverse events related to treatment were leukopenia(20%) and rash(12%), with no reported treatment-related deaths.
CONCLUSION
Recombinant human endostatin combined with afatinib and teggio in the second line treatment of advanced lung squamous cell carcinoma can prolong the progression free survival period of patients and is relatively safe, which is worth further exploration and promotion.
4.Serological Investigation into the Infected Genotypes of Patients with Japanese Encephalitis in the Coastal Provinces of China
Zhang WEIJIA ; Zhao JIERONG ; Yin QIKAI ; Liu SHENGHUI ; Wang RUICHEN ; Fu SHIHONG ; Li FAN ; He YING ; Nie KAI ; Liang GUODONG ; Xu SONGTAO ; Yang GUANG ; Wang HUANYU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(7):716-725
Objective Genotypes(G)1,3,and 5 of the Japanese encephalitis virus(JEV)have been isolated in China,but the dominant genotype circulating in Chinese coastal areas remains unknown.We searched for G5 JEV-infected cases and attempted to elucidate which JEV genotype was most closely related to human Japanese encephalitis(JE)in the coastal provinces of China. Methods In this study,we collected serum specimens from patients with JE in three coastal provinces of China(Guangdong,Zhejiang,and Shandong)from 2018 to 2020 and conducted JEV cross-neutralization tests against G1,G3,and G5. Results Acute serum specimens from clinically reported JE cases were obtained for laboratory confirmation from hospitals in Shandong(92 patients),Zhejiang(192 patients),and Guangdong(77 patients),China,from 2018 to 2020.Seventy of the 361 serum specimens were laboratory-confirmed to be infected with JEV.Two cases were confirmed to be infected with G1 JEV,32 with G3 JEV,and two with G5 JEV. Conclusion G3 was the primary infection genotype among JE cases with a definite infection genotype,and the infection caused by G5 JEV was confirmed serologically in China.
5.Application and effect of electronic signature verification technology in children's vaccination clinic
Jing YU ; Fengyang TANG ; Zhiguo WANG ; Lei ZHANG ; Li LIU ; Ran HU ; Jun GAO ; Bangmei DUAN ; Qing FAN ; Guodong KANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2023;34(6):65-67
Objective To evaluate the application and effect of signature verification technology in children's vaccination clinics (CVC) of Jiangsu Province in 2020. Methods The signature verification data were derived from the Jiangsu Provincial Vaccination Integrated Service Management Information System, and the inquiry and registration, informed consent, vaccine traceability code scanning and observation information of children's vaccination clinics in different regions were analyzed. 210 doses of vaccination information were randomly selected from CVCs in each county, and the length of vaccination services in different regions was compared. Results During 2020, all of CVCs in Jiangsu were equipped with signature verification technology, and the signature verification rate of each vaccination sector was more than 99.90%. The length of outpatient vaccination service and overall length of stay in southern Jiangsu were slightly shorter than those in other regions. Conclusion The introduction of electronic signature verification technology in CVCs can effectively standardize the vaccination. It is necessary to expand the functions of electronic signature verification equipment, strengthen data analysis and utilization, and guide vaccination scientifically.
6.Recombinant expression of Japanese encephalitis virus non-structural protein NS1 gene and its reaction with Flavivirus antigen and antibody
ZHANG Yijia ; YAO Xiaohui ; CAO Lei ; WANG Ruichen ; FU Shihong ; NIE Kai ; LI Fan ; YIN Qikai ; HE Ying ; WANG Huanyu ; XU Songtao ; MA Chaofeng ; LIANG Guodong
China Tropical Medicine 2023;23(12):1241-
Abstract: Objective To elucidate the antigenic antibody reaction of recombinant expression of non-structural protein 1 (NS1) of Japanese encephalitis (JE) virus with various mosquito-borne flaviviruses, including JE virus, and the antigenic antibody reaction of serum samples of patients infected with JE virus in acute stage. Methods In this study, Escherichia coli prokaryotic expression vector (pET) system was used to recombinant express Japanese encephalitis virus NS1 gene. Western Blot assay was performed to detect the antibody responses of the recombinantly expressed protein against a variety of mosquito-transmitted flaviviruses, including JE virus, as well as antigen-antibody reactions of serum from patients with acute JE virus infection. Results The NS1 gene expression product of JE virus (P3 strain) was in the form of an inclusion body, and the denatured and renatured expression product was displayed as a single band in the denatured gel (polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis, PAGE), with a molecular weight of about 45 000. The results of further antigen-antibody analysis showed that the antigen/antibody hybridization reaction of the expression product with polyclonal or monoclonal antibody of JE virus (mosquito isolates, encephalitis isolates) and serum samples of patients with acute JE virus infection could be completely consistent. The recombinant product showed negative antigen/antibody hybridization reactions with mosquito-transmitted flaviviruses, such as dengue virus and yellow fever virus polyclonal antibodies, but positive reactions with polyclonal antibodies to West Nile virus and Murray Valley encephalitis virus. Conclusions In this study, the recombinant expression of the NS1 protein of JE virus was successfully obtained, and the antigen/antibody reaction between the recombinant protein and samples of patients infected with mosquito-borne flavivirus and JE virus was analyzed. The study results provide important basic data for elucidating the antigen-antibody reaction between the NS1 protein of JE virus and mosquito-borne flavivirus. The recombinant expression protein obtained in this study provides an important material basis for further research on the function of JE virus NS1 protein.
7.Related factors of recurrence of renal cell carcinoma after robot-assisted partial nephrectomy
Guodong HONG ; Shuanbao YU ; Jinshan CUI ; Zhenhao LI ; Jin TAO ; Yafeng FAN ; Biao DONG ; Xuepei ZHANG
Journal of Modern Urology 2023;28(5):372-376
【Objective】 To investigate the recurrence of patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) after robot-assisted partial nephrectomy (RAPN), and to explore the related factors of recurrence. 【Methods】 Clinical data of 367 RCC patients who underwent RAPN during 2015 and 2020 in our hospital were retrospectively collected. Patients were divided into recurrence group and non-recurrence group. The related factors of recurrence and 5-year cumulative recurrence rate of RCC and clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) in the recurrence group were analyzed. 【Results】 The median follow-up was 48 (IQR:38-60) months. Recurrence occurred in 9 patients, with a 5-year cumulative recurrence rate of 97.5%. For RCC patients, univariate analysis showed that tumor size, T-stage, R. E. N. A. L. score, R value, N value, and operation time were significantly associated with postoperative recurrence (P<0.05), while multivariate analysis showed that N value (HR=15.75, 95%CI:2.00-124.17, P=0.009) was an independent related factor. For ccRCC patients, univariate analysis showed that hypertension, tumor size, T-stage, R. E. N. A. L. score, N value, operation time and WHO/ISUP grade were significantly associated with postoperative recurrence (P<0.05), while multivariate analysis showed that WHO/ISUP grade (HR=4.99, 95%CI:1.04-24.01, P=0.045) was an independent related factor. 【Conclusion】 The 5-year cumulative recurrence rate of RCC patients after RAPN is 2.5%. N value and WHO/ISUP grade are the independent related factor of recurrence of RCC and ccRCC, respectively.
8.Influencing factors of conversion from robot-assisted partial nephrectomy to radical nephrectomy
Guodong HONG ; Shuanbao YU ; Jinshan CUI ; Zhenhao LI ; Jin TAO ; Yafeng FAN ; Biao DONG ; Xuepei ZHANG
Journal of Modern Urology 2023;28(5):377-381
【Objective】 To explore the influencing factors of planned robot-assisted partial nephrectomy (RAPN) converted to radical nephrectomy (RN). 【Methods】 Clinical data and operation records of 488 patients planned for RAPN in our hospital during 2015 and 2020 were retrospectively collected. The patients were divided into converted and unconverted groups, and relevant clinical data of the two groups were compared. The causes and influencing factors for conversion were analyzed. 【Results】 Among the 488 patients, 14 (2.9%) converted to RN. The causes included: ①complicated tumor anatomy and surgical difficulties; ②local advanced renal tumor suspected during operation; ③severe intraoperative hemorrhage. Univariate analysis showed that R. E. N. A. L score (P<0.001), E value (P<0.001), N value (P<0.001), L value (P<0.001), renal hilum position (P<0.001) and T stage (P=0.002) were influencing factors of conversion. 【Conclusion】 Causes for the conversion of RAPN to RN include complicated tumor anatomy, suspected local advanced renal tumor and severe intraoperative hemorrhage. The R. E. N. A. L score, E value, N value, L value, renal hilum position and T stage are influencing factors.
9.Comparison between robot-assisted and open radical nephrectomy in the treatment of complex kidney neoplasm >8 cm in diameter
Jinshan CUI ; Shuanbao YU ; Guodong HONG ; Jin TAO ; Yafeng FAN ; Biao DONG ; Zhaowei ZHU ; Xuepei ZHANG
Journal of Modern Urology 2023;28(2):111-114
【Objective】 To compare the feasibility, safety, and efficacy of robot-assisted and open radical nephrectomy for complex kidney neoplasm >8 cm in diameter. 【Methods】 Clinical data of 24 patients with large kidney neoplasm undergoing robot-assisted radical nephrectomy (9 cases, 37.5%) and open radical nephrectomy (15 cases, 62.5%) during Nov.2015 and Aug.2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The surgical parameters, perioperative complications and follow-up outcomes were compared between the two groups. 【Results】 All operations were successful. Compared with the robot group, the open group had a higher incidence of clinical symptoms (93.3% vs.44.4%, P=0.015) and larger maximum tumor diameter (124 mm vs.95 mm, P=0.021). There were no significant differences in other preoperative characteristics between the two groups. The robot group had less intraoperative blood loss (100 mL vs.800 mL, P=0.006) and lower blood transfusion rate (0% vs. 60.0%, P=0.007) than the open group. During the median follow-up of 50 (range: 25-67) months, 4 patients in the open group and 1 in the robot group developed new metastases, and 4 patients in the open group died due to advanced tumor stage. 【Conclusion】 Robot-assisted radical nephrectomy is safe in the treatment of complex and large renal tumors, and causes less intraoperative blood loss than open surgery.
10.Chinese expert consensus on emergency surgery for severe trauma and infection prevention during corona virus disease 2019 epidemic (version 2023)
Yang LI ; Yuchang WANG ; Haiwen PENG ; Xijie DONG ; Guodong LIU ; Wei WANG ; Hong YAN ; Fan YANG ; Ding LIU ; Huidan JING ; Yu XIE ; Manli TANG ; Xian CHEN ; Wei GAO ; Qingshan GUO ; Zhaohui TANG ; Hao TANG ; Bingling HE ; Qingxiang MAO ; Zhen WANG ; Xiangjun BAI ; Daqing CHEN ; Haiming CHEN ; Min DAO ; Dingyuan DU ; Haoyu FENG ; Ke FENG ; Xiang GAO ; Wubing HE ; Peiyang HU ; Xi HU ; Gang HUANG ; Guangbin HUANG ; Wei JIANG ; Hongxu JIN ; Laifa KONG ; He LI ; Lianxin LI ; Xiangmin LI ; Xinzhi LI ; Yifei LI ; Zilong LI ; Huimin LIU ; Changjian LIU ; Xiaogang MA ; Chunqiu PAN ; Xiaohua PAN ; Lei PENG ; Jifu QU ; Qiangui REN ; Xiguang SANG ; Biao SHAO ; Yin SHEN ; Mingwei SUN ; Fang WANG ; Juan WANG ; Jun WANG ; Wenlou WANG ; Zhihua WANG ; Xu WU ; Renju XIAO ; Yang XIE ; Feng XU ; Xinwen YANG ; Yuetao YANG ; Yongkun YAO ; Changlin YIN ; Yigang YU ; Ke ZHANG ; Xingwen ZHANG ; Guixi ZHANG ; Gang ZHAO ; Xiaogang ZHAO ; Xiaosong ZHU ; Yan′an ZHU ; Changju ZHU ; Zhanfei LI ; Lianyang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2023;39(2):97-106
During coronavirus disease 2019 epidemic, the treatment of severe trauma has been impacted. The Consensus on emergency surgery and infection prevention and control for severe trauma patients with 2019 novel corona virus pneumonia was published online on February 12, 2020, providing a strong guidance for the emergency treatment of severe trauma and the self-protection of medical staffs in the early stage of the epidemic. With the Joint Prevention and Control Mechanism of the State Council renaming "novel coronavirus pneumonia" to "novel coronavirus infection" and the infection being managed with measures against class B infectious diseases since January 8, 2023, the consensus published in 2020 is no longer applicable to the emergency treatment of severe trauma in the new stage of epidemic prevention and control. In this context, led by the Chinese Traumatology Association, Chinese Trauma Surgeon Association, Trauma Medicine Branch of Chinese International Exchange and Promotive Association for Medical and Health Care, and Editorial Board of Chinese Journal of Traumatology, the Chinese expert consensus on emergency surgery for severe trauma and infection prevention during coronavirus disease 2019 epidemic ( version 2023) is formulated to ensure the effectiveness and safety in the treatment of severe trauma in the new stage. Based on the policy of the Joint Prevention and Control Mechanism of the State Council and by using evidence-based medical evidence as well as Delphi expert consultation and voting, 16 recommendations are put forward from the four aspects of the related definitions, infection prevention, preoperative assessment and preparation, emergency operation and postoperative management, hoping to provide a reference for severe trauma care in the new stage of the epidemic prevention and control.


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