OBJECTIVE: To analyze the disease burden of pelvic fractures at the global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2023 using data from the 2023 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), and to predict the disease burden through 2050. METHODS: Leveraging data from the GBD 2023, this study investigated the disease burden of pelvic fractures across 204 countries and regions. Assessment indicators included incidence rate, prevalence rate, and years lived with disability (YLDs). The Joinpoint regression model was employed to analyze trends in pelvic fracture burden from 1990 to 2023, while the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used to quantify this temporal trend. The relationship between the socio-demographic index and pelvic fracture burden was evaluated. Furthermore, the long short-term memory (LSTM) model was applied to predict trends in pelvic fracture burden through 2050. RESULTS: In 2023, the estimated number of new pelvic fracture cases globally was 7 479 884 [95% uncertainty interval ( UI): 5 293 401-10 611 876], representing a 42.74% increase from 1990. In the same year, the number of prevalent pelvic fracture cases and YLDs were 23 007 508 (95% UI: 21 021 518-25 327 165) and 3 909 228 person-years (95% UI: 2 725 498-5 194 385), respectively. Additionally, age-standardized rates exhibited an opposing downward trend. Significant disparities in the disease burden of pelvic fractures were identified across different age groups, genders, and social contexts. According to predictions from the LSTM model, the global age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of pelvic fractures will be approximately 88.44 per 100 000 persons by 2050, while the total number of incident cases will rise to 8 547 095. CONCLUSION Although the overall incidence rate, prevalence rate, and YLDs of pelvic fractures have exhibited an upward trend over the past three decades, the ASIR, age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized years of life lost rate (ASYR) have shown a downward trend. It is predicted that over the upcoming 26-year period, the age-standardized rate of disease burden due to pelvic fractures will further decrease, while the number of incident cases and prevalent cases will continue to exhibit an upward trend. Formulating more targeted disease prevention strategies is critical to addressing disparities across genders, regions, and other dimensions, and to mitigating the burden of pelvic fractures.
Humans ; Fractures, Bone/epidemiology* ; Pelvic Bones/injuries* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Incidence ; Prevalence ; Aged ; Global Burden of Disease/trends* ; Global Health ; Adolescent ; Cost of Illness ; Young Adult ; Forecasting ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Memory, Short-Term

Objective To establish a classification tree model for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD)among aircrews,screen for influencing factors of NAFLD,so as to provide scientific basis for prevention and intervention decisions for NAFLD.Methods Aircrews who underwent recuperation at a sanatorium from January 2019 to December 2023 were selected as the research objects.Their annual physical examination data were collected and the NAFLD detection rate was calculated.Age,body mass index(BMI),blood pressure,waist circumference,blood routine,biochemistry indexes,and thyroid function were incorporated,and a NAFLD risk model was constructed using classification regression tree method.The predictive performance of the NAFLD classification tree model was evaluated through model misclassification matrix,risk statistics,and receiver operating characteristic curve.Results A total of 4088 aircrews were included in the study,and NAFLD was detected in 380 persons(380/4088,9.30%).The NAFLD model consisted of three layers,and five explanatory variables affecting the onset of NAFLD were extracted,including BMI,triglycerides(TG),high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),alanine aminotransferase(ALT),and total bilirubin(TBIL).BMI was located at the top of the classification tree and was the most important risk factor for NAFLD in aircrews.The area under the curve(AUC)of the model was 0.853.The predictive accuracy of NAFLD was 90.9%,indicating that the model has good accuracy and fitting effect.Conclusion In this study,the detection rate of NAFLD in aircrews was 9.30%.BMI,TG,HDL-C,ALT,and TBIL are risk factors for the onset of NAFLD.NAFLD is mainly related to weight gain and lipid metabolism disorders caused by unhealthy lifestyles.

Objective Genotypes(G)1,3,and 5 of the Japanese encephalitis virus(JEV)have been isolated in China,but the dominant genotype circulating in Chinese coastal areas remains unknown.We searched for G5 JEV-infected cases and attempted to elucidate which JEV genotype was most closely related to human Japanese encephalitis(JE)in the coastal provinces of China. Methods In this study,we collected serum specimens from patients with JE in three coastal provinces of China(Guangdong,Zhejiang,and Shandong)from 2018 to 2020 and conducted JEV cross-neutralization tests against G1,G3,and G5. Results Acute serum specimens from clinically reported JE cases were obtained for laboratory confirmation from hospitals in Shandong(92 patients),Zhejiang(192 patients),and Guangdong(77 patients),China,from 2018 to 2020.Seventy of the 361 serum specimens were laboratory-confirmed to be infected with JEV.Two cases were confirmed to be infected with G1 JEV,32 with G3 JEV,and two with G5 JEV. Conclusion G3 was the primary infection genotype among JE cases with a definite infection genotype,and the infection caused by G5 JEV was confirmed serologically in China.

OBJECTIVE To evaluate the effictiveness and safety of recombinant human endostatin combined with afatinib and teggio in the treatment of advanced lung squamous cell carcinoma. METHODS A total of 25 patients with driver-negative advanced lung squamous cell carcinoma were included in this single-arm prospective study, and the enrolled patients were treated with recombinant human endostatin combined with afatinib and teggio as scheduled. Progression-free survival(PFS), overall survival(OS), disease control rate(DCR), objective response rate(ORR), and adverse reactions(AR) were observed and analyzed. RESULTS The 25 enrolled patients received at least 2 cycles of second-line treatment, and were followed up as of March 31, 2023. Among them, 4 patients had partial remission, 17 patients had stable disease, and 4 patients experienced progressive disease. The ORR confirmed by the researchers was 16%(95%CI, 4.5%−36.1%), DCR was 84%(95%CI, 63.9%−95.5%), and median PFS was 5.3 months(95%CI, 3.5−6.9 months). The median OS had not yet been achieved. The entire group of patients had good treatment tolerance, and the most common level Ⅲ or Ⅳ adverse events related to treatment were leukopenia(20%) and rash(12%), with no reported treatment-related deaths. CONCLUSION Recombinant human endostatin combined with afatinib and teggio in the second line treatment of advanced lung squamous cell carcinoma can prolong the progression free survival period of patients and is relatively safe, which is worth further exploration and promotion.

Objective:To investigate predictive factors for successful endovascular recanalization in patients with non-acute symptomatic internal carotid artery occlusion (SICAO), to develop a decision tree model using the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) algorithm, and to evaluate the predictive performance of the model.Methods:Patients with non-acute SICAO received endovascular therapy at 8 comprehensive stroke centers in China were included retrospectively. They were randomly assigned to a training set and a validation set. In the training set, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm was used to screen important variables, and a decision tree prediction model was constructed based on CART algorithm. The model was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test and confusion matrix in the validation set.Results:A total of 511 patients with non-acute SICAO were included. They were randomly divided into a training set ( n=357) and a validation set ( n=154) in a 7:3 ratio. The successful recanalization rates after endovascular therapy were 58.8% and 58.4%, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference ( χ2=0.007, P=0.936). A CART decision tree model consisting of 5 variables, 5 layers and 9 classification rules was constructed using the six non-zero-coefficient variables selected by LASSO regression. The predictive factors for successful recanalization included fewer occluded segments, proximal tapered stump, ASITN/SIR collateral grading of 1-2, ischemic stroke, and a recent event to endovascular therapy time of 1-30 d. ROC analysis showed that the area under curve of the decision tree model in the training set was 0.810 (95% confidence interval 0.764-0.857), and the optimal cut-off value for predicting successful recanalization was 0.71. The area under curve in the validation set was 0.763 (95% confidence interval 0.687-0.839). The accuracy was 70.1%, precision was 81.4%, sensitivity was 63.3%, and specificity was 79.7%. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test in both groups showed P>0.05. Conclusion:Based on the type of ischemic event, the time from the latest event to endovascular therapy, proximal stump morphology, the number of occluded segments, and the ASITN/SIR collateral grading constructed the decision tree model can effectively predict successful recanalization after non-acute SICAO endovascular therapy.

Abstract： Objective　To elucidate the antigenic antibody reaction of recombinant expression of non-structural protein 1 (NS1) of Japanese encephalitis (JE) virus with various mosquito-borne flaviviruses, including JE virus, and the antigenic antibody reaction of serum samples of patients infected with JE virus in acute stage. Methods　In this study, Escherichia coli prokaryotic expression vector (pET) system was used to recombinant express Japanese encephalitis virus NS1 gene. Western Blot assay was performed to detect the antibody responses of the recombinantly expressed protein against a variety of mosquito-transmitted flaviviruses, including JE virus, as well as antigen-antibody reactions of serum from patients with acute JE virus infection. Results　The NS1 gene expression product of JE virus (P3 strain) was in the form of an inclusion body, and the denatured and renatured expression product was displayed as a single band in the denatured gel (polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis, PAGE), with a molecular weight of about 45 000. The results of further antigen-antibody analysis showed that the antigen/antibody hybridization reaction of the expression product with polyclonal or monoclonal antibody of JE virus (mosquito isolates, encephalitis isolates) and serum samples of patients with acute JE virus infection could be completely consistent. The recombinant product showed negative antigen/antibody hybridization reactions with mosquito-transmitted flaviviruses, such as dengue virus and yellow fever virus polyclonal antibodies, but positive reactions with polyclonal antibodies to West Nile virus and Murray Valley encephalitis virus. Conclusions　In this study, the recombinant expression of the NS1 protein of JE virus was successfully obtained, and the antigen/antibody reaction between the recombinant protein and samples of patients infected with mosquito-borne flavivirus and JE virus was analyzed. The study results provide important basic data for elucidating the antigen-antibody reaction between the NS1 protein of JE virus and mosquito-borne flavivirus. The recombinant expression protein obtained in this study provides an important material basis for further research on the function of JE virus NS1 protein.

Objective:To investigate the application effects of nitrous oxide and oxygen mixed inhalation technology on analgesia and sedation during debridement and dressing change in children with moderate or severe burns.Methods:A retrospective non-randomized contemporary controlled study was conducted. From December 2019 to November 2021, 140 burn children with moderate or severe burns, aged 1 to 3 years, who met the inclusion criteria were admitted to Central Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University. During debridement and dressing change 3 to 14 days after injury, 42 children, including 23 males and 19 females, who received nurse-centered pain management mode and analgesia and sedation with nitrous oxide and oxygen mixed inhalation technology were included in nitrous oxide group (the dressing change process using the above-mentioned technology for the first time was selected for the follow-up study). Another 42 children, including 24 males and 18 females, were included in non-nitrous oxide group from 98 children who did not apply analgesia or sedation treatment during dressing change with stratified random sampling (one dressing change process was randomly selected for the follow-up study). The face, legs, activity, cry, and consolability scale and Ramsay sedation scale were used to evaluate the pain intensity and degree of sedation, respectively, at 30 minutes before dressing change (hereinafter referred to as before dressing change), immediately after debridement, and at 30 minutes after finishing dressing change (hereinafter referred to as after dressing change). After dressing change, the self-made satisfaction scale was used to evaluate the satisfaction degree of dressing change surgeons and guardians of children for analgesic effects during dressing change. The duration of dressing change and the healing time of deep partial-thickness burn wounds were recorded. The heart rate and percutaneous arterial oxygen saturation (SpO 2) before, during, and after dressing change and the occurrence of adverse events such as nausea and vomiting during dressing change were recorded. Data were statistically analyzed with Mann-Whitney U test, chi-square test, analysis of variance for repeated measurement, independent sample t test, and Bonferroni correction. Results:There were no significant differences in the score of pain intensity and score of sedation degree between children in two groups before and after dressing change ( P>0.05). Immediately after debridement, the score of pain intensity of children in nitrous oxide group was 2.5±0.7, which was significantly lower than 7.6±1.0 in non-nitrous oxide group ( t=-26.69, P<0.05); the score of sedation degree of children in nitrous oxide group was 1.83±0.38, which was significantly higher than 1.21±0.42 in non-nitrous oxide group ( t=7.15, P<0.05). After dressing change, the satisfaction degree scores of dressing change surgeons and guardians of children for analgesic effects during dressing change of children in nitrous oxide group were significantly higher than those in non-nitrous oxide group (with t values of 10.53 and 2.24, respectively, P<0.05). The dressing change duration of children in nitrous oxide group was significantly shorter than that in non-nitrous oxide group ( t=-5.33, P<0.05). The healing time of deep partial-thickness burn wounds in children between the two groups had no significant difference ( P>0.05). The heart rate of children in nitrous oxide group was significantly lower than that in non-nitrous oxide group during dressing change ( t=-12.40, P<0.05), while the SpO 2 was significantly higher than that in non-nitrous oxide group ( t=5.98, P<0.05). During dressing change, 2 children had nausea and 1 child had euphoria in nitrous oxide group, while heart rate of all children in non-nitrous oxide group continued to be higher than the normal range. Conclusions:In the process of debridement and dressing change in children with moderate or severe burns, the use of nurse-centered pain management mode and the standardized use of nitrous oxide and oxygen mixed inhalation technology can safely and effectively control pain and sedation.

【Objective】 To investigate the recurrence of patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) after robot-assisted partial nephrectomy (RAPN), and to explore the related factors of recurrence. 【Methods】 Clinical data of 367 RCC patients who underwent RAPN during 2015 and 2020 in our hospital were retrospectively collected. Patients were divided into recurrence group and non-recurrence group. The related factors of recurrence and 5-year cumulative recurrence rate of RCC and clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) in the recurrence group were analyzed. 【Results】 The median follow-up was 48 (IQR:38-60) months. Recurrence occurred in 9 patients, with a 5-year cumulative recurrence rate of 97.5%. For RCC patients, univariate analysis showed that tumor size, T-stage, R. E. N. A. L. score, R value, N value, and operation time were significantly associated with postoperative recurrence (P<0.05), while multivariate analysis showed that N value (HR=15.75, 95%CI:2.00-124.17, P=0.009) was an independent related factor. For ccRCC patients, univariate analysis showed that hypertension, tumor size, T-stage, R. E. N. A. L. score, N value, operation time and WHO/ISUP grade were significantly associated with postoperative recurrence (P<0.05), while multivariate analysis showed that WHO/ISUP grade (HR=4.99, 95%CI:1.04-24.01, P=0.045) was an independent related factor. 【Conclusion】 The 5-year cumulative recurrence rate of RCC patients after RAPN is 2.5%. N value and WHO/ISUP grade are the independent related factor of recurrence of RCC and ccRCC, respectively.

【Objective】 To explore the influencing factors of planned robot-assisted partial nephrectomy (RAPN) converted to radical nephrectomy (RN). 【Methods】 Clinical data and operation records of 488 patients planned for RAPN in our hospital during 2015 and 2020 were retrospectively collected. The patients were divided into converted and unconverted groups, and relevant clinical data of the two groups were compared. The causes and influencing factors for conversion were analyzed. 【Results】 Among the 488 patients, 14 (2.9%) converted to RN. The causes included: ①complicated tumor anatomy and surgical difficulties; ②local advanced renal tumor suspected during operation; ③severe intraoperative hemorrhage. Univariate analysis showed that R. E. N. A. L score (P<0.001), E value (P<0.001), N value (P<0.001), L value (P<0.001), renal hilum position (P<0.001) and T stage (P=0.002) were influencing factors of conversion. 【Conclusion】 Causes for the conversion of RAPN to RN include complicated tumor anatomy, suspected local advanced renal tumor and severe intraoperative hemorrhage. The R. E. N. A. L score, E value, N value, L value, renal hilum position and T stage are influencing factors.

【Objective】 To compare the feasibility, safety, and efficacy of robot-assisted and open radical nephrectomy for complex kidney neoplasm >8 cm in diameter. 【Methods】 Clinical data of 24 patients with large kidney neoplasm undergoing robot-assisted radical nephrectomy (9 cases, 37.5%) and open radical nephrectomy (15 cases, 62.5%) during Nov.2015 and Aug.2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The surgical parameters, perioperative complications and follow-up outcomes were compared between the two groups. 【Results】 All operations were successful. Compared with the robot group, the open group had a higher incidence of clinical symptoms (93.3% vs.44.4%, P=0.015) and larger maximum tumor diameter (124 mm vs.95 mm, P=0.021). There were no significant differences in other preoperative characteristics between the two groups. The robot group had less intraoperative blood loss (100 mL vs.800 mL, P=0.006) and lower blood transfusion rate (0% vs. 60.0%, P=0.007) than the open group. During the median follow-up of 50 (range: 25-67) months, 4 patients in the open group and 1 in the robot group developed new metastases, and 4 patients in the open group died due to advanced tumor stage. 【Conclusion】 Robot-assisted radical nephrectomy is safe in the treatment of complex and large renal tumors, and causes less intraoperative blood loss than open surgery.