1.Genomic variant surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 positive specimens using a direct PCR product sequencing surveillance (DPPSS) method.
Nicole Ann L. Tuberon ; Francisco M. Heralde III ; Catherine C. Reportoso ; Arturo L. Gaitano III ; Wilmar Jun O. Elopre ; Kim Claudette J. Fernandez
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(1):57-68
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) as the causative agent of COVID-19 has significantly challenged the public health landscape in late 2019. After almost 3 years of the first ever SARS-CoV-2 case, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the end of this global health emergency in May 2023. Although, despite the subsequent drop of COVID-19 cases, the SARS-CoV-2 infection still exhibited multiple waves of infection, primarily attributed to the appearance of new variants. Five of these variants have been classified as Variants of Concern (VOC): Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and the most recent, Omicron. Therefore, the development of methods for the timely and accurate detection of viral variants remains fundamental, ensuring an ongoing and effective response to the disease. This study aims to evaluate the feasibility of the application of an in-house approach in genomic surveillance for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants using in silico designed primers.
METHODSThe primers used for the study were particularly designed based on conserved regions of certain genes in the virus, targeting distinct mutations found in known variants of SARS-CoV-2. Viral RNA extracts from nasopharyngeal samples (n=14) were subjected to quantitative and qualitative tests (Nanodrop and AGE). Selected samples were then analyzed by RT-PCR and amplicons were submitted for sequencing. Sequence alignment analysis was carried out to identify the prevailing COVID-19 variant present in the sample population.
RESULTSThe study findings demonstrated that the in-house method was able to successfully amplify conserved sequences (spike, envelope, membrane, ORF1ab) and enabled identification of the circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant among the samples. Majority of the samples were identified as Omicron variant. Three out of four designed primers effectively bound into the conserved sequence of target genes present in the sample, revealing the specific SARSCoV-2 variant. The detected mutations characterized for Omicron found in the identified lineages included K417N, S477N, and P681H which were also identified as mutations of interest. Furthermore, identification of the B.1.448 lineage which was not classified in any known variant also provided the potential of the developed in-house method in detecting unknown variants of COVID-19.
CONCLUSIONAmong the five VOCs, Omicron is the most prevalent and dominant variant. The in-house direct PCR product sequencing surveillance (DPPSS) method provided an alternative platform for SAR-CoV-2 variant analysis which is accessible and affordable than the conventional diagnostic surveillance methods and the whole genome sequencing. Further evaluation and improvements on the oligonucleotide primers may offer significant contribution to the development of a specific and direct PCRbased detection of new emerging COVID-19 variants.
Sars-cov-2 ; Polymerase Chain Reaction ; Dna Primers ; Oligonucleotide Primers ; Computer Simulation ; Conserved Sequence ; Coronavirus ; Covid-19 ; Disease ; Emergencies ; Evaluation Studies As Topic ; Genes ; Genome ; Global Health ; Health ; Identification (psychology) ; Infection ; Infections ; Membranes ; Methods ; Mutation ; Oligonucleotides ; Organizations ; Population ; Public Health ; Rna ; Rna, Viral ; Sars Virus ; Sequence Alignment ; Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome ; Syndrome ; Viruses ; Whole Genome Sequencing ; World Health Organization
2.Comparison of Longer and Shorter Hemodialysis Duration on Nutritional Status and Quality of Life of Hemodialysis Patients
Nur Samsu ; Devi Santi Fatmawati ; Farida Wibisono ; Kartin Kartin ; Wahyu Wulandari ; Ayu Radyan Sephani ; Renny Tandya ; Angelina Gemilang Kartikasari Kosasih
Acta Medica Indonesiana 2026;58(1):15-25
Abstract
Background: Important determinants of dialysis adequacy are blood flow rate (BFR) and dialysis time. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of BFR and duration of dialysis session on nutritional status and quality of life (QoL) in hemodialysis (HD) patients. Methods: Real-world evidence studies (RWE) of 3 HD units that differ in BFR and/or dialysis time. Group I, HD 5 hours and BFR 200-250 mL/minute; group II, HD 4 hours and BFR 270-320 mL/minute, and group III, HD 4 hours and BFR 200-250 mL/minute. All HD units use the same dialysate flow and dialysis frequency. The 3-point Subjective Global Assessment (SGA) scale is used to assess nutritional status, while QOL is assessed using the SF-36. Results: There were 291 chronic HD patients with an average age of 51 (12.3) years, 50.5% were male. The proportion of SGA classes between groups did not differ significantly. Group I was associated with significantly higher PF and RP domain scores of PC and VT domain scores of MC compared to Group III. On the other hand, Group II was associated with significantly lower VT and MH domain scores of MC compared to Group I, while the other domains were not significantly different. In general, Group III had the lowest SF-36 scores compared to the other 2 groups. Conclusion: Duration of HD was not associated with nutritional status. Compared with 4-hour HD but with a faster BFR, 5-hour HD was associated with higher Mental Component QOL scores, but not Physical Component scores.
subjective global assessment
;
SF-36 questionnaire
;
blood flow rate
;
dialysis time
3.Clinical and radiologic profile of transient global amnesia in a Philippine tertiary hospital
Louie Lorenzo Mendoza Alcantara ; Veeda Michelle M. Anlacan ; Phillipe Ray S. M. Chionglo
Philippine Journal of Health Research and Development 2025;29(3):64-69
BACKGROUND
Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has gained increased diagnostic utility for patients with transient global amnesia (TGA), particularly for unwitnessed events or those with diagnostic uncertainty based on clinical grounds.
OBJECTIVESThe objectives are first, to determine the demographic and comorbid conditions of TGA patients; second, to determine the percentage of MRI diffusion weighted imaging (MRI DWI) hippocampal lesions, their time relationship from symptom onset, and their morphological characteristics; and lastly, to determine the dementia visual rating scale scores on neuroimaging for these patients.
METHODSA total of 20 TGA patients in a tertiary hospital from 2018 to 2022 were included in this retrospective study, and their medical records and neuroimaging were reviewed.
RESULTSTGA patients had a mean age of 61.4 years and a female predominance. Prevalent comorbid conditions include hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes, and the majority were discharged with antithrombotic medications. An emotionally triggering event was identified in 15% (n = 3). Mean symptom onset-to-scan time was 8.33 h, and one patient (detection rate of 5%) who underwent neuroimaging after 21.7 h demonstrated typical punctate hippocampal DWI hyperintensity. None exhibited significant cortical atrophy.
CONCLUSIONTGA patients showed female predominance, occurring mostly within the 5th–6th decade, with a moderate prevalence of vascular risk factors and absence of significant cerebral atrophy based on the Dementia Visual Rating Scales. A conventional MRI protocol yielded a 5% detection rate with a delay of 21 h from symptom onset. Hence, in a resource-limited setting such as the Philippines, it may be suggested, with limited evidence, that performing the procedure in TGA patients when the event is unwitnessed or uncertain could be reasonable, as correctly diagnosing TGA has therapeutic implications. Further studies may investigate prospectively the diagnostic utility of MRI, neuropsychological profile, and estimate cardiovascular and cognitive deterioration risk.
Human ; Amnesia ; Amnesia, Transient Global ; Magnetic Resonance Imaging ; Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy
4.Lip and oral cancers in East Asia from 1990 to 2035: trends of disease burden and future projections.
Yitong LIU ; Ke ZHAO ; Xiaodong WANG
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(7):1554-1562
OBJECTIVES:
To analyze the trends of disease burden of lip and oral cancers in East Asia from 1990 to 2021 and its future projections.
METHODS:
We used the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database to conduct a comprehensive analysis of disease burden data from China (including Taiwan Province of China), Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic People's Republic of Korea and Mongolia. The data were stratified by age, gender and major risk factors, and a Bayesian age-period-cohort model was employed to predict the future trends.
RESULTS:
From 1990 to 2021, the burden of lip and oral cancers in East Asian countries exhibited a steady increase. Taiwan Province of China experienced the most significant increases in incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), while Mongolia saw a decline in both mortality and DALYs. In 2021, Taiwan Province of China reported the highest rates of lip and oral cancer incidence (27.50 per 100 000), prevalence (137.92 per 100 000), mortality (9.59 per 100 000), and DALYs (292.07 person-years per 100 000), particularly among male and elderly populations. Tobacco use and alcohol consumption significantly exacerbated the disease burden in Taiwan Province of China and Japan. Future projections indicate that the incidence and prevalence of lip and oral cancer in China (excluding Taiwan Province of China) will continue to rise, while their mortality rates are expected to decline in most regions, except for Taiwan Province of China and Democratic People's Republic of Korea.
CONCLUSIONS
By the year 2035, the disease burden of lip and oral cancers in East Asia is expected to continue to increase, especially in Taiwan Province of China. To address this challenge, it is essential to implement effective measures to control major risk factors, promote early screening, and ensure equitable distribution of healthcare resources.
Humans
;
Mouth Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Incidence
;
Lip Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Asia, Eastern/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Prevalence
;
Female
;
Forecasting
;
Risk Factors
;
Cost of Illness
;
Middle Aged
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Aged
;
Bayes Theorem
5.Global burden and predicted trends of diarrheal disease in children under five from 1990 to 2021.
Ying DENG ; Minyi ZHANG ; Shiao WANG ; Shunchang FAN ; Jiaqi CHEN ; Juxian XIAN ; Qing CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(10):2171-2181
OBJECTIVES:
To conduct a comprehensive analysis of the global burden of diarrheal diseases in children under 5 years.
METHODS:
The data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 were analyzed to assess the incidence, mortality rates and average annual percentage changes (AAPC) of diarrhea among children under 5 years across nations(regions) and GBD regions from 1990 to 2021 using joinpoint regression. Smoothed curve regression was employed to explore the correlation of diarrheal disease burden with the Social Development Index (SDI) and for analyzing the burden of specific diarrheal pathogens. The Slope and Concentration Indices quantified disparities across SDI levels and the future trend were projected by the Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) model.
RESULTS:
From 1990 to 2021, the global incidence (AAPC: -3.65) and mortality (AAPC: -5.15) rates of diarrheal diseases declined steadily in children below 5 years. In 2021, neonates (<28 days) were the most affected, with an incidence rate of 138 058.74 per 100 000 and a mortality rate of 251.14 per 100 000. Rotavirus was the leading cause of death. The incidence rate of diarrheal diseases was negatively correlated with SDI, and the Concentration Index decreased from -0.293 in 1990 to -0.314 in 2021 without a significant gender difference. The BAPC model suggested that the global incidence rate of diarrheal diseases tends to decrease progressively from 2022 to 2050, with a predicted rate of 23 448.04 per 100 000 for male and 29 932.59 per 100 000 for female by 2050.
CONCLUSIONS
Despite the reduction in the global burden of diarrhea and the projection of its further decline, diarrheal diseases disproportionately affect neonates and low-SDI regions. While rotavirus remains the primary etiological agent worldwide, the predominant pathogens vary by nations (regions) and GBD regions, and strengthened interventions targeting vulnerable populations are needed.
Humans
;
Child, Preschool
;
Diarrhea/mortality*
;
Infant
;
Incidence
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Global Burden of Disease/trends*
;
Global Health
;
Male
;
Bayes Theorem
;
Female
6.Epidemiology of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter and its risk factors from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis and Mendelian randomization study based on the China and Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.
Huihua MA ; Kuipo YAN ; Gang LIU ; Yazhou XU ; Lei ZHANG ; Yizhuo LI
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(10):2182-2190
OBJECTIVES:
To analyze the changes in disease burden and risk factors of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter (AF/AFL) in China and globally from 1990 to 2021 to provide epidemiological evidence for developing effective preventive measures for AF/AFL in China.
METHODS:
Based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we analyzed sex- and age-specific AF/AFL burden metrics across 204 countries or territories. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), prevalence, mortality rate (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) rate (ASDR) were calculated. Joinpoint regression was employed to compute average annual percentage changes (AAPC) in trends. The risk factors were systematically evaluated and further validated using Mendelian randomization analysis.
RESULTS:
From 1990 to 2021, China experienced an increase in ASIR of AF/AFL (from 42.63 to 44.93 per 100 000), contrasting with the global decline. While China's ASMR decreased (from 4.93 to 4.33 per 100 000), global ASMR rose slightly (from 4.24 to 4.36 per 100 000). China's ASDR remained stable at 93.29 per 100 000, whereas global ASDR increased marginally (100.81 to 101.40 per 100 000). Significant sex disparities were observed: males showed higher ASIR and ASDR, while females exhibited greater ASMR and ASDR. China had higher incidence and prevalence but lower mortality and DALY rates compared to global averages. In 2021, the key risk factors for AF/AFL included elevated systolic blood pressure, high BMI, smoking, alcohol use, high-sodium diet, and low temperature. Gender-specific patterns emerged: smoking was predominant in males, whereas high BMI disproportionately affected females.
CONCLUSIONS
AF/AFL incidence and prevalence keep increasing in China, and its large population base and demographic aging pose significant public health challenges. Maintaining healthy lifestyle habits, including smoking cessation, alcohol moderation, and a low-sodium diet can help to lower AF/AFL incidence, and regular screenings is crucial for its early detection and treatment.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Atrial Flutter/epidemiology*
;
Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology*
;
Mendelian Randomization Analysis
;
Male
;
Female
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Incidence
;
Prevalence
;
Middle Aged
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Aged
7.Global, regional and national burden and trends of congenital musculoskeletal and limb deformities among under-5 children from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.
Qinglin YANG ; Zhuanmei JIN ; Yongping WANG
Frontiers of Medicine 2025;19(5):807-819
Congenital musculoskeletal and limb deformities (CMLD) seriously affect the physical and mental health of patients, and pose great challenges to healthcare systems worldwide. We explored the specific situation and changes of incidence, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years rates, and mortality of CMLD in under-5 children from 1990 to 2021 in different groups, including different regions, periods, genders and socio-demographic indices (SDI), through corresponding analytical models. Overall, the global disease burden of CMLD in under-5 children has decreased from 1990 to 2021. The disease burden of CMLD in under-5 children varied significantly among different regions and countries, and there was a strong correlation between the corresponding burden of disease and the level of SDI. In addition, cross-country inequality analysis showed that while absolute inequalities in the disease burden of CMLD in under-5 children have improved, relative inequalities have worsened. It is essential to reduce the global health impact of CMLD by implementing targeted interventions to improve health care in underdeveloped areas.
Humans
;
Global Burden of Disease/trends*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Global Health/statistics & numerical data*
;
Infant
;
Male
;
Prevalence
;
Limb Deformities, Congenital/mortality*
;
Musculoskeletal Abnormalities/mortality*
;
Female
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Incidence
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Cost of Illness
;
Socioeconomic Factors
8.The Disease Burden of Asthma in China, 1990 to 2021 and Projections to 2050: Based on the Global Burden of Disease 2021.
Rui Yi ZHANG ; Miao Miao ZHANG ; Yu Chang ZHOU ; Jia Huan GUO ; Xuan Kai WANG ; Mai Geng ZHOU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(5):529-538
OBJECTIVE:
Asthma imposes a significant global health burden. This study examines changes in the asthma-related disease burden from 1990 to 2021 and projects future burdens for 2050 under different scenarios.
METHODS:
Using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study, we analyzed asthma incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from 1990 to 2021. We projected the disease burden for 2050 based on current trends and hypothetical scenarios in which all risk factors are controlled. Temporal trends in age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALY rates were explored using Annual Percent Change.
RESULTS:
In 2021, the age-standardized rates for asthma incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs in China were 364.17 per 100,000 (95% uncertainty interval [ UI]: 283.22-494.10), 1,956.49 per 100,000 (95% UI: 1,566.68-2,491.87), 1.47 per 100,000 (95% UI: 1.15-1.79), and 103.76 per 100,000 (95% UI: 72.50-145.46), respectively. A higher disease burden was observed among Chinese men and individuals aged 70 years or older. Compared to the current trend, a combined scenario involving improvements in environmental factors, behavioral and metabolic health, child nutrition, and vaccination resulted in a greater reduction in the disease burden caused by asthma.
CONCLUSION
Addressing modifiable risk factors is essential for further reducing the asthma-related disease burden.
Humans
;
Asthma/mortality*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Child
;
Adolescent
;
Global Burden of Disease/trends*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Young Adult
;
Infant
;
Cost of Illness
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Prevalence
;
Incidence
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Risk Factors
9.Forecast of the Burden of Lower Respiratory Infections in the Elderly Aged 70 and above in China from 1990 to 2050, GBD2021.
Miao Miao ZHANG ; Rui Yi ZHANG ; Yu Chang ZHOU ; Mai Geng ZHOU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(5):539-546
OBJECTIVE:
This study aims to analyze the burden of lower respiratory infections in Chinese elderly people aged 70 and above.
METHODS:
This study utilized Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 1990-2050 prediction data to analyze changes in mortality rates and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates for lower respiratory infections in the elderly population (aged 70 and above) in China from 1990 to 2050. It also discusses future trends in the burden of lower respiratory infections (LRI) in China under different scenarios.
RESULTS:
According to GBD predictions, the burden of lower respiratory infections in the elderly aged 70 years and above in China is lower than the global average. The burden has been decreasing from 1990 to 2020, but is projected to increase from 2020 to 2050. Scenario-based predictions suggest that, under scenarios involving improvements in nutrition and vaccination, the burden of lower respiratory infections in the elderly in China is expected to be the lowest in 2050.
CONCLUSION
This study indicates that the burden of lower respiratory infections in elderly people aged 70 years and above in China remains a significant public health issue and may worsen. The government should consider strengthening the preventive measures and management strategies for respiratory infections in the elderly population.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Aged
;
Respiratory Tract Infections/mortality*
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Male
;
Female
;
Forecasting
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Cost of Illness
10.Disease Burden and Trends of COPD in the Asia-Pacific Region (1990-2019) and Predictions to 2034.
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(5):557-570
OBJECTIVE:
The Asia-Pacific region has a high chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) burden, but studies on its trends are limited. Using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 data, we analyzed COPD trends in 36 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 and predicted future incidence trends through 2034.
METHODS:
COPD data by age and sex from the GBD 2019 database were analyzed for incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) rates from 1990 to 2019. Joinpoint regression identified significant annual trends, and age-standardized incidence rates were predicted through 2034 using age-period-cohort models.
RESULTS:
The incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disease burden of COPD have been decreasing, and the incidence rates will continue to decrease or remain stable until 2034 in most selected countries and territories, except for a few Southeastern Asian countries. The Lao People's Democratic Republic and Vietnam are projected to experience an increase in COPD incidence from 165.3 per 100,000 in 2019 to 177 per 100,000 in 2034 and from 179.9 per 100,000 in 2019 to 192.5 per 100,000 in 2034, respectively. Older males had a higher incidence than any other sex or age group. The sex gap in incidence rates continues to widen, though it is smaller and less significant in the younger age group than in those in the older one.
CONCLUSION
COPD rates are expected to decline until 2034 but remain a health risk, especially in countries with rising rates. Urgent action on tobacco control, air pollution, and public education is needed.
Humans
;
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/mortality*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Incidence
;
Asia/epidemiology*
;
Adult
;
Prevalence
;
Cost of Illness
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Young Adult
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Adolescent


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