1.Disease burden and changing trends of bladder cancer in China and globally in 1992 - 2021
Zhengnan LI ; Zhuang LI ; Yuanyuan LUO ; Bo YU ; Hao SU ; GuangYong CAO ; Kai YIN ; Dongbo YUAN ; Jianguo ZHU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(3):8-13
Objective To analyze the disease burden and trends of bladder cancer in China and globally from 1992 to 2021. Methods Using the GBD 2021 database, the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of bladder cancer in China and globally from 1992–2021 were analyzed. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated using Joinpoint regression. Subgroup analyses by sex and age were conducted, and a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict trends in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) for the next 15 years. Results In 2021, China reported 106 000 new cases (ASIR: 5.14/100 000), 571 000 prevalent cases (age-standardized prevalence rate, ASPR: 26.61/100 000), 43 000 deaths (ASMR: 2.34/100 000), and a DALY rate of 45.31/100 000. From 1992–2021, China showed upward trends in ASIR and ASPR but declines in ASMR and DALYs, while global ASIR, ASMR, and DALYs decreased overall with slow ASPR growth. The peak cases in China and globally were both concentrated in the 65-79 age group, with a significantly higher burden on males than females. In China, smoking-related ASMR and ASDR exceeded global averages and rose, whereas high glucose-related indexes were lower and declined. Projections for 2021–2036 indicated that the global incidence and mortality rates would be rising, but ASIR/ASPR would be declining, while in China, the incidence rate would continue to rise, and the mortality rate will stabilize, with a significant increase in ASIR and a gradual decrease in ASPR. Conclusion From 1992 to 2021, the incidence of bladder cancer in China has shown a continuous upward trend and is projected to persist in the future, with significant gender and age differences. Particular attention should be given to elderly males aged 85-89. The disease burden of bladder cancer attributable to smoking continues to rise, highlighting the urgent need to strengthen tobacco control policies.
2.Correlation of GPRC6A Gene Polymorphism and Its Expression with Pulmonary Infection in Elderly Patients with Chronic Heart Failure
Qiufeng WANG ; Wenping JIAO ; Lin GAO ; Weicheng LI ; Liyuan ZHOU ; Nina BIAN ; Sen LIANG ; Menglin WANG ; Dongbo GAO
Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine 2025;40(6):62-67
Objective To investigate the correlation between G protein-coupled receptor family C group 6 member A(GPRC6A)gene polymorphisms and their expression and pulmonary infections in elderly patients with chronic heart failure(CHF).Methods 138 elderly CHF patients admitted to the Xianyang First People's Hospital from January 2021 to January 2024 were selected as the research subjects,and were divided into an infected group(n=42)and an uninfected group(n=96)based on their lung infection status.Polymerase chain reaction(PCR)was used to detect polymorphisms at the rs6901250 and rs1606365 loci of the GPRC6A gene.The allele and genotype frequency distributions of the infected and uninfected groups were compared.Logistic regression modeling was used to analyze the s6901250 and rs1606365 loci under three genetic models(co-dominant,dominant and reces-sive)and lung infections in elderly patients with CHF.Real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR(RT-qPCR)method was used to detect the expression level of GPRC6A gene.The predictive value of the mRNA expression level of the GPRC6A gene for the development of pulmonary infections in elderly patients with CHF was analyzed by applying the receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve.Results The distribution of genotypes at loci rs6901250 and rs1606365 of the GPRC6A gene in both the infected and uninfected groups of the lungs of elderly CHF patients conformed to the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium law(χ2=0.199~0.376,all P>0.05),which was representative of the population.Compared with the uninfected group,the frequency of allele A at locus rs6901250(57.14%vs 41.67%)was significantly higher in the infected group,Allele G(54.76%vs.37.50%)and genotype GG(14.06%vs 29.99%)frequencies were significantly higher at locus rs1606365,and the differences were statistically significant(χ2=5.628,7.114,6.849,all P<0.05).At locus rs6901250,in the co-dominant model(GG vs AA)and the dominant model(GA+AA vs GG),the elderly CHF patients with AA genotype the risk of lung infection was higher than that of GG genotype(OR=1.753,1.546,all P<0.05);.rs1606365 locus showed that the risk of lung infection was higher than that of CC genotype in el-derly CHF patients with GG genotype under all three genetic models of co-dominant model(CC vs GG),dominant model(CG+GG vs CC)and recessive model(CG+CC vs GG)(OR=1.833,1.741,0.695,all P<0.05).The mRNA expression level of GPR-C6A gene in the lung-infected group of elderly CHF patients(1.43±0.35)was significantly higher than that in the uninfected group(1.02±0.21),and the difference was statistically significant(t=8.515,P<0.001).The results of the ROC curve analysis showed that the GPRC6A gene expression level predicted lung infection in elderly CHF patients with an AUC value of 0.895,a cut-offvalue of 1.37,and sensitivity and specificity of 85.7%and 66.7%,respectively.Conclusion The AA genotype at the rs6901250 locus and the GG genotype at the rs1606365 locus of the GPRC6A gene increased the risk of developing lung infec-tions in elderly patients with CHF.MRNA expression levels of the GPRC6A gene were elevated in the infected group,and its ex-pression level could be used as a predictive indicator for the development of lung infections in elderly patients with CHF.
3.Practical applications of different inoculation methods in the isolation of herpes simplex virus
Hui WANG ; Jieqiong ZHANG ; Ying LI ; Jiao WANG ; Mingming WANG ; Haotian LI ; Dongbo YU ; Shiwen WANG ; Xuexin LU
Chinese Journal of Microbiology and Immunology 2025;45(4):304-309
Objective:To establish a protocol for virus isolation using the mixed method, and evaluate the efficacy of the suspended method and the mixed method in isolating herpes simplex virus (HSV).Methods:Simulated HSV-infected clinical samples were prepared using HSV-1 F strain and CDC-P1 strain. Both the suspended method and the mixed method were used to isolate HSV-1 from these samples. The virus isolation efficiency of the mixed method under various conditions was assessed. These conditions included different multiplicity of infection (MOI), cell seeding densities, and virus adsorption times.The 50% tissue culture infective dose (TCID 50) assay was used for the assessment. The positive rates of virus detection under low viral load conditions were compared between the two methods. Results:Under the conditions of a MOI of 0.005, a virus adsorption time of 15 min, and a cell seeding density of 1×10 6 cell/ml, the mixed method achieved effective isolation of HSV-1. When the virus titer of the sample was 100 TCID 50/ml, the positivity rate of the mixed method reached 100.0%, while the positivity rates of the suspended method were 50.7% (38/75) and 52.0% (39/75) after cultured for 72 h and 96 h, respectively. When the virus titer of the sample was 10 TCID 50/ml, the positivity rate of the mixed method was 100.0%, while the positivity rate of the suspension method was 0. Conclusions:The mixed method exhibits significantly higher efficiency in HSV isolation compared with the suspended method. Under the conditions of high viral load, both the suspended method and the mixed method can be effective in isolating HSV-1. For clinical samples with low viral loads, the mixed method has greater applicability.
4.The prognostic value of TNM stage and L3-skeletal muscle mass index combined score in elderly patients with colorectal cancer
Wenbin LI ; Wanling CHEN ; Qinfen LAN ; Wei ZHONG ; Zhipeng QUE ; Dongbo XU
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(3):324-329
Objective:We study the prognostic value of TNM stage and L3-skeletal muscle mass index in overall survival(OS)in elderly patients with colorectal cancer after surgery.Furthermore, investigate the prognostic value of combined scoring system(TNM-SMI score)in patients with colorectal cancer.Methods:From January 1, 2018 to January 31, 2019, the clinical data of elderly patients who were diagnosed with colorectal cancer for the first time in Longyan First Hospital, Fujian Medical University were retrospectively analyzed.The baseline data were compared in patients with different TNM stage and L3SMI.The relevant factors that might affect the prognosis of the patients were analyzed to determine the independent risk factors in cox regression analyses.Survival curves were plotted by using the Kaplan-Meier method, and Log-rank test was used to compare Overall Survival.Predictive efficacy was compared by plotting (ROC)curve and calculating the area under the curve(AUC).Results:A total of 128 eligible patients aged 65-88(73.96±6.20)years were enrolled.Among them, 82 were male.Univariate and multifactorial cox regression analyses showed that TNM stage( HR=3.944, 95% CI: 1.519-10.237, P<0.05)and L3SMI( HR=3.194, 95% CI: 1.222-8.349, P<0.05)were the independent risk factors for OS in elderly colorectal cancer patients; Survival curves plotted by Kaplan-Meier method showed that the 5-year survival rate(OS rate)of patients in TNM(Ⅲ and Ⅳ)group was lower than in TNM(Ⅰ and Ⅱ)group(58.8% vs.88.9%, P<0.001), and the 5-year survival rate(OS rate)of patients in low L3SMI group was lower than in high L3SMI group(51.0% vs.88.3%, P<0.001); Elderly colorectal patients were risk stratified by TNM-SMI score, the patients with higher score had worse 5-year OS rate; The AUC of L3SMI, TNM stage, and TNM-SMI score are 0.729, 0.695, and 0.800. Conclusions:The TNM stage and L3SMI are independent risk factors of OS after colorectal cancer surgery; TNM-SMI score, which combines TNM stage and L3SMI, can predict prognosis more efficiency compare to single-factor.The higher TNM-SMI score had the worse prognosis; TNM stage in combination with L3SMI improves the efficiency prediction of OS after colorectal cancer surgery.
5.High-throughput sequencing reveals the dynamic changes in the differential expression of cellular miRNAs during EBV reactivation
Haotian LI ; Hui WANG ; Jiao WANG ; Xuexin LU ; Jieqiong ZHANG ; Mingming WANG ; Dongbo YU ; Ying LI ; Shiwen WANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2025;39(1):1-8
Objective:To investigate the dynamic changes of cellular miRNA expression profiles in EBV latently infected Raji cells upon reactivation with Phorbol ester (TPA).Methods:Total RNA was extracted using TRIzol reagent from Raji cells treated with TPA at different time points (0 h, 24 h, 48 h). Small RNA libraries were constructed and sequenced on an Illumina SE50 platform. Differentially expressed miRNAs were identified, and their target genes were predicted and functionally annotated. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway enrichment analyses were carried out through online tools. Additionally, miRanda and RNAhybrid software were used to predict cellular miRNAs targeting the EBV genome. Real-time RT-qPCR was employed to validate the expression levels of differentially expressed novel miRNAs.Results:High-throughput sequencing identified 1 301 celluar miRNAs, comprising 1 189 known and 112 novel miRNAs. A total of 264 known differentially expressed cellular miRNAs and 13 novel miRNAs were identified through high-throughput miRNA sequencing. Secondary structure prediction revealed that the novel miRNAs exhibited typical pre-miRNA hairpin structures. Stem-loop quantitative real-time PCR (RT-qPCR) validation of Novel_miR_183 and Novel_miR_242 did not exhibit a statistically significant difference ( F=1.407, P=0.370 7 for Novel_miR_183; F=1.277, P=0.397 0 for Novel_miR_242) between the TPA-stimulated and untreated groups. Target gene prediction analysis revealed that the differentially expressed cellular miRNAs were involved in various important biological processes and signaling pathways. Furthermore, 1 189 known cellular miRNAs and 108 novel miRNAs were predicted to target the EBV genome. Conclusions:Treatment of Raji cells with TPA stimulation successfully reactivated Raji cells and significantly altered their miRNA expression patterns. Differentially expressed miRNAs were identified, suggesting that these miRNAs probably play crucial roles in regulating EBV infection and replication by directly targeting the EBV genome.
6.Impact of perineural invasion upon chemotherapy duration and survival benefit in stageⅢ colon cancer
Jianxun CHEN ; Weili ZHANG ; Weifeng WANG ; Jibin LI ; Xiaojun WU ; Zhenhai LU ; Dongbo XU ; Junzhong LIN ; Jianhong PENG
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2025;28(1):58-66
Objective:To investigate the prognostic impact of perineural invasion in patients with stageⅢ colon cancer and to clarify its guidance value for the duration of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.Methods:This study employed a retrospective cohort study method. It analyzed 426 patients with stageⅢ colon cancer who underwent radical surgery at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center and Longyan First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, between April 2008 and June 2020. Inclusion criteria: patients received at least 3 months of adjuvant CapeOX therapy post-surgery, had complete pathological data, and were followed up for at least 12 months after the last chemotherapy. Among these patients, 231 were male, the median age was 59 (50~67) years, and 263 tumors were located in the right-sided colon. Postoperative pathology indicated that 107 cases (25.12%) had neural invasion, and 131 patients (30.75%) had vascular tumor thrombus. All patients received at least 4 cycles of postoperative CapeOX adjuvant chemotherapy, with 193 patients receiving 8 cycles and 233 patients receiving 4 to 7 cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy. The study analyzed the impact of neural invasion status and the duration of adjuvant chemotherapy on disease-free survival (DFS). Furthermore, within subgroups stratified by different risk levels (referencing the criteria proposed by the IDEA study: high risk: T4, N2 or T4N2; low risk: T3N1) and different neural invasion statuses, the impact of the duration of adjuvant chemotherapy on prognosis was analyzed.Results:The median follow-up time for the entire cohort was 94.00 months (55.27-128.80 months). Multivariate Cox analysis indicated that pathological T stage T4 (HR = 2.457, 95%CI: 1.499-4.029, P<0.001) and postoperative pathological confirmation of perineural invasion (HR = 2.465, 95% CI: 1.519-4.000, P<0.001) were independent adverse prognostic factors for 5-year DFS. In the perineural invasion-positive group, the 5-year DFS for patients who received 8 cycles of postoperative adjuvant CapeOX chemotherapy was 86.90%, compared to 58.22% for those who received 4-7 cycles, with statistically significant differences (both P<0.05). In the perineural invasion-negative group, the 5-year DFS for patients who received 8 cycles was 88.66%, compared to 90.99% for those who received 4-7 cycles, with no statistically significant differences ( P=0.929). Among IDEA high-risk patients with perineural invasion, the 5-year DFS was 91.81% for those who received 8 cycles versus 50.66% for those who received 4-7 cycles, showing a statistically significant difference ( P=0.003). In IDEA high-risk patients without perineural invasion, the 5-year DFS for those who received 8 cycles was 82.28% compared to 87.32% for those who received 4-7 cycles, with no statistically significant difference ( P=0.806). In the IDEA low-risk patients, no differences were observed in the 5-year DFS between patients receiving 8 cycles and those receiving 4-7 cycles of adjuvant CapeOX chemotherapy in both perineural invasion-positive and negative subgroups (both P>0.05). Conclusion:Perineural invasion serves as a significant prognostic factor for 5-year DFS in stage Ⅲ colon cancer patients who have undergone radical surgery and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. It can also be considered an important reference factor in deciding the duration of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.
7.Correlation of GPRC6A Gene Polymorphism and Its Expression with Pulmonary Infection in Elderly Patients with Chronic Heart Failure
Qiufeng WANG ; Wenping JIAO ; Lin GAO ; Weicheng LI ; Liyuan ZHOU ; Nina BIAN ; Sen LIANG ; Menglin WANG ; Dongbo GAO
Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine 2025;40(6):62-67
Objective To investigate the correlation between G protein-coupled receptor family C group 6 member A(GPRC6A)gene polymorphisms and their expression and pulmonary infections in elderly patients with chronic heart failure(CHF).Methods 138 elderly CHF patients admitted to the Xianyang First People's Hospital from January 2021 to January 2024 were selected as the research subjects,and were divided into an infected group(n=42)and an uninfected group(n=96)based on their lung infection status.Polymerase chain reaction(PCR)was used to detect polymorphisms at the rs6901250 and rs1606365 loci of the GPRC6A gene.The allele and genotype frequency distributions of the infected and uninfected groups were compared.Logistic regression modeling was used to analyze the s6901250 and rs1606365 loci under three genetic models(co-dominant,dominant and reces-sive)and lung infections in elderly patients with CHF.Real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR(RT-qPCR)method was used to detect the expression level of GPRC6A gene.The predictive value of the mRNA expression level of the GPRC6A gene for the development of pulmonary infections in elderly patients with CHF was analyzed by applying the receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve.Results The distribution of genotypes at loci rs6901250 and rs1606365 of the GPRC6A gene in both the infected and uninfected groups of the lungs of elderly CHF patients conformed to the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium law(χ2=0.199~0.376,all P>0.05),which was representative of the population.Compared with the uninfected group,the frequency of allele A at locus rs6901250(57.14%vs 41.67%)was significantly higher in the infected group,Allele G(54.76%vs.37.50%)and genotype GG(14.06%vs 29.99%)frequencies were significantly higher at locus rs1606365,and the differences were statistically significant(χ2=5.628,7.114,6.849,all P<0.05).At locus rs6901250,in the co-dominant model(GG vs AA)and the dominant model(GA+AA vs GG),the elderly CHF patients with AA genotype the risk of lung infection was higher than that of GG genotype(OR=1.753,1.546,all P<0.05);.rs1606365 locus showed that the risk of lung infection was higher than that of CC genotype in el-derly CHF patients with GG genotype under all three genetic models of co-dominant model(CC vs GG),dominant model(CG+GG vs CC)and recessive model(CG+CC vs GG)(OR=1.833,1.741,0.695,all P<0.05).The mRNA expression level of GPR-C6A gene in the lung-infected group of elderly CHF patients(1.43±0.35)was significantly higher than that in the uninfected group(1.02±0.21),and the difference was statistically significant(t=8.515,P<0.001).The results of the ROC curve analysis showed that the GPRC6A gene expression level predicted lung infection in elderly CHF patients with an AUC value of 0.895,a cut-offvalue of 1.37,and sensitivity and specificity of 85.7%and 66.7%,respectively.Conclusion The AA genotype at the rs6901250 locus and the GG genotype at the rs1606365 locus of the GPRC6A gene increased the risk of developing lung infec-tions in elderly patients with CHF.MRNA expression levels of the GPRC6A gene were elevated in the infected group,and its ex-pression level could be used as a predictive indicator for the development of lung infections in elderly patients with CHF.
8.Impact of perineural invasion upon chemotherapy duration and survival benefit in stageⅢ colon cancer
Jianxun CHEN ; Weili ZHANG ; Weifeng WANG ; Jibin LI ; Xiaojun WU ; Zhenhai LU ; Dongbo XU ; Junzhong LIN ; Jianhong PENG
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2025;28(1):58-66
Objective:To investigate the prognostic impact of perineural invasion in patients with stageⅢ colon cancer and to clarify its guidance value for the duration of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.Methods:This study employed a retrospective cohort study method. It analyzed 426 patients with stageⅢ colon cancer who underwent radical surgery at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center and Longyan First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, between April 2008 and June 2020. Inclusion criteria: patients received at least 3 months of adjuvant CapeOX therapy post-surgery, had complete pathological data, and were followed up for at least 12 months after the last chemotherapy. Among these patients, 231 were male, the median age was 59 (50~67) years, and 263 tumors were located in the right-sided colon. Postoperative pathology indicated that 107 cases (25.12%) had neural invasion, and 131 patients (30.75%) had vascular tumor thrombus. All patients received at least 4 cycles of postoperative CapeOX adjuvant chemotherapy, with 193 patients receiving 8 cycles and 233 patients receiving 4 to 7 cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy. The study analyzed the impact of neural invasion status and the duration of adjuvant chemotherapy on disease-free survival (DFS). Furthermore, within subgroups stratified by different risk levels (referencing the criteria proposed by the IDEA study: high risk: T4, N2 or T4N2; low risk: T3N1) and different neural invasion statuses, the impact of the duration of adjuvant chemotherapy on prognosis was analyzed.Results:The median follow-up time for the entire cohort was 94.00 months (55.27-128.80 months). Multivariate Cox analysis indicated that pathological T stage T4 (HR = 2.457, 95%CI: 1.499-4.029, P<0.001) and postoperative pathological confirmation of perineural invasion (HR = 2.465, 95% CI: 1.519-4.000, P<0.001) were independent adverse prognostic factors for 5-year DFS. In the perineural invasion-positive group, the 5-year DFS for patients who received 8 cycles of postoperative adjuvant CapeOX chemotherapy was 86.90%, compared to 58.22% for those who received 4-7 cycles, with statistically significant differences (both P<0.05). In the perineural invasion-negative group, the 5-year DFS for patients who received 8 cycles was 88.66%, compared to 90.99% for those who received 4-7 cycles, with no statistically significant differences ( P=0.929). Among IDEA high-risk patients with perineural invasion, the 5-year DFS was 91.81% for those who received 8 cycles versus 50.66% for those who received 4-7 cycles, showing a statistically significant difference ( P=0.003). In IDEA high-risk patients without perineural invasion, the 5-year DFS for those who received 8 cycles was 82.28% compared to 87.32% for those who received 4-7 cycles, with no statistically significant difference ( P=0.806). In the IDEA low-risk patients, no differences were observed in the 5-year DFS between patients receiving 8 cycles and those receiving 4-7 cycles of adjuvant CapeOX chemotherapy in both perineural invasion-positive and negative subgroups (both P>0.05). Conclusion:Perineural invasion serves as a significant prognostic factor for 5-year DFS in stage Ⅲ colon cancer patients who have undergone radical surgery and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. It can also be considered an important reference factor in deciding the duration of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.
9.Practical applications of different inoculation methods in the isolation of herpes simplex virus
Hui WANG ; Jieqiong ZHANG ; Ying LI ; Jiao WANG ; Mingming WANG ; Haotian LI ; Dongbo YU ; Shiwen WANG ; Xuexin LU
Chinese Journal of Microbiology and Immunology 2025;45(4):304-309
Objective:To establish a protocol for virus isolation using the mixed method, and evaluate the efficacy of the suspended method and the mixed method in isolating herpes simplex virus (HSV).Methods:Simulated HSV-infected clinical samples were prepared using HSV-1 F strain and CDC-P1 strain. Both the suspended method and the mixed method were used to isolate HSV-1 from these samples. The virus isolation efficiency of the mixed method under various conditions was assessed. These conditions included different multiplicity of infection (MOI), cell seeding densities, and virus adsorption times.The 50% tissue culture infective dose (TCID 50) assay was used for the assessment. The positive rates of virus detection under low viral load conditions were compared between the two methods. Results:Under the conditions of a MOI of 0.005, a virus adsorption time of 15 min, and a cell seeding density of 1×10 6 cell/ml, the mixed method achieved effective isolation of HSV-1. When the virus titer of the sample was 100 TCID 50/ml, the positivity rate of the mixed method reached 100.0%, while the positivity rates of the suspended method were 50.7% (38/75) and 52.0% (39/75) after cultured for 72 h and 96 h, respectively. When the virus titer of the sample was 10 TCID 50/ml, the positivity rate of the mixed method was 100.0%, while the positivity rate of the suspension method was 0. Conclusions:The mixed method exhibits significantly higher efficiency in HSV isolation compared with the suspended method. Under the conditions of high viral load, both the suspended method and the mixed method can be effective in isolating HSV-1. For clinical samples with low viral loads, the mixed method has greater applicability.
10.The prognostic value of TNM stage and L3-skeletal muscle mass index combined score in elderly patients with colorectal cancer
Wenbin LI ; Wanling CHEN ; Qinfen LAN ; Wei ZHONG ; Zhipeng QUE ; Dongbo XU
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(3):324-329
Objective:We study the prognostic value of TNM stage and L3-skeletal muscle mass index in overall survival(OS)in elderly patients with colorectal cancer after surgery.Furthermore, investigate the prognostic value of combined scoring system(TNM-SMI score)in patients with colorectal cancer.Methods:From January 1, 2018 to January 31, 2019, the clinical data of elderly patients who were diagnosed with colorectal cancer for the first time in Longyan First Hospital, Fujian Medical University were retrospectively analyzed.The baseline data were compared in patients with different TNM stage and L3SMI.The relevant factors that might affect the prognosis of the patients were analyzed to determine the independent risk factors in cox regression analyses.Survival curves were plotted by using the Kaplan-Meier method, and Log-rank test was used to compare Overall Survival.Predictive efficacy was compared by plotting (ROC)curve and calculating the area under the curve(AUC).Results:A total of 128 eligible patients aged 65-88(73.96±6.20)years were enrolled.Among them, 82 were male.Univariate and multifactorial cox regression analyses showed that TNM stage( HR=3.944, 95% CI: 1.519-10.237, P<0.05)and L3SMI( HR=3.194, 95% CI: 1.222-8.349, P<0.05)were the independent risk factors for OS in elderly colorectal cancer patients; Survival curves plotted by Kaplan-Meier method showed that the 5-year survival rate(OS rate)of patients in TNM(Ⅲ and Ⅳ)group was lower than in TNM(Ⅰ and Ⅱ)group(58.8% vs.88.9%, P<0.001), and the 5-year survival rate(OS rate)of patients in low L3SMI group was lower than in high L3SMI group(51.0% vs.88.3%, P<0.001); Elderly colorectal patients were risk stratified by TNM-SMI score, the patients with higher score had worse 5-year OS rate; The AUC of L3SMI, TNM stage, and TNM-SMI score are 0.729, 0.695, and 0.800. Conclusions:The TNM stage and L3SMI are independent risk factors of OS after colorectal cancer surgery; TNM-SMI score, which combines TNM stage and L3SMI, can predict prognosis more efficiency compare to single-factor.The higher TNM-SMI score had the worse prognosis; TNM stage in combination with L3SMI improves the efficiency prediction of OS after colorectal cancer surgery.


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