1.Analysis of risk factors and development of a nomogram model for early recurrence following curative resection of resectable pancreatic cancer
Chengyu HU ; Jianyu YANG ; Yannan XU ; Yifan YIN ; Minwei YANG ; Xueliang FU ; Dejun LIU ; Yanmiao HUO ; Wei LIU ; Junfeng ZHANG ; Yongwei SUN ; Rong HUA
Chinese Journal of Pancreatology 2025;25(2):104-111
Objective:To identify independent risk factors for early recurrence following curative resection of resectable pancreatic cancer and establish a nomogram prediction model.Methods:Clinical data from 405 patients with resectable pancreatic cancer treated at Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine from February 2010 to December 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were stratified into a training cohort (265 patients form February 2010 to December 2018) and a validation cohort (140 patients from January 2019 to December 2020) based on surgery dates. Optimal cutoff values for clinical variables were determined using X-tile software. Independent risk factors were identified through univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. Kaplan-Meier curves for recurrence-free survival (RFS) were generated across subgroups, and a nomogram was developed to predict early recurrence (within 1 year post-surgery). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (tROC) curves was drawn and area under the curve (AUC) metrics were utilized to evaluate predictive accuracy, while model reliability was assessed by calibration curves. Individualized risk scores derived from the nomogram were stratified into high- and low-risk groups using X-tile-derived cutoff values. Survival differences between groups were analyzed via log-rank tests. The clinical application value was judged by decision curve analysis (DCA) compared to TNM staging. Results:In the training cohort, 139 patients (52.45%) experienced early recurrence, with a median RFS of 11.1 months [interquartile range ( IQR): 6.0-26.0]. The validation cohort reported 70 early recurrences (50.00%) and a median RFS of 11.8 months ( IQR: 4.9-21.4). Univariate analysis revealed significant associations between early recurrence and tumor diameter, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125), systemic immune-inflammation index (SⅡ), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). Multivariate analysis identified tumor diameter ≥3.75 cm ( HR=1.718, 95% CI 1.223-2.412, P=0.002), CA19-9≥218 U/ml ( HR=1.567, 95% CI 1.107-2.220, P=0.011), CA125≥20.98 U/ml ( HR=2.501, 95% CI 1.768-3.539, P<0.001), SⅡ≥388.28 ( HR=1.708, 95% CI 1.096-2.662, P=0.018), and PNI<53.18 ( HR=0.596, 95% CI 0.404-0.879, P=0.009) as independent risk factors for early recurrence. The nomogram achieved AUC values of 0.771 and 0.708 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Calibration curves demonstrated strong agreement between predicted and observed survival probabilities. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed significantly lower 1-year RFS rates in high-risk versus low-risk groups for both cohorts (training: HR=3.65, 95% CI 2.45-5.44, P<0.001; validation: HR=2.37, 95% CI 1.39-4.06, P=0.001). DCA indicated superior net benefit of the nomogram over TNM staging across threshold probabilities of 0.2-0.9. Conclusions:The proposed nomogram effectively integrates clinical and serological biomarkers to preoperatively assess early recurrence risk in resectable pancreatic cancer patients, offering enhanced precision for clinical decision-making.
2.Research progress on the environmental and human exposure of organic ultraviolet absorbers
Dejun BAO ; Zhuangzhuang FENG ; Xu ZHANG ; Qi SUN ; Zhuona ZHANG ; Xiaojian HU ; Ying ZHU ; Xiao LIN
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(4):516-525
Organic ultraviolet absorbers (OUVs) have been widely used in personal care products and industrial products due to their unique physicochemical properties. However, with the advancement of science and technology and the deepening of research, the potential risks of OUVs have gradually emerged. They have been proven to be persistent, bioconcentrated and potential endocrine disruptors that may pose a threat to human health. In recent years, some OUVs have been widely detected in environmental and human samples worldwide, and the concentration of detection has been increasing year by year, which has attracted extensive attention both domestically and internationally. This article summarizes the research results of OUVs exposure in recent years from two aspects: external environmental exposure and internal human exposure, aiming to provide a valuable reference for the subsequent research on human exposure and health risk assessment of OUVs.
3.Analysis of project funding in the direction of geriatric medicine of the National Natural Science Foundation of China from 2000 to 2020
Xuelin SUN ; Yunpeng YU ; Yatong ZHANG ; Dejun LIU ; Xudong PENG ; Houyuan HUANG ; Pengfei JIN
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(4):544-548
Objective:To examine the funding landscape of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)concerning research focused on the elderly as a specific demographic group.It seeks to analyze prevailing research hotspots and to offer insightful research ideas for scholars in this field.Methods:The study employed a retrospective research design.It involved retrieving data on approved projects related to the elderly from the NSFC's official database, covering the period from 2000 to 2020.The data set included variables such as funding year, project title, project category, supporting institution, and funding amount(application codes: H1901, H1902, H1903).Statistical analysis was conducted using Excel software, while visual analysis was performed using CiteSpace software.Results:Between 2000 and 2020, a total of 710 projects focused on geriatrics received funding, amounting to RMB 361, 032, 300, 000.This period exhibited a fluctuating upward trend in both the number of projects and the total funding amount.The primary funding categories were face-to-face projects and youth science fund projects, which together accounted for 44.4%(315/710), 34.4%(244/710)respectively.The distribution of project-relying units demonstrated significant regional imbalance, with Beijing, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Shanghai being the predominant areas.Notably, Nanjing Medical University, Peking University, and Shanghai Jiao Tong University ranked as the top three institutions, with funding percentages of 5.9%(42/710), 5.4%(38/710), and 4.5%(32/710), respectively.The research themes encompassed nucleoplasmic interactions, brain networks, and bioinformatics, among others.Conclusions:The NSFC has consistently provided funding for in-depth research in the critical field of geriatrics.The primary research directions focus on aspects such as the mechanisms of aging and the pathogenesis of neurological diseases associated with aging.With the application of innovative technologies and methodologies, significant breakthroughs and achievements are anticipated in geriatrics, contributing to the improvement of health outcomes and the enhancement of the quality of life for the elderly.
4.Regulation of natural killer cell subtypes and functions by programmed cell death protein 1 and its receptor at the maternal-fetal interface in mice infected with Toxoplasma gondii during the second trimester
Jiayue SUN ; Qiuhua BAI ; Xiaodan CHEN ; Jiayin LÜ ; Shanshan HE ; Lili TANG ; Dejun LIAO ; Dengyu LIU ; Xiaoyin FU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(5):465-474
Objective To investigate the regulatory role of the programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) and its ligand programmed cell death protein ligand 1 (PD-L1) signaling on the subtypes and functions of natural killer (NK) cells at the maternal-fetal interface during the second trimester in mice following Toxoplasma gondii infection during the first trimester. Methods Twelve 6- to 8-week-old female mice of the C57BL/6J strain were divided into a control group and an infection group, of 6 mice in each group. On the 6.5th day of pregnancy (Gd6.5), each pregnant mouse in the infection group was intraperitoneally injected with 150 tachyzoites of the Toxoplasma gondii PRU strain, while mice in the control group were injected with an equal volume of physiological saline. On the 12.5th day of pregnancy (Gd12.5), uterus and placenta tissues were sampled from pregnant mice for pathological observations, and the mRNA expression levels of PD-1, PD-L1, and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) were quantified in uterus and placenta tissues. The PD-1 and DX5 expression was measured on NK cells at the maternal-fetal interface using flow cytometry. In addition, the in vitro JEG-3 trophoblast cells and NK-92MI cells co-culture system was established as the control group, and the addition of T. gondii tachyzoites in the co-culture system served as the infection group. The PD-1, PD-L1, and DX5 mRNA expression was quantified in cells using real-time fluorescence quantitative reverse transcription PCR (RT-qPCR) assay, and the TNF-α concentration was measured in the cell culture supernatant using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Results On Gd12.5, clear and intact cellular structures of placental decidual tissues were seen in pregnant mice in the control group, with no remarkable abnormal changes found in the uterine columnar epithelial cells, and inflammatory cell infiltration and blood stasis at varying degrees were found in uterine and placental tissues from pregnant mice in the infection group. The relative PD-1, PD-L1, and TNF-α mRNA expression was (1.004 ± 0.004), (1.001 ± 0.001), and (1.001 ± 0.001) in uterine tissues from pregnant mice in the control group and (2.480 ± 0.720), (3.355 ± 0.920), and (2.391 ± 0.073) in the infection group, respectively. The relative PD-1, PD-L1, and TNF-α mRNA expression was (1.007 ± 0.010), (1.006 ± 0.006), and (1.001 ± 0.001) in the uterine tissues in the control group and (6.948 ± 1.918), (3.225 ± 1.034), and (1.536 ± 0.150) in the infection group, respectively. The relative PD-1, PD-L1, and TNF-α mRNA expression was higher in both the uterine (t = 3.55, 4.43 and 33.02, all P values < 0.05) and placental tissues (t = 5.36, 3.72 and 6.18, all P values < 0.05) in the infection group than in the control group. Flow cytometry showed that the proportions of PD-1+ NK cells, PD-1+ DX5+ NK cells, and DX5+ NK cells were (12.200 ± 1.082)%, (9.373 ± 7.728)%, and (44.000 ± 4.095)% in uterine tissues from pregnant mice in the control group, and (21.733 ± 1.630)%, (18.767 ± 1.242)%, and (73.367 ± 0.611)% in the infection group, respectively. The proportions of PD-1+ NK cells, PD-1+ DX5+ NK cells, and DX5+ NK cells were (1.100 ± 0.510)%, (2.277 ± 1.337)%, and (96.167 ± 2.831)% in placental tissues from mice in the control group, and (26.867 ± 9.722)%, (23.433 ± 6.983)%, and (82.467 ± 2.248)% in the infection group, respectively. The proportions of PD-1+ NK cells (t = 8.45, P < 0.05) and DX5+ NK cells (t = 12.29, P < 0.05) were higher in uterine tissues from pregnant mice in the infection group than in the control group, and no significant difference was seen in the proportion of PD-1+ DX5+ NK cells (Z = -1.09, P > 0.05). The proportions of PD-1+ NK cells (t = 4.58, P < 0.05) and PD-1+ DX5+ NK cells (t = 5.15, P < 0.05) were higher in placental tissues from pregnant mice in the infection group than in the control group, while the proportion of DX5+ NK cells was lower in the infection group than in the control group (t = -6.56, P < 0.05). RT-qPCR assay revealed that the relative PD-1, PD-L1, and DX5 mRNA expression was (1.010 ± 0.005), (1.002 ± 0.003), and (1.001 ± 0.001) in the JEG-3 cells and NK92MI cells co-culture system and (3.638 ± 1.258), (0.397 ± 0.158), and (4.267 ± 1.750) in the control group, and ELISA measured that the TNF-α concentration was higher in the cell culture supernatant in the infection group [(22.056 ± 3.205) pg/mL] than in the control group [(12.441 ± 0.001) pg/mL] (t = 5.20, P < 0.05). The PD-1(t = 3.62, P < 0.05) and DX5 mRNA expression (t = 3.23, P < 0.05) was higher in the infection group than in the control group, and the PD-L1 mRNA expression was lower in the infection group than in the control group (t = -6.63, P < 0.05). Conclusions Following T. gondii infection, both PD-L1 expression and PD-1 expression on DX5+ NK cells at the maternal-fetal interface are upregulated in mice during the second trimester; however, the proportion of DX5+ NK cells decreases. These findings suggest that PD-1/PD-L1 signaling may suppress NK cell functions by modulating DX5+ NK cell subsets.
5.Research progress on the environmental and human exposure of organic ultraviolet absorbers
Dejun BAO ; Zhuangzhuang FENG ; Xu ZHANG ; Qi SUN ; Zhuona ZHANG ; Xiaojian HU ; Ying ZHU ; Xiao LIN
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(4):516-525
Organic ultraviolet absorbers (OUVs) have been widely used in personal care products and industrial products due to their unique physicochemical properties. However, with the advancement of science and technology and the deepening of research, the potential risks of OUVs have gradually emerged. They have been proven to be persistent, bioconcentrated and potential endocrine disruptors that may pose a threat to human health. In recent years, some OUVs have been widely detected in environmental and human samples worldwide, and the concentration of detection has been increasing year by year, which has attracted extensive attention both domestically and internationally. This article summarizes the research results of OUVs exposure in recent years from two aspects: external environmental exposure and internal human exposure, aiming to provide a valuable reference for the subsequent research on human exposure and health risk assessment of OUVs.
6.Analysis of risk factors and development of a nomogram model for early recurrence following curative resection of resectable pancreatic cancer
Chengyu HU ; Jianyu YANG ; Yannan XU ; Yifan YIN ; Minwei YANG ; Xueliang FU ; Dejun LIU ; Yanmiao HUO ; Wei LIU ; Junfeng ZHANG ; Yongwei SUN ; Rong HUA
Chinese Journal of Pancreatology 2025;25(2):104-111
Objective:To identify independent risk factors for early recurrence following curative resection of resectable pancreatic cancer and establish a nomogram prediction model.Methods:Clinical data from 405 patients with resectable pancreatic cancer treated at Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine from February 2010 to December 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were stratified into a training cohort (265 patients form February 2010 to December 2018) and a validation cohort (140 patients from January 2019 to December 2020) based on surgery dates. Optimal cutoff values for clinical variables were determined using X-tile software. Independent risk factors were identified through univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. Kaplan-Meier curves for recurrence-free survival (RFS) were generated across subgroups, and a nomogram was developed to predict early recurrence (within 1 year post-surgery). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (tROC) curves was drawn and area under the curve (AUC) metrics were utilized to evaluate predictive accuracy, while model reliability was assessed by calibration curves. Individualized risk scores derived from the nomogram were stratified into high- and low-risk groups using X-tile-derived cutoff values. Survival differences between groups were analyzed via log-rank tests. The clinical application value was judged by decision curve analysis (DCA) compared to TNM staging. Results:In the training cohort, 139 patients (52.45%) experienced early recurrence, with a median RFS of 11.1 months [interquartile range ( IQR): 6.0-26.0]. The validation cohort reported 70 early recurrences (50.00%) and a median RFS of 11.8 months ( IQR: 4.9-21.4). Univariate analysis revealed significant associations between early recurrence and tumor diameter, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125), systemic immune-inflammation index (SⅡ), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). Multivariate analysis identified tumor diameter ≥3.75 cm ( HR=1.718, 95% CI 1.223-2.412, P=0.002), CA19-9≥218 U/ml ( HR=1.567, 95% CI 1.107-2.220, P=0.011), CA125≥20.98 U/ml ( HR=2.501, 95% CI 1.768-3.539, P<0.001), SⅡ≥388.28 ( HR=1.708, 95% CI 1.096-2.662, P=0.018), and PNI<53.18 ( HR=0.596, 95% CI 0.404-0.879, P=0.009) as independent risk factors for early recurrence. The nomogram achieved AUC values of 0.771 and 0.708 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Calibration curves demonstrated strong agreement between predicted and observed survival probabilities. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed significantly lower 1-year RFS rates in high-risk versus low-risk groups for both cohorts (training: HR=3.65, 95% CI 2.45-5.44, P<0.001; validation: HR=2.37, 95% CI 1.39-4.06, P=0.001). DCA indicated superior net benefit of the nomogram over TNM staging across threshold probabilities of 0.2-0.9. Conclusions:The proposed nomogram effectively integrates clinical and serological biomarkers to preoperatively assess early recurrence risk in resectable pancreatic cancer patients, offering enhanced precision for clinical decision-making.
7.Analysis of project funding in the direction of geriatric medicine of the National Natural Science Foundation of China from 2000 to 2020
Xuelin SUN ; Yunpeng YU ; Yatong ZHANG ; Dejun LIU ; Xudong PENG ; Houyuan HUANG ; Pengfei JIN
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(4):544-548
Objective:To examine the funding landscape of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)concerning research focused on the elderly as a specific demographic group.It seeks to analyze prevailing research hotspots and to offer insightful research ideas for scholars in this field.Methods:The study employed a retrospective research design.It involved retrieving data on approved projects related to the elderly from the NSFC's official database, covering the period from 2000 to 2020.The data set included variables such as funding year, project title, project category, supporting institution, and funding amount(application codes: H1901, H1902, H1903).Statistical analysis was conducted using Excel software, while visual analysis was performed using CiteSpace software.Results:Between 2000 and 2020, a total of 710 projects focused on geriatrics received funding, amounting to RMB 361, 032, 300, 000.This period exhibited a fluctuating upward trend in both the number of projects and the total funding amount.The primary funding categories were face-to-face projects and youth science fund projects, which together accounted for 44.4%(315/710), 34.4%(244/710)respectively.The distribution of project-relying units demonstrated significant regional imbalance, with Beijing, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Shanghai being the predominant areas.Notably, Nanjing Medical University, Peking University, and Shanghai Jiao Tong University ranked as the top three institutions, with funding percentages of 5.9%(42/710), 5.4%(38/710), and 4.5%(32/710), respectively.The research themes encompassed nucleoplasmic interactions, brain networks, and bioinformatics, among others.Conclusions:The NSFC has consistently provided funding for in-depth research in the critical field of geriatrics.The primary research directions focus on aspects such as the mechanisms of aging and the pathogenesis of neurological diseases associated with aging.With the application of innovative technologies and methodologies, significant breakthroughs and achievements are anticipated in geriatrics, contributing to the improvement of health outcomes and the enhancement of the quality of life for the elderly.
8.Significance of Muscle Mass Evaluation for Nutritional Assessment and Diagnosis in Patients with COPD
Journal of Medical Research 2024;53(8):120-125,131
Objective To analyze the muscle and fat status of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD),and ex-plore the correlation with disease development.Methods One hundred and eighteen patients with COPD(study group)and 97healthy subjects(control group)were selected.Body mass index(BMI),fat-free weight(FFM),skeletal muscle index(SMM),appendicular skeletal muscle height index(ASMHI),percent body fat(PBF),visceral fat area(VFA),waist circumference(WaistCir),upper arm circumference(AC),upper arm muscle circumference(AMC),phase angle(PA)and other indicators were measured by bioelectrical impedance and height scale,and were compared and analyzed between the two groups.At the same time,the basic information,laboratory indicators and admission pulmonary function test data of patients with COPD were collected for correlation analysis.To identify the optimal cut-off value for FFM in the diagnosis of malnutrition according to the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition(GLIM)diagnostic criteria.Results The FFM,SMM,lower limb muscles,ASMHI and AMC in study group were lower than those in the control group(P<0.05).The BMI,PBF and VFA of the patients in the smoking cessation group were higher than those in the continuous smoking group(P<0.05).The forced expiratory volume in one second(FEV1),forced expiratory volume in one second in predicted(FEV1%pred),forced vital capacity(FVC)and FEV1/FVC were lower in patients with low-ASMHI(P<0.05).Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio(NLR)was higher in the low-ASMHI group than taht in the normal ASMHI group(P<0.05).The results of GLIM diagnostic showed that 50.8%of COPD patients were malnourished.The optimal cut-off value of FFM for predicting malnutrition was 47.85kg.Conclusion Patients with COPD are prone to unbalanced distribution of muscle and fat.The consistency of FFM with the diagnosis of GLIM has impor-tant clinical significance for the early identification and diagnosis of malnutrition.
9.Prospective study on the effect of prophylactic octreotide administration in preventing pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy
Yu XU ; Xueliang FU ; Dejun LIU ; Yanmiao HUO ; Wei LIU ; Junfeng ZHANG ; Yongwei SUN ; Jianyu YANG ; Rong HUA
Chinese Journal of Pancreatology 2022;22(1):32-38
Objective:To evaluate the effect of prophylactic octreotide administration on pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD)associated postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF), total complications, peri-operative death and postoperative in-hospital days.Methods:From January 2020 to August 2021, 148 patients who underwent PD in the Department of Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery in Ren Ji Hospital affiliated with School of Medicine of Shanghai Jiao Tong University were recruited into this single-center randomized control double-blinded clinical trial. Patients were randomly assigned into octreotide group ( n=74) and control group ( n=74). Octreotide group was subcutaneously injected with 0.1 mg (1 ml) octreotide after preoperative anesthesia, and was subcutaneously injected with the same dose every 8 hours for 5 days, with a total of 16 doses. Control group was injected with 1 ml normal saline in the same way, and relevant clinical data and indicators of the two groups were recorded. The primary endpoint was clinically relevant pancreatic fistula, and the secondary endpoints were total complications, perioperative death and postoperative in-hospital days. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to screen the risk factors of clinically related POPF after PD. Results:120 patients were finally enrolled, including 61 in octreotide group and 59 in control group. There were no significant differences on age, gender ratio, body mass index, preoperative surgery rate of jaundice reduction, preoperative major biochemical indicators, operation time, intraoperative blood loss, pancreatic duct diameter, pancreatic texture and pathological type composition ratio. The total incidence of clinical relevant POPF was 8.3%, and there were no significant differences on biochemical leakage (4.9% vs 8.5%, P=0.435), grade B fistula (4.9% vs 8.5%, P=0.435) and grade C fistula (1.6% vs 1.7%, P=0.981). The total complication incidence (24.5% vs 28.8%, P=0.601), perioperative mortality (0 vs 3.3%, P=0.147) and postoperative in-hospital days (20.6±11.1 d vs 19.5±12.2 d, P=0.633) were not significantly different between two groups. Univariate analysis showed that preoperative serum albumin level <30 g/L( P<0.001) and pathological type of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma ( P=0.036) were independent risk factors for POPF after PD, while multivariate analysis found no statistically significant risk factors. Conclusions:Octreotide can neither reduce the incidences of POPF, total complications and postoperative mortality, nor shorten postoperative in-hospital days. However, for patients with preoperative hypoproteinemia and (or) the pathological type of pancreatic duct adenocarcinoma, the prophylactic use of octreotide during PD and after PD may reduce the occurrence of POPF.
10.Prognostic factors for ruptured anterior communicating artery aneurysms
Yangyang SUN ; Zhenxing YANG ; Chenlu ZHU ; Dejun HUANG ; Zongzheng LI
Chinese Journal of Neuromedicine 2021;20(2):170-176
Objective:To explore the related factors for clinical prognoses of ruptured anterior communicating artery (ACoA) aneurysms.Methods:A retrospective study was performed on the clinical data of 309 patients with ruptured ACoA aneurysms admitted to our hospital from January 2014 to January 2020. The preoperative data included age, gender, smoking history, hypertension, Hunt-Hess grading, Fisher grading, sizes of aneurysms, and spasm of parent artery; and the postoperative data included pneumonia, intracranial infection, cerebral hernia, recurrence and re-hemorrhage of aneurysms, and delayed cerebral ischemia. Clinical prognoses were assessed by modified Rankin scale (mRS). Univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to determine the independent risk factors for clinical prognoses. Preoperative model (independent risk factors appeared before surgery) and postoperative model (independent risk factors appeared during the whole treatment process) were constructed; based on these Logistic models, the preoperative and postoperative independent risk factors were concluded. Independent risk factors presented in the preoperative and postoperative models were used as variables to analyze the predictive value of the models by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:Among 309 patients, 264 (85.4%) had good prognosis and 45 (14.6%) had poor prognosis. (1) Univariate analysis showed that significant differences were noted in proportion of smoking patients, and patients with hypertension, Hunt-Hess grading IV-V, Fisher grading IV, wide-necked aneurysm, re-hemorrhage of aneurysms, cerebral vasospasm, pneumonia, intracranial infection, cerebral hernia, delayed cerebral ischemia, and postoperative lumbar cistern drainage between good prognosis group and poor prognosis group ( P<0.05). (2) Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that Hunt-Hess grading Ⅳ-V ( OR=24.198, P=0.000, 95%CI: 4.288-136.559), Fisher grading Ⅳ ( OR=4.792, P=0.044, 95%CI: 1.040-22.079), spasm of parent artery ( OR=12.136, P=0.005, 95%CI: 2.121-69.426), pneumonia ( OR=8.177, P=0.018, 95%CI: 1.438-46.506), postoperative cerebral hernia ( OR=147.042, P=0.002, 95%CI: 6.386-3385.519) and delayed cerebral ischemia ( OR=606.720, P=0.000, 95%CI: 52.288-7040.088) were independent risk factors for prognoses; postoperative lumbar cister drainage ( OR=0.072, P=0.050, 95%CI: 0.005-1.000) was the independent protective factor. (3) ROC curve showed that the preoperative model (with Hunt-Hess grading IV-V, Fisher grading Ⅳ and cerebral vasospasm as variables) had excellent discrimination with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.870 ( 95%CI: 0.82-0.93, P=0.000), and the postoperative model (with variables of preoperative model, pneumonia, delayed cerebral ischemia, and herniation as variables) had excellent discrimination (AUC=0.980, 95%CI: 0.97-0.99, P=0.000). Conclusion:Besides decreasing Hunt-Hess grading and Fisher grading, and relieving the arterial spasm, the management of lumbar subarachnoid continuous drainage and avoidance of postoperative complications, such as cerebral hernia, delayed cerebral ischemia and pneumonia, can also play important roles in improving the prognoses of ruptured ACoA aneurysms.

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