1.Causal relationship between insomnia and erectile dysfunction based on heart-kidney intersection theory: A two-sample Mendelian randomization study.
Ze-Rui QIU ; Guang-Yang OU ; Heng-Jie LIU ; Wen-Tao MA ; Man-Jie HUANG ; Neng WANG ; Jun ZHOU ; Qing ZHOU
National Journal of Andrology 2025;31(7):597-602
OBJECTIVE:
Previous studies have shown that insomnia is closely related to erectile dysfunction(ED). However, the causal relationship between them is still unclear. Mendelian randomization (MR) provides a new method for studying the relationship between the two, and the theory of heart-kidney interaction in TCM provides a new idea for exploring the causal relationship between them.
METHODS:
Based on the statistical data collected by genome-wide association studies (GWAS), the causal relationship between insomnia and ED was discussed by MR. Inverse variance weighted (IVW) is the main analysis method, and weighted median (WME), simple mode (SM), weighted mode (WM) and MR Egger method were the supplementary analysis to evaluate the causal effect. MR-Egger intercept test, Cochran Q test and leave-one-out method were used in sensitivity analysis to verify the reliability of MR results.
RESULTS:
Thirty-nine SNPs significantly related to insomnia were finally included for MR analysis. The results of IVW method in MR analysis showed that insomnia had a significant causal relationship with the increased risk of ED (OR = 3.111,95% CI= 1.566-6.181,P=1.193×10-3). The results obtained by MR-Egger method, WME method, WM method and SM method were consistent with IVW method in the direction of effect. The sensitivity results suggested that the results of this study were robust.
CONCLUSION
Our study reveals the causal relationship between insomnia and ED, which provides a new basis for future clinical practice and prevention and treatment of ED.
Causality
;
Sleep Initiation and Maintenance Disorders/genetics*
;
Erectile Dysfunction/genetics*
;
Mendelian Randomization Analysis
;
Genome-Wide Association Study
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Heart/physiology*
;
Kidney/physiology*
;
Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
;
Data Interpretation, Statistical
2.Association between short-term exposure to meteorological factors on hospital admissions for hemorrhagic stroke: an individual-level, case-crossover study in Ganzhou, China.
Kailun PAN ; Fen LIN ; Kai HUANG ; Songbing ZENG ; Mingwei GUO ; Jie CAO ; Haifa DONG ; Jianing WEI ; Qiujiang XI
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():12-12
BACKGROUND:
Hemorrhagic stroke (HS) is associated with significant disability and mortality. However, the relationship between meteorological factors and hemorrhagic stroke, as well as the potential moderating role of these factors, remains unclear.
METHODS:
Daily data on HS, air pollution, and meteorological conditions were collected from January 2015 to December 2021 in Ganzhou to analyze the relationship between meteorological factors and HS admissions. This analysis employed a time-stratified case-crossover design in conjunction with a distributional lag nonlinear model. Additionally, a bivariate response surface modelling was utilized to further investigate the interaction between meteorological factors and particulate matter. The study also stratified the analyses by gender and age. To investigate the potential impact of extreme weather conditions on HS, this study defined the 97.5th percentile as representing extremely high weather conditions, while the 2.5th percentile was classified as extremely low.
RESULTS:
In single-day lags, the risk of admissions for HS was significantly associated with extremely low temperature (lag 1-2 and lag 13-14), extremely low humidity (lag 1 and lag 9-12), and extremely high precipitation (lag 2-7). Females exhibited greater susceptibility to extremely low temperature than males within the single-day lag pattern in the subcomponent layer, with a maximum relative risk (RR) that was 7% higher. In the cumulative lag analysis, the risk of HS admissions was significantly associated with extremely high temperature (lag 0-8∼lag 0-14), extremely low humidity (lag 0-2∼lag 0-14), and extremely high precipitation (lag 0-4∼lag 0-14). Within the cumulative lag day structure of the subcomponent layer, both extremely low and extremely high temperature had a more pronounced effect on females and aged ≥65 years. The risk of HS admissions was positively associated with extremely high barometric pressure in the female subgroups (lag 0-1 and lag 0-2). The highest number of HS admissions occurred when high PM2.5 concentrations coexisted with low precipitation.
CONCLUSIONS
Meteorological factors were significantly associated with the risk of hospital admissions for HS. Individuals who were female and aged ≥65 years were found to be more susceptible to these meteorological influences. Additionally, an interaction was observed between airborne particulate matter and meteorological factors. These findings contributed new evidence to the association between meteorological factors and HS.
China/epidemiology*
;
Humans
;
Female
;
Male
;
Aged
;
Middle Aged
;
Cross-Over Studies
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Adult
;
Hemorrhagic Stroke/etiology*
;
Meteorological Concepts
;
Weather
;
Particulate Matter/analysis*
;
Air Pollution/adverse effects*
;
Environmental Exposure/adverse effects*
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Young Adult
3.Impacts of short-term exposure to ambient air pollutants on outpatient visits for respiratory diseases in children: a time series study in Yichang, China.
Lu CHEN ; Zhongcheng YANG ; Yingdong CHEN ; Wenhan WANG ; Chen SHAO ; Lanfang CHEN ; Xiaoyan MING ; Qiuju ZHANG
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():16-16
BACKGROUND:
There is growing evidence that the occurrence and severity of respiratory diseases in children are related to the concentration of air pollutants. Nonetheless, evidence regarding the association between short-term exposure to air pollution and outpatient visits for respiratory diseases in children remains limited. Outpatients cover a wide range of disease severity, including both severe and mild cases, some of which may need to be transferred to inpatient treatment. This study aimed to quantitatively evaluate the impact of short-term ambient air pollution exposure on outpatient visits for respiratory conditions in children.
METHODS:
This study employed data of the Second People's Hospital of Yichang from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2023, to conduct a time series analysis. The DLNM approach was integrated with a generalized additive model to examine the daily outpatient visits of pediatric patients with respiratory illnesses in hospital, alongside air pollution data obtained from monitoring stations. Adjustments were made for long-term trends, meteorological variables, and other influencing factors.
RESULTS:
A nonlinear association was identified between PM2.5, PM10, O3, NO2, SO2, CO levels and the daily outpatient visits for respiratory diseases among children. All six pollutants exhibit a hysteresis impact, with varying durations ranging from 4 to 6 days. The risks associated with air pollutants differ across various categories of children's respiratory diseases; notably, O3 and CO do not show statistical significance concerning the risk of chronic respiratory conditions. Furthermore, the results of infectious respiratory diseases were similar with those of respiratory diseases.
CONCLUSIONS
Our results indicated that short-term exposure to air pollutants may contribute to an increased incidence of outpatient visits for respiratory illnesses among children, and controlling air pollution is important to protect children's health.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Air Pollutants/analysis*
;
Respiratory Tract Diseases/chemically induced*
;
Child
;
Child, Preschool
;
Environmental Exposure/adverse effects*
;
Air Pollution/analysis*
;
Infant
;
Male
;
Particulate Matter/adverse effects*
;
Female
;
Ambulatory Care/statistics & numerical data*
;
Outpatients/statistics & numerical data*
;
Adolescent
;
Infant, Newborn
4.Air pollution and adult hospital admissions for ischemic stroke: a time-series analysis in Inner Mongolia, China.
Sen FENG ; Chunhua LI ; Yujing JIN ; Haibo WANG ; Ruying WANG ; Zakaria Ahmed MOHAMED ; Yulong ZHANG ; Yan YAO
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():29-29
BACKGROUND:
Previous studies have demonstrated that short-term exposure to ambient particulate matter elevates the risk of ischemic stroke in major urban areas of various countries. However, there is a notable gap in research focusing on remote areas inhabited by ethnic minorities and the cumulative effects of air pollutants. Our study conducted in the area aims to explore the potential association between ischemic stroke and air pollutants and contribute to improving health outcomes among the community.
METHODS:
This retrospective observational study was conducted at the Xing'an League People's Hospital in Inner Mongolia. The medical records of 4,288 patients admitted for IS between November 1, 2019, and October 31, 2020, were reviewed. Data on demographics (age and sex), air pollutants (PM10, PM2.5, NO2, NO, CO, and O3), and meteorological factors (daily average temperature, daily average wind speed, and daily average atmosphere pressure) were collected and analyzed. The statistical analysis included descriptive statistics, Poisson distribution analysis to evaluate the adverse effects of atmospheric pollutants on daily hospitalizations, and subgroup analysis to determine whether gender and age could modify the impact on hospitalizations.
RESULTS:
A substantial correlation was revealed in single-day lags model. The peak delayed effects of PM10, PM2.5, SO2, and NO2 were observed at lag8 (PM10 (OR = 1.016, 95%CI 1.002, 1.030), PM2.5 (OR = 1.027, 95%CI 1.007, 1.048), SO2 (OR = 1.153, 95%CI 1.040, 279) and NO2 (OR = 1.054, 95%CI 1.005, 1.105)) while males exhibited a consistent trend from lag0 to lag8 (PM10 (OR = 1.035, 95%CI 1.018, 1.053), PM2.5 (OR = 1.056, 95%CI 1.030, 1.082), SO2 (OR = 1.220, 95%CI 1.072, 1.389), NO2 (OR = 1.126, 95%CI 1.061, 1.120), CO (OR = 10.059, 95%CI 1.697, 59.638) and O3 (OR = 0.972, 95%CI 0.946, 0.999)). When gender and age were considered, a positive impact was also observed after three days cumulative effect in males.
CONCLUSIONS
There is a significant cumulative effect of exposure to air pollution on IS hospital admissions, especially the males and patients under the age of 65. Our results also suggested that a notable association between CO and NO2 in two-pollutant models.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Air Pollution/analysis*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Air Pollutants/analysis*
;
Aged
;
Particulate Matter/analysis*
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Adult
;
Ischemic Stroke/chemically induced*
;
Environmental Exposure/adverse effects*
;
Aged, 80 and over
5.Dietary exposure levels to 134Cs, 137Cs, 90Sr, and 239+240Pu in Japan after the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident: a duplicate portion study for fiscal years 2012-2014.
Hiroshi TERADA ; Ikuyo IIJIMA ; Sadaaki MIYAKE ; Tomoko OTA ; Ichiro YAMAGUCHI ; Hiroko KODAMA ; Hideo SUGIYAMA
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():48-48
BACKGROUND:
Since the accident at Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP), concerns have arisen in Japan regarding the presence of radionuclides in food. Moreover, exposure levels to 90Sr and Pu isotopes in adults and those to 134Cs+137Cs, 90Sr, and Pu (where Cs, Sr, and Pu are cesium, strontium, and plutonium, respectively) in children have not been examined. Therefore, this study employed a duplicate portion approach to examine dietary exposure levels of radionuclides in adults and children following the FDNPP accident.
METHODS:
The study spanned fiscal years 2012-2014 and was conducted in 10 prefectures: Hokkaido, Iwate, Miyagi, Fukushima, Ibaraki, Saitama, Tokyo, Kanagawa, Osaka, and Kochi. The participants provided portions of their meals for two non-consecutive days and completed questionnaires on the meal items. The activity concentrations of 134Cs, 137Cs, 90Sr, and 239+240Pu, which are targets of standard limits for radionuclides in foods in Japan, were determined according to the Radioactivity Measurement Series. The daily intake was calculated based on the radionuclide activity concentrations in the duplicate portion samples, and the committed effective doses were estimated using dose coefficients for the ingestion of each radionuclide provided by the International Commission on Radiological Protection.
RESULTS:
Approximately 80 duplicate samples were obtained in each fiscal year, and 242 samples were collected. The highest summed activity concentration of 134Cs and 137Cs was 11 Bq/kg, which was recorded in Date City (child) in 2013; this level was approximately one-ninth of the standard limit for general foods (100 Bq/kg). The committed effective dose from annual ingestion of the sample described above was 74 µSv, approximately 14 times lower than the maximum permissible level of 1 mSv/y. Pu was not detected and the 90Sr activity concentrations were similar to those before the FDNPP accident.
CONCLUSIONS
For the samples examined in the present study, the 134Cs, 137Cs, 90Sr, and 239+240Pu dietary exposure levels were considerably lower than the regulatory levels and may not pose a health risk.
Fukushima Nuclear Accident
;
Cesium Radioisotopes/analysis*
;
Humans
;
Japan
;
Dietary Exposure/statistics & numerical data*
;
Adult
;
Plutonium/analysis*
;
Child
;
Food Contamination, Radioactive/analysis*
;
Strontium Radioisotopes/analysis*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Child, Preschool
;
Radiation Monitoring
;
Young Adult
;
Adolescent
;
Aged
;
Radiation Exposure/analysis*
6.Comparison of energy and nutrient intakes between weekdays and weekends in Japanese preschool children based on meal categories.
Atsuki SAKAI ; Katsushi YOSHITA ; Takako TAKAHASHI ; Tetsuko OKABE ; Ruriko SASAKI ; Hiromi ISHIDA ; Hiromitsu OGATA ; Mitsuhiko HARA ; Yukiko YOSHIOKA ; Miho NOZUE ; Tatsuaki SAKAMOTO ; Sanae ITO ; Nobuko MURAYAMA
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():71-71
BACKGROUND:
Meals are provided at nursery schools for Japanese preschool children, and this may result in different energy and nutrient intakes on weekdays and weekends. The purpose of this study was to obtain basic information for public nutrition policies in early childhood by examining differences in energy and nutrient intakes of preschool children between weekdays and weekends using meal categories such as breakfast, lunch, dinner, and snacks.
METHODS:
Energy and nutrient intakes were examined in 761 Japanese preschool children (423 boys, 338 girls) aged 3-6 years attending childcare facilities in seven regions in Japan. Data collection was based on non-consecutive four-day dietary records (two weekdays, two weekend days) in 2019 or 2020. Energy and nutrient intake by meal category were compared using a generalized linear mixed model adjusted for demographic factors.
RESULTS:
Total energy intake was significantly higher on weekdays for boys (1,478 vs. 1,415 kcal) and girls (1,349 vs. 1,296 kcal) (both P < 0.001). Weekday lunches had higher protein content and essential micronutrients such as potassium, iron, vitamins, and lower fat, saturated fatty acids, and salt, compared to weekend lunches. Similarly, weekday snacks also had significantly higher nutritional consumption for most nutrients compared to weekend equivalents.
CONCLUSION
These findings suggest that meals at nursery schools, particularly lunch and snacks, result in more desirable nutrient intake in preschool children. On weekdays, children consume meals with higher nutrient density, possibly due to the role of dietitians in menu planning. However, some children still fail to meet the Dietary Reference Intakes for Japanese, indicating a need for improvements in nursery school and home meals. More communication is needed between nursery schools and families, including sharing menus and recipes is essential. The results of this study are of value for development of public health nutrition strategies targeting early childhood.
Humans
;
Child, Preschool
;
Male
;
Japan
;
Female
;
Energy Intake
;
Meals
;
Child
;
Nutrients/analysis*
;
Diet/statistics & numerical data*
;
East Asian People
7.Short-term effects of ambient ozone on pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions: a multi-city case-crossover study in China.
Huan WANG ; Huan-Ling ZENG ; Guo-Xing LI ; Shuang ZHOU ; Jin-Lang LYU ; Qin LI ; Guo-Shuang FENG ; Hai-Jun WANG
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():75-75
BACKGROUND:
Children's respiratory health demonstrates particular sensitivity to air pollution. Existing evidence investigating the association between short-term ozone (O3) exposure and childhood pneumonia remains insufficient and inconsistent, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).
METHOD:
To provide more reliable and persuasive evidence, we implemented a multi-city, time-stratified case-crossover design with a large sample size, using data from seven representative children's hospitals across major geographical regions in China. To avoid the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, individual-level medical records of inpatient children under 6 years of age diagnosed with pneumonia during 2016-2019 were collected. Conditional logistic regression models were fitted for each city, and city-specific estimates were pooled through a meta-analysis using a random-effects model.
RESULTS:
In total, the study included 137,470 pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions. The highest pooled estimate for O3 occurred at lag0-1, with a 10 µg/m3 increase in O3 associated with a 1.57% (95% CI: 0.67%-2.48%) higher risk of pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions. Stratified analyses indicated that the effects of O3 were robust across different sexes, age groups, and admission seasons. We also observed a statistically significant increase in risk associated with O3 concentrations exceeding the World Health Organization Air Quality Guidelines (WHO-AQGs).
CONCLUSIONS
This study revealed a significant positive association between O3 and pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions. Our findings substantially strengthen the evidence base for the adverse health impacts of O3, underscoring the importance of O3 pollution control and management in reducing the public health burden of pediatric pneumonia.
Humans
;
Ozone/analysis*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Pneumonia/chemically induced*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Male
;
Female
;
Infant
;
Cross-Over Studies
;
Air Pollutants/analysis*
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Child
;
Cities/epidemiology*
;
Air Pollution/adverse effects*
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Environmental Exposure/adverse effects*
8.Gallstones, cholecystectomy, and cancer risk: an observational and Mendelian randomization study.
Yuanyue ZHU ; Linhui SHEN ; Yanan HUO ; Qin WAN ; Yingfen QIN ; Ruying HU ; Lixin SHI ; Qing SU ; Xuefeng YU ; Li YAN ; Guijun QIN ; Xulei TANG ; Gang CHEN ; Yu XU ; Tiange WANG ; Zhiyun ZHAO ; Zhengnan GAO ; Guixia WANG ; Feixia SHEN ; Xuejiang GU ; Zuojie LUO ; Li CHEN ; Qiang LI ; Zhen YE ; Yinfei ZHANG ; Chao LIU ; Youmin WANG ; Shengli WU ; Tao YANG ; Huacong DENG ; Lulu CHEN ; Tianshu ZENG ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Yiming MU ; Weiqing WANG ; Guang NING ; Jieli LU ; Min XU ; Yufang BI ; Weiguo HU
Frontiers of Medicine 2025;19(1):79-89
This study aimed to comprehensively examine the association of gallstones, cholecystectomy, and cancer risk. Multivariable logistic regressions were performed to estimate the observational associations of gallstones and cholecystectomy with cancer risk, using data from a nationwide cohort involving 239 799 participants. General and gender-specific two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was further conducted to assess the causalities of the observed associations. Observationally, a history of gallstones without cholecystectomy was associated with a high risk of stomach cancer (adjusted odds ratio (aOR)=2.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.50-4.28), liver and bile duct cancer (aOR=2.46, 95% CI 1.17-5.16), kidney cancer (aOR=2.04, 95% CI 1.05-3.94), and bladder cancer (aOR=2.23, 95% CI 1.01-5.13) in the general population, as well as cervical cancer (aOR=1.69, 95% CI 1.12-2.56) in women. Moreover, cholecystectomy was associated with high odds of stomach cancer (aOR=2.41, 95% CI 1.29-4.49), colorectal cancer (aOR=1.83, 95% CI 1.18-2.85), and cancer of liver and bile duct (aOR=2.58, 95% CI 1.11-6.02). MR analysis only supported the causal effect of gallstones on stomach, liver and bile duct, kidney, and bladder cancer. This study added evidence to the causal effect of gallstones on stomach, liver and bile duct, kidney, and bladder cancer, highlighting the importance of cancer screening in individuals with gallstones.
Humans
;
Mendelian Randomization Analysis
;
Gallstones/complications*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Cholecystectomy/statistics & numerical data*
;
Middle Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Neoplasms/etiology*
;
Stomach Neoplasms/epidemiology*
9.Early lactate/albumin ratio combined with quick sequential organ failure assessment for predicting the prognosis of sepsis caused by community-acquired pneumonia in the emergency department.
Xinyan ZHANG ; Yingbo AN ; Yezi DONG ; Min LI ; Ran LI ; Jinxing LI
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(2):118-122
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the predictive value of early lactate/albumin ratio (LAR) combined with quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) for the 28-day prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by emergency community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).
METHODS:
The clinical data of patients with sepsis caused by CAP admitted to the department of emergency of Beijing Haidian Hospital from June 2021 to August 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, including gender, age, comorbidities, lactic acid (Lac), serum albumin (Alb), LAR, procalcitonin (PCT) within 1 hour, and 28-day prognosis. Patients were divided into two groups based on 28-day prognosis, and risk factors affecting patients' prognosis were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression methods. Patients were divided into two groups according to the best cut-off value of LAR, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to analyze the 28-day cumulative survival of patients in each group. Time-dependent receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) were plotted to analyze the predictive value of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), and qSOFA+LAR score on the prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by CAP at 28 days. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and compared.
RESULTS:
A total of 116 patients with sepsis caused by CAP were included, of whom 80 survived at 28 days and 36 died, 28-day mortality of 31.0%. There were no statistically significant differences in age, gender, comorbidities, pH, platelet count, and fibrinogen between the survival and death groups, and there were significantly differences in blood urea nitrogen (BUN), white blood cell count (WBC), hemoglobin, Lac, Alb, PCT, D-dimer, LAR, as well as qSOFA score, SOFA score, and APACHE II score. Univariate Cox regression analyses showed that BUN, WBC, pH, Lac, Alb, PCT, LAR, qSOFA score, SOFA score, and APACHE II score were associated with mortality outcome. Multifactorial Cox regression analysis of the above variables showed that BUN, WBC, PCT, and APACHE II score were independent risk factors for 28-day death in the emergency department in patients with sepsis caused by CAP [hazard ratio (HR) were 1.081, 0.892, 1.034, and 1.135, respectively, all P < 0.05]. The best cut-off value of early LAR for predicting the 28-day prognosis of sepsis patients was 0.088, the Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the 28-day cumulative survival rate of sepsis patients in the LAR ≤ 0.088 group was significantly higher than that in the LAR > 0.088 group [82.9% (63/76) vs. 42.5% (17/40), Log-Rank test: χ2 = 22.51, P < 0.001]. The qSOFA+LAR score was calculated based on the LAR cut-off value and qSOFA score, and ROC curve analysis showed that the AUCs of SOFA score, APACHE II score, and qSOFA+LAR score for predicting 28-day death of patients with sepsis caued by CAP were 0.741, 0.774, and 0.709, respectively, with the AUC of qSOFA+LAR score slightly lower than those of SOFA score and APACHE II score, but there were no significantly differences. When the best cut-off value of qSOFA+LAR score was 1, the sensitivity was 63.9% and the specificity was 80.0%.
CONCLUSION
The qSOFA+LAR score has predictive value for the 28-day prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by CAP in the emergency department, its predictive value is comparable to the SOFA score and the APACHE II score, and it is more convenient for early use in the emergency department.
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data*
;
Sepsis/etiology*
;
Prognosis
;
Community-Acquired Pneumonia/mortality*
;
Organ Dysfunction Scores
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Lactic Acid/blood*
;
Serum Albumin, Human/analysis*
;
Biomarkers/blood*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
APACHE
;
Procalcitonin/blood*
;
ROC Curve
;
Area Under Curve
;
Humans
10.Predicting Postoperative Circulatory Complications in Older Patients: A Machine Learning Approach.
Xiao Yun HU ; Wei Xuan SHENG ; Kang YU ; Jie Tai DUO ; Peng Fei LIU ; Ya Wei LI ; Dong Xin WANG ; Hui Hui MIAO
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(3):328-340
OBJECTIVE:
This study examines utilizes the advantages of machine learning algorithms to discern key determinants in prognosticate postoperative circulatory complications (PCCs) for older patients.
METHODS:
This secondary analysis of data from a randomized controlled trial involved 1,720 elderly participants in five tertiary hospitals in Beijing, China. Participants aged 60-90 years undergoing major non-cardiac surgery under general anesthesia. The primary outcome metric of the study was the occurrence of PCCs, according to the European Society of Cardiology and the European Society of Anaesthesiology diagnostic criteria. The analysis metrics contained 67 candidate variables, including baseline characteristics, laboratory tests, and scale assessments.
RESULTS:
Our feature selection process identified key variables that significantly impact patient outcomes, including the duration of ICU stay, surgery, and anesthesia; APACHE-II score; intraoperative average heart rate and blood loss; cumulative opioid use during surgery; patient age; VAS-Move-Median score on the 1st to 3rd day; Charlson comorbidity score; volumes of intraoperative plasma, crystalloid, and colloid fluids; cumulative red blood cell transfusion during surgery; and endotracheal intubation duration. Notably, our Random Forest model demonstrated exceptional performance with an accuracy of 0.9872.
CONCLUSION
We have developed and validated an algorithm for predicting PCCs in elderly patients by identifying key risk factors.
Aged
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology*
;
Machine Learning
;
Postoperative Complications/etiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
;
Secondary Data Analysis

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