1.Influencing factors for recompensation and its impact on the prognosis in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis
Danqing XU ; Haiwen LI ; Huan MU ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Caifen SA ; Li LIU ; Yongrui YANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):90-100
ObjectiveTo investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis, as well as the impact of recompensation on the prognosis of such patients, and to provide a basis for early identification of high-risk patients in clinical practice. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of patients who attended The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming from January 2016 to December 2022 and were diagnosed with decompensated liver cirrhosis due to hepatitis B, hepatitis C, alcoholic hepatitis, and autoimmune hepatitis, and they were divided into recompensation group and persistent decompensation group. To control for confounding factors, whether recompensation occurred was used as the rouping variable,and BMI, alcohol consumption history, HIV infection history, TG, CHOL, LDL, and HDL were used as covariates. The propensity score was calculated, and 1:1 nearest neighbor matching was performed with a caliper value of 0.1. After propensity score matching, the recompensation group and the persistent decompensation group with relatively balanced covariates were obtained. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model analyses were used to investigate the influencing factors for recompensation; the “rms” package was used to establish a nomogram; the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to calculate the area under the ROC curve (AUC); the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to assess the goodness of fit of the model; the “Calibration Curves” package was used to plot calibration curves for model assessment. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves, and the Log-rank test was used for comparison of survival curves. ResultsAmong the 863 patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis, 305 experienced recompensation, resulting in an incidence rate of 35.3%. After PSM, 610 cases were successfully matched, with 305 cases in each group. The univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that etiology (hepatitis C: hazard ratio[HR]=0.288, P=0.002); male(HR=0.701, P=0.016), age(HR=0.988, P=0.047), hemoglobin (HGB)(HR=1.006, P=0.017), and CD4 T cell(HR=1.001,P=0.047), TIPS procedure (HR=1.808,P=0.042) were independent influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. During follow-up, 116 patients died of liver disease-related causes, with 27 patients (8.85%) in the recompensation group and 89 (15.95%) in the persistent decompensation group; 109 patients developed HCC, with 23 patients (7.54%) in the recompensation group and 86 (15.41%) in the persistent decompensation group. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed significant separation between the patients with different states of compensation in terms of liver disease-related mortality rate and the incidence rate of HCC, and the Log-rank test showed that there were significant differences between the two groups in liver disease-related mortality rate (χ2=9.023, P=0.003) and the incidence rate of HCC (χ2=10.526, P=0.001). ConclusionEtiology,sex,age,TIPS,HGB,and CD4 T cell are independent influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. There is a significant difference in the incidence rate of recompensation between decompensated liver cirrhosis patients with different etiologies, and female patients and patients with a younger age,a history of TIPS, a higher HGB level, and a higher CD4 lymphocyte count are more likely to experience recompensation. Recompensation is the key to improving the long-term prognosis of patients and can significantly reduce long-term liver disease-related mortality rate and the incidence rate of HCC.
2.Value of albumin-bilirubin,easy albumin-bilirubin,and platelet-albumin-bilirubin scores in predicting the prognosis of patients with HCV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma
Huan MU ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Yuanqiang HE ; Chunyan MOU ; Chunyun LIU ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;42(5):921-926
Objective To investigate the value of albumin-bilirubin(ALBI),easy albumin-bilirubin(EZ-ALBI),and platelet-albumin-bilirubin(PALBI)scores in predicting 2-year survival in patients with HCV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma(HCV-HCC).Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 174 patients with HCV-HCC who were admitted to The Third People's Hospital of Kunming from January 2020 to January 2022,and the patients were followed up till 2 years after admission.According to the follow-up results,the patients were divided into survival group with 95 patients and death group with 79 patients.The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups,and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups.Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model analyses were used to investigate the influencing factors for the survival of HCV-HCC patients.The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves and analyze the 2-year survival rate of HCV-HCC patients with different EZ-ALBI grades,and the log-rank test was used for comparison between groups.Results There were significant differences between the survival group and the death group in platelet count,aspartate aminotransferase(AST),total bilirubin,albumin(Alb),alpha-fetoprotein(AFP),prealbumin,prothrombin time,international normalized ratio,PALBI score,ALBI score,EZ-ALBI score,Model for End-Stage Liver Disease(MELD)score,HCV genotype,peritoneal effusion,and vascular invasion(all P<0.05).The univariate Cox regression analysis showed that AST,Alb,AFP,ALBI score,EZ-ALBI score,PALBI score,MELD score,Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Staging,and peritoneal effusion were influencing factors for the survival of patients(all P<0.05),and the multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that EZ-ALBI score(hazard ratio[HR]=1.850,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.054-3.247,P=0.032)and peritoneal effusion(HR=1.993,95%CI:1.030-3.858,P=0.041)were independent risk factors for the survival of HCV-HCC patients.The survival curve analysis showed that the patients with EZ-ALBI grade 1/2/3 had a 2-year survival rate of 90.9%,60.2%,and 32.2%,respectively,and there was a significant difference in cumulative survival rate between the patients with different EZ-ALBI grades(χ2=26.294,P<0.001).Conclusion EZ-ALBI score and the presence or absence of peritoneal effusion can be used as predictors of the survival of HCV-HCC patients.
3.Analysis of influencing factors and construction of predictive model for HBsAg clearance in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B treated with PEG-IFN-α-2b
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Huan MU ; Yuanqiang HE ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Weikun LI ; Chunyan MOU ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(8):1525-1532
Objective To investigate the predictive factors for the occurrence of HBsAg clearance in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B(CHB)receiving peginterferon alfa-2b(PEG-IFN-α-2b)treatment,analyze the effects of various indicators on the HBsAg clearance rate under different characteristics,and construct and evaluate a combined predictive model.Methods We included 125 patients with HBeAg-negative CHB at Kunming Third People's Hospital from May 2021 to May 2023.After treatment with PEG-IFN-α-2b combined with nucleoside analogues for a course of 48 weeks,they were divided into HBsAg clearance group and HBsAg non-clearance group.Their general information and serological,biochemical,and virological indicators at different time points during treatment were recorded.Continuous data in normal distribution were compared using the t test.Continuous data in non-normal distribution were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test,and comparisons across different time points were performed using the multiple paired-sample Friedman test.Categorical data were compared using the χ2 test.A Logistic regression analysis was used to select variables to establish a combined multi-parameter predictive model.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were generated to evaluate the diagnostic value of individual indicators and the combined predictive model for HBsAg clearance.Results Before treatment,there were significant differences in baseline HBsAg level(Z=-3.997,P<0.05)and treatment history(χ2=8.221,P<0.05)between the two groups.During treatment,gradually decreasing trends were observed in white blood cell count(χ2=104.944),neutrophil count(χ2=132.036),platelet count(χ2=162.881),and thyroid-stimulating hormone level(TSH,χ2=83.304,all P<0.05),while alanine aminotransferase(ALT,χ2=157.618)and alpha fetoprotein(χ2=159.472)showed gradually increasing trends(both P<0.05).At 48 weeks of treatment,treatment history(odds ratio[OR]=0.232,95%confidence interval[CI]:0.071-0.753),baseline HBsAg level(OR=13.423,95%CI:3.276-54.997),the extent of decrease in HBsAg from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment(OR=0.143,95%CI:0.040-0.515),the maximum ALT level during treatment(OR=0.986,95%CI:0.980-0.993),and the minimum TSH level during treatment(OR=3.281,95%CI:1.413-7.619)were independent factors affecting HBsAg clearance(all P<0.05).A combined predictive model for HBsAg clearance was built:Y=-1.603-1.462×treatment history+2.597×baseline HBsAg value-1.944×the extent of HBsAg reduction from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment-0.014×the maximum ALT value during treatment+1.188×the minimum TSH value during treatment.The diagnostic value of the individual indicators for HBsAg clearance from high to low was as following:the maximum ALT value during treatment(AUC=0.824),baseline HBsAg value(AUC=0.727),the minimum TSH value during treatment(AUC=0.707),the extent of HBsAg reduction from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment(AUC=0.641),and treatment history(AUC=0.636).The combined model showed better predictive performance than the individual indicators,with the AUC being 0.921(all P<0.05).Conclusion The combined model,constructed with baseline HBsAg value,the extent of HBsAg reduction from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment,the maximum ALT value during treatment,and the minimum TSH value during treatment,has high predictive value for the occurrence of HBsAg clearance in patients with HBeAg-negative CHB after 48 weeks of treatment with PEG-IFN-α-2b,which can provide a reference for identifying suitable patients for treatment and predicting clinical outcome.
4.Analysis of prognostic factors of ultrasound-guided microwave ablation for papillary thyroid carcinoma
Weiwei LU ; Danqing LIU ; Xiaoyue WEI
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2025;19(2):233-237
Objective:To investigate the prognostic factors of ultrasound-guided microwave ablation (MWA) in the treatment of papillary thyroid carcinoma.Methods:The medical records of 97 patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma treated in Shangqiu First People’s Hospital from Jun. 2019 to Dec. 2021 were retrospectively analyzed.All of them were treated with ultrasount-guided MWA,including 38 males and 59 females,aged (48.24±7.86) years. The patients were followed up until Oct. 2024, and the prognosis of the patients was statistically analyzed.According to whether there was new lymph node metastasis or recurrence,the patients were divided into good prognosis group and poor prognosis group.Statistical software SPSS26.0 was used to process the baseline data of the two groups,and the factors affecting the prognosis of papillary thyroid carcinoma were analyzed.Results:Among 97 patients,3 cases were lost to follow-up,73 cases were in good prognosis group and 21 cases were in poor prognosis group.The incidence of multiple lesions,diameter 5-10 mm,close envelope and BRAFV600E mutations in poor prognosis group were 52.38%, 76.19%, 61.90% and 57.14%, respectively, which were higher than 27.40%, 49.32%, 20.55% and 31.51% in good prognosis group ( P<0.05) .TSH level of (2.94±0.61) mlU/L was higher than that of good prognosis group (2.67±0.52) mlU/L ( P<0.05) .Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that multiple lesions ( OR=2.915,95%CI:1.073-7.916) ,diameter 5-10mm ( OR=3.289,95% CI:1.090-9.920) , close to the envelope ( OR=6.283,95% CI:2.203-17.917) and BRAFV600E mutations ( OR=2.899,95% CI:1.071-7.843) were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in ultrasound-guided MWA treatment of isthmic papillary carcinoma ( P<0.05) .The ROC curve showed that the AUC value of the four combinations was 0.895,which was significantly higher than the number of lesions (0.625) , tumor size (0.634) , close envelope (0.707) and BRAFV600E mutation (0.628) . Conclusion:Multiple lesions,5-10mm in diameter,close envelope and BRAFV600E mutation are the factors affecting the poor prognosis of patients with isthmic papillary carcinoma treated with ultrasound-guided MWA,and the combination of the four factors is more effective in predicting the prognosis of patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma.
5.Risk factors for concurrent hepatic hydrothorax before intervention in primary liver cancer and construction of a nomogram prediction model
Yuanzhen WANG ; Renhai TIAN ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Lixian CHANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(1):75-83
ObjectiveTo investigate the influencing factors for hepatic hydrothorax (HH) before intervention for primary hepatic carcinoma (PHC), and to construct and assess the nomogram risk prediction model. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 353 hospitalized patients who attended the Third People’s Hospital of Kunming for the first time from October 2012 to October 2021 and there diagnosed with PHC, and according to the presence or absence of HH, they were divided into HH group with 153 patients and non-HH group with 200 patients. General data and the data of initial clinical testing after admission were collected from all PHC patients. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. After the multicollinearity test was performed for the variables with statistical significance determined by the univariate analysis, the multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent influencing factors. The “rms” software package was used to construct a nomogram risk prediction model, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to assess the risk prediction model; the “Calibration Curves” software package was used to plot the calibration curve, and the “rmda” software package was used to plot the clinical decision curve and the clinical impact curve. ResultsAmong the 353 patients with PHC, there were 153 patients with HH, with a prevalence rate of 43.34%. Child-Pugh class B (odds ratio [OR]=2.652, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.050 — 6.698, P=0.039), Child-Pugh class C (OR=7.963, 95%CI: 1.046 — 60.632, P=0.045), total protein (OR=0.947, 95%CI: 0.914 — 0.981, P=0.003), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (OR=1.007, 95%CI: 1.001 — 1.014, P=0.025), and interleukin-2 (OR=0.801, 95%CI: 0.653 — 0.981, P=0.032) were independent influencing factors for HH before PHC intervention, and a nomogram risk prediction model was established based on these factors. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model had a good degree of fitting (χ2=5.006, P=0.757), with an area under the ROC curve of 0.752 (95%CI: 0.701 — 0.803), a sensitivity of 78.40%, and a specificity of 63.50%. The calibration curve showed that the model had good consistency in predicting HH before PHC intervention, and the clinical decision curve and the clinical impact curve showed that the model had good clinical practicability within a certain threshold range. ConclusionChild-Pugh class, total protein, interleukin-2, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein are independent influencing factors for developing HH before PHC intervention, and the nomogram model established based on these factors can effectively predict the risk of developing HH.
6.Influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis
Danqing XU ; Huan MU ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Lixian CHANG ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Weikun LI ; Zhijian DONG ; Lihua ZHANG ; Yijing CHENG ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(2):269-276
ObjectiveTo investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, and to establish a predictive model. MethodsA total of 217 patients who were diagnosed with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis and were admitted to The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming l from January, 2019 to December, 2022 were enrolled, among whom 63 patients who were readmitted within at least 1 year and had no portal hypertension-related complications were enrolled as recompensation group, and 154 patients without recompensation were enrolled as control group. Related clinical data were collected, and univariate and multivariate analyses were performed for the factors that may affect the occurrence of recompensation. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed measurement data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed measurement data between two groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A binary Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the predictive performance of the model. ResultsAmong the 217 patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, 63 (29.03%) had recompensation. There were significant differences between the recompensation group and the control group in HIV history (χ2=4.566, P=0.034), history of partial splenic embolism (χ2=6.687, P=0.014), Child-Pugh classification (χ2=11.978, P=0.003), grade of ascites (χ2=14.229, P<0.001), albumin (t=4.063, P<0.001), prealbumin (Z=-3.077, P=0.002), high-density lipoprotein (t=2.854, P=0.011), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (Z=-2.447, P=0.014), prothrombin time (Z=-2.441, P=0.015), carcinoembryonic antigen (Z=-2.113, P=0.035), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (Z=-2.063, P=0.039), CA125 (Z=-2.270, P=0.023), TT3 (Z=-3.304, P<0.001), TT4 (Z=-2.221, P=0.026), CD45+ (Z=-2.278, P=0.023), interleukin-5 (Z=-2.845, P=0.004), tumor necrosis factor-α (Z=-2.176, P=0.030), and portal vein width (Z=-5.283, P=0.005). The multivariate analysis showed that history of partial splenic embolism (odds ratio [OR]=3.064, P=0.049), HIV history (OR=0.195, P=0.027), a small amount of ascites (OR=3.390, P=0.017), AFP (OR=1.003, P=0.004), and portal vein width (OR=0.600, P<0.001) were independent influencing factors for the occurrence of recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis. The ROC curve analysis showed that HIV history, grade of ascites, history of partial splenic embolism, AFP, portal vein width, and the combined predictive model of these indices had an area under the ROC curve of 0.556, 0.641, 0.560, 0.589, 0.745, and 0.817, respectively. ConclusionFor patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, those with a history of partial splenic embolism, a small amount of ascites, and an increase in AFP level are more likely to experience recompensation, while those with a history of HIV and an increase in portal vein width are less likely to experience recompensation.
7.Metabolic Characteristics of Patients With Early-Onset Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and a Risk Prediction Model for Microvascular Complications
Yanyan WANG ; Hua JIANG ; Xin LYU ; Cong WANG ; Yue ZHAO ; Yongyu WEI ; Danqing JING ; Jiajia LIU ; Lei ZHENG
Journal of Sichuan University (Medical Sciences) 2025;56(4):931-938
Objective To investigate the metabolic characteristics of patients with early-onset type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)and to develop a risk prediction model for microvascular complications.Methods A retrospective study was conducted on 980 T2DM patients admitted for treatment between April 2020 and April 2024.Based on age at diagnosis,the patients were divided into two groups,an early-onset T2DM group(age at diagnosis<40 years,n=265)and a late-onset T2DM group(age at diagnosis≥40 years,n=715).Differences in metabolic indicators between the two groups were compared.Patients in the early-onset group were further divided into a complication subgroup(n=142)and a non-complication subgroup(n=123)based on the presence or absence of microvascular complications.Data on baseline characteristics,metabolic parameters,and laboratory indicators were collected and compared between the two groups.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for microvascular complications,and a nomogram prediction model was constructed.The model's discriminative performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,and its calibration was evaluated using calibration curves and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test.Decision curve analysis(DCA)was also performed to assess the model's clinical utility.Results Compared with the late-onset group,patients in the early-onset group exhibited more pronounced metabolic abnormalities,including higher body mass index(BMI),proportion of family history of diabetes mellitus,glycated hemoglobin(HbA1c)levels,total cholesterol(TC),triglycerides(TG),low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C),triglyceride-glucose index(TyG),and lactate dehydrogenase(LDH)levels(all P<0.05),along with a shorter disease duration and lower levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C)(P<0.05).According to a multivariate analysis,systolic blood pressure(SBP),total bilirubin(TBIL),HDL-C,LDL-C,TyG,and LDH were identified as independent risk factors for microvascular complications in patients with early-onset T2DM.A predictive model based on these factors was established as the follows,Log(P)=-19.915+0.017×SBP-0.136×TBIL-1.241×HDL-C+0.684×LDL-C+0.769×TyG+0.050×LDH.The area under the ROC curve(AUC)was 0.864(95%CI,0.820-0.907),and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated good model fit(χ2=10.286,P=0.246).The slope of the DCA curve was also close to 1.Conclusion The nomogram prediction model based on SBP,TBIL,HDL-C,LDL-C,TyG,and LDH demonstrates good predictive performance for microvascular complications and can provide a reference for clinical risk stratification and individualized intervention.
8.A single-center retrospective study on pacemaker lead-related tricuspid regurgitation
Danqing YU ; Qifeng ZHU ; Yan LIN ; Xiaoping LIN ; Xianbao LIU ; Jian'an WANG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(10):1410-1417
Objective:This study aimed to retrospectively analyze the incidence and influencing factors of tricuspid regurgitation (TR) in the short term after pacemaker lead implantation at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, so as to provide evidence for understanding pacemaker lead-related TR.Methods:Consecutive patients who underwent single- or dual-chamber permanent pacemaker implantation between June 2019 and December 2023 in the Department of Cardiology were enrolled. General clinical data and relevant parameters were collected. Changes in TR severity before and shortly after the procedure were assessed using echocardiography. TR progression was defined as an increase by one grade or more, and TR improvement as a decrease by one grade or more. Logistic regression analysis was employed to identify factors associated with TR progression.Results:A total of 219 patients were included (128 males, 91 females), with a mean age of 69.7 ± 11.2 years. The median follow-up time was 99 (26, 199) days. TR remained unchanged in 114 patients (52.1%), improved in 46 (21.0%)—including 36 (16.4%) with one-grade reduction, 9 (4.1%) with two-grade reduction, and 1 (0.5%) with three-grade reduction—and progressed in 59 patients (26.9%). Among those with progression, 51 (23.3%) had mild-to-moderate TR worsening by one grade, and 8 (3.7%) had moderate or worse TR worsening by at least two grades. Notably, one case involved lead perforation of the leaflet and two cases had lead impingement. Compared with the non-progression group ( n = 114), pacemaker indication (AV block vs. sick sinus syndrome), baseline left atrial diameter, pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP), and the severity of mitral regurgitation (MR) and TR were significantly associated with TR progression or improvement (all P < 0.05). Ordinal logistic regression analysis identified preoperative TR severity [ OR=10.57 (3.77–29.68), P < 0.001] and pacemaker indication [ OR=0.452 (0.222–0.918), P = 0.028] as independent predictors of postoperative TR progression. Patients with AV block were more likely to receive left bundle branch pacing ( P < 0.001), which may contribute to their lower risk of TR. Conclusions:Short-term progression of TR after pacemaker implantation is relatively common, although severe TR remains rare. Preoperative TR severity and pacemaker indication are independent predictors of short-term TR progression. The use of physiological pacing modalities may help reduce the incidence of TR following pacemaker lead implantation.
9.Establishment and Evaluation of a Risk Prediction Model for Chronic Liver Failure Complicated by Primary Hepatocellular Carcinoma Before Intervention
Yuanzhen WANG ; Hongyan WEI ; Renhai TIAN ; Yongzhen CHEN ; Danqing XU ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Lixian CHANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Li LIU
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2025;46(3):139-147
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of chronic liver failure in patients with primary hepatic carcinoma(PHC)before intervention,and to establish and evaluate a nomogram risk prediction model.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted by collecting general data and clinical test data within 24 hours of admission for PHC patients.Univariate analysis and Lasso regression were used for variable selection,followed by multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify independent influencing factors for CLF before PHC intervention,leading to the establishment of a nomogram risk prediction model.The model was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test,receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve,clinical decision curve,and clinical impact curve.Result A total of 353 cases of PHC patients were collected,including 153 cases in the liver failure group and 200 cases in the non-liver failure group,with a prevalence rate of 43.3%.Variables selected by Lasso regression included gastrointestinal bleeding,prothrombin time(PT),albumin(ALB),total bilirubin(TBIL),and gamma glutamyl transferase(GGT).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that gastrointestinal bleeding(OR=13.549,95%CI:2.899~63.322,P=0.001),PT(OR=1.599,95%CI:1.282~1.995,P<0.001),TBIL(OR=1.016,95%CI:1.006~1.025,P=0.002),and GGT(OR=1.002,95%CI:1.000~1.003,P=0.028)were independent risk factors for chronic liver failure prior to PHC intervention,leading to the establishment of a nomogram risk prediction model.The Hosmer Lemeshow test showed that the model had a good fit(x2=6.152,P>0.05);the area under ROC was 0.902(0.869-0.934),with a sensitivity of 80.4%and a specificity of 87.5%.The calibration curve indicated that the model predicts chronic liver failure prior to PHC intervention with good consistency.Clinical decision curve analysis and clinical impact curve analysis showed that the model has good clinical utility within a certain threshold range.Conclusion Gastrointestinal bleeding,PT ≥16.05s,TBIL≥37.80 mmol/L,and GGT≥ 99.00 U/L are independent risk factors for the occurrence of chronic liver failure before PHC intervention.The established nomogram risk prediction model has certain clinical application value in predicting the risk of chronic liver failure before PHC intervention.
10.Comparison of Efficacy of Tenofovir Amibufenamide and Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate on Chronic Hepatitis B
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Chunyan MOU ; Huan MU ; Danqing XU ; Lixian CHANG ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Li LIU
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2025;46(6):140-148
Objective To compare the efficacy of Tenofovir Alafenamide(TMF)and Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate(TDF)in terms of liver function restoration,virus clearance,immune regulation,anti liver fibrosis,lipid metabolism,bone and renal safety,and adverse reactions.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 110 patients with chronic hepatitis B(CHB)admitted to Kunming Third People's Hospital from January 2022 to December 2022.Patients were divided into the TMF treatment group(n=55)and the TDF treatment group(n=55)based on their treatment regimen.We compared the levels of transaminase levels,antiviral efficacy,T cell subsets,renal function electrolytes,lipid metabolism,four liver fibrosis-related indicators,and changes in liver stiffness grading before and after treatment in two groups of patients.The incidence of adverse reactions post-treatment was also compared.Results After 48 weeks of treatment,the levels of TBIL,ALT,AST,GGT,and GLOB in both groups of patients were significantly lower than pre-treatment levels(P<0.05).The decrease in AST levels in the TMF group was lower than that in the TDF group(P<0.05).After 48 weeks of treatment,the HBV-DNA seroconversion rate in the TMF group(90.90%)was higher than that in the TDF group(83.64%).The serological HBsAg clearance rate in the TMF group(7.3%)was lower than that in the TDF group(9.1%),while the HBeAg clearance rate in the TMF group(38.2%)was significantly higher than that in the TDF group(18.2%),with statistical significance(P<0.05).After 48 weeks of treatment,levels of CD3+,CD4+,and CD8+in both groups were significantly elevated compared to pre-treatment levels(P<0.05);notably,the TMF group had higher post-treatment levels of CD3+,CD4+,and CD8+than the TDF group.After 48 weeks,the average values of HA,IV-C,and LN among the TMF group for liver fibrosis indicators were significantly lower than those in the TDF group(P<0.05).The proportions of F0 and F2 in both groups significantly increased post-treatment,while the proportions of F3 and F4 significantly decreased(P to be supplemented);furthermore,the proportions of F0 and F2 in the TMF group were significantly higher than those in the TDF group,and the proportions of F3 and F4 in the TMF group were significantly lower than those in the TDF group(P<0.05).After 48 weeks,HDL-C levels in the TMF group increased compared to pre-treatment(P<0.05).There were no significant differences in TG,TC,HDL-C,or LDL-C levels in the TDF group compared to pre-treatment(P>0.05).After 48 weeks of treatment,there was no difference in the levels of BUN、Cr、P+,and Ca+in the TMF group compared to pre-treatment(P>0.05);however,BUN and Cr levels in the TDF group were significantly higher than pre-treatment levels,while P+and Ca+levels were significantly lower(P<0.05).The incidence of elevated uric acid and bone pain was significantly higher in the TMF group compared to the TDF group(P<0.05);the incidence of diarrhea and abdominal pain was slightly higher in the TMF group compared to the TDF group(P>0.05).Conclusion Compared to TDF,TMF demonstrates a higher rate of liver function recovery,a greater virological response,enhanced anti fibrotic efficacy,and improved drug safety,making it worthy of clinical application in the future.

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