Objective: To compare the effects of seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) , seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous regressors (SARIMAX) and long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) models in predicting the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD). Methods: Monthly incidence data of HFMD in Kunming City from 2010 to 2019 were collected. SARIMA, SARIMAX and LSTM models were established using the monthly incidence of HFMD from 2010 to 2018 to predict the monthly incidence of HFMD from January to December 2019. The prediction performance of the three models was compared using mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The optimal prediction model was selected based on the principle of minimizing MSE, RMSE, MAE and MAPE. Results: The HFMD cases were reported every month in Kunming City from 2010 to 2019, with the incidence fluctuating between 188.27/105 and 363.15/105. The disease exhibited a biennial high-incidence bimodal distribution. Among the four evaluation indicators for the training and testing sets, the LSTM model had the smaller values: MSE was 63.182 and 102.745, RMSE was 7.949 and 10.136, MAE was 6.535 and 7.620, and MAPE was 46.726% and 31.138%. The LSTM model performed the better, followed by the SARIMA model, while the SARIMAX model had the relatively poorest performance. Conclusion The LSTM model outperforms the SARIMA and SARIMAX models in predicting the incidence of HFMD.

Background: Psychological test reports are essential in assessing intellectual functioning, aiding in diagnosing and treating intellectual disability (ID) and attention-deficit/ hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). However, these reports can have several problems because they are diverse, unstructured, subjective, and involve human errors. Additionally, physicians often do not read the entire report, and the number of reports is lower than that of diagnoses. Methods: We developed explainable predictive models for classifying IDs and ADHDs based on written reports to address these issues. The reports of 1,475 patients with IDs and ADHDs who underwent intelligence tests were used for the models. These models were developed by analyzing reports using natural language processing (NLP) and incorporating the physician’s diagnosis for each report. We selected n-gram features from the models’ results by extracting important features using SHapley Additive exPlanations and permutation importance to make the models explainable. Developing the n-gram feature-based original text search system compensated for the lack of human readability caused by NLP and enabled the reconstruction of human-readable texts from the selected n-gram features. Results: The maximum model accuracy was 0.92, and the 80 human-readable texts were restored from four models. Conclusion The results showed that the models could accurately classify IDs and ADHDs, even with a few reports. The models were also able to explain their predictions. The explainability-enhanced model can help physicians understand the classification process of IDs and ADHDs and provide evidence-based insights.

Background: Psychological test reports are essential in assessing intellectual functioning, aiding in diagnosing and treating intellectual disability (ID) and attention-deficit/ hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). However, these reports can have several problems because they are diverse, unstructured, subjective, and involve human errors. Additionally, physicians often do not read the entire report, and the number of reports is lower than that of diagnoses. Methods: We developed explainable predictive models for classifying IDs and ADHDs based on written reports to address these issues. The reports of 1,475 patients with IDs and ADHDs who underwent intelligence tests were used for the models. These models were developed by analyzing reports using natural language processing (NLP) and incorporating the physician’s diagnosis for each report. We selected n-gram features from the models’ results by extracting important features using SHapley Additive exPlanations and permutation importance to make the models explainable. Developing the n-gram feature-based original text search system compensated for the lack of human readability caused by NLP and enabled the reconstruction of human-readable texts from the selected n-gram features. Results: The maximum model accuracy was 0.92, and the 80 human-readable texts were restored from four models. Conclusion The results showed that the models could accurately classify IDs and ADHDs, even with a few reports. The models were also able to explain their predictions. The explainability-enhanced model can help physicians understand the classification process of IDs and ADHDs and provide evidence-based insights.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of expansive open-door laminoplasty combined with single lateral mass screw fixation on the posterior longitudinal ligament ossification and cervical instability and its effect on sagittal balance. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 65 patients with the posterior longitudinal ligament with cervical instability from May 2012 to July 2018 was conducted. The patients were divided into two groups according to the surgical method. Thirty-four patients were treated with open-door laminoplasty including 19 males and 15 females, aged 49 to 60 years old with an average age of (54.4±4.77) years old;symptoms lasted 8 to 39 months with an average of (21.0±8.2) months. Thirty-one patients were treated with single-door laminoplasty combined with single mass screw fixation including 17 males and 14 females, aged 50 to 59 years old with an average age of (55.4±3.2) years;symptoms lasted 7 to 48 months with an average of (23.7±13.1) months. General information of the two groups, including operation time, intraoperative blood loss, and postoperative complications was recorded. Sagittal vertical axis(SVA), C₀-C₂ and C₂-C₇ cobb angle were measured by X-ray before operation and at the last follow-up. Clinical efficacy was evaluated using the Japanese Orthopaedic Association(JOA) score. RESULTS: Surgery was successful in all patients. The operation time (109±15) min in the single-door laminoplasty combined with lateral mass screw fixation group was longer than that in the single-door group(128±16) min(P<0.05). There was no significant difference in intraoperative blood loss, postoperative axial symptoms and follow-up time between two groups(P>0.05). At the latest follow-up, both groups showed significant improvement in the motor and sensory components of the JOA score and the total JOA score compared to pre-surgery(P<0.05) and no significant change in bladder function score(P>0.05). There was no significant difference between two groups(P>0.05). At the latest follow-up, the C₀-C₂ Cobb angle increased in both groups compared to preoperative and more the single-door laminoplasty group(P<0.05). The angle of the C₂-C₇ Cobb angle decreased in both groups, and the reduction was greater in the single-door laminoplasty combined with lateral mass screw fixation group(P<0.05). There was a significant increase in C₂-C₇ SVA in the single-door laminoplasty group(P<0.05) and no significant change the single-door laminoplasty combined with lateral screw fixation group(P>0.05). CONCLUSION Posterior cervical laminoplasty with unilateral lateral mass screw fixation combined with single-door vertebral plate shaping surgery improves the neurological function and quality of life in patients with cervical spondylotic myelopathy complicated by ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament and cervical instability. Compared with single-door vertebral plate shaping surgery, postoperative cervical lordosis and forward-tilt can be improved.
Humans ; Middle Aged ; Male ; Female ; Laminoplasty/methods* ; Ossification of Posterior Longitudinal Ligament/physiopathology* ; Bone Screws ; Cervical Vertebrae/physiopathology* ; Retrospective Studies ; Joint Instability/surgery*

OBJECTIVE: To explore clinical characteristics, lesion sites and correlation differences of different types of diabetic foot gangrene, and to provide evidence-based basis for clinical classification of diabetic foot gangrene. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 266 patients with newly diagnosed diabetic foot gangrene who were admitted from January 2018 to December 2018, including 183 males and 83 females, aged from 35 to 92 years old with an average of (69.55±10.84) years old, and they were divided into wet gangrene group and dry gangrene group according to the different natures of gangrene. There were 139 patients in wet gangrene group, including 98 males and 41 females, aged from 35 to 90 years old with an average of (68.95±10.93) years old. There were 127 patients in dry gangrene group, including 85 males and 42 females, aged from 38 to 92 years old with an average of (70.21±10.75) years old. Body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), body temperature, skin temperature difference between the affected and healthy sides of the lower extremities, and Wagner grade between two groups were recorded to evaluate symptoms and signs. The white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil percentage (NEUT%), and C-reactive protein (C-reactive protein), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), procalcitonin (PCT), and interleukin-6 (IL-6) in peripheral blood between two groups were detected and compared to evaluate the infection status;the severity of diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) was evaluated by using Toronto Clinical Scoring System (TCSS);the degree of pain in patients with diabetic foot gangrene was evaluated by numerical rating scale (NRS); ankle-brachial index (ABI) and popliteal artery blood flow velocity were used to evaluate the degree of arterial lesions. Spearman correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlations between gangrene TCSS, ABI and age, BMI, WHR, body temperature, calf skin temperature difference, WBC, NEUT%, CRP, ESR, PCT, IL-6, NRS, and Wagner classification indicators. RESULTS: The body temperature, skin temperature difference between the affected and healthy sides of the lower extremities, Wagner grade, WBC, NEUT%, CRP, ESR, PCT, IL-6, TCSS score, ABI, and popliteal artery blood flow velocity in wet gangrene group were higher than those in dry gangrene group (P<0.01), and BMI, WHR, and NRS score in dry gangrene group were higher than those in wet gangrene group;the differences were all statistically significant (P<0.01). The results of Spearman correlation analysis showed TCSS score of gangrene patients was correlated with body temperature (r=0.214), calf skin temperature difference (r=0.364), WBC (r=0.240), NEUT% (r=0.291), CRP (r=0.347), ESR (r=0.167), PCT (r=0.241), IL-6 (r=0.316), and popliteal fossa arterial blood flow velocity (r=0.261) and Wagner grade (r=0.273) were positively correlated, and the differences were statistically significant (P<0.01). ABI was negatively correlated with age (r=-0.183), BMI (r=-0.252), WHR (r=-0.288), and NRS score (r=-0.354), and the differences were statistically significant (P<0.01). CONCLUSION Diabetic foot gangrene is an extremely difficult and critical disease. Wet gangrene has a significant synergic effect with infection and neuropathy, while dry gangrene is closely related to vascular occlusion. The main contradiction of gangrene could be revealed through blood vessels, nerves and infection, providing evidence-based basis for the selection of debridement timing, anti-infection strategies and revascularization, with the aim of reducing the risk of amputation.
Humans ; Male ; Female ; Aged ; Middle Aged ; Diabetic Foot/diagnosis* ; Aged, 80 and over ; Adult ; Retrospective Studies ; Gangrene/physiopathology* ; C-Reactive Protein

PURPOSE: To assess the relationship between dislocation and functional outcomes in supination-external rotation (SER) ankle fractures. METHODS: A retrospective case series study was performed on patients with ankle fractures treated surgically at a large trauma center from January 2015 to December 2021. The inclusion criteria were young and middle-aged patients of 18 - 65 years with SER ankle fractures that can be classified by Lauge-Hansen classification and underwent surgery at our trauma center. Exclusion criteria were serious life-threatening diseases, open fractures, fractures delayed for more than 3 weeks, fracture sites ≥ 2, etc. Then patients were divided into dislocation and no-dislocation groups. Patient demographics, injury characteristics, surgery-related outcomes, and postoperative functional outcomes were collected and analyzed. The functional outcomes of SER ankle fractures were assessed postoperatively at 1-year face-to-face follow-up using the foot and ankle outcome score (FAOS) and American Orthopedic Foot and Ankle Society ankle hindfoot score and by 2 experienced orthopedic physicians. Relevant data were analyzed using SPSS version 22.0 by Chi-square or t-test. RESULTS: During the study period, there were 371 ankle fractures. Among them, 190 (51.2%) were SER patterns with 69 (36.3%) combined with dislocations. Compared with the no-dislocation group, the dislocation group showed no statistically significant differences in gender, age composition, fracture type, diabetes, or smoking history, preoperative waiting time, operation time, and length of hospital stay (all p > 0.05), but a significantly higher Lauge-Hansen injury grade (p < 0.001) and syndesmotic screw fixation rate (p = 0.033). Moreover, the functional recovery was poorer, revealing a significantly lower FAOS in the sport/rec scale (p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that among SER IV ankle fracture patients, FAOS was much lower in pain (p = 0.042) and sport/rec scales (p < 0.001) for those with dislocations. American Orthopedic Foot and Ankle Society ankle hindfoot score revealed no significant difference between dislocation and no-dislocation patients. CONCLUSION Dislocation in SER ankle fractures suggests more severe injury and negatively affects functional recovery, mainly manifested as more pain and poorer motor function, especially in SER IV ankle cases.
Humans ; Ankle Fractures/physiopathology* ; Male ; Female ; Retrospective Studies ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Supination ; Aged ; Young Adult ; Rotation ; Joint Dislocations/surgery* ; Fracture Fixation, Internal/methods* ; Adolescent ; Recovery of Function ; Treatment Outcome

PURPOSE: The secondary damage of spinal cord injury (SCI) starts from the collapse of the blood spinal cord barrier (BSCB) to chronic and devastating neurological deficits. Thereby, the retention of the integrity and permeability of BSCB is well-recognized as one of the major therapies to promote functional recovery after SCI. Previous studies have demonstrated that activation of hypoxia inducible factor-1α (HIF-1α) provides anti-apoptosis and neuroprotection in SCI. Endogenous HIF-1α, rapidly degraded by prolylhydroxylase, is insufficient for promoting functional recovery. Dimethyloxalylglycine (DMOG), a highly selective inhibitor of prolylhydroxylase, has been reported to have a positive effect on axon regeneration. However, the roles and underlying mechanisms of DMOG in BSCB restoration remain unclear. Herein, we aim to investigate pathological changes of BSCB restoration in rats with SCI treated by DOMG and evaluate the therapeutic effects of DMOG. METHODS: The work was performed from 2022 to 2023. In this study, Allen's impact model and human umbilical vein endothelial cells were employed to explore the mechanism of DMOG. In the phenotypic validation experiment, the rats were randomly divided into 3 groups: sham group, SCI group, and SCI + DMOG group (10 rats for each). Histological analysis via Nissl staining, Basso-Beattie-Bresnahan scale, and footprint analysis was used to evaluate the functional recovery after SCI. Western blotting, TUNEL assay, and immunofluorescence staining were employed to exhibit levels of tight junction and adhesion junction of BSCB, HIF-1α, cell apoptosis, and endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress. The one-way ANOVA test was used for statistical analysis. The difference was considered statistically significant at p < 0.05. RESULTS: In this study, we observed the expression of HIF-1α reduced in the SCI model. DMOG treatment remarkably augmented HIF-1α level, alleviated endothelial cells apoptosis and disruption of BSCB, and enhanced functional recovery post-SCI. Besides, the administration of DMOG offset the activation of ER stress induced by SCI, but this phenomenon was blocked by tunicamycin (an ER stress activator). Finally, we disclosed that DMOG maintained the integrity and permeability of BSCB by inhibiting ER stress, and inhibition of HIF-1α erased the protection from DMOG. CONCLUSIONS Our findings illustrate that the administration of DMOG alleviates the devastation of BSCB and HIF-1α-induced inhibition of ER stress.
Spinal Cord Injuries/pathology* ; Animals ; Apoptosis/drug effects* ; Amino Acids, Dicarboxylic/therapeutic use* ; Recovery of Function/drug effects* ; Rats ; Rats, Sprague-Dawley ; Hypoxia-Inducible Factor 1, alpha Subunit/metabolism* ; Male ; Spinal Cord/blood supply*

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of DCAG (decitabine, cytarabine, anthracyclines, and granulocyte colony-stimulating factor) regimen in the treatment of patients with relapsed/refractory (R/R) acute myeloid leukemia (AML). METHODS: The clinical data of 64 R/R AML patients received treatment at Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 1st, 2012 to December 31st, 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Primary endpoints included efficacy measured by overall response rate (ORR) and safety. Secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS), event-free survival (EFS) and duration of response (DOR). The patients were followed from enrollment until death, or the end of last follow-up (June 1st, 2023), whichever occurred first. RESULTS: Sixty-four patients who failed prior therapy were enrolled and completed 1 cycle, and 26 and 5 patients completed 2 and 3 cycles, respectively. Objective response rate was 67.2% ［39: complete remission (CR)/CR with incomplete hematologic recovery (CRi), 4: partial remission (PR)］. With a median follow-up of 62.0 months (1.0-120.9), the median overall survival (OS) was 23.3 and event-free survival was 10.6 months. The median OS was 51.7 months (3.4-100.0) in responders (CR/CRi/PR) while it was 8.4 months (6.1-10.7) in nonresponders ( P <0.001). Grade 3-4 hematologic toxicities were observed in all patients. Four patients died from rapid disease progression within 8 weeks after chemotherapy. CONCLUSION The DCAG regimen represents a feasible and effective treatment for R/R AML.
Humans ; Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/drug therapy* ; Cytarabine/administration & dosage* ; Granulocyte Colony-Stimulating Factor/administration & dosage* ; Retrospective Studies ; Male ; Female ; Decitabine ; Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use* ; Anthracyclines/administration & dosage* ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Treatment Outcome ; Aged ; Recurrence

OBJECTIVE: To explore the correlation between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of ARID5B gene and the risk of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and minimal residual disease (MRD) in children of Hui and Han nationality in Ningxia. METHODS: In this case-control study, 54 ALL children and control group with matched age, sex and nationality were detected for the polymorphism of ARID5B gene using fluorescence resonance energy transfer technique, and the susceptibility of different ALL genotypes and their correlation with MRD were analyzed. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in genotype and allele frequency of rs10994982, rs7089424, rs10740055, rs7073837, rs4245595 and rs7090445 between the two groups (P >0.05). At the locus of rs10821936, the frequencies of T/T genotype and T allele in ALL group were significantly higher than those in the control group (both P < 0.05). The C/C genotype of ARID5B gene SNP rs10821936 was a risk factor for early MRD positive in ALL children ( P < 0.05). CONCLUSION ARID5B gene SNP rs10821936 is related to the development of childhood ALL and MRD.
Humans ; Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/genetics* ; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide ; Case-Control Studies ; Neoplasm, Residual/genetics* ; DNA-Binding Proteins/genetics* ; Transcription Factors/genetics* ; Genotype ; Genetic Predisposition to Disease ; Gene Frequency ; Child ; Male ; Female ; Alleles ; Risk Factors ; Child, Preschool

Background: Psychological test reports are essential in assessing intellectual functioning, aiding in diagnosing and treating intellectual disability (ID) and attention-deficit/ hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). However, these reports can have several problems because they are diverse, unstructured, subjective, and involve human errors. Additionally, physicians often do not read the entire report, and the number of reports is lower than that of diagnoses. Methods: We developed explainable predictive models for classifying IDs and ADHDs based on written reports to address these issues. The reports of 1,475 patients with IDs and ADHDs who underwent intelligence tests were used for the models. These models were developed by analyzing reports using natural language processing (NLP) and incorporating the physician’s diagnosis for each report. We selected n-gram features from the models’ results by extracting important features using SHapley Additive exPlanations and permutation importance to make the models explainable. Developing the n-gram feature-based original text search system compensated for the lack of human readability caused by NLP and enabled the reconstruction of human-readable texts from the selected n-gram features. Results: The maximum model accuracy was 0.92, and the 80 human-readable texts were restored from four models. Conclusion The results showed that the models could accurately classify IDs and ADHDs, even with a few reports. The models were also able to explain their predictions. The explainability-enhanced model can help physicians understand the classification process of IDs and ADHDs and provide evidence-based insights.