Objective To explore the impact of meteorological factors on the incidence of scarlet fever in Xicheng District of Beijing, and to provide a scientific basis for formulating targeted prevention and control measures. Methods Daily scarlet fever incidence data and corresponding meteorological data from 2010 to 2019 in Xicheng District of Beijing were collected. Using year, month, and day of the week as time-stratified variables, a conditional logistic regression model with a time-stratified case-crossover design was employed to analyze the impact of different meteorological factors on the number of scarlet fever cases in Xicheng District, while controlling for long-term trends, seasonality and other confounding factors. Results From 2010 to 2019, a total of 3,195 cases of scarlet fever were reported in Xicheng District, with an average annual incidence rate of 24.17/100 000. The overall trend showed fluctuating decline, during which three incidence peaks occurred, with the highest incidence rate observed in 2011. No severe or fatal cases were reported. The incidence of scarlet fever exhibited a distinct seasonal bimodal distribution, primarily concentrated between April to June and November to January of the following year. The conditional logistic regression results showed that the average relative humidity and average temperature were positively correlated with scarlet fever cases (β=0.0203, β=0.0613, P＜0.001), while the average vapor pressure was negatively correlated with scarlet fever cases (β=-0.1468, P＜0.001). Increases average relative humidity and average temperature were risk factors for scarlet fever incidence (OR=1.0205，95%CI=1.0150 -1.0261；OR=1.0632，95%CI=1.0379 -1.0891). For every 1.00% increase in average relative humidity, the number of scarlet fever cases increased by 2.05% (1.50% –2.61%). Similarly, for every 1^。C rise in average temperature, the number of cases increased by 6.32% (3.79% – 8.91%). In contrast, an increase in average vapor pressure had a protective effect against scarlet fever (OR=0.8635,95%CI=0.8392-0.8885). For every 1 hPa increase in average vapor pressure, the number of scarlet fever cases decreased by 13.65% (11.15%–16.08%). Conclusion The average relative humidity, average temperature and average vapor pressure are the primary meteorological factors influencing the incidence of scarlet fever in Xicheng District of Beijing, and can be utilized as indicators for the prevention, control, surveillance and early warning of scarlet fever.

Objective:To investigate the main causes of failed endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in children and the remedial treatment strategies.Methods:This retrospective cohort study analyzed the clinical data of 21 children who experienced failed ERCP at Beijing Children′s Hospital, Capital Medical University between January 2021 and December 2024. Data was collected included demographic information, clinical diagnoses, and ERCP outcomes. The annually trend in the ERCP failure rate was analyzed. Patients were categorized by etiology into the following groups: chronic pancreatitis, post-surgical status, pancreatic trauma, pancreas divisum, non-neoplastic pancreatic lesions, and ulcerative colitis. The relationship between etiologies and ERCP failure was analyzed by Fisher exact test.Results:A total of 175 ERCP procedures were included, of which 21 procedures failed (12.0%). The failure rate decreased annually from 2021 to 2024: 18.2% (4/22), 13.2% (5/38), 11.4% (5/44), and 9.9% (7/71), respectively. The etiological distribution among the 21 failed cases was as follows: chronic pancreatitis 28.6% (6/21), pancreatic duct stenosis following pancreatic trauma 23.8% (5/21), post-surgical status 14.3% (3/21), pancreas divisum 9.5% (2/21), acute pancreatitis 9.5% (2/21), non-neoplastic pancreatic lesions 9.5% (2/21), and pancreatic duct stenosis associated with ulcerative colitis 4.8% (1/21). Remedial treatments included surgical intervention (2 cases), ultrasound-guided percutaneous drainage (3 cases), and repeat ERCP (2 cases). For post-surgical and pancreatic trauma patients, failure was primarily due to bile duct stenosis, pancreatic duct stenosis, or pancreaticobiliary duct disruption. Active surgical interventions such as cholangiojejunostomy and pancreaticojejunostomy, and ultrasound-guided drainage following ERCP failure led to significant clinical improvement.Conclusions:A stratified management approach guided by etiology is essential following failed ERCP in children. Early and active remedial treatment, particularly surgical interventions, is recommended for post-surgical and pancreatic trauma cases.

Objective:To investigate the main causes of failed endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in children and the remedial treatment strategies.Methods:This retrospective cohort study analyzed the clinical data of 21 children who experienced failed ERCP at Beijing Children′s Hospital, Capital Medical University between January 2021 and December 2024. Data was collected included demographic information, clinical diagnoses, and ERCP outcomes. The annually trend in the ERCP failure rate was analyzed. Patients were categorized by etiology into the following groups: chronic pancreatitis, post-surgical status, pancreatic trauma, pancreas divisum, non-neoplastic pancreatic lesions, and ulcerative colitis. The relationship between etiologies and ERCP failure was analyzed by Fisher exact test.Results:A total of 175 ERCP procedures were included, of which 21 procedures failed (12.0%). The failure rate decreased annually from 2021 to 2024: 18.2% (4/22), 13.2% (5/38), 11.4% (5/44), and 9.9% (7/71), respectively. The etiological distribution among the 21 failed cases was as follows: chronic pancreatitis 28.6% (6/21), pancreatic duct stenosis following pancreatic trauma 23.8% (5/21), post-surgical status 14.3% (3/21), pancreas divisum 9.5% (2/21), acute pancreatitis 9.5% (2/21), non-neoplastic pancreatic lesions 9.5% (2/21), and pancreatic duct stenosis associated with ulcerative colitis 4.8% (1/21). Remedial treatments included surgical intervention (2 cases), ultrasound-guided percutaneous drainage (3 cases), and repeat ERCP (2 cases). For post-surgical and pancreatic trauma patients, failure was primarily due to bile duct stenosis, pancreatic duct stenosis, or pancreaticobiliary duct disruption. Active surgical interventions such as cholangiojejunostomy and pancreaticojejunostomy, and ultrasound-guided drainage following ERCP failure led to significant clinical improvement.Conclusions:A stratified management approach guided by etiology is essential following failed ERCP in children. Early and active remedial treatment, particularly surgical interventions, is recommended for post-surgical and pancreatic trauma cases.

Objective　To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of varicella infectious diseases in Hainan Province from 2014 to 2023, and explore the epidemic patterns of varicella in Hainan Province. Methods　Download data related to chickenpox in Hainan Province from the Infectious Disease Reporting Information Management System and the Public Health Emergency Management System of the Chinese Disease Control and Prevention Information System, descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze the incidence characteristics of varicella; ARIMA model was used to predict the incidence trend. Results　From 2014 to 2023, a total of 65 832 cases of varicella and one death case were reported in Hainan, with an average annual incidence rate of 66.50/100 000, and the incidence rate fluctuated between 47.31/100 000 and 89.01/100 000. A incidence rate peak occurred every other year. The incidence of varicella showed a seasonal bimodal distribution, with peaks in January and April. The incidence of varicella was negatively correlated with temperature (r=-0.349，P<0.05). Children aged 0-14 years were the main incidence group, and the incidence rate reached its peak in the age group of 5-6 years. Students and young children were the main groups affected by the disease. The incidence rate of male (68.15/100 000) was higher than that of female (62.22/100 000)(χ2=16.80, P<0.05). The incidence rate of male (68.15/100 000) was higher than that of female (62.22/100 000). The 1 dose vaccination rate for 1-year-old children was on the rise, reaching a maximum of 43.2%; The two doses vaccination rate for children aged 4-6 years has been increasing year by year, with the highest reaching 9.9%. A total of 65 cases of varicella PHEE were reported, with M(P25, P75) of 24 (18, 32) cases per case, and a total incidence rate of 2.64%. Primary schools were the main places of occurrence. The ARIMA model has a good predictive fitting effect, and the results show that the predicted incidence in 2024 will increase compared to 2023. There may be peaks in incidence in January to June and October to December. Conclusions　The incidence rate of varicella is high in Hainan Province; A lower vaccination rate for varicella in children cannot break the natural prevalence of varicella among healthy children.

Osteonecrosis of the mandible is also called avascular necrosis of the jaw, and it is a rare complication of bisphosphonates. It is characterized with pain, swelling, exposure of bone, local infection and pathologic fractures of the jaw. With the widespread usage of bisphosphonates in bone metastasis of malignant tumors and osteoporosis, this rare complication has received more attention in recent years. Here, we reported a case of bisphosphonates-related osteonecrosis of the jaw (BRONJ) caused by intravenous zoledronic acid for osteoporosis. A 62-year-old female patient with 7-year history of Sjögren's syndrome and 3-year history of osteoporosis developed BRONJ after 3-year treatment of zoledronic acid. Two months before she went to the Peking University International Hospital, she visited the dentist for periodontal purulent secretion and extracted one tooth from the right mandible. However, the condition was not improved and she felt persistent pain and swelling in the right mandible. Hence, she received repeated root curettage, but there was no improvement. Finally, she was diagnosed with osteonecrosis of the mandible based on the digital volume tomography scan, which showed right mandibular osteonecrosis bone destruction. She underwent surgical debridement of the necrotic bone and administered intravenous antibio-tics at the Peking University International Hospital. Histopathological analysis of the bone biopsy further confirmed the diagnosis of BRONJ. Her condition was improved successfully during a 3-year follow-up. Osteonecrosis of the mandible become more common with the increased use of bisphosphonates. Recent study has reported that osteonecrosis of the mandible is more likely to occur in patients with Sjögren's syndrome. In addition, age, long-term and irregular administration of glucocorticoids, irregular oral examination and treatment also might be the risk factors in the pathogenesis of osteonecrosis of the mandible. For the elder osteoporosis patients who would receive or had received bisphosphonate-related drugs, oral health status and the disease states associated with necrosis of the mandible such as Sjögren's syndrome should be comprehensively measured and fully evaluated during the whole process. Furthermore, to better understand and prevent or reduce the occurrence of this complication, we reviewed the patho-genesis, diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of BRONJ.
Humans ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Bisphosphonate-Associated Osteonecrosis of the Jaw/etiology* ; Diphosphonates/administration & dosage* ; Zoledronic Acid ; Imidazoles/administration & dosage* ; Bone Density Conservation Agents/adverse effects* ; Osteoporosis/drug therapy*

Objective:To analyze the effect of influenza vaccination on influenza cluster epidemic in primary and secondary schools in Beijing during the 2023-2024 surveillance season and provide evidence for the improvement of influenza vaccination strategies.Methods:The incidence data of influenza cluster epidemic and influenza vaccination coverage in the schools in Beijing during 2023-2024 were collected. Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze cluster epidemic characteristics, and χ2 test was used to compare incidence differences between groups, and OR value and vaccine effectiveness [VE=(1- OR)×100%] were calculated. A negative binomial regression model was used to evaluate the association between school vaccination rates and cluster epidemic risk. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze trends in relative risk ( RR) with increasing vaccination coverage and to determine the optimal vaccination threshold. Results:A total of 126 influenza cluster epidemic were reported in 115 primary and secondary schools in Beijing during 2023-2024 with the median size of 15 case, the average attack rate was 36.26% (2 033/5 607). The epidemics mainly occurred in urban area (70, 55.56%). Primary schools were the main setting (78, 61.90%), and influenza A(H3N2) was the predominant subtype (108, 85.71%). The overall influenza vaccination coverage in the primary and secondary students was 54.26%, while the average vaccination in classes affected by the epidemics was 58.57%. The overall protection rate was 47.62%, the protection rate was higher in primary schools (49.65%) than in secondary schools (46.60%). The protection rates against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 (80.93%) and influenza B (Victoria lineage) (81.65%) were significantly higher than that against influenza A(H3N2) (44.19%). When school vaccination coverage reached ≥76.00%, the epidemic risk decreased by 52.82%.Conclusions:Even the match between influenza vaccine strains and circulating strains is suboptimal, increasing influenza vaccination coverage in schools can effectively reduce the risk for influenza cluster epidemic. In the future, measures such as policy guidance and public health education should be taken to further improve vaccination coverage, thereby establishing herd immunity and reducing the transmission risk of influenza in schools.

Objective:To construct and validate a predictive model for postoperative recurrence in early non-small cell lung cancer patients.Methods:The clinical data of 252 patients with early non-small cell lung cancer admitted to the 926th Hospital of Joint Logistic Support Force of PLA from January 2016 to January 2018were retrospectively collected. All of the patients underwent surgical treatment and they were followed up for 5 years after surgery, according the recurrence after surgery, they were divided into the recurrence group (103 cases) and non- recurrence group (149 cases). The risk factors for postoperative recurrence in early non-small cell lung cancer patients were analyzed. A predictive model for postoperative recurrence in early non-small cell lung cancer patients was constructed and validated.Results:The results of Logistic regression analysis showed that tumor long diameter≥ 3 cm, lymph node metastasis, low differentiation, spicules and pleural traction were independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence in early non-small cell lung cancer patients ( P<0.05). Using R4.0.3 statistical software, the dataset was randomly divided into a training set and a validation set, with a sample size of 176 cases in the training set and 76 cases in the validation set. A prediction model was constructed, with thearea under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.754 (95% CI 0.679 - 0.828) in the training set and AUC of 0.749 (95% CI 0.634 - 0.864) in the validation set. The model was subjected to a Hosmer-Lemeshow Goodness-of-Fit Test in the validation set, χ2 = 11.31, P = 0.185. Conclusions:The predictive model base on tumor long diameter ≥ 3 cm, lymph node metastasis, low differentiation, spicules and pleural traction can identify patients at high risk of postoperative recurrence in early non-small cell lung cancer effectively.

Objective:To investigate the predictive value of systemic immune inflammation index for the efficacyof neoadjuvant chemotherapy in triple negative breast cancer patients, and analyzed the relationship between pathological complete response (pCR) and prognosis.Methods:The clinical data of 146 patients with triple-negative breast cancer admitted to the 926th Hospital of the Joint Service Support Force of the PLA from January 2018 to December 2020 were retrospectively collected. All patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy. After chemotherapy, the patients were divided into pCR group (62 cases) and non-pCR group (84 cases) according to whether the patients achieved pCR. Pathological characteristics and systemic immunoinflammatory index levels of the two groups were compared. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive value of systemic immunoinflammatory index for pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with triple-negative breast cancer, and survival curves were drawn to compare the disease-free survival of the two groups.Results:The rate of axillary lymph node metastasis in pCR group was lower than that in non-pCR group: 37.10% (23/62) vs. 64.29% (54/84), there was statistical difference ( χ2 = 10.58, P<0.01). There were no significant differences in TNM stage, Ki-67 level and histological grade between the two groups ( P>0.05). Compared with the non -pCR group, the systemic immune inflammation index in the pCR group was significantly reduced: 617.42 ± 166.40 vs. 853.67 ± 202.41, P<0.01. Systemic immune inflammation index was valuable in predicting non-pCR of triple negative breast cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and the area under the curve was 0.807 (95% CI: 0.738 - 0.875, P<0.01). Compared with the non-pCR group, the disease-free survival of patients in the pCR group was significantly prolonged ( P = 0.033). Conclusions:Systemic immune inflammation index was related to the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in triple negative breast cancer patients, and can be used as a biological indicator to predict the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in triple negative breast cancer.

Objective:To investigate the therapeutic effectiveness of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) and stent implantation in the treatment of pancreaticobiliary injuries in children.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of children diagnosed with pancreaticobiliary injury and undergoing ERCP and stent implantation at Beijing Children′s Hospital, Capital Medical University from January 2021 to December 2022. Demographic information, clinical data, endoscopic treatment methods, postoperative complications and clinical prognosis of the children were collected. The etiology, location of pancreaticobiliary injury, occurrence of complications after endoscopic treatment, and the time for improvement and recovery after endoscopic treatment were analyzed. The patients were divided into five groups according to the etiologies of pancreaticobiliary duct injuries: post-surgical, pancreatic trauma, acute pancreatitis, chronic pancreatitis, and systemic lupus erythematosus groups. They were also classified into four groups according to the sites of pancreaticobiliary duct injuries: common bile duct, pancreatic head, pancreatic body, and pancreatic tail groups. Multi-factor analysis of variance was used for comparing the time of improvement and recovery among different groups.Results:Among 22 patients, there were 8 males and 14 females, and the age was 7.5 (3.3,10.8) years. There were 19 cases of pancreatic or bile duct fistula, and 3 cases of pancreatic or bile duct stenosis. A total of 33 endoscopic procedures were performed on the 22 patients, out of which, 3 duct stenosis were failed to insert the stent because the catheter failed to pass through the stenosis site. The success rate was 91% (30/33). The pancreatic duct or bile duct stent was inserted, with the stent located at pancreatic or bile duct fistula. Postoperative complications included pancreatitis in 3 cases (9%, 3/33), hyperamylasemia in 5 cases (15%, 5/33), and postoperative infection in 4 cases (12%, 4/33). All patients were followed up for more than 1 year. Significant improvement was observed in external drainage and imaging monitoring among patients with successfully placed stents. There was no significant difference in the improvement time of ERCP in the treatment of pancreaticobile duct injury caused by different etiology ( F=0.65, P=0.637). However, there were significant differences in healing time ( F=6.46, P=0.004), among which the healing time of injuries caused by systemic lupus erythematosus was significantly different from that after surgery, trauma, acute pancreatitis and chronic pancreatitis (all P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the improvement and healing time among different injury sites (all P>0.05). Conclusions:ERCP and stent implantation can safely and effectively improve the clinical symptoms of children with pancreaticobiliary injury. Early intervention can improve long-term prognosis.

Objective:To analyze the effect of influenza vaccination on influenza cluster epidemic in primary and secondary schools in Beijing during the 2023-2024 surveillance season and provide evidence for the improvement of influenza vaccination strategies.Methods:The incidence data of influenza cluster epidemic and influenza vaccination coverage in the schools in Beijing during 2023-2024 were collected. Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze cluster epidemic characteristics, and χ2 test was used to compare incidence differences between groups, and OR value and vaccine effectiveness [VE=(1- OR)×100%] were calculated. A negative binomial regression model was used to evaluate the association between school vaccination rates and cluster epidemic risk. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze trends in relative risk ( RR) with increasing vaccination coverage and to determine the optimal vaccination threshold. Results:A total of 126 influenza cluster epidemic were reported in 115 primary and secondary schools in Beijing during 2023-2024 with the median size of 15 case, the average attack rate was 36.26% (2 033/5 607). The epidemics mainly occurred in urban area (70, 55.56%). Primary schools were the main setting (78, 61.90%), and influenza A(H3N2) was the predominant subtype (108, 85.71%). The overall influenza vaccination coverage in the primary and secondary students was 54.26%, while the average vaccination in classes affected by the epidemics was 58.57%. The overall protection rate was 47.62%, the protection rate was higher in primary schools (49.65%) than in secondary schools (46.60%). The protection rates against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 (80.93%) and influenza B (Victoria lineage) (81.65%) were significantly higher than that against influenza A(H3N2) (44.19%). When school vaccination coverage reached ≥76.00%, the epidemic risk decreased by 52.82%.Conclusions:Even the match between influenza vaccine strains and circulating strains is suboptimal, increasing influenza vaccination coverage in schools can effectively reduce the risk for influenza cluster epidemic. In the future, measures such as policy guidance and public health education should be taken to further improve vaccination coverage, thereby establishing herd immunity and reducing the transmission risk of influenza in schools.