1.Development and validation of a machine learning model for predicting in-hospital recurrent intensive care unit admission in critically ill patients with ischemic stroke based on the MIMIC-Ⅳ database
Di ZHANG ; Yuanyuan LIU ; Jian ZHANG ; Xiangjun HU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(3):461-470
Objective To develop and validate a prediction model for in-hospital recurrent intensive care unit (ICU) admission in critically ill patients with ischemic stroke (IS) based on machine learning (ML) algorithms. Methods Clinical data from 2 929 IS patients were included from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to identify predictive factors, and the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) was employed to create a derivation cohort comprising 2 583 patients. These patients were randomly divided into a training set (n=2 066) and a test set (n=517) at an 8:2 ratio. Five ML algorithms, including decision tree, random forest, adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), and support vector machine (SVM), were performed to construct prediction models. Five-fold cross-validation was used to evaluate the performance of the model in the training set. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess and compare the models in the testing set. The best-performing model was interpreted by shapley additive explanations (SHAP). Results Among the 2 929 patients included, 704 (24.0%) experienced in-hospital recurrent ICU admission. Among the five ML models, the random forest model demonstrated the best predictive performance, with an AUC of 0.839 (95%CI 0.801–0.877). Feature importance analysis identified five most significant features affecting model prediction, including APS Ⅲ score, albumin, age, heart rate, and SOFA score. Conclusions ML-based models can effectively predict the risk of in-hospital recurrent ICU admission in critically ill patients with IS. The random forest model showed superior predictive performance, which may have potential applications in early clinical risk stratification and intervention.
2.Epidemiological characteristics of human brucellosis in Baoshan City, Yunnan Province, 2020‒2023
Jidan ZHANG ; Yanping LI ; Mengfan ZHU ; Zengkan LIU ; Zhijie ZHANG ; Dongsheng HUANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(3):227-230
ObjectiveTo investigate the epidemiological characteristics of human brucellosis (hereinafter referred to as brucellosis) in Baoshan City, Yunnan Province, and to provide scientific evidence for adjusting prevention and control strategies. MethodsBased on the surveillance data of reported brucellosis cases in Baoshan City from 2020 to 2023 and the information collected through individual epidemiological questionnaire surveys, the epidemic status and clinical characteristics of brucellosis in Baoshan City were analyzed using descriptive epidemiological methods. ResultsA total of 85 brucellosis cases were reported in Baoshan City from 2020 to 2023, and detailed individual information was obtained for 83 of them. Brucellosis in Baoshan City showed a clear seasonal pattern, with peak incidence from May to September. The average annual incidence rate was 0.80/100 000, with a male-to-female ratio of 7.5∶1. And 82.35% of the cases aged 30 to 60 years, with farmers being the predominant affected group. The main clinical manifestations of the cases were myalgia and arthralgia. Regarding transmission routes, 87.95% of the cases had a contact history with cattle, with livestock rearing and grazing being the main exposure modes. Most infections occurred at home. ConclusionFrom 2020 to 2023, the incidence of brucellosis in Baoshan City exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, with a peak period from May to September. Males and farmers were identified as the primary affected populations. It is recommended to strengthen livestock surveillance and control, and to enhance both awareness and self-protection capacity among high-risk groups.
3.Professor ZHU Shengliang's Clinical Experience in Differentiating and Treating Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease with Qi Constraint and Phlegm Obstruction Syndrome
Xiuli YAN ; Xiaoyu YU ; Xiulian ZHANG ;
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(11):1153-1156
This paper summarizes professor ZHU Shengliang's academic idea and clinical experience in treating gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) with qi constraint and phlegm obstruction syndrome. It is believed that the core pathogenesis of GERD is the dysfunction of the liver, gallbladder, spleen and stomach, with binding of phlegm and stasis. The basic pathogenesis is the liver and gallbladder failing to dredge and disperse, the stomach failing to harmonize and descend, and the stomach qi counterflowing upward. In clinical practice, the treatment principle of regulating qi as the priority, resolving phlegm as the key, and activating blood as the assistant is applied, with harmonizing the stomach and directing counterflow downward throughout the whole process. A self-made Shugan Hewei Huatan Formula (疏肝和胃化痰方) is employed with the function of soothing the liver and rectifying qi, opening constraint and dissipating knot, dissolving phlegm and dispelling stasis, harmonizing stomach and directing counterflow downward, with an emphasis on flexible modification according to the syndrome as well as careful protection of stomach qi.
4.Clinical Efficacy of Tangshen Dihuang Decoction in Treating Diabetic Kidney Disease with Liver-kidney Yin Deficiency and Blood Stasis Syndrome and Its Impact on Gut Microbiota
Chaomao YANG ; Shunxiao ZHANG ; Zhixin YANG ; Jiandong GAO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(6):171-178
ObjectiveTo observe the clinical efficacy of Tangshen Dihuang decoction in treating diabetic kidney disease (DKD) with liver-kidney Yin deficiency and blood stasis syndrome and its impact on gut microbiota. MethodsA randomized controlled clinical trial was conducted, in which 102 DKD patients with liver-kidney Yin deficiency and blood stasis syndrome were randomly assigned to the Tangshen Dihuang decoction group and the control group. Each group consisted of 51 cases, and the treatment period was 3 months. The primary efficacy indicators included urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR), fasting blood glucose (FBG), 2-hour postprandial blood glucose (2 hPBG), glycated hemoglobin (HbA1C), serum creatinine (SCr), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), angiotensinⅡ (AngⅡ), serum cystatin C (Cys-C), urinary N-acetyl-β-D-glucosaminidase (NAG), urinary β2-microglobulin (Uβ2-MB), traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) symptom scores, and gut microbiota. ResultsAfter treatment, the total response rate in the Tangshen Dihuang decoction was 87.23% (41/47), which was higher than that (69.57%, 32/46) in the control group (Z=4.30, P<0.05). After treatment, the TCM symptom scores decreased in both groups (P<0.01) and were lower in the Tangshen Dihuang decoction group than in the control group (P<0.01). After treatment, the control group showed decreases in UACR, Uβ2-MG, AngⅡ, and FBG (P<0.05) as well as 2 hPBG and HbA1C (P<0.01), and no significant differences in BUN, Cys-C, eGFR, SCr, and NAG. The Tangshen Dihuang decoction group showed increased eGFR (P<0.05), declined levels of UACR, BUN, Cys-C, Uβ2-MB, AngⅡ, FBG, 2 hPBG, NAG, and HbA1C (P<0.01), and no significant difference in SCr. The Tangshen Dihuang decoction group had lower BUN (P<0.05), Cys-C (P<0.05), AngⅡ (P<0.05), 2 hPBG (P<0.05), Uβ2-MG (P<0.01), and NAG (P<0.01) and higher eGFR level (P<0.05) than the control group. After treatment, the control group showed declines in Shannon, Observed_species, and Chao1 indices (P<0.05). The samples from both groups showed statistically significant differences in the principal coordinates analysis (PCoA) plot based on Anosim analysis (P<0.05). After treatment, the Tangshen Dihuang decoction group showed decreased relative abundance of Actinobacteria (P<0.05). Moreover, the relative abundance of Actinobacteria was significantly lower in the Tangshen Dihuang decoction group than in the control group (P<0.05). At the genus level, the control group showed decreased relative abundance of Bifidobacterium (P<0.05), and the Tangshen Dihuang decoction group presented increased relative abundance of Bifidobacterium and Blautia_A (P<0.05). After treatment, the Tangshen Dihuang decoction group had higher relative abundance of Bifidobacterium than the control group (P<0.01). ConclusionTangshen Dihuang decoction has a significant therapeutic effect on DKD patients with liver-kidney Yin deficiency and blood stasis syndrome. It can markedly relieve clinical symptoms and reduce proteinuria and postprandial blood glucose by antagonizing the local renin-angiotensin system (RAS) and alleviating gut microbiota dysbiosis.
5.Spatiotemporal clustering characteristics and epidemiological trends of typhus fever in Baoshan City, Yunnan Province, 2005‒2023
Tianren LU ; Lijuan ZHAO ; Lizhong DUAN ; Kai HE ; Na WANG ; Zongqi JIANG ; Zhijie ZHANG ; Dongsheng HUANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(4):274-279
ObjectiveTo analyze the incidence and spatiotemporal distribution of typhus fever in Baoshan City, Yunnan Province from 2005 to 2023, to identify high-risk populations and regions, so as to provide a scientific basis for optimizing the allocation of local prevention and control resources and developing targeted intervention measures. MethodsData of typhus fever cases in Baoshan City from 2005 to 2023 were obtained from the Infectious Disease Information Management System of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze the temporal, spatial and demographic distribution of typhus fever cases. Spatial clustering was assessed using spatial dynamic window scan statistics (circular and elliptical windows), flexible spatial scan statistics, and local spatial autocorrelation methods (including local Moran’s I, local Geary’s C, and Getis-Ord Gi*). Retrospective spatiotemporal scan statistics were employed to detect spatiotemporal clusters. ResultsA total of 1 099 typhus fever cases were reported in Baoshan City from 2005 to 2023. The incidence rate peaked at 6.31/ 100 000 in 2007, followed by a decline until reaching its lowest level at 0.21/100 000 in 2015 , and subsequently rebounded during 2016‒2023. The highest proportion of cases was among children under 10 years of age (31.12%), and the top three occupations of cases were farmers, students, and children, accounting for 88.62% of all cases. Cases occurred predominantly between June and September each year. The incidence was relatively high in Jiucheng Town (62.58/100 000), Yaoguan Town (57.15/100 000), and Dianyang Town (46.81/100 000) of Shidian County. Spatial clustering analyses indicated that high-risk areas were mainly located in the southern part of Baoshan City, showing a south-to-north trend. Spatiotemporal scan analyses identified five clusters, with the most likely cluster centered around Yaoguan Town, covering ten towns (subdistricts) during the period 2007‒2010. ConclusionThe incidence of typhus fever in Baoshan City exhibits a clear seasonal and spatial clustering pattern, with peak incidence occurring in summer and autumn. Spatially, cases are primarily distributed in the southern part of Baoshan City, and high-risk clusters exhibit a south-to-north trend. Farmers, students, and children are the high-risk groups.
6.Analyses of serotypes and antibiotic resistance of Salmonella in diarrheal diseases in Baoshan District of Shanghai from 2023 to 2024
Fangdian LIN ; Xu ZHANG ; Junqing SHEN ; Min JIN
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(4):289-295
ObjectiveTo retrospectively analyze the correlation among serotypes, antimicrobial resistance phenotypes, and resistance genotypes of Salmonella isolates from diarrheal cases in Baoshan District of Shanghai from 2023 to 2024, and to provide a reference for the prevention and control of Salmonella infections and the rational use of antibiotics in clinical practice. MethodsSalmonella isolates collected from diarrheal cases under surveillance in Baoshan District from 2023 to 2024 were serotyped. Antimicrobial resistance phenotypes were determined using the broth microdilution method, and whole-genome sequencing was performed to identify resistance genes. Positive predictive value and Kappa were calculated to evaluate the agreement between phenotypic and genotypic resistance profiles of Salmonella. ResultsA total of 64 Salmonella isolates belonged to 17 serotypes, with the predominant ones being Salmonella Typhimurium (25.00%) and Salmonella Enteritidis (18.75%). The tested strains exhibited high resistance rates to ampicillin (60.94%), streptomycin (59.38%), and ampicillin/sulbactam (45.31%). All isolates remained susceptible to ceftiofur and ceftazidime/avibactam. Forty different resistance profiles were identified, and 39 isolates accounting for 60.94%, were multidrug-resistant. Overall, 80 resistance genes belonging to 13 categories were detected, with the most prevalent being blaTEM-1 (57.81%), aac(6')⁃Iy (54.69%), and aph(6)⁃Id (46.88%). No carbapenem or polymyxin resistance genes were found. The types and numbers of resistance genes varied significantly across serotypes. A high concordance was observed between genotype and phenotype for penicillins (positive predictive value: 94.59%, Kappa: 0.81), cephalosporins (90.91%, 0.46), cephamycins (100.00%, 0.65), macrolides (77.78%, 0.86), tetracyclines (100.00%, 0.93), and chloramphenicol (95.83%, 0.93). ConclusionSalmonella isolates from diarrheal diseases in Baoshan District exhibit high antimicrobial resistance. Whole-genome sequencing provides valuable support for resistance surveillance, however, it still needs to be integrated with phenotypic susceptibility testing for comprehensive assessment. Further studies are warranted to elucidate the mechanisms and transmission patterns of resistance in Salmonella.
7.Surveillance on the density of Aedes albopictus in Baoshan District, Shanghai Municipality from 2018 to 2024
Haijian WANG ; Yingyu YANG ; Chunwei SUN ; Miaomiao HE ; Yi ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(2):207-212
Objective To investigate the changes in the density of Aedes albopictus across different regions and different breeding habitats in Baoshan District, Shanghai Municipality from 2018 to 2024, so as to inform evidence-based control strategies for mosquito-borne infectious diseases in Shanghai Municipality. Methods Ae. albopictus surveillance sites were deployed in 12 subdistricts (towns) of Baoshan District, Shanghai Municipality from 2018 to 2024, and the surveillance on the density of Ae. albopictus was performed in each surveillance site once weekly during the peak activity period of Aedes mosquitoes from May to October each year from 2018 to 2024. Mosquito ovitraps were deployed in various breeding habitats in each surveillance site according to geographical locations, including residential areas, schools, government institutions, hospitals, recycling stations, and construction sites, and regularly collected, and the mosquito ovitrap index (MOI) was calculated. The changes in the Ae. albopictus density were analyzed based on MOI across years, regions, and breeding habitats. Additionally, from May to October each year between 2018 and 2024, monthly risk assessments of Aedes albopictus density were conducted in every subdistrict (town) of Baoshan District, Shanghai. Results The annual mean MOI values of Ae. albopictus were 5.88 ± 2.29, 8.19 ± 4.46, 7.43 ± 3.40, 5.44 ± 2.52, 3.97 ± 2.72, 3.82 ± 1.57, and 2.56 ± 1.11 in Baoshan District from 2018 to 2024, respectively (F = 75.886, P < 0.05), and the MOI appeared a rise followed by a reduction each year and peaked during the period between June and August. There was a significant difference in the 7-year mean MOI of Ae. albopictus across the 12 subdistricts/towns (F = 26.558, P < 0.05), and there were 6 subdistricts/towns with a 7-year mean MOI of over 5, including Songnan Town (8.44 ± 4.68), Dachang Town (7.71 ± 5.28), Gucun Town (7.13 ± 3.57), Yuepu Town (5.74 ± 1.69), Gaojing Town (5.51 ± 3.44), and Wusong Subdistrict (5.41 ± 2.04). There was a significant difference in the MOI of Ae. albopictus across breeding habitats (F = 3.843, P < 0.05), with the highest MOI seen in recycling stations (9.86 ± 4.61), which was significantly higher than in other habitats (P < 0.05), and the lowest seen in construction sites (4.90 ± 2.95), which was significantly lower than in other habitats (P < 0.05). The proportion of frequency with Ae. albopictus density transmission risk decreased from 54.17% in 2018 to 11.11% in 2024 in all subdistricts (towns) of Baoshan District, and the frequency of outbreak risks peaked in 2019 (18 instances) and declined substantially in 2021 (6 instances), with no records of outbreak or transmission risk documented across the district in 2024. Conclusions There were substantial seasonal variations in the Ae. albopictus density in Baoshan District, Shanghai Municipality from 2018 to 2024. The Ae. albopictus density peaked during the period between June and August in Baoshan District each year from 2018 to 2024, with a relatively higher density in Songnan Town and Dachang Town, and in recycling stations. Precision control measures and intensified seasonal interventions are recommended in high-risk settings in Baoshan District to reduce the transmission risk of Aedes-borne infectious diseases.
8.Construction of a One Health-based performance evaluation indicator system for integrated interventions for schistosomiasis control during the elimination phase
Yanyan ZHANG ; Jingshu LIU ; Xinchen LI ; Qiyu ZHANG ; Xiaoxi ZHANG ; Xiaonong ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(3):240-249
Objective To construct a One Health-based performance evaluation indicator system for integrated interventions for schistosomiasis in the elimination phase, clarify the dimensions and connotations of intervention performance evaluation, and provide methodological reference for subsequent real-world performance evaluation in schistosomiasis control. Methods On the basis of literature analysis, a preliminary indicator system was developed through group discussion and expert consultation. Nineteen experts in schistosomiasis control were invited to participate in two rounds of Delphi consultation. Expert response rate, degree of consensus, coordination of opinions, and authority were assessed. The indicators were optimized and refined according to the scoring results and expert feedback, and the analytic hierarchy process was used to determine the normalized weights of indicators at each level. Results Through literature analysis, group discussion, and expert consultation, a preliminary performance evaluation indicator system for integrated interventions for schistosomiasis was developed, consisting of 4 first-level indicators, 8 second-level indicators, and 20 third-level indicators. The response rates of the two rounds of expert consultation were both 100.00%. In the first round, the ranges of the experts’ judgment coefficient, familiarity coefficient, and authority coefficient were 0.88 ~ 1.00, 0.74 ~ 0.99, and 0.82 ~ 0.99, respectively; in the second round, the corresponding ranges were 0.88 ~ 0.98, 0.73 ~ 0.98, and 0.81 ~ 0.98, respectively. In the first round, Kendall’s coefficients of concordance for the rationality, importance, and operability of the indicators were 0.201, 0.252, and 0.221, respectively; in the second round, the corresponding values were 0.267, 0.319, and 0.296, respectively. The Kendall’s coefficients of concordance in both rounds were statistically significant (χ2 = 112.063, 140.415, 123.386, 121.939, 145.393, and 135.072, all P < 0.05). After optimization and revision, the final indicator system consisted of 4 first-level indicators, 7 second-level indicators, and 14 third-level indicators. Among the first-level indicators, the normalized weights of “health performance”, “economic performance”, “ecological performance”, and “social performance” were 40.44%, 13.88%, 11.67%, and 34.01%, respectively. Among the second-level indicators, the normalized weights of “disease burden level” and “promotion of health equity” were both 100.00%; those of “resource consumption” and “production capacity” were both 50.00%; and those of “water and soil regulation”, “atmospheric environmental regulation”, and “species conservation” were all 33.33%. Conclusions A One Health-based performance evaluation indicator system was constructed for integrated interventions for schistosomiasis in the elimination phase. The system incorporates performance evaluation indicators across multiple dimensions, including health, economic, ecological, and social domains, and provides a tool for evaluating the performance of cross-sector collaborative governance in integrated schistosomiasis interventions.
9.Analysis of sarcopenia prevalence and related factors in community-dwelling older adults based on C-MSRA-7 combined with Ishii score
Lijun WANG ; Ping WU ; Haimin XU ; Kewen CHENG ; Fen RAO ; Miaomiao YAO ; Yu ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(4):643-650
Objective To investigate the prevalence and related factors of sarcopenia among non–bedridden older adults in the community of Baoshan District using the China mini sarcopenia risk assessment 7 (C-MSRA-7) combined with Ishii scoring system. Methods The older individuals consulting at 20 community health stations in Baoshan District between April 2025 and June 2025 were enrolled. Data were collected using a general information questionnaire, a dietary and lifestyle habits survey, the C-MSRA-7, and the mini nutritional assessment-short form (MNA-SF). Handgrip strength and anthropometric measurements were also obtained. Individuals with both Ishii score and C-MSRA-7 results positive were classified into the sarcopenia risk group, while the remaining participants were assigned to the non–sarcopenia risk group. Differences in lifestyle habits, dietary patterns, and nutritional status between the two groups were compared. Results A total of 2 611 valid questionnaires were retrieved. Univariate analysis showed statistically significant differences in alcohol consumption, physical activity frequency, body mass index (BMI), nutritional status, activities of daily living, and regularity of three meals in sarcopenia risk group (n=486) and non–sarcopenia risk group (n=2 125, P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that advanced age (75–84 years: OR=2.55, 95%CI 2.03–3.21; ≥85 years: OR=3.98, 95%CI 2.24–7.07), underweight status (OR=2.19, 95%CI 1.50–3.19), weight loss>2 kg (OR=4.52, 95%CI 2.68–7.64) past 3 months, lack of regular physical activity (OR=1.77, 95%CI 1.24–2.52) , and alcohol consumption (OR=1.48, 95%CI 1.07–2.05) were independent risk factors for sarcopenia (P<0.05). Behaviors related to healthy diet, including daily milk consumption (OR=0.40, 95%CI 0.30–0.52), regular three meals (OR=0.56, 95%CI 0.41–0.78), and high-quality protein intake (OR=0.70, 95%CI 0.52–0.94), were protective factors (P<0.05). Conclusions Sarcopenia among community–dwelling, non–bedridden older adults is closely associated with physical activity levels, dietary habits, and nutritional status. Early identification of individuals at risk, enhanced nutritional education, and timely implementation of nutritional interventions and exercise programs are recommended for this population.
10.Impact of the interaction between single-parent background and relative deprivation on eye movement during emotional attention among college students
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(7):954-957
Objective:
To explore the effect of relative deprivation on emotional attention among college students from single parent families, so as to provide evidence for psychological crisis prevention and campus mental health services.
Methods:
From January to June 2023, 478 college students from North China University of Science and Technology were selected by convenience sampling method. Participants with high and low levels of relative deprivation were screened by using the extreme grouping method, and 48 valid participants were finally included. A 2 (single parent/non single parent) ×2 (high/low relative deprivation) design was adopted. One way ANOVA was conducted on four eye tracking indicators, followed by stratified analyses according to family structure.
Results:
Overall, participants showed attentional bias toward low valence faces, as indicated by first fixation direction ( t = 2.17) and first fixation duration proportion ( t =-4.28) (both P <0.05). Three factor repeated-measures ANOVA showed a significant interaction between family structure and picture type ( F =23.08, P <0.05). Stratified analysis showed that, in the single parent subgroup, the interaction between relative deprivation and picture type was significant ( F =13.28, P <0.01), whereas this interaction was not significant in the non single parent subgroup ( F =2.18, P >0.05). Further interaction analysis showed that relative deprivation had a partial interaction effect between singleparent background and emotional attentional bias ( β =0.14, Bootstrap 95% CI =0.11-0.47, P <0.05).
Conclusions
College students from single parent families may show enhanced attentional bias toward negative emotional cues through increased relative deprivation. Students with both single parent background and high relative deprivation are a high risk group.


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