1.Initial Longitudinal Outcomes of Risk-Stratified Men in Their Forties Screened for Prostate Cancer Following Implementation of a Baseline Prostate-Specific Antigen
Zoe D. MICHAEL ; Srinath KOTAMARTI ; Rohith ARCOT ; Kostantinos MORRIS ; Anand SHAH ; John ANDERSON ; Andrew J. ARMSTRONG ; Rajan T. GUPTA ; Steven PATIERNO ; Nadine J. BARRETT ; Daniel J. GEORGE ; Glenn M. PREMINGER ; Judd W. MOUL ; Kevin C. OEFFINGER ; Kevin SHAH ; Thomas J. POLASCIK ;
The World Journal of Men's Health 2023;41(3):631-639
Purpose:
Prostate cancer (PCa) screening can lead to potential over-diagnosis/over-treatment of indolent cancers. There is a need to optimize practices to better risk-stratify patients. We examined initial longitudinal outcomes of mid-life men with an elevated baseline prostate-specific antigen (PSA) following initiation of a novel screening program within a system-wide network.
Materials and Methods:
We assessed our primary care network patients ages 40 to 49 years with a PSA measured following implementation of an electronic health record screening algorithm from 2/2/2017–2/21/2018. The multidisciplinary algorithm was developed taking factors including age, race, family history, and PSA into consideration to provide a personalized approach to urology referral to be used with shared decision-making. Outcomes of men with PSA ≥1.5 ng/mL were evaluated through 7/2021. Statistical analyses identified factors associated with PCa detection. Clinically significant PCa (csPCa) was defined as Gleason Grade Group (GGG) ≥2 or GGG1 with PSA ≥10 ng/mL.
Results:
The study cohort contained 564 patients, with 330 (58.5%) referred to urology for elevated PSA. Forty-nine (8.7%) underwent biopsy; of these, 20 (40.8%) returned with PCa. Eleven (2.0% of total cohort and 55% of PCa diagnoses) had csPCa. Early referral timing (odds ratio [OR], 4.58) and higher PSA (OR, 1.07) were significantly associated with PCa at biopsy on multivariable analysis (both p<0.05), while other risk factors were not. Referred patients had higher mean PSAs (2.97 vs. 1.98, p=0.001).
Conclusions
Preliminary outcomes following implementation of a multidisciplinary screening algorithm identified PCa in a small, important percentage of men in their forties. These results provide insight into baseline PSA measurement to provide early risk stratification and detection of csPCa in patients with otherwise extended life expectancy. Further follow-up is needed to possibly determine the prognostic significance of such mid-life screening and optimize primary care physician-urologist coordination.
2.Machine learning models compared to existing criteria for noninvasive prediction of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography-confirmed choledocholithiasis
Camellia Dalai ; John M Azizian ; Harry Trieu ; Anand Rajan ; Formosa C Chen ; Tien Dong ; Simon W Beaven ; James H. Tabibian
Liver Research 2021;5(4):224-231
Background and aims
Noninvasive predictors of choledocholithiasis have generally exhibited marginal performance characteristics. We aimed to identify noninvasive independent predictors of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP)-confirmed choledocholithiasis and accordingly developed predictive machine learning models (MLMs).
Methods
Clinical data of consecutive patients undergoing first-ever ERCP for suspected choledocholithiasis from 2015 to 2019 were abstracted from a prospectively-maintained database. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify predictors of ERCP-confirmed choledocholithiasis. MLMs were then trained to predict ERCP-confirmed choledocholithiasis using pre-ERCP ultrasound (US) imaging only as well as using all available noninvasive imaging (US, computed tomography, and/or magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography). The diagnostic performance of American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE) “high-likelihood” criteria was compared to MLMs.
Results
We identified 270 patients (mean age 46 years, 62.2% female, 73.7% Hispanic/Latino, 59% with noninvasive imaging positive for choledocholithiasis) with native papilla who underwent ERCP for suspected choledocholithiasis, of whom 230 (85.2%) were found to have ERCP-confirmed choledocholithiasis. Logistic regression identified choledocholithiasis on noninvasive imaging (odds ratio (OR) = 3.045, P = 0.004) and common bile duct (CBD) diameter on noninvasive imaging (OR = 1.157, P = 0.011) as predictors of ERCP-confirmed choledocholithiasis. Among the various MLMs trained, the random forest-based MLM performed best; sensitivity was 61.4% and 77.3% and specificity was 100% and 75.0%, using US-only and using all available imaging, respectively. ASGE high-likelihood criteria demonstrated sensitivity of 90.9% and specificity of 25.0%; using cut-points achieving this specificity, MLMs achieved sensitivity up to 97.7%.
Conclusions
MLMs using age, sex, race/ethnicity, presence of diabetes, fever, body mass index (BMI), total bilirubin, maximum CBD diameter, and choledocholithiasis on pre-ERCP noninvasive imaging predict ERCP-confirmed choledocholithiasis with good sensitivity and specificity and outperform the ASGE criteria for patients with suspected choledocholithiasis.
3.Mirizzi's syndrome: lessons learnt from 169 patients at a single center.
Ashok KUMAR ; Ganesan SENTHIL ; Anand PRAKASH ; Anu BEHARI ; Rajneesh Kumar SINGH ; Vinay Kumar KAPOOR ; Rajan SAXENA
Korean Journal of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery 2016;20(1):17-22
BACKGROUNDS/AIMS: Mirizzi's syndrome (MS) poses great diagnostic and management challenge to the treating physician. We presented our experience of MS cases with respect to clinical presentation, diagnostic difficulties, surgical procedures and outcome. METHODS: Prospectively maintained data of all surgically treated MS patients were analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 169 MS patients were surgically managed between 1989 and 2011. Presenting symptoms were jaundice (84%), pain (75%) and cholangitis (56%). Median symptom duration s was 8 months (range, <1 to 240 months). Preoperative diagnosis was possible only in 32% (54/169) of patients based on imaging study. Csendes Type II was the most common diagnosis (57%). Fistulization to the surrounding organs (bilio-enteric fistulization) were found in 14% of patients (24/169) during surgery. Gall bladder histopathology revealed xanthogranulomatous cholecystitis in 33% of patients (55/169). No significant difference in perioperative morbidity was found between choledochoplasty (use of gallbladder patch) (15/89, 17%) and bilio-enteric anastomosis (4/28, 14%) (p=0.748). Bile leak was more common with choledochoplasty (5/89, 5.6%) than bilio-enteric anastomosis (1/28, 3.5%), without statistical significance (p=0.669). CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative diagnosis of MS was possible in only one-third of patients in our series. Significant number of patients had associated fistulae to the surrounding organs, making the surgical procedure more complicated. Awareness of this entity is important for intraoperative diagnosis and consequently, for optimal surgical strategy and good outcome.
Bile
;
Bile Duct Diseases
;
Cholangitis
;
Cholecystitis
;
Cholestasis
;
Diagnosis
;
Fistula
;
Gallbladder
;
Humans
;
Jaundice
;
Mirizzi Syndrome*
;
Prospective Studies
;
Urinary Bladder
4.Risk Factors for Development of Biliary Stricture in Patients Presenting with Bile Leak after Cholecystectomy.
Hosur Mayanna LOKESH ; Biju POTTAKKAT ; Anand PRAKASH ; Rajneesh Kumar SINGH ; Anu BEHARI ; Ashok KUMAR ; Vinay Kumar KAPOOR ; Rajan SAXENA
Gut and Liver 2013;7(3):352-356
BACKGROUND/AIMS: This study was aimed at determining the factors associated with the development of benign biliary stricture (BBS) in patients who had sustained a bile duct injury (BDI) at cholecystectomy and developed bile leaks. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 214 patients with BDI who were referred to our center between January 1989 and December 2009 was done. RESULTS: One hundred fifty-three (71%) patients developed BBS (group I), and 61 (29%) were normal (group II). By univariate analysis, female gender (p=0.02), open cholecystectomy as the index operation (p=0.0001), delay in the referral from identification of injury (p=0.04), persistence of an external biliary fistula (EBF) beyond 4 weeks (p=0.0001), EBF output >400 mL (p=0.01), presence of jaundice (p=0.0001), raised serum total bilirubin level (p=0.0001), raised serum alkaline phosphatase level (p=0.0001), and complete BDI (p=0.0001) were associated with the development of BBS. Furthermore, open cholecystectomy as the index operation (p=0.04), delayed referral (p=0.02), persistent EBF (p=0.03), and complete BDI (p=0.001) were found to predict patient outcome in the multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: For the majority of patients with BDI, the risk of developing BBS could have been predicted at the initial presentation.
Alkaline Phosphatase
;
Bile
;
Bile Ducts
;
Biliary Fistula
;
Bilirubin
;
Cholecystectomy
;
Constriction, Pathologic
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Jaundice
;
Referral and Consultation
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors


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