OBJECTIVE: To explore the efficacy of a Thalassemia risk assessment software for the screening of thalassemia mutation carriers and distribution of thalassemia genotypes detected by screening. METHODS: A total of 6 040 individuals were evaluated at Leshan Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital between 2022 and 2024 using the commonly used clinical thalassemia risk assessment method and the thalassemia screening software, respectively, and the performance indicators of the two methods were compared and analyzed against the result of thalassemia gene testing. This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of our hospital (Ethics No.: LfyLL[2022]005). RESULTS: The high-risk rate by the thalassemia screening software was 11.19%, with a sensitivity of 95.12%, specificity of 93.28%, positive predictive value of 43.20%, negative predictive value of 99.72%, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.942. The thalassemia gene detection rate of the high-risk samples screened was 4.83%. The high-risk screening rate of the conventional method was 2.50%, with a sensitivity of 51.22%, specificity of 93.28%, positive predictive value of 80.79%, negative predictive value of 97.40%, and the AUC was 0.754. The thalassemia gene detection rate of the high-risk samples was 2.02%. CONCLUSION The software can effectively detect thalassemia carriers and significantly reduce the missed detection compared with conventional method, thereby significantly improve the efficacy of screening.
Humans ; Thalassemia/diagnosis* ; Software ; Female ; Genetic Testing/methods* ; Male ; Mutation ; Adult ; Genotype ; ROC Curve ; Risk Assessment

BACKGROUND

Early-stage endometrial cancer often presents with favorable survival rates, but high-risk factors, including TP53 mutations and high-grade serous pathology, can lead to recurrence and poor prognosis. The standard primary treatment for endometrial cancer is surgical staging, and lymph node metastases significantly impact adjuvant therapy decisions. The subgroup of p53-abnormal (p53abn) indicates the worst prognosis and potential benefits from adjuvant chemotherapy. Molecular classification, while recommended, faces practical challenges due to resource constraints.

OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to assess the incidence of p53 abnormal expression in clinical stage 1 endometrial cancer cases that underwent surgery at a government tertiary hospital, and assess its relationship with clinicopathologic factors and pelvic and paraaortic lymph node metastasis (LNM).

METHODS

A cross-sectional retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical early-stage endometrial cancer cases that underwent surgical primary treatment between January 2018 and December 2022. Patient records were reviewed to gather demographics, surgical information, and pathological evaluations. Preoperative clinical staging was determined through imaging, and surgical staging involved comprehensive lymphadenectomy. Immunohistochemistry studies for p53 were carried out on formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue samples.

RESULTS

A total of 233 endometrial cancer cases were included. The mean age at diagnosis was 53.7 years. Common comorbidities included hypertension (47.2%) and dyslipidemia (20.6%). Most cases were endometrioid histology (82.8%) and low-grade tumors (85.8%). Tumor grade (p=0.010), myometrial invasion (pCONCLUSION

Tumor grade, myometrial invasion, and LVSI were all significantly associated with lymph node involvement. While p53 immunohistochemical stains show promise in predicting metastasis and has been associated with tumor aggressiveness, this should still be correlated with clinicopathological parameters to carry out a more accurate risk stratification of early-stage patients.

Therapeutics ; Survival Rate ; Risk Factors ; Recurrence ; Prognosis ; Pathology ; Endometrial Neoplasms ; Immunohistochemistry ; Tumor Suppressor Protein P53 ; Lymph Node Excision ; Risk Assessment

BACKGROUND

Early-stage endometrial cancer often presents with favorable survival rates, but high-risk factors, including TP53 mutations and high-grade serous pathology, can lead to recurrence and poor prognosis. The standard primary treatment for endometrial cancer is surgical staging, and lymph node metastases significantly impact adjuvant therapy decisions. The subgroup of p53-abnormal (p53abn) indicates the worst prognosis and potential benefits from adjuvant chemotherapy. Molecular classification, while recommended, faces practical challenges due to resource constraints.

OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to assess the incidence of p53 abnormal expression in clinical stage 1 endometrial cancer cases that underwent surgery at a government tertiary hospital, and assess its relationship with clinicopathologic factors and pelvic and paraaortic lymph node metastasis (LNM).

METHODS

A cross-sectional retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical early-stage endometrial cancer cases that underwent surgical primary treatment between January 2018 and December 2022. Patient records were reviewed to gather demographics, surgical information, and pathological evaluations. Preoperative clinical staging was determined through imaging, and surgical staging involved comprehensive lymphadenectomy. Immunohistochemistry studies for p53 were carried out on formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue samples.

RESULTS

A total of 233 endometrial cancer cases were included. The mean age at diagnosis was 53.7 years. Common comorbidities included hypertension (47.2%) and dyslipidemia (20.6%). Most cases were endometrioid histology (82.8%) and low-grade tumors (85.8%). Tumor grade (p=0.010), myometrial invasion (pCONCLUSION

Tumor grade, myometrial invasion, and LVSI were all significantly associated with lymph node involvement. While p53 immunohistochemical stains show promise in predicting metastasis and has been associated with tumor aggressiveness, this should still be correlated with clinicopathological parameters to carry out a more accurate risk stratification of early-stage patients.

Therapeutics ; Survival Rate ; Risk Factors ; Recurrence ; Prognosis ; Pathology ; Endometrial Neoplasms ; Immunohistochemistry ; Tumor Suppressor Protein P53 ; Lymph Node Excision ; Risk Assessment

OBJECTIVE: To explore the relationship between the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) and cognitive function. METHODS: A cross-sectional study method was conducted. People aged ≥ 60 years from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) databases from 1999 to 2002 and 2011 to 2014 were included as study subjects. The participants were divided into three groups based on their GNRI scores: a medium-high risk group (82 ≤ GNRI < 92), a low risk group (92 ≤ GNRI < 98), and a no-risk group (GNRI ≥ 98). Demographic characteristics (gender, age, race, education), chronic diseases [chronic bronchitis, emphysema, thyroid problems, coronary heart disease, angina pectoris, stroke, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and depression score on the patient health questionnaire (PHQ-9)], lifestyle habits (history of smoking, hours of sleep), etc., were collected. Cognitive function was assessed using the consortium to establish a registry for Alzheimer's disease word learning subtest (CERAD-WL), animal fluency test (AFT), and digit symbol substitution test (DSST) for the 2011-2014 data, while only the DSST was used for the 1999-2002 data. Differences in the above information among the GNRI cohorts were compared. Factors affecting cognitive function in the population were analyzed using multifactorial Logistic regression. RESULTS: 2 653 participants from 2011 to 2014 and 2 380 participants from 1999 to 2002 were enrolled, with a total of 5 033 participants in the study. There were statistically significant differences in age, stroke, diabetes mellitus, DSST score, AFT score, CERAD score test 1 recall (Cst1), and CERAD score test 2 recall (Cst2) among the GNRI groups. Multifactorial Logistic regression analysis of data from 2011 to 2014 showed that in model 3 (DSST score, age, gender, race, marriage, education, hours of sleep, history of smoking, emphysema, thyroid problems, chronic bronchitis, coronary heart disease, angina pectoris, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, depression score on the PHQ-9, and stroke) adjusted for all covariates, GNRI was a protective factor for DSST [odds ratio (OR) = 1.03, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.00 to 1.05, P = 0.03]; Logistic regression analyse for 1999 to 2002 and 2011 to 2014 showed a significant association even after adjustment for covariates (OR = 1.02, 95%CI was 1.00 to 1.03, P = 0.02). Subgroup Logistic regression analyses of the total population from 2011 to 2014 showed a significant association between GNRI and DSST scores (OR = 1.02, 95%CI was 1.01 to 1.03, P < 0.001), with significant associations in the age subgroups of 60 to 64 years old, across gender, non-Hispanic Whites and Blacks, by education, and by marital status associations were significant (all P < 0.05). Subgroup Logistic regression analyse of the total populations from 1999 to 2002 and 2011 to 2014 showed a significant association between the GNRI and DSST score (OR = 1.01, 95%CI was 1.01 to 1.02, P < 0.001), but did not show a significant year difference (interaction P = 0.503), and the newly found in the smoking population the association was also more significant (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION The GNRI correlates with the presence of cognitive functions related to processing speed, sustained attention, and executive function, and may be able to serve as an indicator for the assessment or prediction of related cognitive functions.
Humans ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Aged ; Middle Aged ; Nutrition Surveys ; Cognition ; Female ; Male ; Nutritional Status ; Risk Factors ; Geriatric Assessment

OBJECTIVE: To develop and compare risk prediction models for in-hospital post-cardiac arrest brain injury (PCABI) in critically ill patients using nomograms and random forest algorithms, aiming to identify the optimal model for early identification of high-risk PCABI patients and providing evidence for precise treatment. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was used to collect the first-time in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) from 2008 to 2019 in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) as the study population, and the patients' age, gender, body mass, health insurance utilization, first vital signs and laboratory tests within 24 hours of ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, and critical care scores were extracted. Independent influencing factors of PCABI were identified through univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses. The included patients were randomly divided into a training cohort and an internal validation cohort in a 7:3 ratio, and the PCABI risk prediction model was constructed by the nomogram and random forest algorithm, respectively, and the model was evaluated by receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), the calibration curve, and the decision curve analysis (DCA), and after the better model was selected, 179 patients admitted to Tianjin Medical University General Hospital as the external validation cohort for external evaluation were collected by using the same inclusion and exclusion criteria. RESULTS: A total of 1 419 patients with without traumatic brain injury who had their first-time IHCA were enrolled, including 995 in the training cohort (including 176 PCABI and 819 non-PCABI) and 424 in the internal validation cohort (including 74 PCABI and 350 non-PCABI). Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that age, potassium, urea nitrogen, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation III (APACHE III), and mechanical ventilation were independent influences on the occurrence of PCABI in patients with IHCA (all P < 0.05). Combining the above variables, we constructed a nomogram model and a random forest model for comparison, and the results show that the nomogram model has better predictive efficacy than the random forest model [nomogram model: area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the training cohort = 0.776, with a 95% credible interval (95%CI) of 0.741-0.811; internal validation cohort AUC = 0.776, with a 95%CI of 0.718-0.833; random forest model: AUC = 0.720, with a 95%CI of 0.653-0.787], and they performed similarly in terms of calibration curves, but the nomogram performed better in terms of decision curve analysis (DCA); at the same time, the nomogram model was robust in terms of external validation cohort (external validation cohort AUC = 0.784, 95%CI was 0.692-0.876). CONCLUSIONS A nomogram risk prediction model for the occurrence of PCABI in critically ill patients was successfully constructed, which performs better than the random forest model, helps clinicians to identify the risk of PCABI in critically ill patients at an early stage and provides a theoretical basis for early intervention.
Humans ; Critical Illness ; Retrospective Studies ; Heart Arrest/complications* ; Nomograms ; Brain Injuries/etiology* ; Intensive Care Units ; Algorithms ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; ROC Curve ; Risk Factors ; Risk Assessment ; Logistic Models ; Aged

OBJECTIVE: To identify the risk factors related to the timing of patients receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) initiation and construct a risk prediction model for ECMO initiation timing. METHODS: Patients who received ECMO admitted to the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from January 2020 to January 2024 were retrospectively collected. The case data mainly included physiological and biochemical indicators 1 hour before ECMO initiation. According to the outcome of the patients, they were divided into survival group and death group. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the predictors of mortality risk in patients with ECMO, and a nomogram prediction model was constructed. The discrimination, calibration accuracy, and goodness of the model were evaluated by the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), calibration curve, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, respectively. Decision curve analysis (DCA) evaluated the clinical net benefit rate of the model. RESULTS: A total of 81 ECMO patients were included, including 59 males and 22 females; age range from 16 to 61 years old, with a median age of 56.0 (39.5, 61.5) years old; 20 patients received veno-arterial (V-A) ECMO, and 61 patients received veno-venous (V-V) ECMO; 23 patients ultimately survived and 58 patients died. Univariate analysis showed that age, blood urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, D-dimer, arterial blood carbon dioxide partial pressure, and prothrombin time of the death group were all higher than those of the survival group, while albumin was slightly lower than that of the survival group. There was a statistically significant difference in the direct cause of ECMO initiation between the two groups. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age [odds ratio (OR) = 1.069, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.015-1.125, P = 0.012], direct cause of ECMO initiation [with heart failure as the reference, return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) after cardiopulmonary support (OR = 30.672, 95%CI was 1.265-743.638, P = 0.035), novel coronavirus infection (OR = 8.666, 95%CI was 0.818-91.761, P = 0.073), other severe pneumonia (OR = 4.997, 95%CI was 0.558-44.765, P = 0.150)], pre-ECMO serum creatinine (OR = 1.008, 95%CI was 1.000-1.016, P = 0.044), prothrombin time (OR = 1.078, 95%CI was 0.948-1.226, P = 0.252), and D-dimer (OR = 1.135, 95%CI was 1.047-1.231, P = 0.002) were entered into the final regression equation. A nomogram prediction model was developed based on these five factors. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the model was 0.889 (95%CI was 0.819-0.959), higher than the AUC of the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA; AUC = 0.604, 95%CI was 0.467-0.742). The calibration curve showed good consistency between the model predictions and the observed results. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed that χ ² = 4.668, P = 0.792. DCA analysis showed that when the risk threshold was 0-0.8, the net benefit rate was greater than 0, which was significantly better than that of SOFA score. CONCLUSIONS The risk prediction model for the timing of ECMO initiation, constructed using five factors (age, direct cause of ECMO initiation, thrombin time, serum creatinine, and D-dimer), demonstrated good discrimination and calibration. It can serve as a pre-initiation assessment tool to identify and predict post-initiation mortality risk in ECMO patients.
Humans ; Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation ; Middle Aged ; Male ; Female ; Retrospective Studies ; Adult ; Risk Factors ; Adolescent ; Young Adult ; Logistic Models ; Nomograms ; ROC Curve ; Time Factors ; Risk Assessment

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is primarily used in clinical practice to provide continuous extracorporeal respiratory and circulatory support for patients with severe heart and lung failure, thereby sustaining life. It is a key technology for managing severe heart failure and respiratory failure that are difficult to control. With the accumulation of clinical experience in ECMO for circulatory and/or respiratory support, as well as advancements in biomedical engineering technology, more portable and stable ECMO devices have been introduced into clinical use, benefiting an increasing number of critically ill patients. Although ECMO technology has become relatively mature, the timing of ECMO initiation, management of sudden complications, and monitoring and early warning of physiological indicators are critical factors that greatly affect the therapeutic outcomes of ECMO. This article reviews traditional methods and artificial intelligence techniques used in risk assessment related to ECMO, including the latest achievements and research hotspots. Additionally, it discusses future trends in ECMO risk management, focusing on six key areas: multi-center and prospective studies, external validation and standardization of model performance, long-term prognosis considerations, integration of innovative technologies, enhancing model interpretability, and economic cost-effectiveness analysis. This provides a reference for future researchers to build models and explore new research directions.
Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation ; Humans ; Artificial Intelligence ; Risk Assessment ; Respiratory Insufficiency/therapy* ; Heart Failure/therapy*

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to construct a risk prediction model for the occurrence of the demora-lization syndrome in patients with oral cancer and provide a scientific basis for the prevention of this syndrome in patients with oral cancer and the development of personalized care programs. METHODS: A total of 486 patients with oral cancer in West China Hospital of Stomatology of Sichuan University and Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from 2024 March to July were selected by convenience sampling. We integrated clinical data and evidence from previous studies to identify the key variables affecting the demoralization syndrome in patients with oral cancer. The 486 patients were divided into a training set and a validation set in an 8∶2 ratio. A clinical risk prediction model was established based on the individual data of 365 patients in the development cohort. Through least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, a moderate to severe risk prediction model of demoralization syndrome in oral cancer was constructed, and a clinical machine-learning nomogram was constructed. Bootstrap resampling was used for internal validation. The data of 121 patients in the validation cohort were externally validated. RESULTS: The incidence of the demoralization syndrome in patients with oral cancer was 405 cases (83.3%), of which 279 cases (57.4%) were mild, 176 cases (36.2%) were moderate, and 31 cases (6.4%) were severe. The core model, including patient education level, disease understanding, and MDASI-HN score, was used to predict the risk of outcome. Internal validation of the model yielded C statistic of 0.783 6 (95% CI: 0.78-0.87), beta of 0.843 4, and calibration intercept of -0.040 6. Through external validation, the validation set C statistic was 0.80 (95%CI: 0.71-0.87), beta was 0.80, and calibration intercept was -0.08. CONCLUSIONS Our risk prediction mo-del of the demoralization syndrome in patients with oral cancer performed robustly in validation cohorts of different nur-sing environments. The model has good correction and good discrimination and can be used as an evaluation and prediction item at admission.
Humans ; Mouth Neoplasms/complications* ; Male ; Female ; Nomograms ; Middle Aged ; Syndrome ; Aged ; Adult ; Risk Factors ; Risk Assessment ; Machine Learning

The introduction of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) into clinical use heralds a new age for anticoagulation therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).However,anticoagulation-related bleeding is currently a major challenge in the anticoagulation process.Assessing the risk of anticoagulation-related bleeding is an important part for the management of patients with AF.Clinical risk factor scores have moderate ability to predict the risk of anticoagulation-related bleeding.To improve the anticoagulation safety of NOACs,additional clinical and biological markers and genetic polymorphisms should be considered to enhance the predictive capability for anticoagulation-related bleeding.This review summarizes the challenges in the management of anticoagulation therapy,with emphases on the bleeding risk scores,biomarkers,clinical indicators,and genetic loci currently used to guide the risk assessment of anticoagulation-related bleeding in AF patients.This review is expected to provide research insights and reference frameworks for predicting and evaluating the bleeding risk associated with NOACs.
Humans ; Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy* ; Anticoagulants/therapeutic use* ; Hemorrhage/chemically induced* ; Risk Assessment ; Administration, Oral ; Risk Factors

OBJECTIVES: Injuries are the leading cause of death among children and adolescents. Although numerous risk assessment tools for unintentional injuries in children have been developed and published both domestically and internationally, there is currently no global consensus on standardized use. This study aims to systematically characterize existing unintentional injury risk assessment tools for children aged 0-6 years, with the goal of informing scientific tool selection and optimization. METHODS: Relevant literature published up to January 2025 was retrieved from CNKI, Wanfang, PubMed, and Web of Science. An information extraction form was developed to gather data on the basic features of each assessment tool, assessment format, scoring methods and criteria, dimensions assessed, reliability and validity, and types of unintentional injuries covered. RESULTS: A total of 50 risk assessment tools for unintentional injuries among children aged 0-6 years were included. Among them, 35 tools assessed two or more types of unintentional injuries. Regarding assessment format, 38 tools relied on caregiver self-report, 2 on investigator interviews, 3 on direct observation by investigators, and 7 used multiple methods. The tools covered four major dimensions: knowledge, attitude, behavior, and environment. Eleven tools covered 3 dimensions, while only one tool addressed all 4. Nineteen tools provided clear scoring methods, 14 included criteria for risk determination, and only 11 had both scoring methods and risk criteria. Twenty-eight tools lacked both. Twenty-two tools had been evaluated for reliability and/or validity. Among the 25 English-language tools, only 3 had been translated into Chinese. CONCLUSIONS Currently, no existing tool comprehensively assesses all major types of unintentional injuries for children under six years of age. It is recommended that practitioners select appropriate tools based on specific needs. In addition, improvements should be pursued, such as translating and validating English-language tools, developing quantitative scoring methods and criteria for tools tailored to Chinese children for important but underrepresented injury types (e.g., road traffic injuries, drowning).
Humans ; Infant ; Child, Preschool ; Child ; Risk Assessment/methods* ; Accidental Injuries/prevention & control* ; Infant, Newborn ; Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology* ; Reproducibility of Results