1.Disability-adjusted life years for colorectal cancer in China, 2017-2030: A prevalence-based analysis focusing on the impact of screening coverage and the application of local weights.
Yujie WU ; Yanjie LI ; Xin WANG ; Xinyi ZHOU ; Xinxin YAN ; Hong WANG ; Juan ZHU ; Wanqing CHEN ; Jufang SHI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(8):962-972
BACKGROUND:
Most studies have evaluated disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients based on a set of generic disability weights (DWs). This study aimed to apply local CRC-stage-specific DWs to estimate the burden of DALYs for CRC (CRC-DALYs) in populations in China and consider the influence of local screening coverage of CRC.
METHODS:
A prevalence-based model was constructed using data from various sources. Years lived with disability (YLDs) were estimated mainly via cumulative prevalence data (based on CRC incidence rates, population numbers, and survival rates), stage-specific proportions of CRC, and DWs of the local population. Years of life lost (YLLs) were calculated based on the CRC mortality rates and standard life expectancies. CRC incidence and mortality rates for the years 2020, 2025, and 2030 were estimated by joinpoint regression, and the corresponding DALYs were predicted. The main assumption was made for CRC screening coverage. Sensitivity analyses were used to assess the impact of population, DWs, and coverage.
RESULTS:
In 2017, among the Chinese population, the estimated number of CRC-DALYs was 4,303,314 (11.9% for YLDs). If CRC screening coverage rate in China (2.3%) remains unchanged, the overall DALYs in 2030 are predicted to increase by 37.2% (45.1% of those aged ≥65 years). More optimistically, the DALYs would then decrease by 0.7% in 2030 (from 5,902,454 to 5,860,200) if the coverage could be increased to 25.0%. A sensitivity analysis revealed that using local DWs would change the base-case values by 5.7%.
CONCLUSIONS
The estimated CRC-DALYs in China using population-specific DWs were considerably lower (with a higher percentage of YLDs) than the global burden of disease (GBD) estimates (5,865,004, of 4.6% for YLDs), suggesting the impact extent of applying local parameters. Sustainable scale-up CRC screening needs to be in place to moderate the growth trend of CRC-DALYs in China.
Humans
;
Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Male
;
Prevalence
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Early Detection of Cancer
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Adult
;
Incidence
2.Global and Chinese burden of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in chronic liver disease: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.
Xinyu ZHAO ; Dong XU ; Wei JI ; Zhengzhao LU ; Cheng HUANG ; Jingjie ZHAO ; Tingting XIAO ; Dongxu WANG ; Yuanyuan KONG ; Jidong JIA ; Hong YOU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(14):1741-1751
BACKGROUND:
Chronic liver disease (CLD), mainly non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is a significant public health concern worldwide. This study aims to quantify the burden of NAFLD in CLD globally and within China, using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021, providing crucial insights for global and local health policies.
METHODS:
The study used comprehensive data from the GBD study 2021. It included estimates of prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Age-standardized rates and average annual percent change (AAPC) from 2011 to 2021 were reported. A meticulous decomposition analysis was conducted.
RESULTS:
In 2021, there were 1582.5 million prevalent cases, 47.6 million incident cases, 1.4 million deaths, and 44.4 million DALYs attributable to CLD, globally. Among these, NAFLD has emerged as the predominant cause, accounting for 78.0% of all prevalent CLD cases (1234.7 million) and 87.2% of incident cases (41.5 million). Correspondingly, NAFLD had the highest age-standardized prevalence (15,017.5 per 100,000 population) and incidence (876.5 per 100,000 population) rates among CLDs. In addition, China's CLD age-standardized prevalence rate was 21,659.5 per 100,000 population, and the age-standardized incidence rate was 752.6 per 100,000 population, higher than the global average. From 2011 to 2021, the global prevalence rate of CLD increased slowly (AAPC = 0.17), consistent with the trend in China (AAPC = 0.23). Furthermore, the prevalence rate of NAFLD rose significantly in China (AAPC = 1.30) compared with the global average (AAPC = 0.91). Decomposition analysis also showed the worldwide increase in deaths and DALYs for NAFLD, which were primarily attributable to population growth and aging.
CONCLUSIONS
The burden of CLD and NAFLD remains substantial globally and within China in terms of high prevalence and incidence. As such, this underscores the need for targeted prevention and treatment strategies. These findings emphasize the importance of continued surveillance and research to mitigate the growing impact of liver diseases on global and Chinese health systems.
Humans
;
Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/mortality*
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Prevalence
;
Male
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Female
;
Incidence
;
Middle Aged
;
Chronic Disease
;
Adult
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Liver Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Aged
3.Global burden and trends of gout incidence and prevalence.
Shuai JIN ; Yuhan WANG ; Shuangtong YAN ; Xiaomin FU ; Xiaodong HU ; Zhaohui LYU ; Hongzhou LIU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(23):3153-3162
BACKGROUND:
Gout is a chronic disease primarily caused by elevated urate levels, severely affecting joint health. Its global distribution varies, and updated data for China are lacking. This study aimed to analyze the current burden and trends of gout globally and in China, examining the burden by gender, age, and risk factors while providing future predictions.
METHODS:
This descriptive epidemiological secondary analysis utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2021 study. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), prevalence rate (ASPR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates (ASDR) were used to assess the gout burden. Trends from 1990 to 2021 were analyzed across global regions, genders, and sociodemographic index (SDI) levels. The burden in China was further examined by gender, age, and associated risk factors. The Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict future trends. Gout burden in China and the United States was compared.
RESULTS:
In 2021, gout affected 57 million people globally, with 9.4 million new cases and 1.75 million DALYs. From 1990 to 2021, the ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR increased by 17.2%, 21.9%, and 21.3%, respectively. Males experienced a significantly higher burden, with greater ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR increasing with higher SDI levels. In China, male ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR were over 2.8 times those of females, and the burden increased with age. In 2021, 31.4% of gout-related DALYs in China were attributed to high body mass index and 7.6% to kidney dysfunction. Between 1990 and 2021, the high body mass index-related burden of gout rose annually for both genders, while the kidney dysfunction-related gout burden remained stable. By 2050, the burden of gout in China is expected to continue increasing, with a slower rise in females and a decline in males after an initial increase. However, the overall burden will remain substantial. In comparison, the gout burden will be higher in the United States than in China.
CONCLUSIONS
Gout is becoming a significant health burden globally and in China, particularly among Chinese males and older individuals. With the aging population and lifestyle changes exacerbating the issue, effective strategies and measures are essential to prevent or reduce gout-related health issues.
Humans
;
Gout/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Incidence
;
Middle Aged
;
Prevalence
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Adult
;
Risk Factors
;
Aged
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Young Adult
;
Adolescent
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
4.Burden and risk factors of stroke worldwide and in China: An analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.
Zhengbao ZHU ; Mengyao SHI ; Quan YU ; Jiawen FEI ; Beiping SONG ; Xiaoli QIN ; Lulu SUN ; Yonghong ZHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(20):2588-2595
BACKGROUND:
Stroke is the leading cause of death and long-term disability worldwide, including China. This study aimed to provide timely updates on stroke burden and stroke-related risk factors to help improve population-based prevention and control strategies.
METHODS:
Based on the Global Burden of Disease study 2021, incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rate were used to estimate stroke burden trend from 1990 to 2021.
RESULTS:
In 2021, China had 4.1 million incident stroke cases, 26.3 million prevalent stroke cases, 2.6 million stroke related deaths, and 53.2 million stroke related DALYs, compared to 11.9 million incident stroke cases, 93.8 million prevalent stroke cases, 7.3 million stroke related deaths, and 160.5 million stroke-related DALYs worldwide. In 2021, the top six risk factors contributing to stroke burden were high blood pressure, air pollution, tobacco consumption, dietary risk factors, high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and high fasting plasma glucose, both in China and worldwide. From 1990 to 2021, China had significant increases of incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate, and DALY rate for stroke, with estimates of 100.6 (95% uncertainty intervals [UI]: 87.2, 114.1)%, 102.9 (95% UI: 95.5, 110.9)%, 40.0 (95% UI: 14.9, 72.3)% and 15.7 (95% UI: -4.6, 41.2)%, respectively, while global incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate and DALY rate for total stroke showed relatively moderate increases or even decreases, with estimates of 15.0 (95% UI: 12.1,18.0)%, 25.8 (95% UI: 23.7, 28.0)%, -2.6 (95% UI: -10.6, 5.5)%, and -10.7 (95% UI: -17.7, -3.6)%, respectively.
CONCLUSION
Stroke remains a huge disease burden worldwide and in China, and compared to the worldwide China has a significantly higher burden of stroke.
Humans
;
Stroke/etiology*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Prevalence
;
Incidence
;
Female
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Male
5.Incidence, mortality, and burden of Parkinson's disease in China: A time-trend analysis and comparison with the global burden based on Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.
Fan GAO ; Xiaoyu CHENG ; Junyi LIU ; Yinlian HAN ; Chengjie MAO ; Chongke ZHONG ; Chunfeng LIU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(23):3176-3183
BACKGROUND:
Parkinson's disease (PD) is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide, and is associated with a significant Global Burden of Disease (GBD). We analyzed the trends in PD incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) burden in China, and compared them with global data.
METHODS:
Estimates and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for incidence, mortality, DALYs, years lived with disability (YLDs), and years of life lost (YLLs) for PD were extracted from the GBD, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021. We describe the epidemiology of PD at global and Chinese levels, analyze trends in incidence and mortality from 1990 to 2021 by joinpoint regression models, and decompose PD burden according to population size, age structure, and epidemiological changes.
RESULTS:
GBD 2021 estimated 508,378 (95% UI: 430,499-592,748) incident cases of PD, 92,035 (95% UI: 75,908-108,133) deaths, and 2,159,514 (95% UI: 1,826,196-2,521,344) DALYs in China, with the higher age-standardized rate (ASR) in incidence, mortality and DALYs than the global levels. The DALY burden of PD in China increased slightly from 1990 to 2021, consistent with the global upward trend. Joinpoint regression analysis indicated that the ASR of incidence in China increased faster than the global average, while the ASR of mortality decreased, with the fastest decline in 2004-2014. Decomposition analysis revealed that men and the middle sociodemographic index (SDI) quintile (32.82%) were responsible for the most significant DALYs, whose changes were primarily driven by population growth and aging.
CONCLUSIONS
The burden of PD showed an overall increasing trend from 1990 to 2021, which was primarily driven by population growth and aging. This study highlights the significant challenges in controlling and managing PD, including the increase in cases and gender differences, which may provide guidance for comprehensive strategies to address the changing profiles of PD in China.
Humans
;
Parkinson Disease/mortality*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Male
;
Incidence
;
Female
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Cost of Illness
;
Adolescent
;
Pattern Analysis, Machine
10.Effects of early palliative care integration on the quality of life of caregivers of adult cancer patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
Rachel Mae D. ACEDILLA ; Camille Andrea M. VENUS ; Ma. Elinore ALBA-CONCHA
The Filipino Family Physician 2025;63(2):213-221
BACKGROUND
Globally, cancer remains to be one of the leading causes of mortality and poses significant burden to patients and families. A growing body of evidence suggests that early palliative care results in more favorable patient and caregiver outcomes compared to standard oncology care alone.
OBJECTIVESThis study aims to determine the effects of early palliative care on caregivers of adult cancer patients in terms of quality of life, psychological distress, and satisfaction with care.
METHODSSystematic database searches in PubMed, Google Scholar, Cochrane library and Clinicaltrials.gov registry was conducted to select eligible studies for this review. Keywords, limit fields and Boolean operators were used for the search. Qualitative and quantitative analyses through the Review manager 5.4 software were done to compare quality of life, psychological distress, and satisfaction with care among caregivers given early palliative care vs. caregivers given standard oncology care.
CONCLUSIONThis review revealed inconclusive evidence on the benefits of early palliative care on caregiver outcomes when compared to standard care. We reviewed outcomes of early palliative care including quality of life, psychological distress, and satisfaction with care, but evidence remains unclear due to paucity of studies. Larger, high-caliber trials with more robust evidences, refinement of measurement tools catered to caregivers with higher sensitivity, and standardization of EPC protocol are needed to detect effect of EPC.
Human ; Caregivers ; Cancer ; Neoplasms ; Quality Of Life ; Systematic Review

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail