Korean Journal of Pediatric Infectious Diseases 2009;16(1):40-46
Predictors of Meningitis in Febrile Infants Aged 3 Months or Younger.
Hyang Soon SONG 1 ; Eun Ok KIM ; Young Taek JANG
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Keywords
Fever; Bacterial meningitis; C-reactive protein
Country
Republic of Korea
Language
Korean
MeSH
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Abstract
PURPOSE:The purpose of this study was to identify useful predictors for diagnosing bacterial meningitis and performing CSF studies in febrile infants three months or younger. METHODS:Six hundred and fifty two febrile infants with a rectal temperature > or =38.0 degreesC presented from January 2003 to April 2008 and were retrospectively studied. The total white blood cell count (WBC), band count, absolute neutrophil count (ANC), quantitative C-reactive protein (CRP) and blood cultures were performed on admission. The clinical variables associated with bacterial meningitis were analyzed. RESULTS:In patients with bacterial meningitis, the clinical variables including CRP (P= 0.036), band count (P=0.037), ANC (P=0.036) and age (P=0.001) were significantly different. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.969 for CRP, 0.946 for the band count, 0.765 for the ANC and 0.235 for age. A CRP cutoff point of 8 mg/dL was determined to maximize both the sensitivity and specificity (sensitivity 83%, specificity 95%, likelihood ratio 16.6). A CRP concentration of <7 mg/dL "ruled-out" bacterial meningitis, with a likelihood ratio of 0.17, a posttest probability of <0.1% and negative predictive value 91%. A CRP concentration greater than 9 mg/dL had a much higher likelihood ratio (20.1) than the band count (16.6) and ANC (2.2). CONCLUSION:The CRP concentration was a useful laboratory test for the differential diagnosis of bacterial meningitis among febrile infants three months of age or younger. A CRP concentration of<7 mg/dL effectively ruled out bacterial meningitis; a value > or =9 mg/dL increased the clinical suspicion of bacterial meningitis and the need for CSF evaluation.
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