Progress on estimation and projection of HIV epidemics

VernacularTitle: 艾滋病疫情估计与预测方法研究进展
Author: Lin TANG ¹ ; Kun SUN ; Fangfang CHEN ; Dongmin LI
Author Information

1. Department of Epidemiology, National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China
Publication Type:Review
Keywords: HIV; Estimation; Projection; Model; Method
From: Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(6):731-738
CountryChina
Language:Chinese
Abstract: Due to the continuous improvement on HIV surveillance system and the diversity of data sources, various methodologies on estimation and projection of HIV/AIDS present greater contribution in exploring the natural history and related burden of HIV in the future. Different kinds of methods have been developed by professionals, both at home and abroad. This paper reviews the rationale, requirement, application, strength and limitation of the related methodologies that have been widely used in this field, to provide reference and evidence for the application and selection of related methodologies in the future.