Evaluation and Estimation of the Provincial Infant Mortality Rate in China's Sixth Census.

Author: Song Bo HU ¹ ; Fang WANG ² ; Chuan Hua YU ³ ;
Author Information

1. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430071, Hubei, China.
2. School of Science, Jiujiang College, Jiujiang 332005, Jiangxi, China.
3. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430071, Hubei, China
Publication Type:Journal Article
Keywords: AREs; Infant mortality rate; The sixth census
MeSH: Adolescent; Adult; Censuses; Child; Child, Preschool; China; Female; Humans; Infant; Infant Mortality; Male; Young Adult
From: Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2015;28(6):410-420
CountryChina
Language:English
Abstract:
OBJECTIVETo assess the data quality and estimate the provincial infant mortality rate (1q0) from China's sixth census.
METHODSA log-quadratic model is applied to under-fifteen data. We analyze and compare the average relative errors (AREs) for 1q0 between the estimated and reported values using the leave-one-out cross-validation method.
RESULTSFor the sixth census, the AREs are more than 100% for almost all provinces. The estimated average 1q0 level for 31 provinces is 12.3‰ for males and 10.7‰ for females.
CONCLUSIONThe data for the provincial 1q0 from China's sixth census have a serious data quality problem. The actual levels of 1q0 for each province are significantly higher than the reported values.