Long-term prognosis of liver cirrhosis patients with spontaneous portosystemic shunt undergoing secondary endoscopic preventive therapy for type 1 isolated gastric variceal bleeding
- VernacularTitle:肝硬化伴分流的1型孤立性胃静脉曲张出血患者行内镜二级预防治疗的长期预后分析
- Author:
Yuling ZHOU
1
;
Lingling HE
1
;
Jiali MA
1
;
Ping LI
1
;
Hongshan WEI
1
;
Zhenglin AI
1
Author Information
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords: Liver Cirrhosis; Esophageal and Gastric Varices; Endoscopy; Prognosis
- From: Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(7):1614-1622
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
- Abstract: ObjectiveTo observe the long-term survival outcomes and complications of liver cirrhosis patients with spontaneous portosystemic shunt and type 1 isolated gastric varices （IGV-1） bleeding after secondary endoscopic preventive therapy， and to investigate the independent influencing factors for long-term prognosis. MethodsA total of 70 liver cirrhosis patients with spontaneous portosystemic shunt and IGV-1 bleeding who were admitted to Beijing Ditan Hospital， Capital Medical University， from January 5， 2015 to November 29， 2019 were enrolled as subjects， and related baseline data were collected， including age， sex， etiology， routine blood test results， liver function parameters， renal function parameters， coagulation parameters， Child-Pugh score， and the presence or absence of comorbidities such as cholestasis， hepatocellular carcinoma， thrombosis， ascites， and hepatic encephalopathy. All patients underwent secondary endoscopic preventive therapy for rebleeding and were followed up for 5 years. The primary endpoints were ectopic embolism rate and all-cause mortality rate， and the secondary endpoints were liver-related mortality and liver-related complications. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data between groups， and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. The Cox regression analysis was used to investigate the prognostic factors for 1-， 3-， and 5-year survival time， and the Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the independent risk factors for liver disease-related complications. ResultsThe incidence rate of ectopic embolism was 0% within 5 years of follow-up. The 1-， 3-， and 5-year all-cause mortality rates were 5.7%， 24.3%， and 32.9%， respectively. There were 2 cases of liver-related death in year 1， 8 cases in year 3， and 12 cases in year 5， resulting in a liver disease-related mortality rate of 17.14% （12/70）. Compared with the survival group， the death group had significantly higher incidence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma （0.00% vs 17.39%， χ2=8.669， P=0.003） and ascites （38.30% vs 52.17%， χ2=7.272， P=0.026）， and compared with the death group， the survival group had significantly lower 5-year incidence rates of rebleeding （10.64% vs 100.00%， χ2=51.383， P<0.001）， ascites （8.51% vs 52.17%， χ2=21.574， P<0.001）， and hepatic encephalopathy （0.00% vs 21.74%， χ2=12.029， P=0.002）. The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that during the 1-year follow-up， comorbidity with hepatocellular carcinoma before surgery （hazard ratio ［HR］=14.601， 95% confidence interval ［CI］： 2.049 — 104.098， P=0.007） and PT （HR=1.662， 95%CI： 1.090 — 2.535， P=0.018） were independent risk factors for survival， and HGB level （HR=0.863， 95%CI： 0.747 — 0.998， P=0.046） was a protective factor for prolonged survival； during the long-term follow-up for 3 or 5 years， preoperative comorbidities with hepatocellular carcinoma （3 years： HR=40.174， 95%CI： 8.939 — 180.559， P<0.001； 5 years： HR=26.739， 95%CI： 6.993 — 102.243， P<0.001） and ascites （3 years： HR=3.638， 95%CI： 1.751 — 7.575， P=0.001； 5 years： HR=2.555， 95%CI： 1.419 — 4.598， P=0.002） were independent risk factors for mortality. The Logistic regression analysis showed that during the follow-up for 3 years， comorbidity with ascites before surgery （odds ratio ［OR］=0.255， 95%CI： 0.102 — 0.636， P=0.003） was associated with a lower risk of rebleeding， while comorbidity with hepatocellular carcinoma before surgery （OR=16.231， 95%CI： 1.298 — 202.878， P=0.031） was an independent risk factor for rebleeding； prothrombin time was a protective factor against hepatic encephalopathy （OR=0.790， 95%CI： 0.648 — 0.964， P=0.020）； during the follow-up for 5 years， aggravation of ascites after surgery （OR=5.578， 95%CI： 1.474 — 21.103， P=0.011） was an independent risk factor for rebleeding， and aggravation of ascites after surgery （OR=175.046， 95%CI： 14.306 — 2 141.909， P<0.001） were independent risk factors for the development of ascites in the future. ConclusionComorbidity with hepatocellular carcinoma before surgery and prothrombin time are independent risk factors for 1-year survival， whereas a high HGB level is a protective factor for increasing 1-year survival. Preoperative comorbidities with hepatocellular carcinoma and ascites are independent risk factors for the long-term prognosis of patients with spontaneous portosystemic shunt and IGV-1 bleeding and can significantly shorten survival time. Preoperative comorbidity with ascites can reduce the occurrence of rebleeding， while postoperative hepatocellular carcinoma and aggravation of ascites after surgery are independent risk factors for rebleeding； aggravation of ascites after surgery is an independent risk factor for the development of ascites in the future.
