Preliminary establishment of comprehensive risk assessment indicator system for occupational health based on Delphi method and analytic hierarchy process
- VernacularTitle:基于德尔菲法和层次分析法的职业健康综合风险评估指标体系初步建立
- Author:
Weiqi SUN
1
;
Meixia LIU
1
;
Tongning GAO
1
;
Yuqi CHEN
1
;
Yan YIN
1
Author Information
- Publication Type:Investigation
- Keywords: occupational health; risk assessment; Delphi method; analytic hierarchy process; monitoring
- From: Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2026;43(6):754-761
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
- Abstract: Background Occupational health risk assessment is the foundation of safeguarding workers' occupational health. However, traditional assessment methods often fail to adequately account for health effects and enterprise-specific characteristics, limiting their comprehensive evaluation capabilities. Additionally, these methods suffer from inconsistent standards, narrow application scopes, insufficient hazard sub-categorization, and indicator systems that poorly support informatization and digital transformation. To address these gaps, this study proposes methodological innovations focusing on the assessment indicator system. Objective To construct a systematic, generalizable, and practical occupational health comprehensive risk assessment indicator system by leveraging occupational health practices and surveillance big data from Shanghai. Methods Initial system indicators were extrated through literature review. Subsequently, expert interviews and group discussions, combined with occupational health surveillance big data, were used to refine these indicators, forming a candidate pool covering two major dimensions: risk factor characteristics and enterprise characteristics. The Delphi method was applied to evaluate and screen the indicators, while the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used to construct a hierarchical model and determine indicator weights. Results A total of 76 articles were reviewed, identifying 25 candidate indicators. After two rounds of Delphi expert consultation, 8 primary indicators (e.g. hazard characteristics, exposure characteristics, health effects, industry characteristics, management characteristics, protective features, adverse events, and uncertainty) and 17 secondary indicators (hazard factor characteristics, exposure levels, number of people exposed, number of factor exposure, special physical exam indicators, suspected occupational diseases, occupational diseases, industry categories, organizational management, hazard reporting, occupational health training, hazard factor testing, occupational health exams, protective facilities, personal protective equipment, administrative penalties, and data quality) were finalized. The expert response rate was 100%, and the expert authority coefficient was 0.86. The Kendall's W coefficients for importance and accessibility scores across the two consultation rounds were 0.41, 0.40 and 0.41, 0.50. A hierarchical model targeting the comprehensive occupational health risk index was constructed, comprising two major elements and three levels of indicators. AHP was applied to calculate the weights, with all judgment matrices demonstrating satisfactory consistency (consistency ratio < 0.1). Conclusion By integrating risk factor profiles with enterprise-specific characteristics via the Delphi-AHP approach, a robust occupational health comprehensive risk assessment indicator system is established. This system provides a practical framework for digitized occupational health management, though further empirical validation in real-world settings is warranted.
