Association of sex hormone levels with all-cause mortality in males: a study based on NHANES
10.12483/j.issn.1009-8291.2026.01.007
- VernacularTitle:性激素水平与男性全因死亡率的关系：基于NHANES研究
- Author:
Jiahao WANG
1
;
Shan JIANG
1
;
Yilin ZHAO
1
;
Haolin LI
1
;
He ZHANG
1
;
Di ZHU
1
;
Jinzhi WANG
1
;
Junqi WANG
1
;
Peng GE
1
Author Information
1. Department of Urology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221002, China
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
testosterone;
sex hormone-binding globulin;
free testosterone;
estradiol;
all-cause mortality in males
- From:
Journal of Modern Urology
2026;31(1):33-41
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To investigate the association of serum total testosterone(TT),free testosterone(FT),sex hormone-binding globulin(SHBG),and estradiol(E_2)with all-cause mortality rate(AMR)in males and to evaluate their predictive value. Methods Based on data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(NHANES)cycles(1999—2004 and 2013—2016),the relationships between different sex hormones and AMR was analyzed with Cox proportional hazards regression models. The dose-response relationships between different sex hormones and male AMR were assessed with restricted cubic splines(RCS). The predictive performances of different sex hormones for male AMR were compared with receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and the area under the curve(AUC). The survival differences across varying sex hormone levels were evaluated with Kaplan-Meier survival curves and log-rank tests. Results This study involved 3632 adult male participants with a median follow-up of 6.5 years,during which 320 AMR occurred(8.8%). Cox univariate analysis indicated that TT,FT and SHBG were risk factors for AMR(P＜0.001). Cox multivariate analysis revealed that FT and SHBG were independent risk factors for AMR(FT:HR=0.90,95%CI:0.86-0.94; SHBG:HR=1.01,95%CI:1.01-1.02). RCS revealed a U-shaped nonlinear relationship between TT,FT and AMR(P＜0.001); SHBG showed a positive dose-response relationship with AMR(P＜0.001). The AUCs of FT predicting the 5-year,10-year,and 15-year AMR were 0.78(95%CI:0.73-0.82),0.80(95%CI:0.76-0.84),and 0.84(95%CI: 0.80-0.88),respectively,significantly outperforming other indicators. Subgroup analysis revealed that FT was negatively correlated with male AMR,but this association was modulated by age,race,smoking status and diabetes status(P_(interaction)＜0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that different levels of TT and FT(Q1-Q4)were significantly positively correlated with survival rate(P＜0.001),while different levels of SHBG were significantly negatively correlated with survival rate,with patients in the Q4 group having the highest risk of death(P＜0.001). Conclusion Based on US NHANES,studies have shown that the FT and SHBG are independent risk factors for male AMR,and FT demonstrates greater predictive value for male AMR than TT.
