Risk factors for in-hospital death after complete recanalization by mechanical thrombectomy in acute large vessel occlusion stroke of the anterior circulation
10.3760/cma.j.cn115354-20241003-00611
- VernacularTitle:前循环急性大血管闭塞性脑卒中患者机械取栓完全再通后院内死亡的危险因素分析
- Author:
Shunchao CI
1
;
Feng WANG
;
Di LI
;
Ke LI
;
Lin YIN
Author Information
1. 大连医科大学附属第二医院卒中中心，大连 116027
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Ischemic stroke;
Mechanical thrombectomy;
Anterior circulation large vessel occlusion;
Complete recanalization;
In-hospital death
- From:
Chinese Journal of Neuromedicine
2025;24(3):235-242
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To explore the risk factors for in-hospital death after complete recanalization by mechanical thrombectomy and establish a risk prediction model in patients with acute large vessel occlusion stroke of the anterior circulation.Methods:A total of 468 patients with anterior circulation acute large vessel occlusion stroke who underwent mechanical thrombectomy in Stroke Center (Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University), Department of Interventional Therapy (First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University), and Department of Neurointervention and Neurocritical Care (Central Hospital Affiliated to Dalian University of Technology) from January 2016 to November 2023 were selected. All patients achieved complete recanalization (modified thrombolysis in cerebral infarction: grading 3) immediately after thrombectomy. The clinical data, laboratory and imaging results of the patients were collected, and these patients were divided into in-hospital death group ( n=52) and in-hospital survival group ( n=416) according to occurrence of in-hospital death (all-cause death). Univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to screen the risk factors for in-hospital death, and a risk prediction model was constructed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the model, calibration curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow test were used to evaluate the accuracy of the model, and decision curve was used to evaluate the clinical utility of the model. Results:Univariate analysis showed that the in-hospital death group had significantly higher proportions of female patients, patients with atrial fibrillation, and patients with symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage compared with the in-hospital survival group (50.0% vs. 31.3%; 57.7% vs. 41.6%; 38.5% vs.11.8%), and significantly higher baseline blood glucose, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, neutrophil count, and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio within 24 hours of thrombectomy (8.10 [7.05, 11.79] vs. 7.31[6.46, 9.25], 20 [16, 32] vs. 15 [10, 22], 10.09 [7.87, 13.19] vs. 8.47 [6.73, 10.32], 10.63 [5.87, 15.69] vs. 7.13 [5.16, 10.91], P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that female ( OR=2.533, 95% CI: 1.306-4.910, P=0.006), atrial fibrillation history ( OR=1.999, 95% CI: 1.044-3.827, P=0.037), neutrophil count within 24 hours of thrombectomy ( OR=1.162, 95% CI: 1.055-1.279, P=0.002), and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage ( OR=4.066, 95% CI: 1.897-8.718, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for in-hospital death after complete recanalization; risk prediction model, accordingly, was 0.929×female+0.692×atrial fibrillation history+0.150×neutrophil count+1.403×symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage-5.349 ( P: probability of event occurrence). Area under ROC curve of the model was 0.765 (95% CI: 0.689-0.842, P<0.001); calibration curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow test of the model showed good accuracy ( χ2=7.656, P=0.468); decision curve of the model showed good clinical utility at threshold probability of 0.05-0.90. Conclusion:For patients with acute large vessel occlusion stroke at the anterior circulation complicated with atrial fibrillation, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage or elevated neutrophil count within 24 hours of thrombectomy, or female patients with acute large vessel occlusion stroke at the anterior circulation, in-hospital death still needs to be highly alert after complete recanalization by mechanical thrombectomy.
