Screening potential risk factors for malignant transformation in patients with adenomatous polyps based on tumor markers and polyp lesion characteristics
10.3760/cma.j.cn115455-20250111-00050
- VernacularTitle:基于肿瘤标志物及息肉病变特征筛选腺瘤性肠息肉患者癌变的潜在危险因素
- Author:
Tingting DING
1
;
Xiaoting HOU
1
;
Jie YING
1
;
Rui YIN
1
;
Guanqi LIU
1
;
Jianxin GE
1
Author Information
1. 南京江北医院消化科，南京 210048
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Intestinal polyps;
Adenomatous polyps;
Tumor markers;
Influencing factors;
Canceration
- From:
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine
2025;48(10):923-928
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To explore the potential risk factors for cancer in patients with adenomatous polyps based on tumor markers and polyp lesion characteristics.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted to collect clinical data of 115 patients with adenomatous intestinal polyps who visited Nanjing Jiangbei Hospital from November 2022 to November 2024. They were divided into a cancerous group (17 cases) and a non cancerous group (98 cases) based on whether they were cancerous or not. Clinical data such as tissue type and polyp site and tumor marker levels such as carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and cancer antigen 72-4 (CA72-4) were collected at the first visit of all patients. The potential risk factors of adenomatous intestinal polyp canceration were investigated by Logistic regression analysis.Results:Univariate analysis revealed that the proportion of villous tubular adenomas, central depression of polyps, and lobulated polyps in the cancerous group were higher than those in the non cancerous group. Serum levels of CEA and CA72-4 were also higher in the cancerous group than in the non cancerous group : 13/17 vs.47.96% (47/98), 7/17 vs. 15.31% (15/98), 6/17 vs. 8.16% (8/98), (6.41 ± 1.81) μg/L vs. (4.23 ± 1.48) μg/L, (6.98 ± 1.83) kU/L vs. (5.66 ± 1.78) kU/L, respectively. The difference was statistically significant ( P<0.05). The results of Logistic regression analysis showed that the histological subtype of villous tubular adenoma, central depression of polyps, lobulated polyps, and high levels of CEA and CA72-4 were independent risk factors for cancer in patients with adenomatous intestinal polyps ( P<0.05). A nomogram risk model was constructed based on the influencing factors of canceration in patients with adenomatous intestinal polyps. The calibration curve was drawn, and the calibration curve was similar to the Y-X straight line, suggesting that the evaluation results of the nomogram risk model were highly consistent with the actual observation results. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn. The results showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram risk model for evaluating the canceration of patients with adenomatous intestinal polyps was 0.956, and the evaluation value was high. The decision curve was drawn, with the threshold of high risk as the horizontal coordinate and the net rate of return as the vertical coordinate. The results showed that when the threshold was in the range of 0 - 0.85, 0.96 - 0.99, the net benefit rate of predicting the cancer risk of patients with adenomatous intestinal polyps was greater than 0 and the maximum net benefit rate was 0.148. Conclusions:The histological classification of villous tubular adenoma, central depression of polyps, lobulated polyps, and high levels of CEA and CA72-4 are independent risk factors for cancer in patients with adenomatous intestinal polyps; The evaluation efficiency of the column chart risk model constructed based on the above factors is good.
