Analysis of a risk model for rivaroxaban-related bleeding events in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation based on gene polymorphism
10.3969/j.issn.1009-0126.2025.01.004
- VernacularTitle:基于基因多态性构建的老年心房颤动患者利伐沙班相关出血事件风险模型分析
- Author:
Chen ZHANG
1
;
Xiaoqing XI
;
Yinfeng GAO
;
Xu YANG
Author Information
1. 832008 石河子大学第一附属医院全科医学科
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
atrial fibrillation;
rivaroxaban;
hemorrhage;
gene polymorphism
- From:
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases
2025;27(1):13-17
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To establish a risk model of rivaroxaban-related bleeding events in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation(NVAF)based on gene polymorphism.Methods A total of 268 elderly NVAF patients receiving rivaroxaban treatment in Department of General Practice of the First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University from January 2021 to July 2023 were enrolled in this study.According to whether bleeding events occurred in 12 months'follow-up,they were divided into a bleeding group(47 cases)and a non-bleeding group(221 cases).The clinical data and results of gene polymorphism were compared between the two groups.Multivari-ate logistic regression was adopted to construct a risk prediction model of bleeding events based on gene polymorphism,and the predictive performance was verified.Results Significantly ad-vanced age and lower creatinine level were observed in the bleeding group than the non-bleeding group(P＜0.01).The bleeding group had obviously lower GG genotype frequency at the rs1128503 locus and TT genotype frequency at the rs4148738 of ATP-binding cassette,sub-family B member 1(ABCB1),and lower AC genotype frequency at the rs1057910 locus of cytochrome P450 2C9(CYP2C9)than the non-bleeding group(P＜0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analy-sis showed that age(OR=1.136,95％CI:1.031-1.251),and AA genotype(OR=15.407,95％CI:4.259-55.741)and GA genotype(OR=6.990,95％CI:1.599-30.546)of ABCB1 rs1 128503 were risk factors for rivaroxaban-related bleeding events in elderly NVAF patients(P＜0.01).Creatinine(OR=0.943,95％CI:0.899-0.989),TT genotype at ABCB1 rs4148738(OR=0.048,95％CI:0.009-0.242)and AC genotype of CYP2C9 rs1057910(OR=0.092,95％CI:0.021-0.408)were protective factors for the risk(P＜0.05).ROC curve analysis indicated that the AUC value of the risk model based on gene polymorphism was 0.827(95％CI:0.776-0.870),the spe-cificity was 81.90％,and the sensitivity was 76.60％.Conclusion Our risk model of rivaroxaban-related bleeding events based on ABCB1 gene and CYP2C9 gene has high application value for elderly NVAF patients.
