Predictive performance of white blood cell count,D-dimer and NT-proBNP for major adverse cardi-ovascular events in elderly patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction
10.3969/j.issn.1008-0074.2025.04.17
- VernacularTitle:白细胞计数、D—二聚体、NT—proBNP对老年急性ST段抬高型心肌梗死患者发生主要不良心血管事件的预测价值
- Author:
Wen-xing ZHANG
1
;
Guang-yao YANG
1
;
Lin-hu XIA
1
;
Lu-hua PAN
1
;
Duo-xue CHEN
1
Author Information
1. 亳州市人民医院心血管内科,安徽亳州 236800
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Myocardial infarction;
Leukocyte count;
Natriuretic peptide,brain
- From:
Chinese Journal of cardiovascular Rehabilitation Medicine
2025;34(4):526-532
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:This study aims to investigate the predictive performance of serum levels of white blood cell count(WBC),D-dimer(D-D)and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide(NT-proBNP)for major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)in elderly patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction(ASTE-MI).Methods:A total of 70 elderly patients with ASTEMI treated in Bozhou People's Hospital between April 2020 and May 2023 were prospectively selected as observation group.Incidence of MACE during 1-year follow-up were recorded,another 50 patients with unstable angina pectoris treated in our hospital simultaneously were selected as control group.Serum levels of WBC,D-D and NT-proBNP were compared among above groups.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of serum WBC,D-D and NT-proBNP for MACE in elderly patients with ASTEMI.A nomogram was established,and calibration curve and deci-sion curve analysis(DCA)were used to evaluate the performance of model.Results:A total of 40 cases(59.70％)experienced MACE during one-year follow-up.Compared to those in control group,patients in observation group had significant higher serum WBC[(11.43±1.98)×109/Lvs.(6.30±1.99)× 109/L],D-D[(0.91±0.20)mg/L vs.(0.47±0.18)mg/L]andNT-proBNP[(192.31±63.19)pg/ml vs.(114.05±22.79)pg/ml](P＜0.001 all).Compared to participants without MACE,those with MACE had significantly higher serum WBC[(13.33±1.90)× 109/L vs.(10.27±0.98)× 109/L],D-D[(1.11±0.25)mg/L vs.(0.87±0.21)mg/L]and NT-proBNP[(238.73±50.22)pg/ml vs.(150.70±39.16)pg/ml](P＜0.001 all).ROC analysis showed that the ar-ea under the curve(AUC)of the combined detection of serum WBC(AUC=0.791,95％CI 0.677～0.879),D-D(AUC=0.767,95％CI 0.650～0.859)and NT-proBNP(AUC=0.733,95％CI 0.614～0.832)was 0.916(95％CI 0.825～0.969),which was significantly higher than those of single detections(Z=2.386,4.953,3.190,P=0.017,0.004,＜0.001).The total score of the nomogram model constructed based on the levels of WBC,D-D and NT-proBNP ranged from 70 to 126 points.The predicted incidence was basically consistent with the actual in-cidence.For the internal verification of the model,the AUC of ROC curve of the training set and the validation set was 0.863 and 0.926 respectively.The DCA curve was located above the critical curve,indicating that the model had a net benefit and good clinical effectiveness.Conclusion:Serum WBC,D-D and NT-proBNP significantly el-evated in elderly patients with ASTEMI.The combined detection of serum WBC,D-D and NT-proBNP levels has good predictive value for MACE in these patients.
