Comparison of mortality and prognostic factors analysis in patients with septic shock in 2012 and 2022 in a Grade-A hospital
10.3760/cma.j.cn431274-20241231-01952
- VernacularTitle:某三甲医院2012年及2022年两年度脓毒性休克患者病死率比较及预后影响因子分析
- Author:
Yifan QU
1
;
Bing WEI
1
;
Junyu WANG
1
;
Junyuan WU
1
Author Information
1. 首都医科大学附属北京朝阳医院急诊医学中心，北京 100043
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Shock, septic;
Mortality;
Prognostic risk factors;
SOFA score
- From:
Journal of Chinese Physician
2025;27(2):178-183
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To compare the mortality of patients with septic shock in the intensive care unit of the emergency department of Beijing Chaoyang Hospital in 2012 and 2022, and analyze the risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients in each year.Methods:According to the diagnostic criteria of septic shock, 82 patients with septic shock admitted to the ICU of the emergency department of Beijing Chaoyang Hospital in 2012 and 52 patients with septic shock admitted to the ICU in 2022 were included. The clinical data of patients in each year and the related indicators that may affect the prognosis were compared. The risk factors of death in patients with septic shock in each year were screened by multivariate logistic regression analysis, and the predictive value of risk factors on death was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:In 2012, 30 patients with septic shock died and 52 survived. The fatality rate was 36.59%. In 2022, 16 patients with septic shock died and 36 survived, with a fatality rate of 30.77%. There was significant difference in mortality between 2012 and 2022 (χ 2=6.805, P=0.009). In 2012 and 2022, the mortality of septic shock patients with different gender, age and Sequential Organ failure assessment (SOFA) score had statistical significance ( P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that gender ( OR=1.554, P=0.037), lactic acid ( OR=1.062, P=0.035) and SOFA score ( OR=1.199, P=0.028) were the risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients in 2012, gender ( OR=1.234, P=0.028), total cholesterol ( OR=1.358, P=0.028) and SOFA score ( OR=1.388, P=0.034) were the risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients in 2022. ROC curve analysis results showed that SOFA score had higher sensitivity and specificity in predicting death of septic shock patients in 2012 (all P<0.05), and lactic acid, total cholesterol and SOFA score had higher sensitivity and specificity in predicting death of septic shock patients in 2022 (all P<0.05). Conclusions:The case fatality rate of septic shock patients in 2022 is lower than that in 2012, the morbidity and mortality rate of male patients are still higher than that of female patients, and the case fatality rate of patients increases with age. SOFA score was an independent risk factor for the prognosis of septic shock patients in 2012 and 2022.
