Development and validation of a predictive model for postoperative blood pressure outcomes in primary aldosteronism based on CYP11B2 gene polymorphism
10.3760/cma.j.cn112330-20250330-00129
- VernacularTitle:基于CYP11B2基因多态性预测原发性醛固酮增多症术后高血压转归模型的建立与验证
- Author:
Qiangfeng FU
1
;
Yongjia CHEN
1
;
Shengtao ZENG
1
;
Haoxiang XU
1
;
Chenglin YANG
1
;
Yue YANG
1
;
Zhi CAO
1
;
Wei WANG
1
Author Information
1. 南方医科大学第一临床医学院 解放军南部战区总医院泌尿外科，广州 510010
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Hyperaldosteronism;
Primary;
Gene polymorphism;
Clinical predictive model;
Machine learning
- From:
Chinese Journal of Urology
2025;46(7):529-536
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To construct and validate a clinical model combining CYP11B2 gene polymorphisms with clinical parameters to predict complete postoperative hypertension remission in primary aldosteronism patients.Methods:The clinical data of a total of 116 patients with primary aldosteronism who underwent unilateral adrenalectomy from April 2018 to August 2024 were retrospectively included. There were 63 males and 53 females，with a body mass index（BMI）of（25.50 ± 2.03）kg/m 2. Genomic DNA was extracted from venous blood leukocytes before surgery，and polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphisms（PCR-RFLP）were used to detect CYP11B2（rs1799998）promoter region 344（C > T）base substitution. The follow-up duration was more than 6 months，with the following parameters recorded at the last follow-up：plasma aldosterone，renin，serum potassium，and sodium levels. Blood pressure progression and antihypertensive medication usage were also assessed. The postoperative outcome was determined according to the Primary Aldosteronism Surgical Outcome score（PASO）for primary aldosteronism，and the specific criteria were as follows. ① Clinical complete remission：the patient's blood pressure returned to normal（< 140/90 mmHg，1 mmHg = 0.133 kPa）and all antihypertensive drugs were discontinued；②Partial clinical remission：blood pressure returns to normal，and the number or dose of antihypertensive drugs is reduced compared with before；③Clinical non-remission：blood pressure does not drop and antihypertensive drugs do not change or increase compared with before surgery. Patients were divided into complete and incomplete remission groups. The chi-square test was used for univariate analysis，followed by binary logistic forward conditional regression for multivariate analysis，and a variety of machine learning algorithms such as random forest，logistic regression，support vector machine and gradient lifter were integrated，and the results of multivariate analysis were included to construct a postoperative blood pressure outcome model，and the predictive performance of the model was evaluated by using receiver operating characteristic（ROC）curve，calibration curve and clinical decision curve. Results:The PCR-RFLP detection results of 116 cases showed the genotype distribution of CYP11B2（344C > T）（rs1799998）as follows：CC type in 50 cases（43.1%），CT type in 46 cases（39.7%），and TT type in 20 cases（17.3%）. There were 74 cases in the complete remission group and 42 cases in the incomplete remission group，and the rate of complete remission with hypertension at the end of the operation was 63.8%. Univariate analysis showed that the the differences between complete remission group and incomplete remission group in body mass index［（24.27 ± 2.90）kg/m 2 vs.（26.98 ± 3.17）kg/m 2， P<0.001］，preoperative hypertension grade（grade 1/2/3：29/29/16 cases vs. 9/13/20 cases， P = 0.012），preoperative antihypertensive drugs（0/1/≥ 2：25/32/17 cases vs. 7/15/20 cases， P = 0.016），and CYP11B2（344C > T）（CC/TT + CT：39/35 cases vs. 11/31 cases， P = 0.006）were statistically significant. Multivariate analysis showed that the type of preoperative antihypertensive drugs［≥ 2： OR = 5.26（95% CI 1.12?24.61， P = 0.016；1： OR = 4.55（95% CI 1.23?22.47）， P = 0.025］was the strongest independent predictor，followed by CYP11B2（344C > T）［ OR = 4.02（95% CI 1.16?13.82）， P = 0.028］and BMI［ OR = 3.96（95% CI 2.26?6.92）， P < 0.001］. Comparing the receiver operating feature（ROC）curves of the four types of machine learning models，the best model was the support vector machine model with an area under the curve（AUC）of 0.88（95% CI 0.82?0.95），followed by the gradient elevator model of 0.83（95% CI 0.76?0.91），the logistic regression model of 0.78（95% CI 0.68?0.88），and the random forest model of 0.77（95% CI 0.68?0.86）. The optimal threshold of the Yoden index of the support vector machine model was 0.588，with a sensitivity of 78.5% and a specificity of 86.5%. The clinical decision curve and calibration curve show that the support vector machine model has a higher net benefit and acceptable stability and reliability. Conclusions:The support vector machine model incorporating CYP11B2 gene polymorphisms，BMI，and types of preoperative antihypertensive medications could effectively predict postoperative hypertension remission in primary aldosteronism patients，providing new evidence for personalized treatment strategies
