Analysis of risk factors and establishment of prediction model for early urinary incontinence after Holmium laser enucleation of the prostate
10.3760/cma.j.cn112330-20240113-00022
- VernacularTitle:前列腺钬激光剜除术后早期尿失禁的危险因素分析及预测模型建立
- Author:
Xiaohan CHU
1
;
Changbao XU
1
;
Xiaofu WANG
1
;
Hao LIU
1
;
Shengwei ZHANG
1
;
Changwei LIU
1
;
Wuxue LI
1
Author Information
1. 郑州大学第二附属医院泌尿外科，郑州 450003
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Prostatic hyperplasia;
Incontinence;
Holmium laser enucleation of the prostate;
Membranous urethral length;
Predictive model
- From:
Chinese Journal of Urology
2025;46(1):30-36
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the independent risk factors for the occurrence of early urinary incontinence after Holmium laser enucleation of the prostate(HoLEP), and to construct a clinical risk predictive model for postoperative urinary incontinence.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 384 patients who underwent HoLEP between February 2019 and July 2024 at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University. The cohort had a mean age of (68.3 ± 6.5) years, with a body mass index (BMI) of 22.45 (20.11, 24.39) kg/m 2. The median duration of lower urinary tract symptoms was 60 (36, 60) months. Of the patients, 104 (27.1%) had a history of diabetes mellitus, 139 (36.2%) had hypertension, and 54 (14.1%) had a preoperative indwelling urinary catheter. Additionally, 136 patients (35.4%) had a preoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level ≥ 4 ng/ml, and 197 patients (51.3%) had a preoperative residual urine volume ≥ 50 ml. The International Prostate Symptom Score (IPSS) was ≥ 19 in 227 cases (59.1%). Preoperative detrusor instability was observed in 169 cases (44.0%), with a median maximal urinary flow rate of 5.9 (4.5, 9.3) ml/s and a median urinary flow rate of 4.0 (3.4, 7.3) ml/s. Moreover, 148 cases (38.5%) had a preoperative prostate volume ≥ 65 ml, and the preoperative median maximum urethral length (MUL) was 13.99 (12.40, 16.24) mm. Postoperative follow-up allowed for division of the patients into two groups: those with recovery of urinary control function and those with early postoperative urinary incontinence. The general characteristics of both groups were compared. Independent risk factors for early postoperative urinary incontinence were identified through multifactorial logistic regression. Variables with statistically significant differences were included in a column chart model created using R software. Internal validation was performed through repeated sampling with the Bootstrap method to assess the model's discriminative ability. Calibration curves were plotted to examine the consistency between predicted and actual outcomes, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the model's fit. Results:This study included 384 patients, with 313 in the urinary control function recovery group and 71 in the early incontinence group. There were statistically significant difference between the two groups in age [≥70 years old: 91 (29.1%) vs. 33 (46.5%)], prostate volume [≥65 ml: 110 (35.1%) vs. 38 (53.5%)], MUL [14.21 (12.63, 16.24) mm vs. 13.12 (12.21, 13.95) mm], and non-inhibitory contraction of the urethra muscle in both groups [125 (39.9%) vs. 44 cases (62.0%)] ( P < 0.05). No significant differences were observed between the two groups in terms of BMI, disease duration, history of diabetes mellitus, preoperative catheterization, IPSS, preoperative PSA, residual bladder urine volume, maximum urinary flow rate, average urinary flow rate, operative time, or duration of indwelling urinary catheterization ( P > 0.05). Multifactorial logistic regression analysis revealed that age ≥ 70 years ( OR = 0.414, 95% CI 0.230-0.746, P = 0.003), prostate volume ≥ 65 ml ( OR=0.451, 95% CI 0.251-0.812, P=0.008), MUL( OR=0.688, 95% CI 0.590-0.802, P<0.001), and detrusor instability, uninhibited detrusor contraction ( OR=0.526, 95% CI 0.279-0.994, P=0.048) were independent risk factors for early postoperative urinary incontinence following HoLEP. A prediction model was developed based on these findings, and internal validation showed a C-index of 0.753. The calibration curve was close to the ideal curve, indicating that the model has good predictive performance. Conclusions:Age ≥70 years, prostate volume ≥65 ml, MUL, and uninhibited contraction of the urethra muscle were independent influences on early urinary incontinence after HoLEP, and the nomogram constructed in this way had good predictive performance for the risk of developing early urinary incontinence after HoLEP.
