Construction of operational indicator system for infectious disease monito-ring and early warning based on Delphi method
10.12138/j.issn.1671-9638.20257188
- VernacularTitle:基于德尔菲法的传染病监测预警业务指标体系构建
- Author:
Ming LI
1
;
Yuan LI
;
Yiming ZHANG
;
Jiaqi MA
;
Gang LI
Author Information
1. 中国医科大学公共卫生学院卫生统计学教研室,辽宁沈阳 110122
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
infectious disease;
monitoring;
early warning;
operational indicator system
- From:
Chinese Journal of Infection Control
2025;24(7):890-897
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To construct an operational indicator system for infectious disease monitoring and early warning,and provide data support and decision-making basis for monitoring and early warning.Methods A preli-minary indicator framework was constructed through literature analysis and expert interviews,and expert consultation was conducted using the Delphi method.A total of 30 experts were selected.The score of the importance of indica-tors based on the consultation results was calculated,and the weight was determined.Results The response rates of expert consultation questionnaires from two rounds were both 100％,with expert authority coefficients(reliabili-ty coefficient)being 0.87 and 0.88 for the first and second rounds,respectively.Kendall's W coefficients ranged from 0.137 to 0.424,with statistically significant differences(all P＜0.001).Coefficients of variation for all indi-cators were＜0.25,indicating that expert opinions tend to be consistent and the results were authoritative and relia-ble.The finally constructed indicator system encompassed 4 first-level,25 second-level,and 68 third-level indica-tors.Conclusion The operational indicator system for infectious disease monitoring and early warning developed in this study can provide a basis for the practice of infectious disease monitoring and early warning as well as related scientific decision-making.
