Age-period-cohort analysis on disease burden of Chlamydia trachomatis infection in women aged 15-49 years in China, 1990-2021
10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20250101-00002
- VernacularTitle:1990-2021年中国15~49岁女性生殖道沙眼衣原体感染疾病负担的年龄-时期-队列分析
- Author:
Yunqing YANG
1
;
Xingdong YE
;
Quan LUO
;
Wanping HE
;
Chen MAO
Author Information
1. 南方医科大学公共卫生学院流行病学系，广州 510515
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Chlamydia trachomatis infection;
Disease burden;
Age-period-cohort analysis
- From:
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology
2025;46(7):1168-1174
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To analyze the incidence rate and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate of Chlamydia trachomatis ( C. trachomatis) infection in women aged 15-49 years in China from 1990 to 2021, identify the vulnerable populations, and provide evidence for the prevention and control of C. trachomatis infection. Methods:The data from Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 were used to analyze the incidence rate and DALY rate of C. trachomatis infection in women aged 15-49 years in China from 1990 to 2021 by using Joinpoint regression model. The age-period-cohort analysis method was used to decompose the age effect, period effect and cohort effect of incidence rate and DALY rate of C. trachomatis infection. Results:From 1990 to 2021, the incidence rate of C. trachomatis infection increased from 5 892.02/100 000 in 1990 to 7 402.23/100 000 in 2021 in women aged 15-49 years in China. The DALY rate increased from 1.92/100 000 person-years in 1990 to 2.00/100 000 person-years in 2021. Joinpoint regression showed that, from 1990 to 2021, the annual incidence of C. trachomatis infection in Chinese women age aged 15-49 years increased by 0.74% [average annual percent change (AAPC) =0.74%, 95% CI: 0.67%-0.81%, t=21.94, P<0.001] and the annual average DALY rate increased by 0.11% (AAPC=0.11%, 95% CI: -0.09%-0.30%, t=1.06, P=0.287). Age-period-cohort model analyses showed that women aged 30-34 years were at high risk to be infected with C. trachomatis and women aged 40-44 years were at high risk to have high DALY. The period effect showed that the risk for C. trachomatis infection began to increase in 1990, peaked during 2000-2004, then gradually decreased. During 2015-2019, the infection risk increased again, while the risk for high DALY showed a decreasing trend. The cohort effect showed that the risks for C. trachomatis infection and DALY were lower in later birth cohorts. Conclusions:From 1990 to 2021, the incidence rate and DALY rate of C. trachomatis infection showed fluctuations in women aged 15-49 years in China. It is necessary to pay close attention to the prevention and control of C. trachomatis infection in women aged 30-34 years.
