Predictive value of Padua score combined with novel thrombotic biomarkers for risk of venous thrombo-embolism in the patients with chronic heart failure
10.3969/j.issn.1008-0074.2025.05.05
- VernacularTitle:Padua评分联合新型血栓标志物对慢性心力衰竭患者静脉血栓栓塞症风险的预测价值
- Author:
Dan RAN
1
;
Li-ping WU
1
;
Jia ZHAO
1
;
Hong CHEN
1
;
Xiao-yun ZHANG
1
Author Information
1. 彭州市人民医院心血管内科,四川成都 611930
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Heart failure;
Venous thromboembolism;
Forecasting
- From:
Chinese Journal of cardiovascular Rehabilitation Medicine
2025;34(5):617-623
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:This study aims to investigate the risk factors of venous thromboembolism(VTE)in patients with chronic heart failure(CHF),and establish a model for predicting the risk of VTE.Methods:A nested case-control study was conducted on CHF patients admitted in Pengzhou People's Hospital between June 2022 and June 2023.A total of 66 patients were diagnosed with VTE among the 960 CHF patients.Then another 66 patients paired by age and gender to those with VTE were selected from the remaining non-VTE patients as control group.Gener-al data,D dimer(D-D),thrombin-antithrombin complex(TAT),plasmin-α2-antiplasmin complex(PIC),tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex(t-PAIC),thrombomodulin(TM)and Padua score were compared between two groups.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the independent risk factors of VTE in CHF patients.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was applied to assess the efficacy of each indicator in predicting the risk of VTE in CHF patients.Results:Compared to patients in the non-VTE group,those in the VTE group had significantly higher D-D[3.26(1.87,6.19)mg/L vs.0.81(0.56,1.26)mg/L],TAT[5.60(4.90,8.80)ng/ml vs.2.60(1.70,3.30)ng/ml],TM[16.40(13.50,20.03)TU/ml vs.9.65(7.60,11.20)TU/ml],PIC[1.24(0.94,1.68)μg/ml vs.0.84(0.65,1.22)μg/ml],t-PAIC[12.60(9.38,17.05)ng/ml vs.7.70(5.53,9.70)ng/ml],proportion of atrial fibrillation/flutter(54.5％vs.22.7％)and Padua score[4(3,4)points vs.3(2,3)points](P＜0.001 all),and significantly lower lymphocyte count[0.99(0.60,1.38)×109/Lvs.1.20(0.76,1.67)×109/L,P=0.020].Multivariate Logistic regression analysis indicated that after adjusting confounders,TM(OR=2.456,95％CI 1.389～14.296,P=0.012)and Padua score(OR=3.257,95％CI 1.270～13.073,P=0.037)were independent risk factors for VTE in CHF patients.A predictive model was constructed using above-mentioned two indexes.The area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the combined prediction was 0.941(95％CI 0.901～0.980),which was significantly higher than those of TM(AUC=0.889,95％CI 0.833～0.945)and Padua score(AUC=0.801,95％CI 0.731～0.871)alone(Z=2.672,4.063,P=0.008,＜0.001).Conclusion:Padua score and TM were independent risk factors for VTE in CHF patients,and their combined detec-tion could better predict the risk of VTE in these patients.
