Incidence trends and age distribution of cutaneous melanoma in Jiangsu province from 2010 to 2019
- VernacularTitle:2009—2019年江苏省皮肤黑色素瘤发病趋势及年龄变化分析
- Author:
Yuancheng LI
1
;
Renqiang HAN
;
Weigang MIAO
;
Pengfei LUO
Author Information
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords: Melanoma; Incidence; Jiangsu; Cross-sectional studies; Trend analysis
- From: Chinese Journal of Dermatology 2025;58(3):228-233
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
- Abstract: Objective:To analyze incidence trends and age distribution of cutaneous melanoma in Jiangsu province from 2010 to 2019.Methods:In this cross-sectional study, data on the reported incidence of cutaneous melanoma from 2009 to 2019 were obtained from 16 cancer registries in Jiangsu Province, which had complete and continuous records after quality control. The Jointpoint log-linear regression model was used, and the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated to analyze incidence trends of cutaneous melanoma in different genders and areas (urban or rural). Data from the Chinese population census in 2000 were used for calculation of age-standardized incidence rates by Chinese standard population. The Jointpoint regression model was used to evaluate the trends in the average age at onset over time. If there were no inflection points, a t test was used to compare changes in the average age at onset and age-specific proportions among different years. The age-period-cohort model was used to analyze changes of the incidence in birth cohorts in different years. Results:The age-standardized incidence rate of cutaneous melanoma in Jiangsu province was 0.26/100 000 in 2009 and 0.49/100 000 in 2019. Overall, the provincial incidence rates showed an increasing trend (AAPC in age-standardized incidence rates: 6.17%, P < 0.001). In the subgroup analyses, increasing trends were observed in different genders and areas (AAPC in age-standardized incidence rates: 4.24% for males, 8.01% for females, 5.17% for urban areas, 7.62% for rural areas, all P < 0.001). The standardized average age at onset of cutaneous melanoma was 59.95 years in 2009 and 58.84 years in 2019, with no significant trend in average age at onset over time ( P = 0.196). People aged 60 years and above had an AAPC of 1.20% ( P = 0.020) in the actual incidence proportion of cutaneous melanoma in 2019 compared with 2009. The age-period-cohort model showed that the incidence progressively increased with the year of birth in age groups among patients of different genders and in different areas (all P < 0.05) . Conclusions:The overall incidence of cutaneous melanoma was relatively low in Jiangsu province from 2009 to 2019, however, an upward trend was observed. Patients in both rural and urban areas, as well as female and male populations, all exhibited increasing incidence rates. The incidence rates of cutaneous melanoma increased with age.
