Clinical features and predictive indicators in children with recurrent simple febrile seizures
10.3760/cma.j.cn341190-20240917-01194
- VernacularTitle:复发性单纯高热惊厥患儿临床特征及预测指标分析
- Author:
Qi ZHANG
1
;
Yun ZHOU
1
;
Minhui ZHU
1
;
Caiyun ZHANG
1
;
Yuanyuan HUANG
1
Author Information
1. 杭州市儿童医院急诊科，杭州 310014
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Child;
Seizures, febrile;
Forecasting;
Treatment outcome;
Logistic models;
ROC curve
- From:
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy
2025;32(5):730-734
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the clinical features and predictive indicators of children with recurrent simple febrile seizures, providing theoretical guidance for the early identification of such patients in clinical practice.Methods:This study is a single-center, retrospective analysis. It included 152 children with febrile seizures who were admitted to Department of Emergency, Hangzhou Children's Hospital from January 2021 to December 2023. Based on whether multiple episodes of simple febrile seizures occurred within 24 hours, the children were divided into a recurrent simple febrile seizure group ( n = 44) and a simple febrile seizure group ( n = 108). Demographic characteristics, clinical data, and laboratory test results were collected. Statistical analysis was performed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression, correlation analysis, and receiver operating characteristic curves. Results:Among the 152 children with febrile seizures included in this study, 44 (28.95%) were diagnosed with recurrent simple febrile seizures. Children with recurrent simple febrile seizures had lower temperatures upon admission, were younger at the time of their first febrile seizure, and had a higher proportion of cases where the time interval from fever to seizure was < 12 hours ( t = 2.84, 4.25, 8.45, all P < 0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that recurrent simple febrile seizures were negatively correlated with admission temperature and age at first febrile seizure ( r = -0.599, -0.609, both P < 0.001) and positively correlated with the time interval from fever to seizure ( r = 0.568, P = 0.004). Logistic regression analysis indicated that age at first febrile seizure and a time interval from fever to seizure of ≥ 12 hours were influential factors of recurrent simple febrile seizures ( OR = 2.864, 2.145, P = 0.004, 0.007). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that admission temperature, age at first febrile seizure, a time interval from fever to seizure of ≥ 12 hours, and their combination were all effective in detecting recurrent simple febrile seizures. However, the combined assessment had higher sensitivity and specificity than any single assessment, with a sensitivity of 88.60%, specificity of 89.80%, a cutoff value of 0.840, and an area under the curve of 0.886. Conclusions:Lower admission temperatures, younger age at the time of the first febrile seizure, and a time interval of < 12 hours from fever to seizure are associated with an increased likelihood of simple febrile seizures developing into recurrent simple febrile seizures.
