Development and Validation of Dampness Syndrome of TCM Prediction Model Based on Blood Multiple Laboratory Indicators
10.3969/j.issn.1671-7414.2025.05.018
- VernacularTitle:基于外周血多项实验室检测指标构建中医湿证预测模型及验证
- Author:
Chunmin KANG
1
;
Yingyi FENG
1
;
Xixi XIE
1
;
Haibiao LIN
1
;
Xiaobin WU
1
;
Xianzhang HUANG
1
;
Zhimin YANG
1
Author Information
1. 广东省中医院,广州 510120;省部共建中医湿证国家重点实验室,广州 510120
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
dampness syndrome of traditional Chinese medicine;
forecasting model;
peripheral blood laboratory indicators
- From:
Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine
2025;40(5):94-100,106
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To explore the risk factors associated with the occurrence of dampness syndrome based on peripheral blood multiple laboratory indicators,construct predictive model and validate it.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 180 patients who visited the Preventive Treatment Center of Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine from May 2022 to December 2023.They were divided into two groups according to the diagnostic criteria:the damp syndrome of TCM group(n=118)and the balanced yin-yang constitution group(n=62),with the latter serving as the"non-syndrome"control group for dampness syndrome.Serum biochemical indicators were detected by electrochemiluminescence(ECL),immune cell subsets were analyzed through flow cytometer,and routine blood parameters were assessed using an automatic hematology analyzed.Logistic regression analysis was employed to screen risk factors and develop a predictive model.The Bootstrap method was used for data resampling to draw the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve,and clinical decision curve analysis(DCA)to evaluate the predictive value,consistency,and clinical efficacy of the model.Results Compared with the balanced yin-yang constitution group,the damp syndrome of TCM group showed increased levels of insulin(INS),non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(non HDL-C),red blood cells(RBC)and the proportion of CD4+T cells,the proportion of triglyceride(TG)>1.70 mmol/L,total cholesterol(TC)>5.20 mmol/L,low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C)>3.37 mmol/L,and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C)≤1.15 mmol/L were also significantly higher,with statistical significance(U/t/χ2=-2.900～4 626,all P＜0.05).Logistic regression analysis showed that INS,TC>5.20 mmol/L,HDL-C≤1.15 mmol/L,and the proportion of CD4+T cells were independent risk factors for the occurrence of damp syndrome of TCM(all P＜0.05).Based on the screened risk factors,a forecasting model was established and a nomogram was plotted.The model had an area under the ROC curve area under curve(AUC)of 0.747(95%CI=0.672～0.822),a Brier score of 0.184 for the calibration curve,and demonstrated clinical net benefit at threshold probabilities ranging from 0.30 to 1.00.Conclusion The forecasting model constructed based on INS,TC>5.20 mmol/L,HDL-C≤1.15 mmol/L,and CD4+T cells ratio has a high predictive value for damp syndrome of TCM.
