Spatio-temporal aggregation of Keshan disease prevalence situation in Qingyang City, Gansu Province from 2022 to 2024
10.3760/cma.j.cn231583-20250108-00018
- VernacularTitle:2022—2024年甘肃省庆阳市克山病患病情况的时空聚集性研究
- Author:
Yun WANG
1
;
Jing LUO
;
Zhaoyan HU
;
Ping LI
Author Information
1. 庆阳市疾病预防控制中心（市卫生监督所）传染病防制科，庆阳 745000
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Keshan disease;
Spatio-temporal scaning;
Cluster
- From:
Chinese Journal of Endemiology
2025;44(9):703-707
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To study the prevalence and spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of Keshan disease in Qingyang City, Gansu Province, and provide scientific basis for formulating targeted prevention and control strategies and optimizing resource allocation.Methods:The data of patients with Keshan disease from January 2022 to December 2024 were obtained from the Qingyang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, and the population data were obtained from the Statistics Bureau of Qingyang City. Global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed using GeoDa 1.16.0 software to identify four spatial clustering areas: high-high, low-low, low-high, and high-low. Spatio-temporal aggregation analysis was conducted using SaTScan 10.1.3 software.Results:The prevalence rates of Keshan disease in Qingyang City from 2022 to 2024 were 7.11/100 000, 6.68/100 000, and 6.14/100 000, respectively. Global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the prevalence rates of Keshan disease in Qingyang City from 2022 to 2024 showed a positive spatial correlation (Moran′s I > 0, Z > 1.96, P < 0.05), with the highest spatial correlation in 2024 (Moran′s I = 0.46, Z = 8.02, P = 0.001). Local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that from 2022 to 2024, the number of townships (towns) exhibiting high-high clusters of Keshan disease in Qingyang City was 15, 11, and 11, respectively. These clusters were primarily concentrated in the southeastern townships (towns) of Qingyang City that boder the Ziwu Mountain. Low-low clusters were primarily concentrated in most townships (towns) of Zhenyuan County and Xifeng District of Qingyang City, as well as some townships (towns) in the northwest of Huachi County. Spatio-temporal scanning analysis showed that the high prevalence rate cluster was concentrated in 2022, covering 44 townships (towns) in 5 counties, mainly distributed in the southeast of Qingyang City. The low prevalence rate cluster was concentrated in 2024, covering 26 townships (towns) in 3 counties (districts), and distributed in the western of Qingyang City. Conclusion:There is a significant spatial clustering of Keshan disease in Qingyang City, and the high prevalence rate cluster is located in the southeast of Qingyang City, which is a key area for prevention and control of Keshan disease in the future.
