Risk factors for fat liquefaction after single-site laparoscopic one-stage surgery for pediatric appendiceal abscess
10.3969/j.issn.1009-9905.2025.11.004
- VernacularTitle:单部位腹腔镜一期手术治疗小儿阑尾脓肿脂肪液化的危险因素
- Author:
Ming-ming XING
1
;
Ya-hui HAO
1
;
Ma-jing ZHAI
1
Author Information
1. 临汾市妇幼保健院儿童医院 小儿外科(山西 临汾 041000)
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Appendix abscess;
Fat liquefaction;
Risk factors;
Prediction model
- From:
Chinese Journal of Current Advances in General Surgery
2025;28(11):859-864
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To analyze the risk factors for fat liquefaction after surgery for pediatric appendiceal abscess and to construct and validate a predictive model for post-operative fat liquefaction.Methods:The training set collected clinical data from 60 children who developed fat liquefaction after appendiceal abscess surgery and 60 children who did not develop fat liquefaction for comparison.The validation set collected data from 97 children during the same period ac-cording to the same criteria to test the model's efficacy.LASSO logistic regression was used to screen potential diag-nostic factors,and a Logistic regression model was employed for univariate analysis.Collinearity diagnostic tests were conducted among the risk factors.The stepwise regression method using the training dataset was applied to evaluate the importance of each risk factor for fat liquefaction.A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to calcu-late the concordance index of the risk factors in both the training and validation sets.A predictive model was constructed using Logistic regression,and the clinical value of the predictive model was evaluated using ROC curves,calibration curves,and decision curves.Results:Compared with the non-liquefaction group,the liquefaction group had higher val-ues in terms of body weight,heart rate,diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,degree of appendiceal thickening,body temperature upon admission,fasting plasma glucose(FPG)level,surgical duration,intraoperative blood loss,wound healing time,length of hospital stay,volume of abdominal drainage fluid,and infection status(P<0.05).LASSO logistic regression analysis identified potential factors including body temperature upon admission,heart rate,body weight,diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,degree of appendiceal thickening,FPG level,sur-gical duration,and intraoperative blood loss.Univariate analysis revealed that body weight,diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,FPG level,surgical duration,and intraoperative blood loss were influencing factors for fat lique-faction after appendectomy(P<0.05).Body weight and FPG factors were mutually independent with no multicollinearity,while there was multicollinearity among the diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,surgical duration,and intraoperative blood loss.The risk model combining the diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,in-traoperative blood loss,FPG,surgical duration,and body weight had the highest concordance index in both the training and validation sets,with values of 0.811 and 0.814,respectively.The Logistic regression model established the predictive model as Logit(P)=-1.136+0.664×(diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen)+0.449×(surgical duration)+0.622×(intraoperative blood loss)+0.200×(body weight)+0.578×(FPG).The area under the ROC curve was 0.920(95%CI:0.869～0.942),with a sensitivity of 93.14%and a specificity of 85.73%.The calibration curve of the predictive model showed good fit with the ideal curve.The predictive model had a high net benefit.Conclusion:Body weight,diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,FPG level,surgical duration,and intraoperative blood loss are risk factors for fat liquefaction after appendectomy and have good predictive value for the occurrence of fat liquefaction.
