Effects of prognostic nutritional index on readmission rate, complication rate, mortality and survival in cirrhotic patients
10.3760/cma.j.cn311367-20250211-00054
- VernacularTitle:预后营养指数对肝硬化患者再入院率、并发症发生率、病死率及生存期的影响
- Author:
Zichun AO
1
;
Jun XIE
;
Weifang ZHU
;
Huan LI
;
Hui LONG
;
Qiang WANG
;
Qingming WU
Author Information
1. 武汉科技大学附属天门医院消化内科，天门 431700
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Cirrhosis;
Prognostic nutritional index;
Readmission rate;
Complication rate;
Mortality rate
- From:
Chinese Journal of Digestion
2025;45(8):534-540
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the effects of prognostic nutritional index (PNI) on the readmission rate, complication rate, mortality rate and survival of patients with liver cirrhosis.Methods:From January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2022, 395 hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis at Tianmen Hospital Affiliated to Wuhan University of Science and Technology were retrospectively enrolled. The clinical data were collected from the patients at their first hospitalization (baseline period) and re-hospitalization during follow-up period. The 18-month follow-up was divided into 4 periods, including the first period (from the 0th to the 3rd month), the second one was from the 4th to the 6th month, the third one was from the 7th to the 12th month, and the fourth one was from the 13th to the 18th month of follow-up. The prognostic value of PNI for patients with liver cirrhosis was evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) of the baseline PNI. The 395 patients were divided into the low PNI group and the high PNI group based on the optimal cut-off value of PNI on the ROC. Patients readmitted during each follow-up period were divided into the PNI improvement group (PNI at follow-up -PNI at baseline>0) and the PNI non-improvement group (PNI at follow-up-PNI at baseline ≤0). Independent sample t-test, one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA), Mann-Whitney U test, chi-square test or Fisher′s exact test were used for statistical analysis. Survival curves depicting the relationship between PNI and overall survival rate of patients with liver cirrhosis were constructed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results:The ROC analysis indicated that the optimal cut-off value of PNI at baseline was 32.65, with an area under the curve of 0.639 (95% confidence interval: 0.541 to 0.738, P=0.011), with a sensitivity of 0.567 and a specificity of 0.701. There were 269 cases in the high PNI group and 126 cases in the low PNI group. The readmission rate, complication rate and mortality rate in the low PNI group were all higher than those in the high PNI group at the first and fourth follow-up periods (32.5% (41/126) vs. 22.3% (60/269), 31.7% (40/126) vs. 20.4% (55/269), 6.3% (8/126) vs. 1.1% (3/269), 25.0% (29/116) vs. 16.2% (42/260), 25.0% (29/116) vs. 15.4% (40/260), 6.0% (7/116) vs. 1.5% (4/260)), and the differences were statistically significant ( χ2=4.72, 6.00, 6.86, 4.10, 4.95, and 4.24; P=0.030, 0.014, 0.009, 0.043, 0.026, and 0.040). The mortality rates of the PNI improvement group at the first and fourth follow-up periods were both lower than those of the PNI non-improvement group (4.3% (2/47) vs. 16.7% (9/54), 0 (0/24) vs. 23.4% (11/47)), and the differences were statistically significant ( χ2=3.99, Fisher′s exact test; P=0.046 and 0.012). There were no statistically significant difference in the incidence of complications between the PNI improvement group and the PNI non-improvement group at each follow-up period (all P>0.05). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve demonstrated that the average survival time of the high PNI group was longer than that of the low PNI group (17.54 months (95% confidence interval: 17.26 to 17.83 months) vs. 16.74 months (95% confidence interval: 16.96 to 17.52 months), and the difference was statistically significant ( χ2=9.18, P<0.001). The survival rate of the high PNI group at the 18th month of follow-up period was higher than that of the low PNI group (95.2% (256/269) vs. 86.5% (109/126), and the difference was statistically significant ( χ2=9.17, P=0.002). Conclusions:PNI has certain predictive efficacy for the survival period of patients with liver cirrhosis. Low-level PNI may increase the readmission rate, complication rate, and mortality of patients with liver cirrhosis, and shorten the survival period, indicating poor prognosis.
