The impact of thoracic cage bone structure on the prognosis of locally advanced non‐small cell lung cancer
10.3760/cma.j.cn113030-20240826-00328
- VernacularTitle:胸廓骨结构对局部晚期非小细胞肺癌预后的影响
- Author:
Guanjie WANG
1
;
Huiqi FAN
1
;
Meng YAN
1
;
Zixi ZHU
1
;
Kai REN
1
;
Lujun ZHAO
1
Author Information
1. 天津医科大学肿瘤医院放射治疗科，国家恶性肿瘤临床医学研究中心，天津市肿瘤防治重点实验室，天津市恶性肿瘤临床医学研究中心，天津 300060
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Carcinoma, non‐small‐cell lung;
Estimated dose of radiation to immune cells;
Radiation dose to thoracic bone structure;
Prognostic analysis
- From:
Chinese Journal of Radiation Oncology
2025;34(8):772-780
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To evaluate the effect of the radiation dose of thoracic cage bone structure on clinical prognosis in patients with locally advanced non‐small cell lung cancer (LA‐NSCLC) receiving chemoradiotherapy, and to develop and verify a combined model combining the radiation dose of bone structure, the estimated radiation dose of immune cells (EDRIC) and other related factors to predict the prognosis of LA‐NSCLC.Methods:Clinical data of 197 patients with LA‐NSCLC who underwent chemoradiotherapy were retrospectively analyzed. All patients were randomly divided into the training set and testing set at a ratio of 7:3 using computer random partitioning. The EDRIC value was calculated using the model developed by Jin et al. and modified by Ladbury et al. The scope of the thoracic cage structure includes the ribs, sternal manubrium, sternal body, thoracic vertebral body, thoracic vertebral appendages, and thoracic vertebrae. The tumor volume, ERDIC, and average bone structure dose (D mean) were categorized into two groups using the P25, P50, P75 value from the quartile method. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression were used to analyze the influencing factors of overall survival (OS), local progression‐free survival (LPFS), and distant metastasis‐free survival (DMFS) for predicting the outcome, and significant correlated variables were retained to construct a combined prediction model with EDRIC. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration curves were plotted for subjects at the 2‐year time point of the combined model to evaluate the predictive performance. The model was visualized through a nomograph. Results:In the thoracic cage bone structure, D mean > 47.3 Gy of the sternal manubrium was an independent risk factor of OS, LPFS, and DMFS of LA-NSCLC patients. D mean > 23.1 Gy of thoracic vertebral body was an independent risk factor of OS, and D mean > 14.4 Gy of thoracic vertebral body was an independent risk factor of DMFS. Among other variables, gross tumor volume (GTV) >50.2 cm 3 was a risk factor for OS, and GTV >87.0 cm 3 was a risk factor for LPFS. Planning target volume >571.9 cm 3 was a risk factor for DMFS. A combined prediction model for OS, LPFS, and DMFS was established with EDRIC using features significantly associated with these three predicted outcomes. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of OS combined model in the training set and test set were 0.708 and 0.696, respectively, and the AUC of DMFS combined model were 0.675 and 0.639, respectively. The calibration curve and DCA curve of the two prediction endpoints showed that the combined model had good prediction accuracy and clinical benefit. However, the LPFS model was not good in accuracy and clinical applicability. Conclusions:The radiation dose of sternal manubrium and thoracic vertebral body in the thoracic cage bone structure is an independent influencing factor for the prognosis of LA‐NSCLC patients after chemoradiotherapy. The combined model has good predictive performance for OS and DMFS.
