Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting postoperative prognosis in gallbladder cancer patients based on the HALP score
10.3760/cma.j.cn113884-20250108-00005
- VernacularTitle:基于HALP评分的预测胆囊癌患者根治术后预后列线图的建立与评估
- Author:
Shujie HE
1
;
Zhelong JIANG
;
Lili WU
;
Xuanhua LIN
;
Lizhi LYU
;
Yang CHENG
;
Baipo ZHOU
;
Fang YANG
;
Jianwei CHEN
Author Information
1. 福建医科大学福总临床医学院（第九〇〇医院），福州 350025
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Biliary tract neoplasms;
Nomograms;
Lymphocytes;
Hemoglobin;
Albumin;
Survival
- From:
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery
2025;31(9):666-670
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To analyze the effects of hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte and platelet count (HALP) scores on the survival of gallbladder cancer patients after radical surgery, and to construct a prognostic prediction model and evaluate based on HALP scores.Methods:The clinical data of 95 patients with gallbladder cancer who underwent surgical treatment in Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University (the 900th Hospital) from January 2010 to December 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, including 40 males and 55 females, with the age of (63.3±12.2) years. All patients were divided into a low HALP group (HALP score ≤35.4, n=45) and a high HALP group (HALP score >35.4, n=50) based on the optimal cut-off value of 35.4 for predicting postoperative survival as determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Survival curves were plotted by the Kaplan-Meier method, and survival comparisons were performed using the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to analyze the effect of HALP score on survival after radical surgery in patients with gallbladder cancer. Based on the multifactorial results, nomogram was constructed to predict the survival of gallbladder cancer patients after radical surgery, and ROC curves, consistency indexes were evaluated in the model. Results:A total of 95 patients were followed up for 1-150 months, with a median of 13 months. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year postoperative cumulative survival rates of patients in the low HALP group were 56.2%, 31.2%, and 11.1%, respectively, which were lower than those of the high HALP group, which were 82.9%, 59.6%, and 40.7%, and the difference was statistically significant ( χ2=12.50, P<0.001). Based on multifactorial Cox regression analysis, preoperative total bilirubin ≥23 μmol/L, with lymph node metastasis, tumor TNM stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ, and postoperative incision infection were the risk factors for survival after radical surgery in patients with gallbladder cancer, and a HALP score of >35.4 and Child-Pugh A were protective factors (all P<0.05). Based on the results of multivariate Cox regression analysis to construct a nomogram for predicting overall survival after radical surgery in patients with gallbladder cancer, the consistency index between the prediction of the nomogram and the actual situation was 0.801 (95% CI: 0.752-0.850), and the area under the ROC curve for predicting overall survival was 0.812 (95% CI: 0.704-0.902). Conclusion:The preoperative high HALP score (HALP > 35.4) is a protective factor for survival after radical surgery in gallbladder cancer patients, and the nomogram constructed based on the HALP score for survival prediction after radical surgery for gallbladder cancer has high accuracy and can be used for the assessment of postoperative survival.
